Lost in the jungle?

John Hudson, SNRE, University of Michigan, 27 November 2007

Aid: From this -

Aid: - to this

Relative Global Calorie Intake and Land Required

2000 2030 2050

Relative Calorie Intake

100 145 165

Land Area Required (bn ha)

5.0 7.85 8.15

Source: Nilsson, 2007

Global Industrial Wood Consumption

2005 2020 2030

Billions

m3/year 1.6 1.85 2.0

Source: Nilsson, 2007

BiofuelsEthanol Biodiesel

Sugar cane

Maize

Palm oil

Soy bean

Jatropha Castor bean

Sunflower Rapeseed

Biofuel targets

• US: 8.5 billion gallons in 2008, 36 billion gallons in 2022

• EU: 5% transport fuels from biofuels in 2010, 10% by 2020

Source: Roberts, 2007

Biofuels and forests

Bali

Climate change funds:adding to complexity

Transition to low carbon economies

Promotion of innovation and

new technologies

Reversal of emissions from

land use change

Adaptation

GEEREF(EC)

Adaptation Fund (GEF)

Global CC Alliance (EC)

SCCF(GEF)

SPA Fund (GEF)

SECCF (IDB)

Forest Carbon Partnership (WB)

MDG Achievement Fund (Spain /UNDP)

GIFC (Australia)

Energising Dev (Neth/GTZ)

98

10

5

35

? ?

?

LDCF(GEF)

60

25

125

88

Climate Change Resilience

Initiative (Rockefeller Fdn) Foundation)35

?

Source: Tighe Geoghegan, BOND Development and Environment Group, 2007

Ways through…?

Thank you