Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement...
-
Upload
linda-page -
Category
Documents
-
view
223 -
download
0
Transcript of Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement...
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Carlo Trozzi
Larnaca (Cyprus), 10-11 May 2010
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
TOPICSTentative methodology to evaluate domestic emissions from wood burningOther uncertain PM sources (diffuse PM emissions from storage, handling and transport )
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
emissions from wood burningMethodology goals
Evaluation of fuel consumption on a more detailed geographical scale for example NUT3 (provinces or equivalent units) or LAU 2 (municipalities or equivalent units) of Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics as established by Eurostat to: Obtain more accurate estimates Use of data to allocate emissions on the
EMEP 50 km X 50 km grid (or finest ones, 10 km x 10 km)
Allocation of fuel consumption to different technologies
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning proposed methodology
1 Elaborate fuel sold from statistical sources
2 Evaluate temperature on very detailed space grid by meteorological model
3 Compute energy requirements on climatic areas by energy models based on temperature and census data about fuel use
4 Compare energy requirements with fuel sold
5 Use census data and/or specific survey for fuel/technologies allocation
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot studyA pilot study
was conduced in Italy inside
Genova province (NUTS 3
territory) to evaluate natural
gas and other fuel
consumption on LAU 2
(municipalities)
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot study Temperature trend assessed on an hourly
basis, throughout the province on a grid of 1km x 1km by meteorological models for the reference year
Evaluation of the heat demand of the houses for typology by energy model
Evaluation of total requirements in all the municipalities using data on the stock of houses
Validation of total computed value for gas with quantity distributed by the gas network
Comparison of data for wood and liquid fuels with available statistics
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot studyTemperature model
Evaluation of the hourly values of temperatures at 1 km x 1 km grid with two meteorological models (MM5 mesoscale model of PSU/NCAR and Calmet model)
Assignment to each municipality the temperature of the mesh of City Hall
(on national scale can be used 5 km x 5 km, 10 km x 10 km or larger grids depends on orography and climate)
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Pilot study – Temperature validation
Conparison beween daily average temperature computed and measured at Genova Airport
Measured Computed
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot study – Degree day
Evaluation of degree day (is the sum, extended to all days of a conventional one-year period, of the positive differences between the conventional daily temperature, set in Italy at 20 ° C, and the daily outside average temperature)
Use of degree day as input to energy model
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot study
Municipality degree day
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot study – Energy model
The heating and hot water requirements of an “average” house was computed with DOCET model (made by Italy CNR / ENEA) in a series of simulations: in each municipality (using degree day
specific to municipalities) for different types of housing (specific to
municipalities) about: period of construction (old / new
house) location (city center or isolated) type of structure
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot study – Energy model
For a number of other parameters (external finish, top height, number of floors, wall thickness, window type, window area, etc.) were assigned default values (evaluated with a sensitivity study)
Total consumption in all the municipalities was obtained by multiplying the heating requirements of an “average” house for the number of houses powered by natural gas, liquid fuels or firewood (source: ISTAT national population census)
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Wood burning pilot study – Results For natural gas the following result was
obtained as total provincial figure: Model results 444.232.000 m3
Total natural gas distributed by area network 472.313.000 m3
The comparison shows that the total calculated is 94% of the distributed quantity
Given that the data of the gas distribution includes the consumption of small industrial plants, connected to city networks, the correspondence is very satisfactory
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Pilot study – Results For wood the following result was obtained
as total provincial figure: Model results 204.451 t Allowed to cut firewood 15.350 t
The comparison shows that the total calculated is 1332% of the data reported in official statistics
In this case the calculated total is far higher than official figures as expected, but less than, data obtained by a survey conducted on the final consumer in other works: Survey data 353.308 t
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Other uncertain PM sourcesModels of transport of pollutants do not
explain the measured concentrations of PM in Europe
A possible cause of error is the existence of ghost emissions not evaluated in the inventories
A source of PM rarely assessed, and difficult to assess, is the storage and transportation of solid fuels, raw materials and waste
The next slides give an overview of the activities involved and assess the presence of emission factors and methodologies in the Guidebook, in order to close the gap
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
NFR for storage, handling and transport
1.B.1.a Fugitive emissions from solid fuels: Coal mining and handling
1.B.1.b Fugitive emissions from solid fuels: Solid fuel transformation
2.A.7.a Quarrying and mining of minerals other than coal
2.A.7.b Construction and demolition 2.A.7.c Storage, handling and transport of
mineral products 2.C.5.f Storage, handling and transport of
metal products 6.A Solid waste disposal on land
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Storage, handling and transport
Methodology available in the GuidebookTier 1 generic EF, high uncertaintyTier 2 no EF or EF as for Tier 1Tier 3 no methodology only some generic
reference to US EPA methodology
Activity not defined in NFRTransport of solid fuels (coal, wood and wood
waste) Transport of agriculture products to food industryTransport of solid waste
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Final consideration on methodologiesWood burning
The pilot study will be used to define a generalized methodology for compute fuel consumptions on large scale in the frame of TFEIP activities
More census detailed data on number of installed facilities by type are useful (promote more detailed census data sheets)
Joint Task Force on Emission Inventory & Projection / Task Force on Modeling and Measurement Workshop
Wood Burning and other uncertain PM sources:activity uncertainty and reporting in inventory
Larnaca (Cyprus), 12 May 2010Carlo Trozzi
Final consideration on methodologiesStorage, handling and transport
A Tier 3 methodology needs to be developed and Tier 2 and Tier 1 Efs have to be derived from Tier 3
US EPA AP 42 methods will be used as base for Tiers development (2008) 13.2.3 Heavy Construction Operations 13.2.4 Aggregate Handling And
Storage Piles (2006)