Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy...

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Meeting Climate, Energy, and Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency Energy Efficiency California’s Policies for Reducing GHG California’s Policies for Reducing GHG Emissions in the Electric Sector Emissions in the Electric Sector Alliance to Save Energy Alliance to Save Energy International Policy Leaders Dialogue International Policy Leaders Dialogue September 25, 2008 Jackalyne Pfannenstiel Chairman California Energy Commission

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Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, Chair of the California Energy Commission

Transcript of Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy...

Page 1: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Meeting Climate, Energy, and Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Economic Imperatives with

Energy EfficiencyEnergy Efficiency

California’s Policies for Reducing GHG California’s Policies for Reducing GHG Emissions in the Electric SectorEmissions in the Electric Sector

Alliance to Save EnergyAlliance to Save EnergyInternational Policy Leaders DialogueInternational Policy Leaders Dialogue

September 25, 2008

Jackalyne Pfannenstiel

Chairman

California Energy Commission

Page 2: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Governor Schwarzenegger’s Executive Order on GHG Emissions

June 1, 2005CA would reduce Greenhouse Gases to

2000 levels by 2010

1990 levels by 2020

80% below 1990 levels by 2050

Page 3: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

AB 32: The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006

Page 4: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Costs of GHG StrategiesMcKinsey and Co. Analysis

Page 5: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Sources of GHG Emissions in California

Agriculture6%

Electricity Generation(Imports)

13%

Electricity Generation (In-State)

12%

Commercial3%

Residential 6%

Transportation38%

Industrial20%

2004

Page 6: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

GHG Reductions in Electric Sector

AB 32 directed Energy Commission and Public Utilities Commission to recommend to Air Resources Board strategies for reducing GHG emissions in electricity and natural gas sectors

Commissions conducted joint proceeding: issued Draft Opinion in September; will adopt Final Opinion in October

ARB is final decision-maker

Page 7: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Electric Sector Context

Sector accounts for 25% of California’s GHG emissions

ARB envisions sector contributing 40% of GHG reductions

Imports are 22% of electricity sold; 40-55% of electric sector emissions

Agriculture6%

Electricity Generation(Imports)

13%

Electricity Generation (In-State)

12%

Commercial3%

Residential 6%

Transportation38%

Industrial20%

GHG Emissions

Page 8: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Draft Final Opinion from CEC and CPUC

Proposed strategies include-○ Regulatory Mandates

Energy Efficiency: All cost-effective energy efficiency

Renewable Energy: Expand mandate to 33%

○ Cap and Trade: To provide future reductions

Issued for Public Comment 9/12/08

Page 9: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

All Cost-Effective Energy Efficiency

Expand mandatory standards

Enhance utility programs

Market transformation

R&D

Page 10: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Energy Efficiency Standards

BuildingsContinually more stringentUpgrade existing buildingsZero energy new buildings

AppliancesTechnically feasible and cost-effectiveHome electronicsAdopt technological improvements

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Page 11: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Energy Efficiency SavingsG

Wh

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

1980 1990 2000 2006

Cumulative

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Energy Efficiency Results

Per Capita Electricity Sales (not including self-generation)(kWh/person)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

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United States

California

Page 13: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

33% Renewable Energy

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018

Year

Sta

tew

ide A

nn

ual

Ren

ew

ab

le G

en

era

tio

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GW

h

(Exclu

din

g L

arg

e H

yd

ro)

20% by 2017

20% by 2010

33% by 2020

2002 11.0% Renewables (RPS begins)

2006 10.9% Renewables

Renewable Portfolio Standard

Page 14: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Contracts for New RPS Capacity

3,500

129

181

6

724

3,586

879

0 1000 2000 3000 4000

MW

Large Scale PV Solar Thermal GeothermalSmall Hydro Biomass BiogasWind

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Barriers to Meeting the RPS

Transmission Contracts System integration Environmental

issues NIMBY Federal tax credits Cost?

Page 16: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Other Programs for Renewables

California Solar Initiative Goal of 3,000 MW Combine with EE Declining incentives New and existing

buildings Homes and businesses Currently about 400 MW

Utility Investments Rate-based installations Leased roof space Power back to grid Goals

SCE - 250 MWSDG&E - 80MW

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Page 17: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Cap-and-Trade Program

Initially,80% allowances distributed administratively, 20% auctioned; by 2016, 100% auction

Free allowancesTo “deliverers”Based on energy output, weighted by fuel source If emitters reduce carbon content of power, can sell

allowances

AuctionAllowances to retail providers on behalf of customers Independent, centralized auction requiredAllocations initially based on historical emissions; later, sales-

based

Page 18: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Allowance Allocation Summary

Free Allocation Auction

Allocations

2012 80% 20%

2016 0 100%

Allowances Granted to: Deliverers (Generators)

Retail Providers (Utilities)

Number Based on:

2012 Output + Fuel Source Historical Emissions

2020 NA Sales

Page 19: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Auction Revenue

All auction revenues for purposes of AB 32 Retail providers must use revenue for

○ Efficiency ○ Renewable energy ○ New energy technology ○ Infrastructure○ Low-income customers

ARB may retain small portion of allowances for statewide energy sector programs

Page 20: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

C&T Design Features

Open, transparent trading with many participants

Multi-sector, regional cap-and-trade market

No restrictions on market participation Links to other equally-stringent cap-

and-trade programs Significant non-compliance penalties No safety valves or price triggers Offsets must be real, additional,

verifiable,enforceable, permanent, certified by third parties

Page 21: Jackalyne Pfannenstiel, CEC: Meeting Climate, Energy, and Economic Imperatives with Energy Efficiency

Conclusions California’s GHG program for the electric

sector will likely includeEnergy efficiencyRenewable resourcesCap-and-trade

Aggressive efficiency and renewables programs can reduce emissions to 1990 levels

Cap-and-trade can provide opportunities for further reductions

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