June 6, 2017 Meeting

“The mission of the Boston Green Ribbon Commission is to convene

leaders from Boston’s key sectors to support the outcomes of the City’s

Climate Action Plan.”

GRC CORE STRATEGIES

City of Boston Climate Action Plan

Climate Ready Boston Carbon Free Boston

Develop strategies for Boston and its metro region to prosper in the face of long-term climate change

impacts.

Develop strategies for Boston to reach its goal of a carbon neutrality

by 2050.

1. Climate Consensus2. Vulnerability Assessment3. Resilience Initiatives4. Implementation Roadmap

1. Pathways and Policy Analysis2. Stakeholder Input3. Strategy Selection4. Implementation Plan

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MEETING AGENDA

8:00 Welcome

8:o5 Dialogue with Gina McCarthy, former EPA Administrator

8:35 Dialogue with Senator Michael Barrett, Chair, Joint Committee on Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy

8:55 Climate Ready Boston

9:10 Health Care Case Study in Successful Sector Emissions Reductions

9:25 Carbon Free Boston

9:50 Mayor’s Carbon Cup Presentation

10:00 Adjourn

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4

THANKYOU, CHANCELLOR MOTLEY!

J. Keith MotleyChancellor, U Mass BostonGRC Member, 2010 - 2017

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WELCOME TO OUR NEW GRC MEMBER

Carole Wedge, President Shepley Bulfinch

Gina McCarthy, former EPA Administrator

GUEST SPEAKER

“How Cities and States Can Lead on Climate Action in the Current Political

Context”

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Senator Michael BarrettChair, Joint Committee on Telecommunications,

Utilities and Energy

GUEST SPEAKER

“Opportunities for Commonwealth Leadership”

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CLIMATE READY BOSTON:MOVING AHEAD ON IMPLEMENTATION

Bud Ris, Co-ChairGRC Climate Preparedness Working Group

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CLIMATE READY BOSTON PHASE II

Implementation is Ramping Up:

• CRB Phase I: approximately $1 million

• CRB Phase II: approximately $2.3 million

Key Initiatives:

• District Scale Resilience Planning

• Feasibility of Outer Harbor Coast Protection

• Governance/Finance

• Outreach re CRB Findings/Recommendations

• Implementation Scoreboard to Monitor Progress

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CLIMATE READY BOSTON PHASE II

City of Boston: District Scale Resilience Planning• East Boston• Charlestown• Seaport• Dorchester

U Mass Boston: Outer Harbor Coastal Protection Feasibility

SECTOR CLIMATE PROGRESS

Health Care Working Group

June 6, 2017

Coordinated by

• Illness, injury, mortality• Aggravates preexisting conditions• Infectious, water & food-borne disease• Mental health and conflict• Population displacement• Food insecurity & instability• All worse for vulnerable populations• Facility and community vulnerability

12Sources: Sabbir, Wikimedia Commons, USDA, NOAA, PSR

HEALTH CARE IS ON THE FRONT LINES OF CLIMATE CHANGE

Our response:

The Threat:

• Prepare clinically• Reduce our greenhouse gas emissions• Increase facility and community resilience

RECENT PROGRESS AND FUTURE GOALS

• Our recent renewable energy purchases are delivering a 33% GHG reduction for the entire metro Boston health care sector, and we’re moving forward…

• Boston Medical Center: 92-100% carbon neutral for all energy by 2018.

• Partners HealthCare: “net carbon positive” by 2025, including supporting additional renewable energy so the surplus is available to the communities in which we operate.

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Making Progress: Energy Conservation, Renewables & Zero

Emission SourcingReaching for a 25% Energy Reduction

Beginning 2016:• 77% low impact hydro• 11% wind & solar• 8% large hydro• 4% nuclear

100% Clean Electricity

Renewable & Zero Emission Electricity

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75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

25% Reduction Target

79%

INVESTMENTS GENERATE $130M SAVINGS OVER 20 YEARS

Equivalent to New Patient Revenue @ $20 per Dollar Saved = $2.6 billion

$-

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Energy Costs

Current Projection 3% Business as Usual Projection

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NET-ZERO MADE POSSIBLE BY OFFSITE PPA FOR SOLAR

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BY 2020 FOLLOWING 2011-2015 TRENDS, SECTOR GHG REDUCED 13% ABSOLUTE, 27% COMPARED TO BUSINESS AS

USUAL

Absolute -6.3

Compared to 1.5%

BAU -12.4

27% by 2020

13% by 2020

-2.1-4.6 -9.3 -12.4

0.94-3.1 -4.7 -6.3

0

0

City of Boston 2020

GHG Emission

Reduction Goal = 25%

22M sq. ft of Boston health care buildings

Sector energy savings equivalent to >$300M in new patient revenue

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Without BAU -5.7 -7.1 -8.5 -9.9 -11.3 -12.8

With 1.5% BAU -11.8 -14.8 -17.7 -20.7 -23.6 -26.6

Actual wo BAU 0 -3.07 0.94 -4.70 -6.27

Actual w BAU 0 -4.46 -2 -9 -12.41

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

% R

eduction o

f G

HG

fom

2011

17

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

% R

eduction o

f G

HG

fom

2011

33% Absolute reduction is equivalent to 47% compared to business as usual

BY 2020: SECTOR GHG ABSOLUTE REDUCTION W/ BMC & PARTNERS RENEWABLE ENERGY BUYS=33%. MEETS CITY

AND STATE 25% GHG REDUCTION GOAL 3+ YEARS EARLY.

North Carolina Solar Electric: reduces sector GHG 6%

Absolute

33%

27%

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TAKEAWAYS

• Ambitious goals are needed and not hard to achieve at cost savings or at least cost neutral, but require leadership’s support and staff persistence.

• Energy markets and our options are almost entirely determined by public policy, so policy leaders need to hear about our goals and needs .

• A Better City and the GRC Commercial Real Estate Group are leading another renewable energy purchasing aggregation effort. We urge you to set your own ambitious goals, and participate in such efforts.

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SETTING THE COURSE TO CARBON NEUTRALITY BY 2050

Mindy Lubber, ChairGRC Carbon Free Boston Working Group

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GRC CARBON FREE BOSTON WORKING GROUP

Members

• Mindy Lubber (Chair)• Amos Hostetter• Alex Liftman• Joe Grimaldi• Robert Brown• Israel Ruiz• Katie Lapp• Tim Healy• Penni Mclean-Conner• Bill Fahey

Working Group Roles

• Strategic and technical guidance on carbon neutrality strategies

• Outreach to stakeholders• Plan input• Communicating the

strategy

• Lead by example

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CARBON FREE BOSTON

MODELING OF POLICIES TO MITIGATE GHG EMISSIONS

Cutler J. Cleveland, PhDProfessor of Earth and Environment, College of Arts and Sciences

Presentation to the Boston Green Ribbon Commission

Climate Ready Boston: Adaptation

– Report released in December 2016– Implementation planning underway

Carbon Free Boston: Mitigation

– Report completion target Q1 2018

Next Climate Action Plan update

– Mid-late 2018

GRC-supported Climate Planning in the City of Boston

Deeper, systemic, and integrated analysis is needed for City to reach 2050 target

Carbon Free Boston

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• De-carbonization of the grid

• De-carbonization of heating and cooling

• Sweeping improvements in building energy

efficiency

• Deep fuel substitution and mode shifts in

transportation

• (Near) zero waste

• Changes in land use patterns

Carbon Neutrality Requires Daunting Change

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• Reliance on technology models with no explicit representation of policies or costs

• Cross-scale, cross-sector policy dynamics are not represented

• Reliance on one-off studies

• Lack of in-house technical support

• Data acquisition is notoriously difficult

The Analytical Challenges

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Example: Technology “Wedges” in U.S. Transportation

Source: Williams, J.H., B. Haley, R. Jones (2015). Policy implications of deep decarbonization in the United States. A report of the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project of the Sustainable Development Solutions Network and the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations. Nov 17, 2015.

But what must a city actually do to get

EVs on the road - model doesn’t help

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• Quantification of different technology “wedges” that make target feasible

• Quantification of relative effectiveness and cost of policies that are economically viable and politically acceptable

• Evaluation of interim progress

• Impartiality and transparency

Attributes of Ideal GHG Mitigation Policy Model

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Buildings Model

Demand for fuels

Emissions

Demand for electricity

TransportModel

WasteModel

Power SectorModel

Demand for fuels

Electricitysupply

Changes to electric load levels & shape over time

GHG Calculator(Integrating Module)

Demand for electricity

Demand for electricity

Demand for fuels

Demand for fuels Energy use

CodesAudits

Retrofits

Congestion pricingParking fees

Feebates for EVs

Zero waste

Incentives for distributed generationStrengthen RPS

Install PV on municipal buildings

Model Structure

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Phase I: Summer 2016– Scoping study recommendations for sector-specific, policy-driven GHG

mitigation modeling

Phase II: Fall 2016 to Summer 2017 – Market research

– Fundraising

– Plan for sustained policy analysis

Phase III: Summer 2017 to Winter 2018 – Sector-specific, policy-driven GHG mitigation modeling

– Report to City and GRC

Phase IV: Expand service to other municipalities, regions, and states

Carbon Free Boston Timeline and Deliverables

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Technical Advisory Group– Sector-specific experts that guide model choice and design

Implementation Advisory Group– Stakeholders from business, industry, government,

education, religious organizations, trade and neighborhood organizations, NGOs, etc.

– Represent key emissions sectors – energy, buildings, transportation, waste

– Input on both recommended policies and implementation strategies

Input From Experts and Stakeholders

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MAYOR’S CARBON CUP PRESENTATION

The Carbon Cup Commitment

• >1 million square feet of space

• 35% reduction in emissions by 2020

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THANKYOU CARBON CUP PARTICIPANTS

-

50,000.00

100,000.00

150,000.00

200,000.00

250,000.00

300,000.00

350,000.00

400,000.00

Base Year 2015/2016

To

ns

of

CO

2e

Emissions Savings of All Participants

166,000 tons Reduction in CO2e Emissions

46% Savings

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THANKYOU CARBON CUP PARTICIPANTS

• AvalonBay Communities

• Boston Medical Center

• Boston Properties

• Boston University

• Brigham and Women's Hospital

• Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

• Harvard University*

• John Hancock*

• Massachusetts General Hospital*

• Sheraton Boston Hotel*

• Vertex Pharmaceuticals

* Have already achieved 35% reduction in emissions from base year

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2017 CARBON CUP AWARD

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THANKYOU TO OUR FUNDERS!

Sherry and Alan LeventhalFamily Foundation

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FALL 2017 GRC MEETING

Wednesday, November 15

8:00 am – 10:00 am

Nutter McClennen and Fish, 155 Seaport

Thank You!

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