Investor Presentation Q3 2013 - Cascades - …M CAN$) EBITDA Q2-2013 Selling Prices & Mix Raw...
Transcript of Investor Presentation Q3 2013 - Cascades - …M CAN$) EBITDA Q2-2013 Selling Prices & Mix Raw...
CASCADES INC.
Review of Q3 2013financial resultsfinancial results
November 7, 2013
Certain statements in this presentation, including statements regarding future results and performance, are forward-lookingstatements within the meaning of securities legislation based on current expectations. The accuracy of such statements issubject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may cause actual results to differ materially from thoseprojected, including, but not limited to, the effect of general economic conditions, decreases in demand for theCorporation’s products, the prices and availability of raw materials, changes in the relative values of certain currencies,fluctuations in selling prices and adverse changes in general market and industry conditions. This presentation may alsoinclude price indices as well as variance and sensitivity analyses that are intended to provide the reader with a betterunderstanding of the trends related to our business activities. These items are based on the best estimates available to themanagement of the Corporation.
The financial information included in this presentation also contains certain data that are not measures of performanceunder IFRS (“non-IFRS measures”). For example, the Corporation uses earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
DISCLAIMER
The financial information included in this presentation also contains certain data that are not measures of performanceunder IFRS (“non-IFRS measures”). For example, the Corporation uses earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation andamortization (EBITDA) because it is the measure used by management to assess the operating and financial performanceof the Corporation’s operating segments. Such information is reconciled to the most directly comparable financialmeasures, as set forth in the “Supplemental Information on Non-IFRS Measures” section of our most recent quarterlyreport or annual report.
Specific items are defined as items such as charges for impairment of assets, for facility or machine closures, accelerateddepreciation of assets due to restructuring measures, debt restructuring charges, gains or losses on sales or acquisition ofbusiness units, unrealized gains or losses on derivative financial instruments that do not qualify for hedge accounting,foreign exchange gains or losses on long-term debt and other significant items of an unusual or non-recurring nature.
All amounts in this presentation are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise indicated.
2
OPENING REMARKSOPENING REMARKSOPENING REMARKSOPENING REMARKS
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RESULTS
72
8478
70 68
83
96
4.0%
5.5%
7.0%
8.5%
10.0%
0
25
50
75
100
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
(% of sales)(M CAN$)
EBITDA
4840
44
35
4641
78
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
0
20
40
60
80
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
(% of sales)(M CAN$)
Cash flow from operations (adjusted)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Year
Financial results
Sales 891 944 906 904 3,645 914 982 995 2,891
Excluding specific items
EBITDA 72 84 78 70 304 68 83 96 247
Net earnings (loss) 1 5 4 (5) 5 (4) 8 7 11
Net earnings (loss) per share $0.01 $0.05 $0.05 $(0.06) $0.05 $(0.04) $0.09 $0.07 $0.12
Cash flow from operations (adjusted) 48 40 44 35 167 46 41 78 165
2012 2013
(In millions of CAN$, except amount per share)
EBITDA, net earnings and cash flow from operations (adjusted) excluding specific items. Note 1 - 2012 restated to comply with IAS19 standard – Employee benefits
4
Best results since 2010 with strong performance from Best results since 2010 with strong performance from our two our two core sectorscore sectors
1
1
27
19 21 2326 25 25
33
42
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
0
12
24
36
48
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
(% of sales)(M CAN$)Containerboard
10 1013
117
11 11 10 9
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
0
5
10
15
20
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
(% of sales)(M CAN$)Boxboard Europe
HISTORICAL SEGMENTED EBITDA
Containerboard Boxboard Europe
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
13
2
11
15 15
8
11
16 15
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
0
5
10
15
20
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
(% of sales)(M CAN$)Specialty Products
18
28
3339
3531 29
3339
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
11
22
33
44
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
(% of sales)(M CAN$)Tissue Papers
EBITDA excluding specific items. 5
Tissue PapersSpecialty Products
(M CAN$)EBITDA
Q2-2013
Selling
Prices &
Mix
Raw
MaterialsEnergy $ CAN
Acqu.
&
Divest.
Other
CostsVolume
EBITDA
Q3-2013
10
9
2
21
1
8
10
12
14
16
18
(7)
(M CAN$)EBITDA
Q2-2013
Other
Costs
Selling
Prices &
Mix
Volume Energy
Acqu.
&
Divest.
$ CANRaw
Materials
EBITDA
Q3-2013
33
426
53 1
(6)
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
SEGMENTED EBITDA WATERFALLS
Boxboard EuropeContainerboard
- -- -
(M CAN$)EBITDA
Q2-2013
Selling
Prices &
Mix
Other
CostsEnergy
Raw
Materials
Acqu.
&
Divest.
$ CAN VolumeEBITDA
Q3-2013
1615
2
(1)
(2)
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
6
(M CAN$)EBITDA
Q2-2013Volume
Selling
Prices &
Mix
Other
CostsEnergy
Acqu.
&
Divest.
$ CANRaw
Materials
EBITDA
Q3-2013
33
39
3
3
31
(1)
(3)
26
29
32
35
38
41
44
20
EBITDA excluding specific items. 6
Specialty Products Tissue Papers
Q3 is the slowest quarter in Europe due to downtime
Impact of external paper purchases during Greenpac ramp-up
Higher volumes due to good performance in US retail segment
Flood had an impact on shipments
--
- - -
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)Containerboard: 88%
Boxboard Europe: 86%Spec. Prod.: 74%
Tissue Papers: 100%
Slightly lower shipments;increased capacityin Europe
822
774
807 825805 806
832868 840
500
600
700
800
900
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
('000 s.t.) Total Shipments
87%86%
89%90%
87% 88%
92% 93%
87%
83%
86%
89%
92%
95%
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Capacity Utilization Rate (Manufacturing)
Lower shipments in Europe due to usual slowdown in Q3Lower shipments in Europe due to usual slowdown in Q3
Refer to Notes included in the Appendix. 7
2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013
7.4%
6.5%
7.1%
7.6% 7.5%
8.1% 8.0% 8.0%
8.5%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
LTM Return on Assets
14.7% 14.8% 14.8% 15.0% 14.8%14.4%
14.0%13.5%13.1%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
LTM Working Capital (% of LTM Sales)
Current(October)
RAW MATERIAL COSTS
120
155
970
860
Current(October)
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
Sep
11
Dec
11
Mar
12
Jun
12
Sep
12
Dec
12
Mar
13
Jun
13
Sep
13
(US$/ tonne)
Virgin Pulp Prices
50
100
150
200
250
300
Sep
11
Dec
11
Mar
12
Jun
12
Sep
12
Dec
12
Mar
13
Jun
13
Sep
13
(US$/ ton)
Recycled Fiber North AmericanList Prices
OBM Average Quarterly List Prices Q3-2012 Q2-2013 Q3-2013 YoY QoQ
Brown grades - OCC No. 11 (New England) 108 112 115 +6% +3%
White grades - SOP No. 37 (New England) 182 150 152 -17% +1%
Virgin Pulp Prices
NBSK (Canadian sources delivered to US East) 853 937 947 +11% +1%
NBHK (Canada/US sources delivered to US East) 763 853 873 +15% +2%
No significant short term increase expected in recovered paper prices; pulp prices stableNo significant short term increase expected in recovered paper prices; pulp prices stable
Sources: RISI, Bloomberg. 8
Sep
11
Dec
11
Mar
12
Jun
12
Sep
12
Dec
12
Mar
13
Jun
13
Sep
13
NBSK NBHK
Sep
11
Dec
11
Mar
12
Jun
12
Sep
12
Dec
12
Mar
13
Jun
13
Sep
13
White grades (SOP) Brown grades (OCC)
FINANCIAL REVIEWFINANCIAL REVIEWFINANCIAL REVIEWFINANCIAL REVIEW
Q3 2012 – Q3 2013 SALES RECONCILIATION
920
0
960
940
980
1,000 995
+10%
906
0
45
40 4 0(M CAN$)
Sales benefited from higher volumes and a weaker CAN$Sales benefited from higher volumes and a weaker CAN$
10
(M CAN$)
Sales
Q3-2012Volume $ CAN
Selling
Prices
& Mix
Acqu. &
Disposals
Corp.
Elim.
Sales
Q3-2013
Containerboard 299 41 6 5 2 353
Boxboard Europe 181 18 (5) 194
Specialty Products 197 (8) 6 2 197
Tissue Papers 253 12 10 4 279
Corporate (24) (4) (28)
Total 906 45 40 4 0 0 995
0
Q3 2012 – Q3 2013 EBITDA VARIANCE ANALYSIS
120
90
0
100
110
80
(10)
4
78
58
9615
+23%
(13)
9
(M CAN$)
Important increase Important increase YoYYoY despite external parent roll purchases and use of subdespite external parent roll purchases and use of sub--contractingcontracting
EBITDA excluding specific items.1 Raw materials include fibre as well as parent rolls used by converting operations.
11
1
(M CAN$)
EBITDA
Q3-2012Volume Energy $ CAN
Acqu. &
Disposals
Selling
Prices &
Mix
Raw
Materials
Other
Costs
EBITDA
Q3-2013
Containerboard 26 13 3 2 4 5 (13) 2 42
Boxboard Europe 7 4 1 1 (5) (1) 2 9
Specialty Products 15 (2) 0 3 1 (2) 15
Tissue Papers 35 4 2 2 4 3 (11) 39
Corporate (5) (4) (9)
Total 78 15 9 8 5 4 (10) (13) 96
Q2 2013 – Q3 2013 EBITDA VARIANCE ANALYSIS
0
110
100
90
039
12 96
83
+16%
(7)
(3)(1)
(M CAN$)
(M CAN$)
EBITDA
Q2-2013
Selling
Prices
& Mix
Other
CostsEnergy
Acqu.
&
Divest.
$ CAN VolumeRaw
Materials
EBITDA
Q3-2013
Containerboard 33 5 6 1 3 (6) 42
Boxboard Europe 10 2 1 1 (7) 2 9
Specialty Products 16 2 (1) (2) 0 15
Tissue Papers 33 3 3 1 (1) 3 (3) 39
Corporate (9) (9)
Total 83 12 9 3 0 (1) (3) (7) 96
Higher Higher prices prices and cost reductions more and cost reductions more than than offsetoffset higher higher raw raw material costs and lower volume in Europematerial costs and lower volume in Europe
EBITDA excluding specific items.1 Raw materials include fibre as well as parent rolls used by converting operations.
12
1
0
IMPACT OF OPERATIONAL INCIDENTS DURING THE QUARTER
M$
• Loss of tonnage
• Containerboard Group 1
• Specialty Products Group 1
• Direct cleaning costs – Corporate 2
ActsActs--ofof--god cost us $7M during god cost us $7M during Q3Q3, lowering EBITDA by approximately $4 million, lowering EBITDA by approximately $4 million
EBITDA excluding specific items. 13
• EBITDA impact 4
• Capitalized costs 3
• Total costs 7
96
5037
(46)
7
20
40
60
80
100
120
(M CAN$)
(20)
Q3 2013 EBITDA TO OPERATING INCOME RECONCILIATION
0
20
EBITDAexcludingspec. items
Depr. &amort.,
excl. spec. items
Op. incomeexcludingspec. items
Unrealized gainon fin. Instr.
Impairment charges
Operatingincome
(20)
14
Container- Boxboard Specialty Tissue Corporate
(M CAN$) board Europe Products Papers Activities
Operating income (loss) 33 - (12) 29 (13) 37
Specific items:
Impairment charges - - 20 - - 20
Unrealized loss (gain) on financial instruments (7) - - - - (7)
Total specific items (7) - 20 - - 13
Operating income (loss) excluding specific items 26 - 8 29 (13) 50
Depreciation, excluding specific items 16 9 7 10 4 46
EBITDA excluding specific items 42 9 15 39 (9) 96
Total
Share of Share ofOperating Ass/JV & Excluding As Operating Ass/JV & Excluding Assegments Non-Cont. Int. specifics Specifics reported segments Non-Cont. Int. specifics Specifics reported
EBITDA 83 83 (1) 82 96 96 (13) 83Depreciation (44) (44) (44) (46) (46) (46)EBIT 39 0 39 (1) 38 50 0 50 (13) 37Financing expenses (26) (26) (26) (27) (27) 1 (26)Interest expense on employee future benefits (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3)FX gain (loss) on LT debt and fin. inst. 0 (5) (5) 0 11 11Share of results of associates and JVs (1) (1) (1) (5) (5) 5 0Profit before tax 10 (1) 9 (6) 3 20 (5) 15 4 19Provision for income taxes (1) 1 0 0 0 (9) 2 (7) 0 (7)
Q2-2013 Q3-2013
QUARTERLY VARIANCE OF EPS EXCLUDING SPECIFICS
Provision for income taxes (1) 1 0 0 0 (9) 2 (7) 0 (7)Non-controlling interests (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1)Net earnings 9 (1) 8 (6) 2 11 (4) 7 4 11 per share $0.10 ($0.01) $0.09 ($0.06) $0.03 $0.12 ($0.05) $0.07 $0.05 $0.12
Change in Operating results after-tax (normalized 30%) $0.07Change in Income taxes provision (vs normalized 30%) ($0.05) � Tax rate mix, Europe valuation allowance, prior year tax adj.Change in Share of results of Assoc. and JVs - net of taxes ($0.04) � Mainly share of Greenpac & Boralex
($0.02)
15
Tax consideration and equity pickTax consideration and equity pick--up had a negative impact on EPS excluding up had a negative impact on EPS excluding specificsspecifics
34
46 41
78
15
30
45
60
75
90
(M CAN$) Cash flow from operations,including specific items
(4)
4
48
(15)
0
15
30
45
(M CAN$) Free cash flow
CASH FLOW OVERVIEW
0
15
Q4-2012 Q1-2013 Q2-2013 Q3-2013
(27)(30)
Q4-2012 Q1-2013 Q2-2013 Q3-2013
1 Excluding increase in investments.
Important FCF increase during the quarter due to improved performanceImportant FCF increase during the quarter due to improved performance
16
(in millions of CAN$) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Year
Cash flow from operations, including disc. operations 48 37 42 34 161 46 41 78 165
Capital expenditures & other assets, net of disposals1
(47) (36) (25) (57) (165) (46) (33) (26) (105)
Dividend & share buyback (6) (4) (4) (4) (18) (4) (4) (4) (12)
Free cash flow (5) (3) 13 (27) (22) (4) 4 48 48
Free cash flow per share $(0.05) $(0.03) $0.14 $(0.29) $(0.23) $(0.04) $0.04 $0.51 $0.51
2012 2013
NET DEBT RECONCILIATION
(M CAN$)
1,650
1,600
1,550
1,700
(78)
1,675
6
23
-4%
4131,601
(31)(11)
Net debt Net debt decrease linked to operational performance, working capital management and FXdecrease linked to operational performance, working capital management and FX
Q3 2013 net debt includes $128 million of non-recourse net debt of Reno De Medici and other unrestricted subsidiaries.17
1,500
1,400
1,450
Net Debt06/30/2013
Net Debt09/30/2013
Other items
Capex, net of disp.
Investment Greenpac
Variationof
CAN$
Dividends and
buybacks
Var. of working
cap.
Cash flow from op.
5.9x
3.3x
4.5x
5.8x
5.0x 5.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM 09/30/2013
Net debt / LTM EBITDA
3.0x
4.6x
2.9x2.5x
3.0x 3.1x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 LTM 09/30/2013
Interest Coverage Ratio
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RATIOS & DEBT MATURITIES
59%
54%
57%
59%
61%61%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sep-13
Debt / Debt + Equity
09/30/2013 09/30/2013
Before 20167%
201644%
201733%
202016%
Long-term Debt Maturities Distribution
18
Leverage ratio almost at 2012 levelLeverage ratio almost at 2012 level
Cascades’ bank debt financial covenant ratios: Net funded debt to capitalization < 65% (currently at 55%),interest coverage ratio > 2.25x (currently at 3.0x).
SEGMENTED REVIEWSEGMENTED REVIEWSEGMENTED REVIEWSEGMENTED REVIEW
� Increased shipments mostly related to higher sales on the US retail market
� Volume of converted products increased by 5% while parent rolls shipments decrease by 3% due to a more favorable integration rate
� Sequential increase of average selling prices explained by a favorable integration rateresulting in a product mix that included more converted products
� Positive impact of favorable exchange rate
� Stable prices for parent rolls and converted products
Results
Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2012
Shipments ('000 s.t.)
153
Average selling price
(CAN$/unit)
1 822(US$/unit)
Change vs.
3% 4%
3% 6%
TISSUE PAPERS
Comments on sequential performance
EBITDA exckuding specific items
� Stable prices for parent rolls and converted products
� Higher shipments and favorable exchange rate explain sequential increase in sales
20
� Positive impact of improved productivity, higher sales volume, favorable exchangerate and higher integration rate more than offset higher raw material costs, namelyvirgin pulp and recovered papers
� A reduction of promotional activities, including an important initiative which was heldin Q2, has contributed to reduce operational costs
1 755
Sales (M$)
279
EBITDA (M$)
39% of sales
14%
1%
6% 10%
18% 11%
1%
� 2% sequential increase in external shipments in our manufacturing activities despiteflooding incident in Niagara Falls for 5,800 tons (3% containerboard and -8% boxboard)
� 3% increase in shipments of converted products (+5% for Canadian corrugatedproducts activities while the industry remained stable; offset by a 18% decrease infolding carton including the impact of the Lachute plant closure in Q2 2013)
� Second price increased in corrugated products segment fully implemented and to bereflected in the results of the next quarter
� Our containerboard manufacturing activities fully benefited during the quarter of the Mayprice increase while our boxboard manufacturing activities benefited from the May and
Results
Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2012
Shipments ('000 s.t.)
334
Average selling price
(CAN$/unit)
1 057(US$/unit)
1 018
Change vs.
3% 12%
2% 5%
1% 1%
PACKAGING / CONTAINERBOARD
Comments on sequential performance
price increase while our boxboard manufacturing activities benefited from the May andAugust price increases
� Weakening of the Canadian dollar positively impacted selling prices in our twosegments
� Sequentially, higher average selling prices (+$5M) combined higher volume as citedabove (+$3M) and its positive impact on production costs (+$5M, including a $3Mimpact from a favorable product mix) have more than offset additional costs related tothe purchase of external containerboard rolls (-$2M) and higher cost of recycled fibre (-$2M)
21
� Significant increase in sales due to higher shipments (+$9M), higher prices for most ofour segments (+$5M) and a favorable exchange rate (+$2M)
1 018
Sales (M$)
353
EBITDA (M$)
42% of sales
12%
18%
1% 1%
27% 62%
5%
EBITDA excluding specific itemsAverage selling prices now include converted products
� Sequential decline in shipments related to usual seasonal downtime in European board market
� Order book is still healthy and better than at the same period last year for recycled boxboard
� Market share increased since last year, particularly in Italy
� Average prices increased by 1%, including a 3% from recycled boxboard
� Announced price increases for recycled grades in Q2 are still being implemented butshould gradually be effective in Q4
Results
Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2012
Shipments ('000 s.t.)
260
Average selling price
(CAN$/unit)
745(Euros/unit)
541
Change vs.
-14% 0%
4% 7%
1% -3%
PACKAGING / BOXBOARD EUROPE
Comments on sequential performance
should gradually be effective in Q4
� Sequential weakening of the Canadian dollar against the Euro
� EBITDA negatively impacted by lower shipments (-$7M) partially offset by higher selling prices (+$2M) and favorable exchange rate (+$1M)
22
� Seasonal decline in shipments (-$28M) partially counterbalanced by favorable exchange rate (+$5M).
541
Sales (M$)
194
EBITDA (M$)
9% of sales
5%
1% -3%
-10% 29%
-10% 7%
EBITDA excluding specific items
� Selling prices in the Specialty Papers and Industrial Packaging segments have remained stable compared to the previous quarter
� Unfavorable product mix due to lost volume from St-Jérôme negatively impacted average selling price in US dollar
� Sequential decrease in shipments in the Specialty Papers segment due to a flooding incident that caused a production downtime of 3 weeks at our St-Jérôme Fine Paper Mill (loss of 4,000 tons)
� The incident also affected the operations of our Breakeyville Pulp Mill and our St-JéromeConverting Center
� Partially offset by higher volume in the Industrial Packaging segment
Results
Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2012
Shipments ('000 s.t.)
93
Average selling price
(CAN$/unit)
894(US$/unit)
Change vs.
-1% -6%
0% 0%
PACKAGING / SPECIALTY PRODUCTS
Comments on sequential performance
selling price in US dollar
� More than offset by weakening of Canadian dollar
� Slight improvement in sales linked to higher volume in the Recovery and Industrial Packaging segments that counterbalanced lower volume in the Consumer Product Packaging and Specialty Papers segments as explained above
� A favorable exchange rate also contributed positively to the increase in sales
23
� EBITDA decreased compared to the previous quarter due to lower volume caused by downtime in the Specialty Papers segment as mentioned above
� Negative FX impact due to stronger Canadian dollar at the end of Q3 compared to the end of Q2
861
Sales (M$)
197
EBITDA (M$)
15% of sales
8%
1% 0%
-2% -4%
-6% 0%
EBITDA excluding specific items1 Shipments and average selling prices for Specialty Papers and
Industrial Packaging segments only
Q&AQ&A
ANDANDANDAND
CONCLUDING REMARKSCONCLUDING REMARKS
NEAR TERM OUTLOOK
++
II
• State of Canadian economy
• Stable to slightly increasing raw material costs
• New capacity in tissue industry
• Challenges in our North American boxboard operations
• Price increases in boxboard sector in North America and Europe
• Benefits of restructuring and optimization measures
• Improvement of Greenpac contribution to EPS
• Incremental capacity in our Tissue Papers Group
25
Boxboard
EuropeContainerboard Specialty Products Tissue Papers
Volume Increase Slight increase Slight decrease Slight decrease
Selling prices Slight increase Slight increase Stable Slight decrease
Raw material costs Stable Slight increase Slight increase Stable
CDN $ vs
other currencySlight increase Sligh increase
Energy costs Stable Stable
APPENDIXAPPENDIXAPPENDIXAPPENDIX
ENERGY PRICES
Hedging Program – Natural gas
• Canada:
• 2014 : 65% at 5.35 CAN$/GJ
• 2015: 56% at 4.83 CAN$/GJ
• U.S.:
• 2014: 57% at 5.16 US$/mmBtu
• 2015: 39% at 5.29 US$/mmBtu5060708090100110
0.001.002.003.004.005.006.007.00
Crude oil(US$)
Natural gas(US$)
Energy prices
• 2015: 39% at 5.29 US$/mmBtu
27
Source: Bloomberg
500.00
Q4-
10
Q1-
11
Q2-
11
Q3-
11
Q4-
11
Q1-
12
Q2-
12
Q3-
12
Q4-
12
Q1-
13
Q2-
13
Q3-
13
Natural gas (US$/mmBtu) Crude oil (US$/barrel)
2012
Averages Year Year Q1 Q2 Q3
Energy prices
Natural gas Henry Hub (US$/mmBtu) 4.04 2.79 3.34 4.09 3.58 28% -13%
Crude oil WTI (US$/barrel) 94.01 94.92 93.37 92.54 102.42 14% 11%0%
Change2011
Q3 2013
Q3 2012
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
2013
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Hedging Program – USD Cash flows
• 2014
22 to 36% of exposure hedged at an average rate of 1.041CAN$/US$ to 1.056CAN$/US$
• 2015
1 to 3% of exposure hedged at an 0.650.700.750.800.850.900.95
0.800.850.900.951.001.051.10
-10
-11
-11
-11
-11
-12
-12
-12
-12
-13
-13
-13
€/CAN$US$/CAN$ Exchange rates
1 to 3% of exposure hedged at an average rate of 1.06CAN$/US$
28
Source: Bloomberg
2012
Averages Year Year Q1 Q2 Q3
Foreign exchange rates
US$/CAN$ 1.011 1.001 0.991 0.977 0.963 -4% -1%
EURO/CAN$ 0.727 0.779 0.751 0.748 0.727 -10% -3%
Change2011
Q3 2013
Q3 2012
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
2013
Q4-
Q1-
Q2-
Q3-
Q4-
Q1-
Q2-
Q3-
Q4-
Q1-
Q2-
Q3-
US$/CAN$ €/CAN$
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
-10
-10
-10
Jan
-11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep
-11
Nov
-11
Jan
-12
-12
-12
-12
-12
-12
Jan
-13
-13
-13
-13
-13
Containerboard - Selected Products
20-pt clay coated news (CRB)
Linerboard 42-lb
Corrugating medium 26-lb
(US$/s.t.)
SELECTED INDUSTRY REFERENCE PRICES
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
-10
-10
-10
-11
-11
-11
-11
-11
-11
-12
-12
-12
-12
-12
-12
-13
-13
-13
-13
-13
Boxboard Europe - Selected Products
Coated duplex - virgin board (GC2)
White-lined chipboard - recycled board (GD2)
(€/m.t.)
QoQ: +30$tc(+3%)
Jul-
Sep
-
Nov
-
Jan
-
Mar
-
May
-
Jul
Sep
-
Nov
-
Jan
-
Mar
-
May
-
Jul-
Sep
-
Nov
-
Jan
-
Mar
-
May
-
Jul-
Sep
-
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
1 300
1 400
1 500
1 600
Jul-1
0
Sep
-10
Nov
-10
Jan
-11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep
-11
Nov
-11
Jan
-12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep
-12
Nov
-12
Jan
-13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep
-13
Tissue Papers - Selected Products
Virgin parent rolls
Recycled parent rolls
(US$/s.t.)
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
Jul-1
0
Sep
-10
Nov
-10
Jan
-11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep
-11
Nov
-11
Jan
-12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep
-12
Nov
-12
Jan
-13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep
-13
Specialty Products - Selected Products
Grocery bag 30-lb
Uncoated white, 50-lb of fset, rolls
20-pt bending chip food
(US$/s.t.)
29
Jul-
Sep
-
Nov
-
Jan
-
Mar
-
May
-
Jul-
Sep
-
Nov
-
Jan
-
Mar
-
May
-
Jul-
Sep
-
Nov
-
Jan
-
Mar
-
May
-
Jul-
Sep
-
QoQ:-64$/tc(-5%)
QoQ: -30$/tc(-3%)
QoQ: 17$/tc(+3%)
MARKET PRICES AND COSTS SUMMARY
2011 2012 2013
Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1 Q2 Q3
(units) (%) (units) (%)
Selling prices (average)
Cascades North American US$ index (index 2005 = 1,000)1 1,256 1,271 1,227 1,233 1,261 1,248 1,263 1,298 1,319 86 7% 20 2%
PACKAGING PRODUCTS
Boxboard
North America (US$/ton)
Recycled boxboard - 20pt. clay coated news (transaction) 909 920 913 887 880 900 880 912 942 55 6% 30 3%
Europe (Euro/tonne)
Recycled white-lined chipboard (GD2) index2 710 698 677 677 669 680 656 656 670 -6 -1% 15 2%
Virgin coated duplex boxboard (GC2) index3 1,153 1,141 1,118 1,118 1,106 1,121 1,086 1,086 1,086 -32 -3% 0 0%
Containerboard (US$/ton)
Linerboard 42-lb. unbleached kraft, East U.S. (transaction) 640 640 640 657 690 657 690 740 740 83 13% 0 0%
Corrugating medium 26-lb. semichemical, East U.S. (transaction) 610 610 610 627 660 627 660 710 710 83 13% 0 0%
Q3 2013
over Q2 2013
Q3 2013
over Q3 2012These indexes should only be used as indicator of trends and they be different
than our actual selling prices or purchasing costs.
30
Corrugating medium 26-lb. semichemical, East U.S. (transaction) 610 610 610 627 660 627 660 710 710 83 13% 0 0%
Specialty Products (US$/ton, tonne for deinked pulp)
Recycled boxboard - 20pt. bending chip (transaction) 670 670 670 657 650 662 653 665 682 25 4% 17 3%
Deinked pulp (f.o.b; U.S. air-dried & wet-lap, post-consumer) 763 663 675 713 715 692 740 755 758 45 6% 3 0%
Unbleached kraft paper, grocery bag 30-lb. 1,095 1,110 1,110 1,110 1,110 1 110 1,118 1 135 1 135 25 2% 0 0%
Uncoated white 50-lb. offset, rolls 940 923 920 920 907 918 898 870 840 -80 -9% -30 -3%
TISSUE PAPERS
Cascades Tissue Papers (index 1999 = 1,000)4 1,669 1,654 1,647 1,651 1,642 1,649 1,619 1,598 1,594 -57 -3% -4 0%
Raw materials (average)
Cascades North American US$ index (index 2005 = 300)5 472 386 382 367 340 369 353 348 358 -9 -2% 10 3%
RECYCLED PAPER
North America (US$/ton)
Corrugated containers, no. 11 (New England) 149 123 120 93 82 104 94 98 102 10 10% 4 4%
Special news, no. 8 (ONP - Chicago & NY average) 126 85 90 70 60 76 67 65 58 -13 -18% -8 -12%
Sorted office papers, no. 37 (SOP - Chicago & NY average) 233 145 151 170 151 154 150 138 135 -36 -21% -3 -2%
Europe (Euro/tonne)
Recovered paper index6 140 113 118 102 111 111 111 119 115 13 13% -4 -3%
VIRGIN PULP (US$/tonne)
Northern bleached softwood kraft, East U.S. 978 873 900 853 863 873 898 937 947 93 11% 10 1%
Northern bleached hardwood kraft mixed, East U.S. 808 714 778 763 744 750 791 853 873 111 15% 20 2%
WOODCHIPS – Conifer Eastern Canada (US$/odmt) 127 130 121 120 120 123 110 107 105 -15 -13% -2 -2%
Source: RISI, Random Lengths and Cascades.
NORTH AMERICAN MANUFACTURING SPREAD
1,2341,267
1,2721,261
1,319
452
514450
550
650
750
850
1,200
1,300
1,400
Manufacturing spread in CAN$ in Manufacturing spread in CAN$ in Q3/13: +3% Q3/13: +3% vsvs Q2/13 Q2/13 and and +16% +16% vsvs Q3/12Q3/12
Refer to Notes page included in the Appendix.Source: RISI
31
452
409340
358
150
250
350
1,000
1,100
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q22011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
Q2 2013
Q3 2013
Selling prices index ($US/s.t.)1 Raw materials index ($US/s.t.)2
NOTES
1. The Cascades North American selling prices index represents an approximation of the Corporation's manufacturing selling prices in NorthAmerica (excluding converting). It is weighted according to shipments and is based on the average selling price of our North Americanmanufacturing operations of boxboard, containerboard, speciality products and tissue paper. It considers the change in the mix of products sold.This index should only be used as a trend indicator.
2. The Cascades recycled white-lined chipboard selling prices index represents an approximation of Cascades’ recycled grades selling prices inEurope. It is weighted by country.
3. The Cascades virgin coated duplex boxboard selling prices index represents an approximation of Cascades’ virgin grades selling prices inEurope. It is weighted by country.
4. The Cascades Tissue Papers selling prices index represents a mix of primary and converted products, and is based on the product mix at theend of 2006.
5. The Cascades North American raw materials index is based on publication prices and the average weighted cost paid for some of ourmanufacturing raw materials, namely recycled fibre, virgin pulp and woodchips, in North America. It is weighted according to purchase volume.This index should only be used as a trend indicator, as it may differ from our actual manufacturing purchasing costs and our purchase mix.
6. The Cascades recovered paper index represents an approximation of Cascades’ recovered paper purchase prices in Europe. It is weighted bycountry based on the recycled fibre supply mix of 2009 and has been updated in 2013.
The capacity utilization rate is defined as: Shipments/Practical capacity. Paper manufacturing only.
Return on assets is a non-IFRS measure and is defined as: LTM EBITDA excluding specific items/ LTM Average of total quarterly assets. It includes
discontinued operations.
Working capital includes accounts receivable plus inventories less accounts payable.
32