Investment Analysis & Equity Research

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    Investment Analysis & Equity Research

    By Dr.Anup Raj

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    Nucleus & Protoplasm of Investment

    IncomeExpense = Saving(Passive in Nature)

    Saving is the root of Investment

    Saving-Investment =Idle Capital or Fund

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    Saving

    It is all about sacrifice of your current

    consumption capacity to obtain a return

    latter

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    Investment

    If a man is proud of his wealth, he should not

    be praised until it is known how he employs it.

    Socrates

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    Investment

    The commitment of funds to one or more assets that will be held over

    some future time period

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    Forms of Investment

    Physical Form of Investment

    Gold,Real Estate,Base Metals,Antiques etc.

    Financial Form of Investments:-

    Shares,Debentures,Bonds,Derivatives & other

    financial Securities

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    Investment Decision

    Personal Level or Individual Level

    Orgnisational Level or Corporate Level

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    Investment as a Profession

    Certified Financial Planner

    Chartered Financial Consultant

    Chartered Financial Analyst

    Financial Advisor

    Risk Analyst

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    Investment Decision Process

    Return(Expected)

    Return(Realized)

    Risk(Expected Variance in Expected Return)

    Risk-Return Trade Off

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    Structuring the Decision Process

    Security Analysis:-The first part of the investment decisionprocesss,involving valuation and analysis of individual securities

    Portfolio Management:-It involves the management of agroup of assets i.e. portfolio as a unit

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    Important considerations in the investment decision process for Todays

    Investors

    The Great Unknown:-Uncertainty:- Risk

    At best estimates are imprecise; at worst they are

    completely wrong

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    Organizing Financial Assets

    Direct Investment:- Investors buy or sell

    securities by themselves typically through

    brokerage accounts/house

    Indirect Investment:-Buy and sell take place

    through an expert such as Mutual

    Fund,Fund Houses etc.

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    Major types of Financial Assets

    Non Marketable:- Saving Deposits,C.Ds,Bond

    Money market :-Treasury

    Bills,NCD,CPs,Repurchase

    Agreements,Bankers acceptance, etc.

    Capital Market Instruments:- Fixed

    Income,Equities,Treasuries etc.

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    Risk Return Relationship

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    Risk Return Relationship

    The nature of the relationship is that as the level of expected risk

    increases, the level of expected return also increases.

    The opposite is true as well. Lower levels of expected risk are

    associated with lower expected returns.

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    Risk Return Relationship

    This risk-return relationship is characterized

    as being a direct relationship or a positive

    relationship.

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    Risk

    Risk = the possibility of something unexpected happening

    or

    Risk = the possibility of an unexpected outcome occurring

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    LIVE EXAMPLES

    Strike at Marutis manesar plants has

    stopped the production of much sought

    after segment of SWIFT

    Ultimately the rival group are having its

    benefits by wooing buyers

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    LIVE EXAMPLES

    Interest rate hike is killing interest rate

    sensitive companies such as Infrastructure

    and Construction

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    Expected Return

    The expected rate of return on a investment

    or stock represents the mean of a probability

    distribution of possible future returns on thestock