JRC needs for a database on historic floods

Ad de Roo, José I. Barredo

Expert meeting on hazard/disaster data: EU flood Information CRED - 19 May 2011, Brussels

For what reasons JRC needs historic data

• JRC is collaborating with EEA and supporting them in providing pan-European overviews and analysis of historic floods, e.g.– EEA report: Mapping the Impact of Recent Natural and

Technological Disasters in Europe; An overview of the last decade (Flood chapter written by JRC, Barredo)

• A good quality database of historic floods is essential for this analysis

• JRC has developed methods for flood risk and damage mapping, including affected population and economic losses, which are also used in the pan-European climate change research– The Climate change / Policy change / Land Use change / Water &

disasters research is the current core of the work of JRC• A good quality database of historic floods is essential for testing

and validation of these methods at pan-European level

Work of JRC on floods / water quantity

• Clients:

– COM: ENV, ECHO, ENTR, REGIO, CLIMA, AGRI, MARKT

– Other: EEA, ICPDR (Danube), IKSE/ICPER (Elbe)

• European Flood Alert System: early warning on river floods

– Incl realtime collection of river flow data

• Scenario studies on flood prevention measures:

– Oder commission (2002), Elbe commission (2008), ENV Blueprint retention measures study (ongoing)

• Historic floods analysis

– Using EM-DAT (CRED)

• Flood hazard and risk mapping

• Land use changes and consequences for hazards

• Climate changes and consequences for water hazards

From flood hazard + exposure => risk

Water depth – damage database

Convert flood hazard into damage based on land use data and flood depth damage functions

Climate change effects on river floods(summary of 8 scenarios)

Mitigation of (Future) Flood Risk- Forecasting and early warning: European Flood Alert System- Land use change scenario analysis- Potential benefits of flood mitigation

Flood Risk

GMES Initial Operation: Emergency Management Services

• Funded by COM-ENTR-GMES (2011-2013)– Coordinated by COM-ECHO-MIC

• Procurement coordinated by COM-JRC• Two components

– Mapping• Rapid mapping during/after disasters, upon request by organisations

that have the mandate to request this (COM-MIC, MS, WFP etc)– As currently done in the SAFER project– Starting 2012: open procurement (framework contract)

» NB: this rapid mapping could be used for direct inclusion in the floods database» However, products might not have been taken at the peaktime of the flood (depends on satellite overpass)

– Early Warning Systems• European Flood Alert System

– Until now done by and at JRC with collaborations from ECMWF, DWD, MS– Starting 2012: to be fully outsourced

» MIC funding phased ‘out’, GMES funding phased ‘in’

Thank you!