Inar 413 Lecture 01 PDF
Transcript of Inar 413 Lecture 01 PDF
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INAR 413 BUILDING ECONOMICS
LECTURE 01
INTRODUCTION TO BUILDING ECONOMICS THE CONTEXT
Buildings are expensive. Decisions about investments in buildings usually involve the largest
single-item expenditures most people have to deal with during their life time, even if they are
merely renting an apartment.
Expressed in terms of income, an average suburban house costs up to several times an
individual wage earnersannual salary. Spread out over time as monthly mortgage payments, it
can require anywhere from a quarter to one-half of the monthly family income.
WHAT IS THE SITUATION IN TURKEY?
DO YOU HAVE FRIENDS WHO PAY MORTGAGE FOR THEIR HOME?
WHAT IS THE AVERAGE COST OF AN OVERALL INTERIOR DESIGN PROJECT FOR A
RESIDENTIAL UNIT (APARTMENT FLAT, SUBURBAN HOUSE, LUXURY VILLA) IN ANKARA?
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The initial costs of a building, however, appears quite insignificant when compared with the costs
incurred to operate and maintain a building over its lifetime. For a 20 year period, these costs can
amount to three or four times the initial cost of construction.
Even more impressive is the difference between initial cost and long-term salary expenditures
needed for carrying out the work in a building, for example of a manufacturing firm. The amount
spent on slaries of people working in a building over twenty years can be up to fifty times, or
more, of the initial construction cost.
Reichstag 1894 Reichstag 1945 Reichstag 1999
Reichstag: The seat of the German Parliament in Berlin
Renovation by Norman Foster
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The Challenge to the Interior Architect
One might argue: Why even look at these issues? The interior architect cannot do anything
about them anyway. Most of the significant factors do seem to be under someone elses control.
For example, the interior architect often is under pressure to speed up the delivery of the project,
and thus cut the time spent on designing and other tasks to the minimum.
The clients argument is that time is money, every day that the building cannot be occupied is
costing money in interest for loans and lost rental income.
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Imagine the following situation: It is the crucial
meeting between the client and the interior
architect to negotiate the contract for a large
building project. The negotiation is almost
complete. The client gets ready to sign the
contract and as one of the last points,
attempts to get an agreement on the delivery
date for the preliminary design:
Client:I expect the preliminary drawings Monday
after nextis that OK with you?
Interior Architect: Sure. We can get you the
schematics ready by that date, and you know
you will get a professional solution that meets
the state of the art expectations. But let me
make you a calculation: In the typical project
of this kind, about a quarter of our time and
fee is spent on what we call critical design
time. That is where the important design
decisions are made that will determine the
projects ultimate success architecturally,
functionally, economically. That is where our
firm has earned its reputation for bringing
projects that compare favorably with other
projects. But every solution, no matter how
good can still be improved; for example with
respect to economic performance. So let us
assume that we could further reduce the initialcost of your project by only 1% without
reduction in the quality.
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I.A.: That would be 10.000 TL off your 1 millionTL project. But we would have to spend a littlemore time on it especially in the importantschematic design phase. Interested?
Client:Mm.
I.A.: Would you be willing to let us spend, say,5.000 TL more on critical design time to
achieve this? Over the delivery time of thebuilding say a year, that would be a 2:1ratio ofsavings in initial cost to the investment of theadded design fee.
Client:Not bad, but...
I.A.:At a total interior architectsfee of say, 8%forthe building, which is now going to cost
990.000 TL, that would be roughly 79.000 TLplus 5.000 TL = 84.000 TL, which would beabout an 8,5%fee. In terms of time, the addedeffort and cost would be equivalent to aboutone month in critical design time; twoweeks if we put two people on it.
Client:Well, I dontKnow...
I.A.: There is more. If your building requires aroughly 4 million TL in operating,maintenance, energy and other running costs,over 20 years, one more month of criticaldesign time couls result in a 1% reduction ofthose costs, this would represent a savings-to-
investment ratio of 8:1 (40.000:5.000). At thesame terms as above (aiming at a savings-investment ratio of 2:1), you should be willingto let us spend 20.000 TL more on designtime, for a total fee of around 10%. But what ifwe could actually do it for about the same5.000 TL as above, or one more designermonth. That would give you a return of 40.000TL on an investment of 5.000 TL, whichrepresents an annual return in savings of2.000 TLthat is 40%annually. Which of yourstocks gives you that kind of return?
Client:Now you are talking. How...
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I.A.: Wait; it could get even better. What if we
looked at your actual operation and managed
to develop a layout that would save you 1%on
personnel cost over 20 years? How much do
you spend per year on salaries? 50 peoplein
that size building, at an average annual salary
of, say, 20 million TL over 20 years. One
percent of that is a savings of 200.000 TL, or10.000 TL a year. So, still on the same deal
as for the initial cost (2:1 savings ratio), you
should be willing to let us spend up to 100.000
TL more on design costs and still make
100.000 TL in savings.
Client:Wait a minute...
I.A.:Ok, so what if we could do that for the same
5.000 TL? You would be looking at a return of
200.000 TL on 5.000 TL investment over 20
years, or 10.000 TL each year. That is an
annual return rate of 200%.
Client:That all sound too good to be true. Canyou show me what kind of things you would
do, or where have you done that in a past
project? Can you guarantee the result? Why
cantyou come up with a better solution right
away? Didntyou just argue that gooddesign
is just as cheap as bad designwhen you tried
to snatch the commision away from yourcompetitors? Besides, you forgot to consider
that each month of delay is going to cost me
some 7.000 TL in interest alone...
I.A.:Well, uh, ah...
Client:Have the schematics ready Monday after
next. OK?
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Do we as interior architects have good, convincing answers to these questions?
Clients, especially corporate and government clients, increasingly expect architects to be able to
answer them. As they, and their advisors, become more sophisticated in analyzing their financial
situation, they expect the interior architects to follow suit.
They know that information as well as analytical methods and toolscomputers, programmable
calculators, spreadsheet programs, data services are increasingly available even to the
smallest firms: they expext interior architects to use them. We are running out of excuses for notdoing so...
Inside Interior Architects Head
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The trouble is that we have rarely looked at our tasks that way, and that is why we would have
trouble answering the client's next-to-last question. Backed into the comer, a common reaction on
the part of some interior architects is to let the client negotiate their commission down even
further. (they do not like to talk about this)
A number of years ago I (Thorbjoern Mann) was teaching a design class in a Far Eastern city.
The project was a large downtown office building, using the site and program of an actual project
of this kind. The architect came in to talk to the students, who had spent the first weeks studyingefficient access and service core configurations, massing, and similar issues.
It was amazing to watch the students' astonishment when the architect casually mentioned that
the client had had a team of five financial feasibility advisors work on the project for many months
before the architect was involved. None of the advisors was an architect. They gave him a
program with the complete service core, number of floors, and outside dimensions worked out in
considerable detail, leaving the architect essentially to design a skin around the building.
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The message was clear: The client, a major international corporation, did not seem to have
sufficient confidence in architects' ability to advise on these crucial feasibility considerations even
to make an architect part of this team.
Was this just an isolated incident? The result of some disappointing cost overruns in previous
projects? An indication of a general attitude toward architects? A realistic assessment of the (lack
of) competence of architects? Many architects would disagree especially with the last judgment
some no doubt quite vehemently, and some even with good justification. But even if the client's
attitude were different, how many architects live up to the expectation of reliably carrying out such
feasibility analyses, or are competent members of teams such as the one above?
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My (Thorbjoern Mann) own architectural education hardly mentioned these issues. As a graduate
entering the profession after my first degree, I would have been quite lost had anyone asked me
to estimate the cost, let alone the feasibility or financial performance, of a building. I suspect that
many graduates of schools of architecture today, even practicing architects, are in a similar
situation. It does not have to be this way. In spite of sometimes confusing jargon, and some
fierce-looking mathematical equations, it is quite possible to grasp the basics and to make
building economics just one more of the many balls the architect has to keep juggling, and even
to turn it into an advantage.
Architects like to see themselves as problem-solvers. The economic questions of buildings
always are a major part of the client's problem. We cannot afford to ignore a part of the problem
the client often considers is the most critical oneeven if we ourselves are more concerned with
other facets such as aesthetics, user needs, environmental response, or image. Including
economic factors in our range of design concerns will not compromise our designs; it will make us
better designers. What it takes is, first, a change of attitude.
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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What is Building Economics?
Once we have accepted the challenge of finding out more about building economics, a
reasonable first step is to ask what it is?
Can we define the field?
How does it relate to other fields that also carry the label of economics?Engineering economics
Urban economics
Energy economics
Environmental economics
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What is Building Economics?
Most of these are concerned with what, in general economic theory, would be called
microeconomic analysis (The study of how individual actors in the economic realm make
economic plans and decisions) as opposed to macroeconomics (the study of laws governing the
economy as a whole)
WHERE DO YOU THINK BUILDING ECONOMICS STAND IN ECONOMIC SCALE?
MICROECONOMICS OR MACROECONOMICS?
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Several important directions can be established in building economics. For one, given the
importance of building industry in any national economy, there are important macroeconomic
issues that must be studied and would properly fall under the label of building economics:
What are the relationships between the construction-related segments of the economy and other
fields, and general economic conditions such as those that are influenced by the decisions made
by the government or the central bank?
How can and should areas of vital national importance such as housing be influenced and kepthealthy?
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At the other end of the spectrum are the concerns of the practitioners involved with actual and
specific building projects, studying construction estimating, construction management, project
management, construction financing, and real estate financing. The economics of the various
production processes, including transportation processes, would constitute another complex area
in building economics. All these fields are further divided into areas of concern by building type;
the economics of housing, for example, are quite different from the economics of commercial
projects such as office buildings, shopping centers, or industrial buildings.
Building economics issues, even for specific projects, look quite different to the various actors
involved. The economic decisions for the owner of a building project are embedded in a range of
economic choices going far beyond the building itself, in a way that is of little or no concern to
either interior architect or contractor once the decision has been made to go ahead with a
building.
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Finally, the economics of the process of planning and designing buildings could be seen as a
legitimate subfield of building economics that still is waiting for a systematic treatment, even
though many people have been concerned with this issue in practice.
This survey shows that building economics is far from a well-defined area of study, and that it
would probably be counterproductive to insist on a concise definition, which would either exclude
some of the concerns mentioned or else turn out so broad and general as to be of little practical
value. It should be understood that this course is limited to a particular perspective that of the
interior architect who tries to get a better grasp of the economic implications of his or her
architectural design decisions, and tries to understand how these implications affect others
involved in building projects.
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The Main Aspects of Recurring Building Economics Problems
There are many different decision and design problems in the realm of building economics,
depending on what is known, assumed, or given in a specific situation, and what answers must
be found in that situation.
First is the level at which the decisions are made. The situation that comes to mind most often is
that of the individual decision-makers for a specific project trying to arrive at the best decisions for
that projectsuch as the interior architect trying to design a specific building to best serve the
interests of the project client.
Building economics issues also include the concerns of specific groups involved in the building
process within society or the overall economy, with the aim of safeguarding the interests of those
groups and maintaining or improving their economic position relative to other parties. This can
take two main directions: seeking to maintain or improve the context conditions within which the
group operates; or trying to help members of the group become more competitive and effective
by developing better methods and techniques for doing its work, providing better information and
the analysis tools needed to turn that information into better decisions.
Finally, there is the level of governmental or societal policymaking, which is concerned with the
overall effectiveness of the entire system of building planning, design, production, operation, and
maintenance, and the proper balance among all its parties and components.
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The total number of possible combinations and thus problem types arising from this brief survey
is very large; and not all combinations are necessarily meaningful. The following list includes
some typical building economics problems that often are encountered:
1. Given a solution proposal and established budget, is the proposal within the budget?
2. Given several solution proposals, which will have the lowest initial cost?
3. Given several solution proposals, which will have the best performance (measured in terms of both
costs and benefits)?
4. Given the program, site, and context conditions, find the best possible (optimal) solution.
5. Given the program and performance expectations (cost and other measures), which of several pro-
posed sites is most preferable?
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
Innovation
The driving force behind product innovation is the constant search by companies to retain or
increase their market share., enabling them to grow, survive and to enhance profitability. To be successfull they must produce something cheaper or better to offer an attractive
combination of cost and quality with alternative materials.
What interior architects have to attempt is to keep up with the innovations, constantly estimating
their relative cost and values in particaular uses.
Intermittent Kiln Hoffman Kiln Tunnel Kiln
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
Economies of Scale
Why do economies of scale exist? The reason is sometimes purely mathematical and physical.
Delivering more bricks to construction sites using larger vehicles will reduce the cost of deliveryper brick, simply because the cost of the drivers time and the cost of fuel remain relatively
constant while the number of the bricks delivered increases.
The most significant driving force behind economies of scale is innovation. New methods are
often introduced precisely because they allow more output to be produced at a lower average
cost. Complex and sophisticated machinery will cost more than the simpler early versions they
replace but their output capacity will be so much higher that the capital costs per unit will fall.
?
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
Competition
The most important effect of the combination of technical innovation and scale is on the structure
of the industry itself and through that on the nature of competition. The need for expensive capital equipment to exploit the innovation and the existence of scale
economies will tend to lead to production becoming increasingly dominated by large firms.
Small producers may be neither afford the new equipment or compete on price using traditional
techniques. They may well be driven out of business or taken over by large companies.
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
Modes of Employement
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
Using Avaliable Technology
Nevada, USA
Residential
Development
Namibia, Africa
House
Construction
Saudi Arabia
Water Pipeline
Construction
Kenya, Africa
Clean Water Well
Construction
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
The Future: A Robot Takeover?
GOOD OR BAD?
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Materials, Labour, Physical Capital
The Future: A Robot Takeover?
INTERIOR ARCHITECT OF YEAR 2050?
WHAT IS YOUR OPINION?