Living with Risk Preliminary version Geneva, July 2002 A major achievement of the ISDR Secretariat...
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Transcript of Living with Risk Preliminary version Geneva, July 2002 A major achievement of the ISDR Secretariat...
Living with Risk
Preliminary version
Geneva, July 2002
A major achievement of the ISDR Secretariat
in the last sixmonths
24 October 2002IATF-6
Living with Risk
Launch and outreach- preliminary version
-5 August: Press conference in Geneva
-9 August: Launch ceremony and press conference in Tokyo
2000 printed books, 1000 CD roms, Web-site Sent to: UN country offices and agencies, all missions, national platforms, contributors, and experts
Dissemination at meetings and conferences such as WSSD; Wilton Park; AUDMP in Bali; COP8
Living with Risk
Disaster impacts
0
1
2
3
1970-79 1980-89 1990-99
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Dead Affected population
in million in million
Dea
d
Aff
ecte
d p
op
ula
tio
n0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1970-79 1980-89 1990-99
0100200300400500600700800
Number of disasters Economic losses
in million
Economic losses related to number of disasters
Eco
no
mic
lo
sses
Nu
mb
er o
f d
isas
ters
Less people dead by disasters, but increased number of disasters, economic losses and affected population.
Current trends in impact of disasters
Source: OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database
Living with Risk
CONTEXTSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
• Social-cultural• Political•Economic•Ecosystems
RISK FACTORS- Vulnerability
•Social•Economic•Physical•Environmental
- Hazards•Geological •Hydrometeological•Biological•Environmental•Technological
DISASTERIMPACTS
APPLICATION OFRISK REDUCTION MEASURES•Environmental management •Land use planning•Protection of critical facilities
- Structural Measures•Application science & technology•Financial and economic toolsEARLY WARNINGPREPAREDNESS
Hazard analysis
Vulnerability/capabilities analysis
AWARENESSfor change in behaviour
KNOWLEDGE DEVELOPMENT•Education, training•Research•Information•Networking
PUBLIC COMMITMENTGlobal, regional, national, local•Institutional framework •Policy development•Legislation and codes•Community actionsRISK ASSESSMENT
RESPONSE
RECOVERY
ISDR global review of disaster reduction, 2002
FRAMEWORK FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
Living with Risk
Learning risk reduction from practices in the past – some examples
Terraces built 500 years ago by the Incas, on steep slopes to conserve the scarce soil and water. Similar millennary constructions in the mountain provinces of Indonesia and the Philippines
Protection from floods, like the embankments in Shanghai and Singapore, and sea dykes in the Netherlands
In Viet Nam, strengthen irrigation channels and sea dykes prior to the start of every annual cyclone season
Traditional housing building techniques to withstand floods in coastal areas, in the Pacific and elsewhere
Living with Risk
Chapter 1 Living with risk - focus on disaster risk reduction
1.1 Setting the scene - understanding disaster risk reduction1.2 Contexts and processes linked to disaster risk reduction: sustainable development
Chapter 2 Risk awareness and assessment
2.1 Understanding the nature of risk2.2 Emerging trends in disaster impact, hazards and vulnerability patterns2.3 Risk assessment
Living with Risk
Chapter 3 Policy and public commitment: the foundation of disaster risk reduction
3.1 Institutional frameworks: Policy, legislation and organizational development for national and local decision-making3.2 Regional cooperation, interaction and experience3.3 Community action
Chapter 4 Building understanding: development of knowledge and information sharing
4.1 Information management and communication of experience4.2 Education and training4.3 Public awareness
Living with Risk
Chapter 5 A selection of disaster reduction applications5.1 Environmental management5.2 Land use planning5.3 Protection of critical facilities5.4 Networking and partnerships5.5 Financial and economic tools5.6 Early warning systems
Chapter 6 Related international commitments and the UN role in disaster risk reduction6.1 Selected international development agendas and commitments6.2 UN agencies and scope of activities
Living with Risk
Chapter 7 Challenges for the future
Current development practices do not necessarily reduce communities’ vulnerability to disasters.
• Proposes a monitoring framework to assess progress over time.
• To be further developed into a monitoring, review and assessment tool for all actors.
As conditions change, so can attitudes. New thinking must provide the solution.
Crisis =threat +
opportunity
The Chinese characters:
Living with Risk
Preliminary version
Final version and expert meeting on monitoring methodology
Integrated global review process (support Yokohama ten year review)
Receiving feedback >200 replies. Additional info, and thematic index under development
Early 2003 with UNDP, WB, ProVention, WMO, regional collaborators
With UNDP, and others 2003 and 2004
Next steps
Living with Risk
Snapshots from feedback
Very positive reception and welcomed as unique compilation of overview of the complete disaster reduction sphereMany training institutions and universities asking permission to useAdd section on “how to use”Balance between trend analysis, explanation and examples – could be more clearSuggestion to add dimension of human security, local authorities, enhance climate change part, wider geographical coverage of examples, include section on research.
Living with Risk
NEXT STEPS: Enhance ISDR information clearinghouse and monitoring, review and assessment function
Final version for wide dissemination before mid 2003, plus targeted- thematic booklets
Elaboration of executive summary for decision makers and awareness purpose
Translation in several languages
Backbone for continued and systematic monitoring, review and assessment function – support the Yokohama review process