By: Loras College Marketing Research Class December 7 th , 2012
Loras College Statewide Wisconsin Survey …myweb.loras.edu/Loras/PDF/LCPWIToplinesCrosstabs.pdf(c)...
Transcript of Loras College Statewide Wisconsin Survey …myweb.loras.edu/Loras/PDF/LCPWIToplinesCrosstabs.pdf(c)...
1 (c) Loras College
Loras College Statewide Wisconsin Survey October/November 2016
Field Dates: October 31-November 1, 2016
Completed Surveys: 500 Margin of Error: +/- 4.4%
Note on Methodology: The Loras College Poll surveyed 500 Wisconsin likely voters. The survey was conducted October 31-Nov. 1, 2016. Margin of error for full sample results is +/- 4.4%. All results calculated at a 95% confidence interval. Survey was conducted using live operator interviews through a contracted professional call center Survey conducted with a random sample of registered voters (sample from official voter files provided by third party vendor) The statewide sample was balanced for standard demographic variables such as age and gender, with party composition to
approximate previous elections. Survey included both landlines and cell phones (50-50 split). Screen for likely voter is report of “definitely” or “very likely” to vote in presidential election in November. Script development and methodology used for the survey received input from Republican campaign consultant Brian Dumas and
Democratic campaign consultant Dave Heller
2 (c) Loras College
Q1. Are you registered to vote in Wisconsin? Yes……………………………………………....500 100.0% No…………………………………………………..0 0 Q2. In November there will be an election for President of the United States, as well as for U.S. Senate. How likely would you say you are to vote in this upcoming election? Would you say you will definitely vote, or are you very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, unlikely, or will you definitely not vote in the election? Definitely……………………………………….392 78.4% Very Likely……………………………………….33 6.6% Somewhat Likely…………………………………0 0 Somewhat Unlikely………………………………0 0 Unlikely/Definitely not vote…………………...0 0 Already voted……………………………………75 15.0% Q3. And of the following categories, which one does your age fall into? 18-29…………………………………………..105 21.0% 30-44…………………………………………..128 25.6% 45-64…………………………………………..186 37.2% 65+……………………………………………….81 16.2%
3 (c) Loras College
Q4. Of the following, which best describes your race? White…………………………………………….460 92.0% Black or African-American…………………..20 4.0% Hispanic or Latino……………………………….5 1.0% Other……………………………………………..15 3.0% Q5. Gender Male……………………………………………..239 47.8% Female………………………………………….261 52.2% Q6. When it comes to politics, do you generally consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else? Republican……………………………………..164 32.8% Democrat……………………………………….180 36.0% Independent…………………………………..114 22.8% Something else…………………………………42 8.4%
4 (c) Loras College
Q7. Thinking about the job Barack Obama is doing as President, would you say you approve or disapprove of his job performance? Definitely approve………………………………165 33.0% Somewhat approve……………………………..89 17.8% TOTAL APPROVE……………………….………254 50.8% Somewhat disapprove………………………….32 6.4% Definitely disprove……………………………194 38.8% TOTAL DISAPPROVE………………………….226 45.2% Undecided……………………………………….18 3.6% Refused…………………………………………….2 0.4% Q8. Thinking about the direction of the country, would you say you believe the country is on the right track or headed in the wrong direction?
Right track……………………………………..149 29.8% Wrong direction………………………………292 58.4% Undecided……………………………………….54 10.8% Refused…………………………………………….5 1.0%
5 (c) Loras College
Q9. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton? Very Favorable………………………………..106 21.2% Somewhat Favorable…………………………..95 19.0% TOTAL FAVORABLE……………………….….201 40.2% Somewhat Unfavorable……………………….43 8.6% Very Unfavorable……………………………..232 46.4% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE……………………….275 55.0% No Opinion………………………………………22 4.4% Never Heard of……………………………………0 0 Refused…………………………………………….2 0.4% Q10. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Donald Trump? Very Favorable………………………………….72 14.4% Somewhat Favorable…………………………103 20.6% TOTAL FAVORABLE…………………………..175 35.0% Somewhat Unfavorable……………………….57 11.4% Very Unfavorable……………………………..245 49.0% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE………………….……302 60.4% No Opinion………………………………………22 4.4%
6 (c) Loras College
Never Heard of……………………………………0 0 Refused…………………………………………….1 0.2% Q11. You stated you already voted, can you tell me, for whom did you vote? Hillary Clinton…………………………………..41 54.7% Donald Trump…………………………………..21 28.0% Someone Else……………………………………..1 1.3% Unsure……………………………………………..0 0 Refused…………………………………………..12 16.0% [Note: Q12 Asked only of those who had not yet voted] Q12. If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you vote? Definitely Hillary Clinton……………………155 36.5% Probably Hillary Clinton………………………22 5.2% Lean Hillary Clinton……………………………..9 2.1% TOTAL CLINTON………………………………186 43.8% Definitely Donald Trump……………………151 35.5% Probably Donald Trump………………………24 5.6% Lean Donald Trump……………………………..5 1.2% TOTAL TRUMP…………………………………180 42.3% Someone Else……………………………………30 7.1% Unsure……………………………………………28 6.6% Refused…………………………………………….1 0.2%
7 (c) Loras College
[Note: to assign total candidate support and for crosstabs, Q11 responses of those who already voted were combined in Q13 as “definitely” voting for the candidate they indicated they had voted for. Those who refused to reveal their vote were not combined in Q13.] Q13. If the Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, Gary Johnson for the Libertarians and Jill Stein for the Green Party, for whom would you vote? Definitely Hillary Clinton……………………192 39.4% Probably Hillary Clinton………………………20 4.1% Lean Hillary Clinton……………………………..2 0.4% TOTAL CLINTON…………………..………….214 43.9% Definitely Donald Trump……………………154 31.6% Probably Donald Trump………………………27 5.5% Lean Donald Trump……………………………..4 0.8% TOTAL TRUMP………………………………...185 37.9% Definitely Gary Johnson………………………11 2.3% Probably Gary Johnson………………………..14 2.9% Lean Gary Johnson………………………………8 1.6% TOTAL JOHNSON……………………….………33 6.8% Definitely Jill Stein……………………………….3 0.6% Probably Jill Stein………………………………..5 1.0% Lean Jill Stein……………………………………..2 0.4% TOTAL STEIN…………………………………….10 2.0%
8 (c) Loras College
Unsure…………………………………………….45 9.2% [Note: Q14 and Q15 only asked of those who had not already voted] Q14. Would you say you chose Clinton more because you support her or more because you oppose Trump? Support……………………………………………99 57.2% Oppose…………………………………………...60 34.7% Unsure……………………………………………13 7.5% Refused…………………………………………….1 0.6% Q15. Would you say you chose Trump more because you support him or more because you oppose Clinton? Support…………………………………………..70 42.7% Oppose…………………………………………..75 45.7% Unsure……………………………………………17 10.4% Refused…………………………………………….2 1.2% Q16. Regardless of which Presidential candidate you plan to vote for, who do you expect will become President of the United States?
Hillary Clinton…………………………………258 51.6% Donald Trump…………………………………123 24.6% Unsure………………………………………….118 23.6% Refused…………………………………………….1 0.2%
9 (c) Loras College
Q17. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Ron Johnson?
Very Favorable………………………………..139 27.8% Somewhat Favorable…………………………..91 18.2% TOTAL FAVORABLE…………………………..230 46.0% Somewhat Unfavorable……………………….60 12.0% Very Unfavorable……………………………..126 25.2% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE……………………….186 37.2% No Opinion………………………………………79 15.8% Never Heard of……………………………………4 0.8% Refused…………………………………………….1 0.2% Q18. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Russ Feingold? Very Favorable ………………………………..126 25.2% Somewhat Favorable…………………………..76 15.2% TOTAL FAVORABLE…………………………..202 40.4% Somewhat Unfavorable……………………….54 10.8% Very Unfavorable……………………………..167 33.4% TOTAL UNFAVORABLE……………….………221 44.2% No Opinion………………………………………71 14.2% Never Heard of……………………………………4 0.8% Refused…………………………………………….2 0.4%
10 (c) Loras College
Q19. You stated you already voted, can you tell me, for whom did you vote for in the U.S. Senate Race? Ron Johnson……………………………………..25 33.3% Russ Feingold…………………………………..36 48.0% Phil Anderson…………………………………….0 0 Refused…………………………………………..14 18.7% [Note: to assign total candidate support and for crosstabs, Q19 responses of those who already voted were combined in Q20 as “definitely” voting for the candidate voting they indicated they had voted for. Those who refused to reveal their vote were not combined into Q20.] Q20. If the U.S. Senate election were held today, would you vote for Ron Johnson for the Republicans, Russ Feingold for the Democrats or Phil Anderson for the Libertarians? Definitely Johnson……………………………177 36.4% Probably Johnson………………………………35 7.2% Lean Johnson……………………………………..7 1.4% TOTAL JOHNSON…………………….……….219 45.0% Definitely Feingold…………………………….187 38.5% Probably Feingold……………………………….27 5.6% Lean Feingold……………………………………13 2.7% TOTAL FEINGOLD…………………………….227 46.8% Definitely Anderson……………………………..5 1.0% Probably Anderson………………………………5 1.0% Lean Anderson……………………………………1 0.2% TOTAL ANDERSON…………………………..…11 2.2%
11 (c) Loras College
Undecided………………………………………..28 5.8% Refused…………………………………………….1 0.2% Q21. Thinking about the direction of Wisconsin, would you say you believe the state is on the right track or headed in the wrong direction? Right track………………………………………242 48.4% Wrong direction………………………………187 37.4% Undecided……………………………………….70 14.0% Refused…………………………………………….1 0.2% Q22. How would you describe yourself politically? Would you say you are very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal, very liberal or are you unsure? Very conservative………………………………53 10.6% Conservative…………………………………..158 31.6% Moderate……………………………………….145 29.0% Liberal…………………………………………….57 11.4% Very Liberal……………………………………..36 7.2% Unsure……………………………………………46 9.2% No Response/Refused………………………….5 1.0% Q23. Did I reach you today on a landline or cell phone? Landline………………………………………..250 50.0% Cell Phone……………………………………..250 50.0%
12 (c) Loras College
Q24. Do you also have a landline phone in your household?
Yes…………………………..…………………….35 14.0% No………………………………………………..212 84.8% Refused…………………………………………….3 1.2% Q25. And of the following categories, which one does your total family income fall into? Under $30,000…………………………………85 17.0% $30,000 to $49,999…………………………..95 19.0% $50,000 to $99,999…………………………169 33.8% $100,000 to $200,000……………………….74 14.8% Over $200,000………………………………….16 3.2% Refused…………………………………………..61 12.2% Q26. What is the highest level of education you completed? Some high school, high school, some college, college degree or some graduate education? Some high school………………………………13 2.6% High school degree………………………….114 22.8% Some college………………………………….130 26.0% College degree………………………………..130 26.0% Graduate degree………………………………105 21.0% Refused…………………………………………….8 1.6%
13 (c) Loras College
Q27. Which of the following is closest to your religious affiliation? Catholic, Protestant, Evangelical, Fundamentalist, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, No Religion or something else? Catholic…………………………………………156 31.2% Protestant………………………………………126 25.2% Evangelical……………………………………….31 6.2% Fundamentalist…………………………………..2 0.4% Mormon……………………………………………0 0 Jewish………………………………………………6 1.2% Muslim……………………………………………..0 0 Something else……………………………….112 22.4% No Religion………………………………………52 10.4% Refused…………………………………………..15 3.0% Q28. And thinking about your personal church attendance, would you say you attend weekly, a couple times per month, a few times per year or would you say you almost never or never attend church? Weekly…………………………………………..166 33.2% Couple times a month………………………..72 14.4% A few times a year……………………………115 23.0% Almost never/never attend…………………123 24.6% Refused…………………………………………..24 4.8%
14 (c) Loras College
Q29. And would you describe your personal status as married or single? Married…………………………………………313 62.6% Single……………………………………………172 34.4% Refused…………………………………………..15 3.0% Q30. Congressional District 1……………………………………………………62 12.4% 2……………………………………………………63 12.6% 3……………………………………………………62 12.4% 4……………………………………………………62 12.4% 5……………………………………………………64 12.8% 6……………………………………………………63 12.6% 7……………………………………………………62 12.4% 8……………………………………………………62 12.4%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 11
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q3. Age
18-29 30-44 45-64 65+
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 105 127 176 78
17736.4%
4038.1%
4031.5%
6637.5%
3139.7%
357.2%
65.7%
129.4%
158.5%
22.6%
71.4%
32.9%
10.8%
31.7%
--
18738.5%
3735.2%
4837.8%
7039.8%
3241.0%
275.6%
54.8%
75.5%
84.5%
79.0%
132.7%
76.7%
21.6%
31.7%
11.3%
51.0%
--
10.8%
31.7%
11.3%
51.0%
11.0%
32.4%
--
11.3%
10.2%
--
10.8%
--
--
285.8%
65.7%
129.4%
74.0%
33.8%
10.2%
--
--
10.6%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 22
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q4. Race
WhiteBlack or Af rican-
AmericanHispanic or
Latino Other
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 449 19 5 13
17736.4%
17037.9%
15.3%
120.0%
538.5%
357.2%
337.3%
15.3%
--
17.7%
71.4%
71.6%
--
--
--
18738.5%
16837.4%
1368.4%
360.0%
323.1%
275.6%
235.1%
210.5%
--
215.4%
132.7%
102.2%
210.5%
--
17.7%
51.0%
51.1%
--
--
--
51.0%
51.1%
--
--
--
10.2%
--
--
--
17.7%
285.8%
276.0%
--
120.0%
--
10.2%
10.2%
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 33
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q5. Gender
Male Female
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 230 256
17736.4%
8637.4%
9135.5%
357.2%
208.7%
155.9%
71.4%
31.3%
41.6%
18738.5%
8537.0%
10239.8%
275.6%
146.1%
135.1%
132.7%
52.2%
83.1%
51.0%
10.4%
41.6%
51.0%
20.9%
31.2%
10.2%
10.4%
--
285.8%
135.7%
155.9%
10.2%
--
10.4%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 44
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q6. Party
Republican Democrat IndependentSomething
else
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 162 173 110 41
17736.4%
11872.8%
137.5%
3935.5%
717.1%
357.2%
159.3%
74.0%
76.4%
614.6%
71.4%
10.6%
--
21.8%
49.8%
18738.5%
1911.7%
12974.6%
3229.1%
717.1%
275.6%
10.6%
137.5%
98.2%
49.8%
132.7%
--
63.5%
32.7%
49.8%
51.0%
--
--
32.7%
24.9%
51.0%
10.6%
10.6%
21.8%
12.4%
10.2%
--
--
--
12.4%
285.8%
74.3%
42.3%
1210.9%
512.2%
10.2%
--
--
10.9%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 55
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q7. Obama job performance
Def initelyapprov e
Somewhatapprov e
Somewhatdisapprov e
Def initelydisprov e Undecided Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 159 88 31 188 18 2
17736.4%
74.4%
1213.6%
1858.1%
13471.3%
527.8%
150.0%
357.2%
31.9%
55.7%
722.6%
189.6%
211.1%
--
71.4%
--
22.3%
26.5%
31.6%
--
--
18738.5%
12880.5%
3944.3%
26.5%
126.4%
527.8%
150.0%
275.6%
106.3%
1213.6%
--
52.7%
--
--
132.7%
74.4%
44.5%
13.2%
--
15.6%
--
51.0%
21.3%
11.1%
--
21.1%
--
--
51.0%
10.6%
33.4%
--
10.5%
--
--
10.2%
--
--
--
--
15.6%
--
285.8%
10.6%
1011.4%
13.2%
126.4%
422.2%
--
10.2%
--
--
--
10.5%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 66
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q8. Direction of the country
Righttrack
Wrongdirection Undecided Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 146 283 52 5
17736.4%
74.8%
15956.2%
917.3%
240.0%
357.2%
74.8%
279.5%
11.9%
--
71.4%
--
51.8%
23.8%
--
18738.5%
11377.4%
4315.2%
2853.8%
360.0%
275.6%
96.2%
134.6%
59.6%
--
132.7%
64.1%
41.4%
35.8%
--
51.0%
10.7%
41.4%
--
--
51.0%
10.7%
41.4%
--
--
10.2%
--
10.4%
--
--
285.8%
21.4%
227.8%
47.7%
--
10.2%
--
10.4%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 77
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q9. Clinton favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 102 92 43 227 20 - 2
17736.4%
22.0%
77.6%
511.6%
15970.0%
315.0%
--
150.0%
357.2%
22.0%
44.3%
716.3%
208.8%
210.0%
--
--
71.4%
--
11.1%
24.7%
31.3%
15.0%
--
--
18738.5%
8886.3%
5660.9%
1739.5%
187.9%
840.0%
--
--
275.6%
32.9%
1314.1%
37.0%
52.2%
315.0%
--
--
132.7%
54.9%
44.3%
24.7%
20.9%
--
--
--
51.0%
22.0%
--
--
20.9%
15.0%
--
--
51.0%
--
11.1%
24.7%
20.9%
--
--
--
10.2%
--
--
--
10.4%
--
--
--
285.8%
--
55.4%
511.6%
156.6%
210.0%
--
150.0%
10.2%
--
11.1%
--
--
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 88
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q10. Trump favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 70 99 57 239 20 - 1
17736.4%
5375.7%
7575.8%
1933.3%
239.6%
735.0%
--
--
357.2%
68.6%
77.1%
1119.3%
72.9%
420.0%
--
--
71.4%
11.4%
--
47.0%
20.8%
--
--
--
18738.5%
45.7%
77.1%
1221.1%
15966.5%
525.0%
--
--
275.6%
11.4%
33.0%
35.3%
187.5%
210.0%
--
--
132.7%
--
--
35.3%
104.2%
--
--
--
51.0%
11.4%
--
--
41.7%
--
--
--
51.0%
--
11.0%
--
41.7%
--
--
--
10.2%
--
--
--
10.4%
--
--
--
285.8%
34.3%
66.1%
58.8%
114.6%
210.0%
--
1100.0%
10.2%
11.4%
--
--
--
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 99
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q17. Johnson favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 137 88 58 120 78 4 1
17736.4%
11785.4%
4753.4%
23.4%
10.8%
1012.8%
--
--
357.2%
85.8%
1213.6%
35.2%
--
1215.4%
--
--
71.4%
--
44.5%
11.7%
10.8%
11.3%
--
--
18738.5%
96.6%
1011.4%
3560.3%
10688.3%
2430.8%
375.0%
--
275.6%
21.5%
55.7%
813.8%
54.2%
79.0%
--
--
132.7%
--
22.3%
46.9%
10.8%
67.7%
--
--
51.0%
--
22.3%
11.7%
21.7%
--
--
--
51.0%
10.7%
11.1%
11.7%
21.7%
--
--
--
10.2%
--
--
--
10.8%
--
--
--
285.8%
--
55.7%
35.2%
10.8%
1721.8%
125.0%
1100.0%
10.2%
--
--
--
--
11.3%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1010
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q18. Feingold favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 122 74 54 161 69 4 2
17736.4%
21.6%
68.1%
2037.0%
13382.6%
1521.7%
125.0%
--
357.2%
10.8%
45.4%
1222.2%
63.7%
1217.4%
--
--
71.4%
10.8%
--
47.4%
10.6%
11.4%
--
--
18738.5%
11493.4%
4459.5%
59.3%
95.6%
1318.8%
250.0%
--
275.6%
32.5%
1013.5%
59.3%
31.9%
68.7%
--
--
132.7%
--
56.8%
--
10.6%
710.1%
--
--
51.0%
10.8%
--
11.9%
31.9%
--
--
--
51.0%
--
11.4%
35.6%
--
--
--
150.0%
10.2%
--
--
--
10.6%
--
--
--
285.8%
--
45.4%
47.4%
31.9%
1521.7%
125.0%
150.0%
10.2%
--
--
--
10.6%
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1111
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q21. Direction of Wisconsin
Righttrack
Wrongdirection Undecided Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 236 181 68 1
17736.4%
12753.8%
2513.8%
2536.8%
--
357.2%
2410.2%
73.9%
45.9%
--
71.4%
31.3%
21.1%
22.9%
--
18738.5%
4820.3%
11563.5%
2435.3%
--
275.6%
104.2%
126.6%
45.9%
1100.0%
132.7%
62.5%
31.7%
45.9%
--
51.0%
20.8%
31.7%
--
--
51.0%
20.8%
21.1%
11.5%
--
10.2%
--
10.6%
--
--
285.8%
145.9%
116.1%
34.4%
--
10.2%
--
--
11.5%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1212
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q22. Politically views
Very conserv ativ e Conserv ativ e Moderate Liberal Very Liberal UnsureNo
Response/Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 52 154 138 57 35 45 5
17736.4%
4280.8%
8957.8%
2921.0%
11.8%
12.9%
1533.3%
--
357.2%
23.8%
149.1%
128.7%
11.8%
12.9%
48.9%
120.0%
71.4%
--
31.9%
32.2%
--
--
12.2%
--
18738.5%
713.5%
2616.9%
7151.4%
4171.9%
2777.1%
1328.9%
240.0%
275.6%
--
85.2%
75.1%
58.8%
38.6%
36.7%
120.0%
132.7%
--
10.6%
53.6%
35.3%
25.7%
24.4%
--
51.0%
--
10.6%
21.4%
11.8%
--
12.2%
--
51.0%
--
31.9%
--
--
--
12.2%
120.0%
10.2%
--
--
--
--
--
12.2%
--
285.8%
11.9%
85.2%
96.5%
58.8%
12.9%
48.9%
--
10.2%
--
10.6%
--
--
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1313
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q25. Income
Under$30,000
$30,000 to$49,999
$50,000 to$99,999
$100,000 to$200,000
Ov er$200,000 Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 84 93 163 74 15 57
17736.4%
2529.8%
3234.4%
5835.6%
2635.1%
640.0%
3052.6%
357.2%
44.8%
88.6%
148.6%
79.5%
--
23.5%
71.4%
22.4%
11.1%
10.6%
22.7%
16.7%
--
18738.5%
3845.2%
3436.6%
6539.9%
2837.8%
533.3%
1729.8%
275.6%
33.6%
77.5%
116.7%
22.7%
213.3%
23.5%
132.7%
44.8%
22.2%
42.5%
22.7%
16.7%
--
51.0%
--
11.1%
21.2%
11.4%
--
11.8%
51.0%
22.4%
22.2%
--
11.4%
--
--
10.2%
--
11.1%
--
--
--
--
285.8%
67.1%
55.4%
74.3%
56.8%
--
58.8%
10.2%
--
--
10.6%
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1414
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q26. Education
Some highschool
High schooldegree
Somecollege
Collegedegree
Graduatedegree Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 12 107 128 129 103 7
17736.4%
541.7%
4239.3%
5139.8%
4031.0%
3635.0%
342.9%
357.2%
--
87.5%
86.3%
1310.1%
65.8%
--
71.4%
18.3%
--
32.3%
21.6%
11.0%
--
18738.5%
433.3%
3633.6%
5039.1%
5139.5%
4442.7%
228.6%
275.6%
18.3%
54.7%
32.3%
97.0%
87.8%
114.3%
132.7%
--
43.7%
32.3%
64.7%
--
--
51.0%
--
21.9%
10.8%
--
21.9%
--
51.0%
--
21.9%
21.6%
--
11.0%
--
10.2%
--
--
--
--
11.0%
--
285.8%
18.3%
76.5%
75.5%
86.2%
43.9%
114.3%
10.2%
--
10.9%
--
--
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1515
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q27. Religious affiliation
Catholic Protestant Ev angelical Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else No Religion Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 152 122 31 2 - 6 - 108 51 14
17736.4%
5838.2%
5545.1%
1858.1%
150.0%
--
--
--
3229.6%
815.7%
535.7%
357.2%
85.3%
129.8%
13.2%
--
--
116.7%
--
109.3%
23.9%
17.1%
71.4%
21.3%
21.6%
13.2%
--
--
--
--
21.9%
--
--
18738.5%
6039.5%
3932.0%
1032.3%
150.0%
--
350.0%
--
4037.0%
2956.9%
535.7%
275.6%
85.3%
64.9%
--
--
--
--
--
54.6%
713.7%
17.1%
132.7%
42.6%
10.8%
--
--
--
--
--
54.6%
35.9%
--
51.0%
21.3%
10.8%
--
--
--
116.7%
--
10.9%
--
--
51.0%
--
10.8%
--
--
--
--
--
21.9%
23.9%
--
10.2%
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
10.9%
--
--
285.8%
106.6%
54.1%
13.2%
--
--
116.7%
--
98.3%
--
214.3%
10.2%
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
10.9%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1616
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q28. Church attendance
WeeklyCouple times a
month A f ew times a y earAlmost
nev er/nev er attend Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 162 69 112 120 23
17736.4%
8250.6%
2739.1%
3531.3%
2117.5%
1252.2%
357.2%
127.4%
811.6%
54.5%
108.3%
--
71.4%
10.6%
--
32.7%
32.5%
--
18738.5%
5232.1%
2130.4%
4641.1%
6050.0%
834.8%
275.6%
31.9%
45.8%
98.0%
97.5%
28.7%
132.7%
42.5%
11.4%
32.7%
54.2%
--
51.0%
--
34.3%
10.9%
10.8%
--
51.0%
10.6%
11.4%
--
32.5%
--
10.2%
--
--
--
10.8%
--
285.8%
74.3%
45.8%
98.0%
75.8%
14.3%
10.2%
--
--
10.9%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1717
Q20. Senate ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q29. Personal status
Married Single Ref used
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initely Johnson
Probably Johnson
Lean Johnson
Def initely Feingold
Probably Feingold
Lean Feingold
Def initely Anderson
Probably Anderson
Lean Anderson
Undecided
Ref used
486 306 167 13
17736.4%
12440.5%
4627.5%
753.8%
357.2%
216.9%
148.4%
--
71.4%
41.3%
31.8%
--
18738.5%
11537.6%
6840.7%
430.8%
275.6%
165.2%
106.0%
17.7%
132.7%
41.3%
95.4%
--
51.0%
51.6%
--
--
51.0%
20.7%
31.8%
--
10.2%
--
10.6%
--
285.8%
144.6%
137.8%
17.7%
10.2%
10.3%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 11
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q3. Age
18-29 30-44 45-64 65+
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 105 127 176 79
19239.4%
3937.1%
4636.2%
7140.3%
3645.6%
204.1%
54.8%
64.7%
63.4%
33.8%
20.4%
11.0%
10.8%
--
--
15431.6%
3331.4%
4031.5%
5833.0%
2329.1%
275.5%
11.0%
53.9%
148.0%
78.9%
40.8%
--
43.1%
--
--
112.3%
21.9%
43.1%
42.3%
11.3%
142.9%
54.8%
64.7%
21.1%
11.3%
81.6%
65.7%
21.6%
--
--
30.6%
11.0%
--
21.1%
--
51.0%
11.0%
32.4%
--
11.3%
20.4%
11.0%
--
10.6%
--
459.2%
109.5%
107.9%
1810.2%
78.9%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 22
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q4. Race
WhiteBlack or Af rican-
AmericanHispanic or
Latino Other
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 450 19 5 13
19239.4%
17338.4%
1473.7%
240.0%
323.1%
204.1%
173.8%
210.5%
--
17.7%
20.4%
20.4%
--
--
--
15431.6%
14933.1%
--
120.0%
430.8%
275.5%
265.8%
--
--
17.7%
40.8%
40.9%
--
--
--
112.3%
102.2%
--
--
17.7%
142.9%
112.4%
15.3%
120.0%
17.7%
81.6%
71.6%
--
--
17.7%
30.6%
30.7%
--
--
--
51.0%
40.9%
--
120.0%
--
20.4%
10.2%
--
--
17.7%
459.2%
439.6%
210.5%
--
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 33
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q5. Gender
Male Female
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 231 256
19239.4%
8838.1%
10440.6%
204.1%
114.8%
93.5%
20.4%
--
20.8%
15431.6%
7833.8%
7629.7%
275.5%
135.6%
145.5%
40.8%
41.7%
--
112.3%
20.9%
93.5%
142.9%
73.0%
72.7%
81.6%
52.2%
31.2%
30.6%
20.9%
10.4%
51.0%
20.9%
31.2%
20.4%
--
20.8%
459.2%
198.2%
2610.2%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 44
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q6. Party
Republican Democrat IndependentSomething
else
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 163 174 109 41
19239.4%
2012.3%
13678.2%
3128.4%
512.2%
204.1%
--
148.0%
32.8%
37.3%
20.4%
--
10.6%
--
12.4%
15431.6%
10262.6%
126.9%
3330.3%
717.1%
275.5%
1710.4%
--
43.7%
614.6%
40.8%
--
10.6%
21.8%
12.4%
112.3%
31.8%
10.6%
54.6%
24.9%
142.9%
63.7%
21.1%
43.7%
24.9%
81.6%
31.8%
--
43.7%
12.4%
30.6%
10.6%
--
10.9%
12.4%
51.0%
--
10.6%
32.8%
12.4%
20.4%
--
--
21.8%
--
459.2%
116.7%
63.4%
1715.6%
1126.8%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 55
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q7. Obama job performance
Def initelyapprov e
Somewhatapprov e
Somewhatdisapprov e
Def initelydisprov e Undecided Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 160 88 31 188 18 2
19239.4%
13685.0%
4652.3%
13.2%
63.2%
211.1%
150.0%
204.1%
42.5%
1011.4%
--
52.7%
15.6%
--
20.4%
10.6%
--
--
--
15.6%
--
15431.6%
31.9%
55.7%
929.0%
13370.7%
316.7%
150.0%
275.5%
10.6%
33.4%
722.6%
168.5%
--
--
40.8%
--
11.1%
13.2%
21.1%
--
--
112.3%
10.6%
44.5%
13.2%
52.7%
--
--
142.9%
10.6%
55.7%
13.2%
52.7%
211.1%
--
81.6%
10.6%
11.1%
26.5%
31.6%
15.6%
--
30.6%
--
11.1%
--
21.1%
--
--
51.0%
31.9%
22.3%
--
--
--
--
20.4%
21.3%
--
--
--
--
--
459.2%
74.4%
1011.4%
929.0%
115.9%
844.4%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 66
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q8. Direction of the country
Righttrack
Wrongdirection Undecided Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 146 284 52 5
19239.4%
11981.5%
4315.1%
2751.9%
360.0%
204.1%
42.7%
134.6%
35.8%
--
20.4%
21.4%
--
--
--
15431.6%
42.7%
14651.4%
47.7%
--
275.5%
32.1%
217.4%
23.8%
120.0%
40.8%
--
31.1%
--
120.0%
112.3%
21.4%
93.2%
--
--
142.9%
32.1%
93.2%
23.8%
--
81.6%
--
72.5%
11.9%
--
30.6%
10.7%
10.4%
11.9%
--
51.0%
10.7%
20.7%
23.8%
--
20.4%
10.7%
10.4%
--
--
459.2%
64.1%
2910.2%
1019.2%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 77
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q9. Clinton favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 103 92 43 227 20 - 2
19239.4%
9794.2%
6772.8%
1432.6%
94.0%
525.0%
--
--
204.1%
32.9%
88.7%
37.0%
52.2%
15.0%
--
--
20.4%
--
22.2%
--
--
--
--
--
15431.6%
11.0%
11.1%
511.6%
14664.3%
--
--
150.0%
275.5%
--
22.2%
24.7%
229.7%
15.0%
--
--
40.8%
--
11.1%
24.7%
10.4%
--
--
--
112.3%
--
--
24.7%
83.5%
15.0%
--
--
142.9%
11.0%
22.2%
24.7%
83.5%
15.0%
--
--
81.6%
--
--
12.3%
73.1%
--
--
--
30.6%
--
--
--
31.3%
--
--
--
51.0%
--
44.3%
12.3%
--
--
--
--
20.4%
--
--
24.7%
--
--
--
--
459.2%
11.0%
55.4%
920.9%
187.9%
1155.0%
--
150.0%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 88
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q10. Trump favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 71 100 56 239 20 - 1
19239.4%
11.4%
33.0%
916.1%
17573.2%
420.0%
--
--
204.1%
11.4%
33.0%
35.4%
125.0%
15.0%
--
--
20.4%
--
--
11.8%
10.4%
--
--
--
15431.6%
6287.3%
6969.0%
1526.8%
52.1%
315.0%
--
--
275.5%
22.8%
1414.0%
916.1%
--
210.0%
--
--
40.8%
--
22.0%
23.6%
--
--
--
--
112.3%
11.4%
22.0%
35.4%
52.1%
--
--
--
142.9%
11.4%
11.0%
47.1%
83.3%
--
--
--
81.6%
--
22.0%
35.4%
31.3%
--
--
--
30.6%
--
11.0%
--
20.8%
--
--
--
51.0%
--
--
--
41.7%
15.0%
--
--
20.4%
--
--
--
20.8%
--
--
--
459.2%
34.2%
33.0%
712.5%
229.2%
945.0%
--
1100.0%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 99
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q17. Johnson favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 136 88 59 121 78 4 1
19239.4%
107.4%
1517.0%
3864.4%
9881.0%
2937.2%
250.0%
--
204.1%
32.2%
44.5%
610.2%
21.7%
45.1%
125.0%
--
20.4%
--
11.1%
--
10.8%
--
--
--
15431.6%
9267.6%
3843.2%
23.4%
21.7%
1924.4%
125.0%
--
275.5%
128.8%
1112.5%
11.7%
--
33.8%
--
--
40.8%
21.5%
--
--
10.8%
11.3%
--
--
112.3%
42.9%
33.4%
23.4%
--
22.6%
--
--
142.9%
32.2%
44.5%
11.7%
43.3%
22.6%
--
--
81.6%
10.7%
22.3%
23.4%
--
33.8%
--
--
30.6%
--
--
11.7%
21.7%
--
--
--
51.0%
--
11.1%
--
21.7%
22.6%
--
--
20.4%
--
--
--
10.8%
11.3%
--
--
459.2%
96.6%
910.2%
610.2%
86.6%
1215.4%
--
1100.0%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1010
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q18. Feingold favorability
VeryFav orable
SomewhatFav orable
SomewhatUnf av orable
VeryUnf av orable No Opinion
Nev erHeard of Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 122 74 54 162 69 4 2
19239.4%
10787.7%
4358.1%
1222.2%
74.3%
2130.4%
250.0%
--
204.1%
21.6%
68.1%
23.7%
74.3%
34.3%
--
--
20.4%
10.8%
11.4%
--
--
--
--
--
15431.6%
10.8%
22.7%
1731.5%
10866.7%
2434.8%
250.0%
--
275.5%
10.8%
34.1%
59.3%
169.9%
22.9%
--
--
40.8%
--
11.4%
11.9%
10.6%
11.4%
--
--
112.3%
10.8%
--
35.6%
42.5%
34.3%
--
--
142.9%
21.6%
34.1%
35.6%
42.5%
11.4%
--
150.0%
81.6%
--
22.7%
23.7%
10.6%
34.3%
--
--
30.6%
10.8%
22.7%
--
--
--
--
--
51.0%
--
34.1%
--
10.6%
11.4%
--
--
20.4%
10.8%
--
--
--
11.4%
--
--
459.2%
54.1%
810.8%
916.7%
138.0%
913.0%
--
150.0%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1111
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q20. Senate ballot test
Def initelyJohnson
ProbablyJohnson
LeanJohnson
Def initelyFeingold
ProbablyFeingold
LeanFeingold
Def initelyAnderson
ProbablyAnderson
LeanAnderson Undecided Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
484 175 35 7 187 27 13 5 5 1 28 1
19139.5%
74.0%
411.4%
114.3%
15784.0%
1348.1%
538.5%
120.0%
120.0%
--
27.1%
--
204.1%
--
12.9%
--
94.8%
414.8%
323.1%
120.0%
120.0%
--
13.6%
--
20.4%
--
--
--
10.5%
--
17.7%
--
--
--
--
--
15231.4%
12772.6%
925.7%
228.6%
31.6%
13.7%
--
120.0%
--
--
828.6%
1100.0%
275.6%
179.7%
720.0%
--
10.5%
--
--
--
120.0%
--
13.6%
--
40.8%
--
38.6%
--
10.5%
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
112.3%
31.7%
25.7%
114.3%
10.5%
13.7%
--
120.0%
120.0%
--
13.6%
--
142.9%
52.9%
25.7%
--
31.6%
27.4%
--
--
120.0%
1100.0%
--
--
81.7%
10.6%
12.9%
228.6%
--
--
215.4%
--
--
--
27.1%
--
30.6%
--
--
--
21.1%
--
--
120.0%
--
--
--
--
51.0%
--
--
--
21.1%
27.4%
--
--
--
--
13.6%
--
20.4%
--
--
--
10.5%
13.7%
--
--
--
--
--
--
459.3%
158.6%
617.1%
114.3%
63.2%
311.1%
215.4%
--
--
--
1242.9%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1212
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q21. Direction of Wisconsin
Righttrack
Wrongdirection Undecided Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 235 182 69 1
19239.4%
4920.9%
11965.4%
2434.8%
--
204.1%
73.0%
63.3%
710.1%
--
20.4%
20.9%
--
--
--
15431.6%
10846.0%
2513.7%
2130.4%
--
275.5%
218.9%
10.5%
57.2%
--
40.8%
31.3%
10.5%
--
--
112.3%
73.0%
31.6%
11.4%
--
142.9%
83.4%
42.2%
11.4%
1100.0%
81.6%
73.0%
--
11.4%
--
30.6%
20.9%
10.5%
--
--
51.0%
10.4%
42.2%
--
--
20.4%
10.4%
10.5%
--
--
459.2%
198.1%
179.3%
913.0%
--
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1313
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q22. Politically views
Very conserv ativ e Conserv ativ e Moderate Liberal Very Liberal UnsureNo
Response/Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 52 154 139 57 35 45 5
19239.4%
611.5%
2516.2%
7654.7%
4070.2%
2880.0%
1533.3%
240.0%
204.1%
--
74.5%
64.3%
23.5%
25.7%
36.7%
--
20.4%
--
--
10.7%
11.8%
--
--
--
15431.6%
3567.3%
8152.6%
1913.7%
11.8%
12.9%
1533.3%
240.0%
275.5%
47.7%
1610.4%
53.6%
--
--
24.4%
--
40.8%
11.9%
--
21.4%
--
--
12.2%
--
112.3%
11.9%
53.2%
21.4%
35.3%
--
--
--
142.9%
23.8%
42.6%
42.9%
35.3%
--
12.2%
--
81.6%
11.9%
21.3%
42.9%
--
12.9%
--
--
30.6%
--
21.3%
--
--
--
12.2%
--
51.0%
--
10.6%
32.2%
--
12.9%
--
--
20.4%
--
--
--
11.8%
12.9%
--
--
459.2%
23.8%
117.1%
1712.2%
610.5%
12.9%
715.6%
120.0%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1414
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q25. Income
Under$30,000
$30,000 to$49,999
$50,000 to$99,999
$100,000 to$200,000
Ov er$200,000 Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 85 93 164 73 15 57
19239.4%
4350.6%
3234.4%
6841.5%
2939.7%
640.0%
1424.6%
204.1%
44.7%
44.3%
53.0%
22.7%
16.7%
47.0%
20.4%
--
--
10.6%
--
16.7%
--
15431.6%
2327.1%
3032.3%
5432.9%
2027.4%
533.3%
2238.6%
275.5%
22.4%
66.5%
95.5%
45.5%
--
610.5%
40.8%
--
--
21.2%
22.7%
--
--
112.3%
22.4%
33.2%
42.4%
22.7%
--
--
142.9%
11.2%
22.2%
31.8%
56.8%
213.3%
11.8%
81.6%
11.2%
22.2%
31.8%
22.7%
--
--
30.6%
--
11.1%
10.6%
11.4%
--
--
51.0%
11.2%
22.2%
21.2%
--
--
--
20.4%
--
22.2%
--
--
--
--
459.2%
89.4%
99.7%
127.3%
68.2%
--
1017.5%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1515
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q26. Education
Some highschool
High schooldegree
Somecollege
Collegedegree
Graduatedegree Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 12 110 128 128 102 7
19239.4%
433.3%
4540.9%
4232.8%
5442.2%
4544.1%
228.6%
204.1%
--
43.6%
64.7%
43.1%
65.9%
--
20.4%
--
--
--
21.6%
--
--
15431.6%
541.7%
4137.3%
4837.5%
3426.6%
2423.5%
228.6%
275.5%
--
43.6%
107.8%
53.9%
87.8%
--
40.8%
--
10.9%
--
32.3%
--
--
112.3%
18.3%
21.8%
21.6%
43.1%
22.0%
--
142.9%
--
--
75.5%
43.1%
32.9%
--
81.6%
18.3%
10.9%
21.6%
32.3%
11.0%
--
30.6%
--
--
10.8%
10.8%
11.0%
--
51.0%
--
10.9%
--
10.8%
32.9%
--
20.4%
--
10.9%
10.8%
--
--
--
459.2%
18.3%
109.1%
97.0%
1310.2%
98.8%
342.9%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1616
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q27. Religious affiliation
Catholic Protestant Ev angelical Fundamentalist Mormon Jewish Muslim Something else No Religion Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 151 123 31 2 - 6 - 109 51 14
19239.4%
6643.7%
4234.1%
619.4%
150.0%
--
350.0%
--
3834.9%
3262.7%
428.6%
204.1%
64.0%
54.1%
26.5%
--
--
--
--
43.7%
23.9%
17.1%
20.4%
10.7%
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
12.0%
--
15431.6%
4932.5%
4335.0%
1445.2%
150.0%
--
--
--
3733.9%
713.7%
321.4%
275.5%
106.6%
118.9%
13.2%
--
--
116.7%
--
43.7%
--
--
40.8%
--
10.8%
--
--
--
116.7%
--
10.9%
12.0%
--
112.3%
--
32.4%
13.2%
--
--
--
--
43.7%
23.9%
17.1%
142.9%
42.6%
10.8%
39.7%
--
--
--
--
43.7%
23.9%
--
81.6%
32.0%
--
13.2%
--
--
--
--
43.7%
--
--
30.6%
10.7%
--
--
--
--
116.7%
--
10.9%
--
--
51.0%
--
--
26.5%
--
--
--
--
10.9%
23.9%
--
20.4%
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
10.9%
12.0%
--
459.2%
117.3%
1713.8%
13.2%
--
--
--
--
109.2%
12.0%
535.7%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1717
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents
TotalBase
Q28. Church attendance
WeeklyCouple times a
month A f ew times a y earAlmost
nev er/nev er attend Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 162 70 113 119 23
19239.4%
5735.2%
2028.6%
4640.7%
6252.1%
730.4%
204.1%
42.5%
57.1%
54.4%
54.2%
14.3%
20.4%
--
--
10.9%
10.8%
--
15431.6%
6037.0%
2941.4%
3631.9%
2319.3%
626.1%
275.5%
148.6%
68.6%
54.4%
10.8%
14.3%
40.8%
21.2%
--
--
21.7%
--
112.3%
42.5%
--
21.8%
43.4%
14.3%
142.9%
42.5%
34.3%
43.5%
32.5%
--
81.6%
31.9%
--
21.8%
32.5%
--
30.6%
--
22.9%
--
10.8%
--
51.0%
21.2%
11.4%
--
21.7%
--
20.4%
--
--
--
21.7%
--
459.2%
127.4%
45.7%
1210.6%
108.4%
730.4%
(c)LorasCollege(c)LorasCollege 1818
Q13. Presidential ballot test
CountsBreak %Respondents TotalBase
Q29. Personal status
Married Single Ref used
Q13. Presidential ballottest
Def initely Hillary Clinton
Probably Hillary Clinton
Lean Hillary Clinton
Def initely Donald Trump
Probably Donald Trump
Lean Donald Trump
Def initely Gary Johnson
Probably Gary Johnson
Lean Gary Johnson
Def initely Jill Stein
Probably Jill Stein
Lean Jill Stein
Unsure
487 306 168 13
19239.4%
11537.6%
7343.5%
430.8%
204.1%
92.9%
116.5%
--
20.4%
10.3%
10.6%
--
15431.6%
11035.9%
4225.0%
215.4%
275.5%
185.9%
84.8%
17.7%
40.8%
20.7%
21.2%
--
112.3%
103.3%
--
17.7%
142.9%
72.3%
74.2%
--
81.6%
31.0%
53.0%
--
30.6%
20.7%
10.6%
--
51.0%
20.7%
31.8%
--
20.4%
--
21.2%
--
459.2%
278.8%
137.7%
538.5%