LCSA: Ebola Community Brief

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    Ebola and Other DiseaseThreats

    A community briefon the progress ofEbola in Africa and

    other potentialdisease threats.What can be done to

    prepare for apandemic?

    MAJ Eric Vought!ommanding"a#rence !ounty$heriff%s Au&iliary

    '( October )(*+

    Distribution, -orestrictions.

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    About the Author

    MAJ Vought #ored in A/$AA01entagon in the 2(%s#ith -uclear 3iological!hemical 4-3!5 #arfaremodels. 6as studied Ebola in connection and after.

    -ot a medical practitioner. !reated county intelligence0threat analysis capability

    under "!$O0"!$A.

    7ecently coordinated study for "!$O0"!$A onME7$8!oV and recommendations for protecting local"E from infectious disease.

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    9ntroduction

    :nderstanding Ebola

    What is the threat?

    What is the response topandemic threats?

    6o# should community

    respond? Applies to other diseases

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    Disclaimer,

    The $heriff%s Au&iliary and the "!$Ois notpro;iding medical ad;ice.

    9nformation is pro;ided in hopes that itmay be useful and is the sameinformation pro;ided to our

    ;olunteers0family.

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    What is Ebola?

    /ilo;irus, Ebola Marburg !ue;a;irus

    /ilaments shepherd%s croo

    Viral 6emorrhagic /e;er disco;ered*2=>

    aire $udan 7eston

    http://microbewiki.kenyon.edu/index.php/Ebola_virus_(EBOV)http://microbewiki.kenyon.edu/index.php/Ebola_virus_(EBOV)
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    Disease 4aire5

    )8)* day incubation 4@8*+ typical5

    (82(B mortality

    1rogression

    /lu8lie 9llness 4/"95

    $uppress immune system destroy T8cells

    1ermeability of blood ;essels lymph nodes 4bleeding petechiae5

    $uppress clotting ;omiting diarrhea Mae lots of ne# ;irus particles

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    Treatment

    /luids and support can ha;e benefit ifstarted early.

    $ome e&perimental treatments4e.g.MA115 but )8> years from production.

    $ome herbal methods C7A$ may pro;ide

    some help in pre;ention or treatment.butmuch misinformation and no solid ans#ers.

    http://www.cnn.com/2014/08/04/health/experimental-ebola-serum/http://insidesurgery.com/2014/08/gingko-turmeric-stop-ebola/http://insidesurgery.com/2014/08/gingko-turmeric-stop-ebola/http://www.cnn.com/2014/08/04/health/experimental-ebola-serum/
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    1rogress of outbrea4s5

    ) current outbreas

    West Africa 4"iberia $ierra "eone

    Cuinea -igeria $enegal Mali + in :$5 !entral Africa 4!ongo5

    W6O, Outbrea out of control butnot an e&pected :$ danger.

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    Daily !ase !ounts

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    West Africa

    Ongoing since December )(*'

    Not normal range.

    *'=(' suspected cases 4=>'= lab confirmed +2)) deaths5

    a0o )= October ;ia !D! $amaritan%s 1urse says under8count4)8).&5

    -igeria 41atric $a#yer5 no cases since $ep.

    $enegal )> August no ne# cases :$ )+ $eptember 4Thomas Duncan5

    http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/guinea/http://q13fox.com/2014/08/07/number-of-people-infected-with-ebola-likely-undercounted-health-expert-says/http://www.foxnews.com/health/2014/09/01/who-says-senegal-ebola-case-top-priority-emergency/http://www.foxnews.com/health/2014/09/01/who-says-senegal-ebola-case-top-priority-emergency/http://q13fox.com/2014/08/07/number-of-people-infected-with-ebola-likely-undercounted-health-expert-says/http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/guinea/
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    West Africa Distribution

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    -igeria0"agos0$a#yer

    )( August 1atric $a#yer tra;eled from$ierre "eone to "agos -igeria en route toMinnesota and collapsed ;omiting in airport.

    )( confirmed cases and @ deaths primarilymedical0*st responderF

    -O 9-/E!T9O-$ from airport0plane.

    -o ne# infections since $eptember.

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    !ongo

    $eparate outbrea separate strain ofEbola aire

    May ha;e been ongoing for some timefirst detected in August

    >= cases as of )* October.

    6a;e had outbreas there before.

    http://abcnews.go.com/Health/ebola-outbreak-emerges-congo-toll-ticks-west-africa/story?id=25148251http://abcnews.go.com/Health/ebola-outbreak-emerges-congo-toll-ticks-west-africa/story?id=25148251
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    Ebola in :$

    On '( $eptember !D! confirmed first:$ case 4Thomas Duncan5 #ho hadtra;eled from "iberia to Dallas TG.

    T#o nurses also infected. -o# H)* days.

    )' October !raig $pencer -< doctor

    returning from Cuinea.

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    E;ery#here else

    There ha;e been -O !O-/97MED!A$E$ outside of these areas so far.

    Many suspected ;ictims ha;e collapsedof malaria.

    Difficult diagnosis time8delay ontesting maes identifying difficult.

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    9s it airborne?

    -O. E;en Ebola 7eston may not actually beairborne.

    *22) :$AM799D study consideredinconclusi;e.

    WeaponiIed Ebola can be deli;ered airborne

    initially but not human8to8human. 7eally airborne is #rong uestion.

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    9s it dangerous?

    Absolutely.

    May infect (((( by end of January.

    9s it dangerous 6E7E?

    Maybe but not the same as in Africa.

    3etter system here but our responseneeds #or 4Dallas5.

    http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6303a1.htm?s_cid=su6303a1_whttp://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6303a1.htm?s_cid=su6303a1_w
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    Will it come here?

    !learly yes..

    9nfectees from other countries through transport.

    3ut #ill it escape containment here? -ot liely but may cause problems esp.

    economic.

    "oo at cost of one "agos0Dallas8type incident.

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    What #ill it loo lie in :$?

    3etter medical response isolated pocetsFconcentrate response.

    "imits to facilities supplies training inresponse to dispersed threat.

    Multiple threats, may need to limit

    transportation to slo# it do#n. Domestic animals may be a problem.

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    7esponse to pandemic

    /irst try to isolate and contain indi;idualincidents. Mo;e e&perts and euipment.

    *( 1rinciples of Modern Kuarantine 8 !D!

    $lo# do#n spread by international andinterstate transportation.

    -othing goes in0nothing comes out notnecessaryand not effecti;e.

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    !ommunity preparation

    Disruption of suppliesF disinfect #hatcomes inF

    Telecommute reduce commerce0contact !an emergency ser;ices be maintained?

    Disruption of ser;ices

    DON'T PANIC!

    P l P t ti

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    Personal ProtectiveEqipment "ad E#ample

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2710620/It-scares-Jesus-outta-Outrage-Nigerian-Nollywood-star-posts-image-wearing-ebola-mask-class-airport-lounge-flees-Liberia.html
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    3etter 1rotection

    1rotect sin0eyes first.

    Cood shield ;s. cheap mas.

    Cood sanitation. 7educe contact #ith public fi&tures.

    Disinfect surfaces 4any hospital8grade

    disinfectant light and O)5 7adio cell te&t email doesn%t infectL

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    Transportation $hutdo#n

    Who do you #ant enforcing?

    Do you ha;e enough nurses? /irst aid?

    1OD8trained? 7adio operators? "ocal community0local corecapability

    7ural areas lo#8priority for help any#ay.

    3ut lo#er8ris more self8reliant.

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    $pecial -eeds !ommunities

    /EMA euphemism socially or physicallyisolated incl. Minority

    6o# respond to epidemic in /erguson? "atino community #on%t trust responders.

    Many #hite Americans #on%t trust go;%t.

    Must address proacti;elyF o#nership0trust

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    6erbalists As 9nsurance

    !ulti;ation0identification0preparation ofmedicinals pro;ide reser;oir if needed.

    C7A$ treatments faster to put into effect inemergency less ethically challenging thanuntested synthetics but may not #or.

    %-atural% not #ithout do#nside but option.

    3e#are fraud and snae oil/DA releaseN.

    http://var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_2/FDA%20warns%20consumers%20about%20fraudulent%20Ebola%20treatment%20productshttp://var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_2/FDA%20warns%20consumers%20about%20fraudulent%20Ebola%20treatment%20products
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    Other Threats

    $A7$ $#ine /lu recently

    ME7$ 4#ill come to MO not Hthreat5

    Other hemorrhagic fe;ers and tropicaldiseases

    9ncreasing mosuito8born illnesses

    O;er long8term bio8terrorism

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    !onclusions

    Cood bad and ugly.

    $ignificant unno#ns.

    9f not Ebola #e $illha;e increasingdisease threats must face response.

    /ocus on changes maing communitybetter0stronger either #ay.

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    Kuestions0!ontact

    6ttp,00lcmoau&iliary.org

    e;oughtlcmoau&iliary.org

    /aceboo,https,00###.faceboo.com0"!$AMO

    http://lcmoauxiliary.org/mailto:[email protected]://www.facebook.com/LCSAMOhttps://www.facebook.com/LCSAMOmailto:[email protected]://lcmoauxiliary.org/