Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution...

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Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is a probability distribution. Standards: S2.5B

Transcript of Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution...

Page 1: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Introductory Statistics

Lesson 4.1 B

Objective:

SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph.SSBAT determine if a distribution is a probability distribution.

Standards: S2.5B

Page 2: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Review:

Discrete Random Variable

A random variable that has a finite or countable number of possible outcomes

The outcomes can be listed

The outcomes can be shown as just points on a number line

Examples: The number of students in a class

Page 3: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Discrete Probability Distribution

Lists each possible value the variable can be and its corresponding Probability

Must satisfy each of the following conditions

1. Each probability is between 0 and 1, inclusive

2. The sum of all the probabilities is 1

Page 4: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example of a Discrete Probability Distribution

Days with Rain, x Probability P(x)

0 0.216

1 0.432

2 0.288

3 0.064

Page 5: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Determine if each is a Discrete Probability Distribution.Explain why or why not.

Each individual probability, P(x), has to be between 0 and 1, inclusive The sum of the probabilities has to equal 1

1. x P(x)5 0.286 0.217 0.438 0.15

No – The sum of all the probabilities is 1.07 not 1

Page 6: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Determine if each is a Discrete Probability Distribution.Explain why or why not.

Each individual probability, P(x), has to be between 0 and 1, inclusive The sum of the probabilities has to equal 1

2. x P(x)1 0.152 0.363 0.49

Yes – The sum of all the probabilities is 1 AND each individual probability is between 0 & 1

Page 7: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Determine if each is a Discrete Probability Distribution.Explain why or why not.

Each individual probability, P(x), has to be between 0 and 1, inclusive The sum of the probabilities has to equal 1

3. x P(x)1 0.52 0.253 0.754 -0.5

No – The probability of 4 is Negative

Page 8: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

x 1 2 3 4 5P(x) 0.16 0.22 0.28 0.2  

Find the missing value in the probability distribution:

Remember that all the probabilities should add up to be 1

0.16 + 0.22 + 0.28 + 0.2 = 0.86

1 – 0.86 = 0.14

The missing value is 0.14

Page 9: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Constructing a DISCRETE Probability Distribution

1. Make a Frequency Distribution for the possible outcomes

2. Find the Sum of the frequencies

3. Find the probability of each possible outcome Divide the Frequency of each by the sum of

the frequencies

4. Check that each probability is between 0 and 1, inclusive, and that the sum is 1.

Page 10: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example 1

An industrial psychologist administered a personality inventory test for passive-aggressive traits to 150 employees. Individuals were given a score from 1 to 5, where 1 was extremely passive and 5 was extremely aggressive. A score of 3 indicated neither trait. The frequency is shown below.

Score, x Frequency

1 24

2 33

3 42

4 30

5 21

Page 11: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example 1 Continued

1st: Find the probability of each score Divide each individual score’s frequency by the total of the frequency column

Total of Frequencies = 150

P(1) = 24/150 = 0.16

P(2) = 33/150 = 0.22

P(3) = 42/150 = 0.28

P(4) = 30/150 = 0.20

P(5) = 21/150 = 0/14

Score, x Frequency

1 24

2 33

3 42

4 30

5 21

Page 12: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example 1 Continued

Create the Probability Distribution using a table:

x

P(x)

x 1 2 3 4 5

P(x) 0.16 0.22 0.28 0.20 0.14

Page 13: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.
Page 14: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example 2

A company tracks the number of sales new employees make each day during a 100-day probationary period. The results for one new employee are shown in the table below.

Construct a Discrete Probability Distribution.

Sales per dayx

Number of Days, f

0 16

1 19

2 15

3 21

4 9

5 10

6 8

7 2

Page 15: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example 2 Continued

1st: Find the Probability of each x value

Total of Frequencies = 100

P(0) = 16/100 = 0.16

P(1) = 19/100 = 0.19

P(2) = 15/100 = 0.15

P(3) = 21/100 = 0.21

P(4) = 9 /100 = 0.09

P(5) = 10/100 = 0.10

P(6) = 8/100 = 0.08

P(7) = 2/100 = 0.02

Sales per dayx

Number of Days, f

0 16

1 19

2 15

3 21

4 9

5 10

6 8

7 2

Page 16: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Example 2 Continued

Create the Probability Distribution using a table:

x

P(x)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

0.16 0.19 0.15 0.21 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.02

Page 17: Introductory Statistics Lesson 4.1 B Objective: SSBAT construct a discrete probability distribution and its graph. SSBAT determine if a distribution is.

Complete Worksheet 4.1B