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Transcript of Imression Management in Financial Graphs
Impression Management in Financial Graphs
Tofig Aliyev
A dissertation submitted to the University of Bristol in accordance with the requirements of
the degree of Master of Science by advanced study in Accounting, Finance and Management
in the Faculty of Social Sciences and Law.
School of Economics, Finance and Management
Date: 4 September 2014
Word Count: Fourteen thousand and three hundred ninety two (14,392)
Abstract
Recently, researchers have shown an increased interest in investigation of impression
management in financial graphs. Prior literature shows evidence of impression management
techniques (selectivity, graph distortion and presentational enhancement) applied in graph
construction and design. Given the fact, that impression management serves the interests and
motives of the management, and no longer gives an “unbiased, true and fair” image of the
company, then the importance of this problem increases. It is essential to investigate this issue and
develop generally accepted rules and regulations to avoid the usage of impression management
techniques in financial graphs.
This dissertation investigates the existence of impression management techniques in annual
reports of 60 Russian Stock Exchange Listed companies, ranked based on the alteration of their
EBIT figures from 2012 to 2013. Annual reports for the year 2013 are analysed and the obtained
data is examined based on statistical tests. The average number of graphs in annual reports is 20.68,
which is quite high compared to prior literature. Moreover, the dissertation finds that graph usage is
approx. 95 %, while level of distortion of key financial variable graphs is equal to 44 %. Sales,
earnings, EPS and DPS figures are chosen as KFV graphs for the analysis. Results of the
dissertation suggest that, top profitable companies include more KFV graphs than the least
profitable companies, who have nothing to share due to poor performance. Moreover, there is a
strong association between “sales” performance and inclusion of KFV graph, which has not been
found before. Analysis of graph distortion reveals the existence of distortion and existence of non-
compliance with graph design, however, the test of differences between top and bottom profitable
companies demonstrates insignificant results. In addition, specific analysis demonstrate that graphs
are distorted in favourable trend.
Nevertheless, results of the research are reliable and can be used for further investigation, or
may assist investors and shareholders in their investment decisions. Moreover, no research in the
area of impression management in financial graphs of annual reports of Russian companies has
been carried out before.
Dedication and Acknowledgements
First and foremost, I would like to express my gratitude to my supervisor Professor Mike
Jones, for his helpful feedback, kind assistance and priceless support. I would also like to thank my
family, my friends from Azerbaijan and all the new friends that I have met in United Kingdom for
adding truckloads of happiness, motivation, inspiration and support during this year. These people
had invaluable positive impact on me.
I would also like to thank the University of Bristol, and all the staff from Graduate Studies
Office, Library Service and the School of Economics, Finance and Management, who have assisted
me to overcome any academic difficulties, confusions and timely solved any enquiry in a friendly
and professional way. My special thanks to Accommodation Office who helped me with my issue
at the beginning of the academic year. I appreciate all the motivating, inspiring, supporting and
academic environment that the University of Bristol provided through its facilities and scholastic
staff.
My kind words of gratitude to my personal tutor Stuart Cooper for his help and very interesting
lectures of International Financial Accounting, which created my great interest in this area. Special
thanks to academic staff of the University of Bristol, who lectured me during this year: Professor
Stuart Cooper, Professor Sheila Elwood, Dr. Matt Bamber, Dr. Raul Crespo, Dr. Stephen Lyne,
Professor David Dugdale, Professor Paul Grout, Dr. Brian Dangerfield
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AUTHOR’S DECLARATION
I declare that the work in this dissertation was carried out in accordance with the Regulations of the
University of Bristol. The work is original except where indicated by special reference in the text
and no part of the dissertation has been submitted for any other degree.
Any views expressed in the dissertation are those of the author and in no way represent those of the
University of Bristol.
The dissertation has not been presented to any other University for examination either in the United
Kingdom or overseas.
SIGNED: DATE: 4 September 2014
3
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION 6
LITERATURE REVIEW 9
ENVIRONMENT 19
Hypotheses 21
Methods 24
Findings 30
Discussion 43
Conclusion 49
List of References 51
Appendices 57
4
List of Tables
TABLE 1. SUMMARY OF PRIOR FINANCIAL GRAPHS LITERATURE (WITH EXTRA) 17
TABLE 2. SUMMARY OF GRAPH USAGE AMONG RUSSIAN COMPANIES 30
TABLE 3. PERCENTAGE PROPORTION OF KFV GRAPHS OUT OF TOTAL FINANCIAL 31
TABLE 4. SUMMARY OF ANNUAL REPORTS ANALYSIS 32
TABLE 5. SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANCE ANALYSIS OF MEANS OF NUMBER OF GRAPHS (BY CLASSIFICATION) BASED ON TWO-TAILED T-TEST ANALYSIS 33
TABLE 6. SELECTIVITY BIAS OF FAVOURABLE/UNFAVOURABLE GRAPHS BY EACH CLASS 35
TABLE 7. COMPARISON OF MEANS OF KFV GRAPHED BETWEEN MOST AND LEAST PROFITABLE COMPANIES (BASED ON TWO-TAILED T-TEST ANALYSIS) 36
TABLE 8. NUMBER OF COMPANIES WHICH INCLUDED AT LEAST ONE KFV 36
TABLE 9. TEST OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CHANGE OF AMOUNT OF KFV GRAPHS AND PERFORMANCE OF THE COMPANY (SALES AS PERFORMANCE INDICATOR) 37
TABLE 10. DISTORTION OF KFV GRAPHS BASED ON MEAN DISCREPANCY INDEX 39
TABLE 11. SUMMARY OF TWO-TAILED T-TEST ANALYSIS OF MEAN DISCREPANCY INDEX BETWEEN MOST AND LEAST PROFITABLE COMPANIES BASED ON KFV GRAPHS. OTHER TYPES OF GRAPH DISTORTION AND IMPRESSION MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES 41
TABLE 12. SUMMARY OF DISCUSSION AND INVESTIGATION OF ORIGINALITY OF THE RESULTS 43
TABLE 13. COMPARISON OF PRIOR LITERATURE WITH THIS DISSERTATION BASED ON MAIN RESULTS 47
5
List of figures
FIGURE 1. COLUMN TYPE GRAPH (FAVOURABLE TREND). (AEROFLOT ANNUAL REPORT 2013) 26
FIGURE 2. PIE TYPE GRAPH. (ROSTELECOM ANNUAL REPORT 2013) 26
FIGURE 3. LINE TYPE GRAPH (FAVOURABLE TREND). (LUKOIL ANNUAL REPORT 2013) 26
FIGURE 4. NO SCALED TIME AXIS WITHOUT NUMERIC FINANCIAL LABELS 28
FIGURE 5. NO SCALED FINANCIAL VARIABLE AXIS 28
FIGURE 6. SPECIFIER COLOUR OF LAST YEAR DIFFERENT TO PRIOR YEARS 28
FIGURE 7. UNCONVENTIONAL LOCATION OF NUMBER ATTACHED TO INDIVIDUAL SPECIFIER AND THREE-DIMENSIONAL SPECIFIER 29
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Introduction
In the past two decades a number of researchers have sought to determine impression
management in the annual reports of companies. Beattie and Jones (2000) state that impression
management “…occurs, motivated by management’s desire to dictate the corporate reporting
agenda and present a self-serving view of corporate performance. Thus, impression management
conflicts with a commonly expressed purpose of accounting, which is to present fairly annual
financial performance in a neutral, unbiased manner.”
The importance of annual reports as a communication “bridge” between investors,
shareholders, etc. and managers has increased (Lee, 1994; Hanson, 1989). However, recent research
demonstrates that this “bridge” is subject to impression management and sometimes is fairly biased.
The fact that impression management techniques exist in annual reports of companies, decreases
the level of their assurance for effective investment decisions and can lead to a fake image of the
company. This biasedness is presented either in the narratives part or graphic part, which is part of
voluntary disclosure.
Studies done by Paivio (1974) and Lee (1975) reveal the importance of graphs in annual
reports as the main communicative link and “display information in an alternative format to the
traditional alphanumerical table” (Beattie and Jones, 1997), while quantitative research by
Steinbart, 1989; Beattie and Jones, 1992; 1996; 1997; 2000; 2001a; 2001b, Frownfelter and
Fulkerson, 1998 etc. confirm the existence of impression management techniques in graphs. These
techniques are presented in three types: selectivity, distortion and presentation enhancement.
Selectivity is one of the main techniques used by managers, as it involves inclusion or absence of a
particular graph which can change the overall image of the company. In contrast, distortion and
presentational enhancement are directly linked to graph construction and design.
Distortion involves exaggeration or understatement of the graph, while presentation
enhancement relates to non-compliance with generally accepted graph construction and design
regulations. If these information manipulation methods are applied in annual reports, then they will
affect the effectiveness and accuracy of the investors` decision. Although this voluntary disclosure
is a part of financial statements checked and proved by auditors, there is no standard to deal with
impression management in graphs.
Mather et al. provided text from the Statement of Accounting Concepts SAC 2 “…the
objective of general purpose financial reporting is to “provide information useful to users for
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making and evaluating decisions about the allocation of scarce resources” (paragraph 43)”. He
then continues with SAC 3 “that financial information should be representationally faithful and
unbiased”. Referring to SAC 2 and SAC 3, graph distortion or presentational enhancement are
subject to unfaithful and biased disclosure of information, which violates the principles of
accounting standards. Despite the fact that AUP 19(AUS 212) Other Information in Documents
Containing Audited Financial Statements states the importance of checking that additional or
voluntary disclosure information is materially consistent with financial statements, auditors still
avoid considering them in their “check-list”. Unless, generally accepted rules and regulations of
checking graphs are provided, auditors will still avoid investigating their consistency. Hence,
graphs in annual reports will be subject to impression management.
This dissertation will investigate three types of impression management in graphs:
selectivity, graph distortion and presentational enhancement, in the annual reports of 60 Russian
companies listed in the Russian Stock Exchange. Federal Law (2010) in Russia obligates
companies listed in RSE to provide their financial statements in accordance with IFRS, which is the
main reason why the companies listed in RSE are subject to investigation in this dissertation. It is
beyond the scope of this study to examine accounting narratives. Investigation will be based on the
financial year of 2013, while EBIT rank will be provided based on alteration of the performance of
the company from 2012 to 2013.
There has been no other investigation of Russian companies and impression management in
graphs, which increases the importance of this dissertation. The purpose of this dissertation is to
establish: 1) extent of graph usage in Russian companies in general and specific terms (types,
classes, and amount); 2) analyse KFV graphs and identify degree of selectivity, graph distortion and
presentational enhancement applied in their construction; 3) investigate relationship of KFV graphs
and financial performance of the companies, based on their EBIT and Sales performance.
This dissertation is divided in the following way: literature review, environment,
hypotheses, methods, findings and conclusion. The literature review deals with investigation of
prior literature of impression management, focusing on graph usage and distortion; the environment
will provide a short overview of Russia`s current economic position and issues; the hypotheses will
show the main aim of the research, while the methods part will identify the scope of analysis and
tools used for the examination; the findings will provide quantitative information of results with
statistical tests and tables, while the conclusion part will outline limitations and summarise the
research.
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Literature Review
Over the last few years, an increasing interest in investigating strategy and motives for
impression management in corporate annual reports of companies has been noted. A definition of
impression management from an accounting perspective was given by Clatworthy & Jones (2001),
who explained that “impression management involves controlling and manipulating the impression
presented to accounting information users, with a view to strategically manipulate their
perceptions, and eventually, their decisions”(Merkl-Davies & Brennan, 2007, p.116) and it “occurs
when management selects the information to display and presents information in a manner
intended to distort readers` perceptions of corporate achievement” (Godfrey et al, 2003, p.96).
More specifically it is a tool used by managers to manoeuvre information in financial reports and
change the insight of the user (e.g. potential investor, shareholder etc.) (Barnett, 1979). Beattie &
Jones (2000) classified it as presentational management which involves “manipulation of the
content and syntax of accounting narratives, or of presentational formats, such as graphs or
pictures”. They further divided it into three categories “content analysis studies; understability and
readability study; and alternative presentation studies (e.g. graphs, pictures).” As this dissertation is
focused on abuse of graphs in financial reports, content analysis and understability study will not be
considered further. More specifically, analysis of graphs will be divided into three parts: selectivity,
measurement distortion and presentational enhancement. These three terms have been the main
aims of several studies so investigation of prior literature will be consistent with the framework of
analysis provided above.
Beattie and Jones (2000) stated that graphs “… rely on spatial, rather than linguistic,
intelligence”, while Ackerman (1991) noted the importance of graphs as contact between
shareholder, investor and manager “making the process more direct and immediate” (Beattie &
Jones, 2000). Significance of graphs as contact between manager and user of annual reports was
also demonstrated in the study by Paivio (1974). Paivio (1974) showed the supremacy of graphs
from the ability of human memory to remember visual trends (Yan Huang, 2008). Quantitative
investigation of graph usage in annual reports was also conducted by other researchers (McKinstry,
1996; Lee, 1999). Some studies indicated the significance of graphs from understability terms.
Tufte (1983) and several other researchers (Blocher, Moffie and Zmud, 1986; Courtis, 1997)
concluded that understability level of complicated information is higher in graphs than in numerical
tables or words. These supreme characteristics have made graphs one of the most commonly used
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ways of communicating with users (e.g. potential investor, shareholder, etc.) and one of the most
abused terms.
According to Carswell (1991) and Meyer (1997), selectivity and measurement distortion of
graphs can be used for impression management to deviate the overall picture of the company.
Moreover, Steinbart (1989) stated that a graphical picture is “accurate to the extent they lead
viewers to form conclusions consistent with those that would result from more formal quantitative
analysis of the data”. Earlier, Tufte (1983) developed 6 graphic design principles and asserted that
“surface depiction of the graph, must be directly proportional to the underlying numerical values
represented” in order to be accepted as accurate. The main design principles of Tufte (1983) were:
“the depiction of the graph should be directly proportional to any changes in numerical
values”;
“graphs should be clearly labelled, so as to prevent misunderstandings, and the amount of
space used shall be limited”;
“any alterations to graphic design should be able to reflect changes to the numerical
changes”;
“visual effects should not influence or distract the reader, causing him to pay particular
attention to one aspect”;
“when depicting time series information, standardization of currency weightings often are
superior to weightings of varying currencies”;
“The serial information pattern must provide at least 3 information points and depict
accurate information pertinent to the situation” (Yan Huang, 2008).
These 6 principles are used as fundamentals of accurate graph depiction and violation of these
principles leads to “measurement distortion”, which was developed and described in the work by
Beattie and Jones (1992).
The third way of impression management considered by this dissertation was
“presentational enhancement”. Several uses of this term are available for managers, such as: non-
zero axis, broken axis, non-arithmetic scales (Beattie & Jones, 1992) which can be used either to
exaggerate or minimize the pattern depicted in the graph. Non-zero axis is formed “by the
intersection of two perpendicular lines” which are “scaled in equal units from the origin” and it is
“essential to include a zero referent line, since the origin of the two axes in Cartesian space is
usually at the same point (Kosslyn, 1989)” (Beattie and Jones, 1992). As for broken axes or non-
arithmetic, Beattie and Jones (1992) demonstrated that it “also results in distortion, since equal
distances along the axis do not represent equal amounts”. Further developments in the study of
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presentational enhancement were made by Arunachalam and Steinbart (2002), which determined all
the possible ways of presentational enhancement and classified them into 4 categories:
“exaggerating the magnitude of a trend (by scaling the vertical axis improperly, not starting
at the origin, or indicating a discontinuity in the scale), with inappropriate vertical
representations in measurement criteria, such as not starting from the point of origin or non-
continuous measurements”;
“masking graphs (using only one vertical scale to include two variables that differ greatly
in magnitude on the same graph)—such that it may disperse the reader`s attention, easily
resulting in erroneous judgments”;
“reverse annual sequences—most languages are read from left to right; therefore most
people expect to read a graph of time-series data from left to right (Gillian et al., 1998), when
reversing the sequence of years, mistakes in understanding the information due to
carelessness by the reader are common (misunderstanding annual profit increases, for
instance)”;
“Omitting negative value, such as concealing information that shows the company in a bad
light; if the reader doesn`t review in any great detail, then certain information may be
overlooked.” (Yan Huang, 2008).
All of these violations and distortions have led to the development of quantitative analysis
in annual reports to investigate the existence of impression management among them. Most
quantitative analysis of selectivity and measurement distortion of graphs are done based on the “lie
factor” developed by Tufte (1983), which is also considered in this dissertation:
Lie factor = ¿effect shown∈graphic¿effect∈numeric data
Further, this formula was altered by Taylor (1986) and Steinbart (1989) to more of a statistical tool,
to facilitate calculation of distortion in the graphs. The newly developed term was called Graph
Discrepancy Index and was an easier alternative to the “lie factor”:
Graph Discrepancy Index = 100* ((a/b-1),
where
“a – percentage change depicted in graph”,
“b – percentage change in data”.
11
If the result was 0% then it showed that no distortion took place, however deviations greater
than 5% and less than -5% (Mather, 1996) were accepted as materially distorted. GDI was further
used by Steinbart (1989) to analyse 319 companies from Fortune 500 list. He found that “on
average, graphs of the three variables exaggerated the magnitude of change by about 11%”
(Steinbart, 1989). Moreover, it was found that distortion of more than 10% took place in about 26%
of the graphs from annual reports. Furthermore, to analyse reports in selectivity terms, he divided
the companies into two groups “good news companies” and “bad news companies”, from the
change in profit (Steinbart, 1989). His study concluded that “good news companies” had more
intention to add key financial variables in their reports (74% against 53%), while “bad news
companies” had more intention to add distorted graphs— the difference between them was
significant at the 1% and 5% levels, respectively (Steinbart, 1989). As this dissertation applies all
three types of impression management (e.g. selectivity, measurement distortion and presentational
enhancement) to investigate annual reports, relevant prior literature results and conclusions should
be mentioned.
A considerable amount of research has indeed confirmed that corporate annual reports are
manipulated by managers to portray a more favourable view of the company (Beattie & Jones,
1989; 1992; 1997; 2000; 2002; Johnson et al, 1980; Steinbart, 1989; Courtis, 1997; Godfrey et al,
2003; Muino and Trombetta, 2009 and etc.). In general, there were different types of quantitative
analysis: inter-country, two country or single country analysis. Among the inter-country analysis
should be mentioned the studies by Beattie and Jones (1996; 2001a; 2001b), Frownfelter and
Fulkerson (1998).
Beattie and Jones (1996) analysed the top 50 national companies among 6 countries based
on the annual reports of 1991-1992 (Beattie and Jones, 1996). These countries were Australia,
France, Germany, The Netherlands, United Kingdom and United States (Beattie & Jones, 1996).
Findings showed that KFV, which were selected as earnings per share (EPS), dividends per share
(DPS), return on capital employed (ROCE) and cash flow, were graphed by at least 25% of the
companies in each of the countries (Beattie and Jones, 1996). Moreover, results demonstrated a
significant impact on the performance of the companies from the amount and selectivity of KFV
graphed, among the US, UK and Australia (Beattie and Jones, 1996).
A similar sample was used by Beattie and Jones for the (2001a) and (2001b) studies.
Research (2001a) investigated whether each of the countries used different policies in graph
construction, with some focusing more on the German model of construction (Beattie & Jones,
2001a). Across 300 companies examined, only 263 of them (88%) used at least one graph in their
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annual reports, while total graphs were equal to 2364, 515 of which were KFV graphs from 196
countries (Beattie and Jones, 2001a). Statistical analysis showed significant evidence of association
of graphs usage with specific country and with micro/macro variables (Beattie & Jones, 2001a).
Specifically, the study concluded that French companies used the most graphs in their reports (11.0
mean per report), emphasizing more on stocks information and cash flow. Among the micro-
countries, Australia had the greatest number of graphs focusing on prices and raw material products
(Beattie & Jones, 2001a). Overall, the study demonstrated strong results of inter-country variation
in graph usage practices and alteration of graphs usage among micro- and micro-countries. These
conclusions supported hypotheses provided at the beginning of the research and demonstrated
consistency with the previous literature (Beattie & Jones, 2001a).
Following a general analysis, Beattie and Jones (2001b) developed more detailed analysis of
their previous study of inter-country financial graphs. This time Beattie and Jones determined as
their main purpose to investigate selectivity and distortion pattern and examine the possible relation
of graph usage to performance of the company in each of the chosen countries (Beattie & Jones,
2000b). Hypotheses used in this research emphasized widely on investigation of the association
between performance increase/decrease, with KFV graphs included and whether distortion in the
graphs is directed in a favourable pattern (Beattie & Jones, 2001b). Results of graph usage and
means were similar to their previous study: 263 countries (88%) used graphs in their reports, with
graphs totalling 2364 (Beattie & Jones, 2001b). As for conclusions of measurement distortion,
significant evidence was only found in two countries: the US and the Netherlands; also in all of the
countries a favourable trend of graphs was found (Beattie & Jones, 2001b). This supported the
hypothesis of graph distortion in a favourable direction and displayed consistency with prior
literature. In addition, proof of alteration in “measurement distortion” policies across different
countries was also demonstrated.
Contradictory results compared to prior literature were found in the inter-country study by
Frownfelter and Fulkerson (1998). This research was similar to Beattie and Jones’ inter-country
analysis (1997). However, their research classified reports into two major groups U.S and non- U.S
companies listed in the U.S Stock Exchange (Frownfelter & Fulkerson, 1998). Research
investigated 2466 graphs from 74 companies across 12 countries and found that non- U.S
companies had more association of their performance and key financial variables added to the
reports, than U.S companies (Frownfelter & Fulkerson, 1998). This conclusion was contradictory to
Beattie and Jones’ results, where U.S companies showed significant relation to selectivity and
distortion. Moreover, Frownfelter and Fulkerson found materially distorted graphs at the level of
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68% out of which 43% were overstated, which was quite high compared to Beattie and Jones
(1997) (Frownfelter & Fulkerson, 1998).
Two country analysis is not as common in the history of impression management as inter-
country or single country analysis. Among the two country studies is the research by Beattie and
Jones (1997).
This two country study analysed 176 top listed (85 reports) US and (91 reports) UK
companies based on the annual reports of 1990. There had been no inter-country analysis before,
due to difficulties in economic and accounting environments of the countries (Beattie and Jones,
1997). In contrast with previous studies, Beattie and Jones developed a new hypothesis in terms of
“measurement distortion”, which they called “presentational enhancement’. They explained it as a
“departure” from the normative of graph construction, which they listed in the study:
“….the width of specifiers and the spaces between them (interspaces) should be uniform and
neither disproportionately long and narrow nor excessively short and wide; three-dimensional
specifiers should be avoided, since they can lead to perceptual ambiguity; specifiers should be
coloured with care since the human perception of colour is very complex …and the numeric labels
should be located close to the axes, be horizontal, and use a consistent typeface (Kosslyn, 1989)”.
(Beattie and Jones, 1997, p.38)
Findings showed a strong association of company performance in terms of EPS and usage
of at least one key financial variable in the reports (Beattie and Jones, 1997). Similar significance
was found in the association of favourable trend with presence of at least one key financial variable
(e.g. sales, earnings, dividends per share or earnings per share) (Beattie and Jones, 1997). The
results were quite consistent with prior research in terms of selectivity and showed quite a high
outcome for mean graph usage (13% for the US), which was in comparison with research the
highest mean frequency. In terms of “measurement distortion”, the paper found that 24% of KFV
were materially distorted: the highest distortion was in the US with 16% against 7% in the UK
(Beattie and Jones, 1997). These findings contradicted the expectations of Beattie and Jones,
because based on their hypothesis for the research:
“…increased regulatory stringency and more conservative GAAP may “spill over” to
graphical reporting practices, leading U.S companies to undertake less interpretative shading than
U.K companies. This difference may be exacerbated by the more litigious U.S financial reporting
environment.” (Beattie and Jones, 1997, p.41).
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However, results showed a significantly high level of distortion and manipulation of corporate
reports in the U.S compared to the U.K. Nevertheless, this dissertation is a single country (Russia
focused) study, therefore inter-country analysis won`t be considered further. In contrast, single
country analysis has the most number of studies and is methodologically closer to this dissertation.
One of the first single country analyses was done by Johnson, Rice and Roemmich, who
analysed 50 annual reports over the period 1977-1978 of US companies, which were selected
randomly from Fortune 500 list. Results of their research showed that at least one incorrect graph
was depicted in 42% of the annual reports, while 29, 5% of all graphs (423 graphs in total) were
constructed incorrectly (Johnson et al, 1980). However, to what extent the graphs were distorted or
level of selectivity were not considered in their work.
Beattie and Jones (1992) analysed “use and abuse” of graphs in the 1989 annual reports of
240 UK listed companies. Hypotheses were developed in two directions: selectivity and
measurement distortion of graphs (Beattie & Jones, 1992). For the analysis of selectivity,
companies were divided into two groups: ones with good performance and with bad performance,
in terms of Earnings per share (EPS) and change in Key Financial Variable (KFV). Results showed
a significant relation between companies with good performance and amount of KFV graphed in
the reports (Beattie & Jones, 1992). The second part of the study concerned “measurement
distortion” analysis with classification of favourable and unfavourable trends in graphs. Findings
were that 76% of graphs were distorted for a favourable trend, and only 24% an unfavourable trend
(Beattie & Jones, 1992). This research indicated the vast spread of graph usage among companies
and significant difference in graph distortion level between “good and bad” performing companies
with a mean discrepancy index of 10.7% (Beattie & Jones, 1992).
According to CICA, which studied 200 annual reports of Canadian listed companies for
1991, 83% of them used graphs, with “sales, earnings” most frequently used (CICA, 1993). This
study didn`t consider any analysis in terms of distortion or selectivity level (CICA, 1993). In
contrast, research by Mather et al (1996) found no relationship between companies’ performance
and graphs used in annual reports. Although the research concluded that 80% of companies used
graphs in annual reports, evidence of selectivity was not found among the main sample of the top
50 Australian companies (Mather et al, 1996). Nevertheless, analysis of 100 more Australian listed
small companies in 1 year term target found evidence of a relationship with distortion level at 16.4
%. In addition, graph usage of small companies was 73% compared to 80% in big companies.
Overall, results of the study led to contrary conclusions compared with the prior literature:
15
“The relationship between distortion of graphs and company performance was also
addressed. Using either the year-to-year change in operating profit before tax or the change in the
variable being graphed as measures of performance, no significant overall relationship between
distortion and company performance was found. This contrasts with both UK and US studies.”
(Mather et al, 1996, p.62).
Relationship of corporate performance and usage of graphs was also studied in the research
by Beattie and Jones (2000). No work has been done before with time-series analysis in order to
follow changes in graph construction policy of the companies based on their performance results.
Beattie and Jones (2000) used in their research annual reports of 137 UK companies that were
performing in the 1988-1992 time period (Beattie & Jones, 2000). The companies were selected
from the top 500 UK companies by using a sampling method (each 2nd in the list) and were asked to
send their reports annually (Beattie and Jones, 2000). Results demonstrated strong support of the
existence of graph selectivity manipulation. Specifically, it was noted in two (EPS and Income) out
of four KFVs used in the reports which are assumed as the main determinants of decisions (Beattie
& Jones, 2000). Beattie and Jones asserted that the increase in performance of EPS and Income
influenced the decision of management to add graphs of EPS and Income, while a decrease led to
the absence of these graphs in annual reports (Beattie and Jones, 2000). Considering that among
prior literature all the analysis was done in cross-sectional data format, time-series analysis gave a
new approach to analyse the impression management problem. Moreover, results showed
significant evidence of selectivity manipulation, which again confirmed the existence of impression
management in the annual reports of the companies.
An alternative type of impression management analysis was done by Shaio Yan Huang
(2008). Huang (2008) stated that graphs are mainly used to show comparative information rather
than numerical information. His study investigated direction of usage of graphs, impression
management techniques and how this all can be used to manipulate investors’ decision (Huang,
2008). Methods used by Huang are quite different from prior literature, because he simulated and
created a fictional company, the annual reports of which were given to participants of the
experiment, who were assumed as potential investors. Simulation consisted of three different
scenarios: information of numerical table, non-distorted graphs information, distorted graphs
information (Huang, 2008). His results on sources of investment decisions demonstrated that,
investors mostly used newspaper information (over 65%), while website and magazine information
took 2nd and 3rd places (Huang, 2008). Moreover, this research gave quite significant results for the
potential power of graphs in impression management:
16
“In addition, we found that participants given numeric tabulations of financial information
in experiment 1 made more conservative investment decisions than those given non-distorted
graphs of financial information. This is in accordance with the predication of the hypothesis and
consistent with prior research (Tufte, 1983; Anderson, 1983; Jarett, 1993).These results also
indicate that using graphs to express financial information certainly creates a different
impression.” (Huang, 2008, p.52)
Huang (2008) also found that 25.68% of websites already used distorted graphs and therefore,
suggested developing regulations over graph construction and disclosure. Together these studies
provide important insights into the concept of impression management. Research from 1980 to
1999 was summarized in a table provided by Beattie and Jones (2001); this table was expanded by
adding recently published studies which were also considered above in the literature review for
some general analysis:
Table 1. Summary of prior financial graphs literature (with extra)
Country Companies studied
Graph usage (%)
Mean number
of graphs
Most frequently graphed variables
Johnson et al.
(1980) US
125 graphs from 50 Fortune 500
annual reports for 1977 and 1978
Not reported 8.5 Not given
Steinbart (1989)
US
319 Fortune 500 annual reports for
1986 79 8.0Sales, net income,
dividendsBeattie and
Jones
(1992)
UK240 large
companies in 1989 79 5.9Sales, earnings before tax, EPS,
DPS
Green et al.
(1992)Republic of
Ireland
117 semi state sector and public
limited companies 54 6.0 Not givenCICA
(1993)Canada
200 companies in 1991 83 8.4
Sales, earnings, shareholders` equity, assets
Mather et al.
(1996) Australia
a) 43 top Australian listed
and b) 44 not-for-profit entities in 1991 and 1992
a)83b)73
Not given
Sales, earnings, EPS, dividends
Beattie and Jones
(1997)UK/US
176 leading companies, 1990
annual reports UK 80US 92
UK 7.7US 13.0
Sales, earnings, EPS, DPS
17
Frownfelter and Fulkerson
(1998)
US/Non-US 74 companies Not reported Not reported
Key financial variable
Beattie and Jones
(1999)
Australia 89 leading Australian listed
companies
89 9.4Sales, earnings,
EPS, DPS
Beattie and Jones
(2000)
UK137 top leading UK companies Not reported
Varies across time-series
EPS, Income, Sales, DPS
Beattie and Jones
(2001a)
Australia, France,
Germany Netherlands,
UK, US
50 top companies from each country,
300 overallMore than
80%Varies
from 4.0 to 14.0
Sales, Income, EPS
Beattie and Jones
(2001b)
Australia, France,
Germany Netherlands,
UK, US
50 top companies from each country,
300 overall88%
Varies across
countries
Sales, Income, EPS
Shaio Yan Huang
(2008)
TaiwanFictional company
created as case study
Not applicable
Not applicab
le
Not applicable
Source: “A six country comparison of the use of graphs in annual reports” (Beattie and Jones, 2001, p.198)
Prior literature shows that “impression management” techniques, like “selectivity” and
“measurement distortion” in graphs are widely used in companies` annual reports to show poor
performance in a better way (Johnson et al, 1980; Steinbart, 1989; Beattie and Jones, 1992, 1999,
2000, 2001a, 2001b; Green et al, 1992; CICA, 1993; Mather et al, 1996; Huang, 2008). Graphs
have potential power to influence the decision of investors and can easily lead to an untrue vision of
the company (Huang, 2008) through manipulating techniques. It was also concluded that this
manipulation was directed towards a favourable trend. This dissertation will focus on the
construction, usage, type (pie, bar, line) preference, relation of selectivity level to overall
performance of the company and distortion of graphs in annual reports of 30 most profitable and 30
least profitable Russian stock exchange listed companies, ranked by Earnings before Tax and
Interest (EBIT). Prior literature investigations will be used as a base for the methodology and for
comparison of final outcome.
18
Environment
The economic environment of Russia for 2013 can be characterised as unstable. Although
ranking of the companies for the year 2013 shows that there are still well performing ones, the main
big industrial companies are mainly placed in the least profitable list. Such companies as Gazprom,
Vimpelcom, and Severstal were the main victims of macroeconomic slowdown. Moreover, even
companies listed in profitable ones such as Gazprom Neft, VTB Bank, Rostelecom, Tatneft did not
have any notable performances either (growth of EBIT was lower than 10%). Government
forecasted growth for the end of the year was 3%, while President Vladimir Putin pointed out that
the economy would reach 5 % growth (Ministry of Economic Development, 2013). However,
neither of the government forecasts matched the predictions. In reality, the economy went down by
approx. 2 % from 2012 performance, which resulted in many cases of stagnation among the biggest
industrial companies. Even oil and gas companies became victims of the overall slowdown.
Analysts point out political and economic explanations of these issues; however, research of
profitable companies was the main problem of this dissertation data analysis.
A future decreasing trend of the economy is forecasted due to sanctions from EU countries
and the U.S, which can have disastrous outcomes for companies who are mainly focused on export
of industrial products (such as Rosneft, Novatek, Gazprom, etc.). Extracts from economic analyst
journals are provided for some clarification of issues faced by the Russian economy and companies
as well (World Bank, Bloomberg):
“Russia’s economy is navigating an economic downturn with real GDP growth slowing to
an estimated 1.3 percent in 2013 from 3.4 percent of 2012. In the past, the lack of comprehensive
structural reforms was masked by a growth model based on large investment projects, continued
increases in public wages, and transfers – all fuelled by sizeable oil revenues. Recent events around
the Crimea crisis have compounded the lingering confidence problem into a confidence crisis and
more clearly exposed the economic weakness of this growth model.”
(World Bank, Russia Overview)
19
“Russia’s economy grew at less than half the previous year’s pace in 2013, missing
economist forecasts as investment fell amid a record slump in Europe. Officials warned the outlook
remains weak for this quarter. Russia’s dollar-denominated RTS stock index has lost 9.7 percent
this year, underperforming the MSCI Emerging Market Index, which has dropped 7.1 percent, data
compiled by Bloomberg show. The ruble has lost 7 percent against the dollar, making it the third-
worst performer this year among 24 emerging-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg.”
(Bloomberg, Olga Tanas, “Russian Economic Growth Slows than Estimated in 2013”)
Those political issues and forecasted slowdown in GDP growth of external analysts had a harmful
impact on the performance of Russian companies. Most of the companies used the policy of
reduction of workers and some of them borrowed huge loans for further development (Bloomberg,
2013). The issues described above are the main obstacles that Russian companies faced and which
led to enormous numbers of losses as seen in the tables (See Appendix 2).
20
Hypotheses
The vast majority of prior literature proved the existence of “impression management” in
corporate annual reports of companies. As annual reports are assumed to be the main
“communication device” and graphs are used for portraying the image of the company (Kosslyn,
1989), then the significance of analysing the problem increases. Till Steinbart`s (1989) study, all
previous single-country analyses investigated the usage of graphs in annual reports with some
extension on graph construction (Jarett, 1983; Taylor and Anderson, 1983 etc.). However, to
identify “impressions management” in annual reports, those studies had many limitations. In order
to identify “impressions management” Beattie and Jones (1992) developed “measurement
distortion” and analysed corporate annual reports from a selectivity perspective, by using Tufte`s
“lie factor” model called “Graph Discrepancy Index”. Following this research, many other
researchers used similar methodology in investigating “impressions management” and got very
significant results. By examining the association between good performance and increase/decrease
of graphs, researchers found quite important proof of graph manipulations in annual reports. For
example, Steinbart (1989) found that “good news” companies had more intention to add (74%)
KFV graphs in annual report than companies with “bad news” (53%). Later studies show a similar
positive relation of companies’ good performance with KFV graphs added in annual reports
(Beattie and Jones, 1992; 1997; Mather et al, 1996 etc.). Moreover, Beattie and Jones (2000)
identified a strong association of changes in certain performance variables with inclusion of graphs
in the annual report. This dissertation will examine the annual reports of Russian Stock Exchange
listed companies by known methods described earlier in prior literature. Therefore, the first two
hypotheses will be developed from a “selectivity” analysis perspective:
Hypothesis 1
Number of key financial variable graphs will be higher in annual reports of “most
profitable” companies, rather than “least profitable”, in terms of earnings before interest and tax,
as a profit indicator.
The first hypothesis as mentioned before deals with the “selectivity” problem in corporate
annual reports. This hypothesis assumes that “most profitable” companies which were identified
21
and ranked (see Appendix 1,2) by earnings before tax and interest, will have more intention and
motive to show their good performance by key financial variables, rather than “least profitable”
companies which will prefer using a “concealment” (Merkl-Davies & Brennan, 2007) technique
and focus on other indicators. This is consistent with the hypothesis developed earlier and will
assist showing the “selectivity” level in annual reports.
Hypothesis 2
“Most profitable” companies will have more intention to include graphs of key financial
variables in annual reports, rather than “least profitable” companies, in terms of the sales variable
graphed.
The second hypothesis deals with the “selectivity” issue as well, but has a more specific
purpose. While the first hypothesis analyses “selectivity” by companies` rank in terms of EBIT, this
hypothesis examines whether increase/decrease in sales has an association with increase/decrease of
KFV in total or separately (earnings, sales, earnings per share and dividends per share). In other
words, this hypothesis will assist in investigating the possible association of inclusion “sales” graph
with other key financial variables. This is also consistent with prior literature. Moreover, this type
of analysis was provided by Beattie and Jones (1992) when they determined the association of EPS
with other key financial variables. This dissertation will follow the prior method but will focus on
the association of “sales” variable with other key financial variables.
Furthermore, prior studies also investigated the existence of “measurement distortion” based
on Tufte`s “lie factor”, developed later by Steinbart et al. as the “Graph Discrepancy Index”. His
study identified that 24 % of graphs were materially distorted by over 10 %, while most materially
distorted graphs (76%) were distorted in a favourable trend (Steinbart, 1989). Similarly, Beattie and
Jones (1997) found graph distortion of 24 % of graphs, Frownfelter and Fulkerson found graph
distortion of 68 % of graphs, while Mather et al. found 51 % of graphs distorted with “32 %
exaggerated and 19 % understated” (Mather et al, 1996, p.61). All of the prior literature used the
new “Graph Discrepancy Index”. This dissertation will use the same method of identification, by
following the analyses done earlier. Although most of the studies took a 10 % cut-off as material
distortion normative (Steinbart, 1989) or didn`t give any normal cut-off at all (Beattie and Jones,
1997), this dissertation will follow the value of 5 % given in the study by Mather et al (1996).
Therefore, +5 % will be assumed as exaggeration and -5 % as understatement, which “… follows
Tufte and is consistent with Beattie and Jones” (Mather et al, 1996, p.58).
22
Hypothesis 3
Measurement distortion will be used to give a more favourable image of the company,
rather than unfavourable.
As mentioned earlier, “impression management” should be analysed also in terms of
“measurement distortion”. Beattie and Jones (1992) developed this type of hypothesis to examine
UK companies` annual reports. The hypothesis itself is consistent with prior literature (Steinbart,
1989) and assumes that companies will have more motive to add a favourable graph in annual
reports rather than an unfavourable, or the graph discrepancy index will be directed in a favourable
trend. This means that companies will try either to exaggerate a favourable trend or understate an
unfavourable, which both support hypothesis 3.
Hypothesis 4
Measurement distortion of key financial variables is more likely to be found in “least
profitable” companies, rather than “most profitable”, in terms of mean discrepancy index.
This hypothesis has not been investigated before, however this can be matched with
research of Beattie and Jones (1997) where they assumed that UK companies will have more
distortion in graphs than US due to lack of regulatory stringency. It is more or less similar, however
this dissertation is going to investigate the intention of companies to distort graphs. In other words,
hypothesis 4 supposes that the “most profitable” companies due to better performance will have
less intention to distort graphs than “least profitable” who, due to worse performance, have to
understate decreasing graph or use other techniques to manipulate visually the readers of annual
reports.
23
Methods
The top 30 and bottom 30 most profitable Russian Trading System listed companies were
chosen for this dissertation (see Appendix 1 and 2). All of them were chosen from the list of Stock
Exchange Daily Official List (SEDOL) using Thomson One Banker financial software. Firstly, they
were sorted by market capitalization, so only companies with quite big market capitalization were
chosen. In practice only companies with big capitalization and shareholders use assistance of
international auditors and produce their annual reports based on international standards. Secondly,
companies were sorted by industries where they function. As mentioned before, companies are
listed in the Stock Exchange Daily Official List (SEDOL) and their identification codes were
obtained from Thomson One Banker software, included in column 2 of both tables.
For the first part of the analysis, ranking of the companies by earnings before interest and
tax was needed. Therefore, after listing the companies, all the financial figures (EBIT) were
collected from Thomson One Banker software for financial years 2012 and 2013. They are all
presented in US dollars ($) and were listed in columns 3 and 4 of the tables, respectively. In order
to rank the companies by earnings before interest and tax, it was best to alter this figure from 2012
to 2013. That means, companies with positive outcome were listed in 30 most profitable, while
companies with negative outcome in least 30. For this purpose, 2012 was chosen as the base year,
after that change in figures from 2012 to 2013 was divided by earnings before tax and interest of
2012, which gave the final outcome. Afterwards, companies were ranked and listed by EBIT
change, presented in column 5 of the tables. List of revenues of companies in 2013 presented in
column 6 is to show that neither of the companies made negative revenue in 2013, though they are
divided into two groups based on change of EBIT figure. In addition, all the figures presented in the
tables were sorted into 000 $ term, for easiness and normal presentation.
From the table of most profitable companies it can be seen that the most profitable company
in terms of EBIT was electricity company RAO Energy System of East which had a 192% change
in EBIT figure. This is due to the negative EBIT figure in 2012, which changed to positive in 2013.
This is similar to the company ranked second in the table AFI development from the real estate
industry. The company changed its EBIT figure from negative -7,284 $ to positive 6,470, which in
the end gave a 188 % alteration in figures. Phosagro is the company listed third in the list of most
24
profitable companies and is the only one with both positive figures of EBIT for 2012 and 2013 but
with more than a 100% change in EBIT figure (169 %). Although the company has quite a low
market capitalization compared with other top 30 companies, the figures of the company show
quite a strong performance. As for the bottom 3 companies from the list of most profitable, the
worst performer is Gazprom Neft; being part of the huge Gazprom holding didn`t help the company
to overcome their issues, which led to a 1% increase in EBIT figure for the year 2013. The second
worst performer in the list is also an oil company, known as Tatneft. Although the company has
market capitalization less than Gazprom Neft, for the year 2013 it had a 3 % increase in EBIT
figure. Third place is the only representative of the finance sector in the list, VTB Bank which had a
5 % increase in EBIT figure.
The table of least profitable companies has quite high figures of change compared to most
profitable, where percentage of change didn`t exceed a level of 192 %. The company with the worst
performance and therefore with the highest loss in the list is Federal Grid Company of Unified
Energy. Although the company had 9, 479 million in earnings before interest and tax in 2012, it
posted a loss of -287,881 million for the financial year 2013. The change in percentage is quite
enormous (equal to -3137 %) for a company with just 74 million in capitalization. Second in the list
of worst performers is a well-known Russian company in the metal industry UC Rusal. It can be
seen that the company had a negative EBIT figure in 2012, but it couldn`t overcome this issue in
2013 which led to higher loss resulting in a -1364 % change in EBIT figure. The third company in
the rank of worst performers is Raspadskaya Coal, which is a representative of the coal industry in
Russia. The company, with only 445 million earnings before interest and tax, posted a loss of -3387
million in 2013 which led to a change in EBIT of -761 %. Companies with quite a small percentage
decrease in the list were Alrosa with -2 %, Territorial Generating Company with -3% and the whole
holding Gazprom -4 %.
After finishing sorting and ranking the companies in the tables (see Appendix 1 and 2), the
next stage was downloading their annual reports for the financial year 2013. All the reports were
accessed through their websites and sorted in the folders manually. As the dissertation investigated
annual reports for two purposes: selectivity and graph distortion, overall manual work with annual
reports was also divided into two stages.
The first stage consisted of manual analysis of the annual reports in terms of “selectivity”
distortion. For this stage, it was chosen to classify graphs by their main functional purposes:
operating, financial, market, environment, social and then by types of graphs used in annual reports:
bar/column, pie, line which is consistent with prior literature (Beattie and Jones, 1992; 1997).
25
Operating graphs consisted of non-financial performance graphs like efficiency, productivity,
number of sales, expenses etc. provided in non-financial figures (tonne, kilogram etc.); financial
graphs like key financial variables (sales, earnings, earnings per share, dividends per share) and
other financial graphs (expenses etc.) were considered in “financial” type; market type was added
because the vast majority of Russian companies prefer comparing their performance with the
performance of other companies in the same industry (especially most profitable companies);
environment and social types were added as they always exist in worldwide practice showing high
quality of safety without any harm to the environment. In addition, graphs were also sorted by the
pattern they are showing: favourable or unfavourable. Favourable trend is assumed as increasing
pattern (for example sales, earnings) or decreasing pattern of bad performance (number of workers
died, accidents etc.), while unfavourable trend is assumed as decreasing pattern (for example sales,
earnings etc.) or increasing pattern of bad performance (number of workers died, accidents etc.).
This is consistent with prior literature, which also sorted favourable and unfavourable trend graphs
for the purposes of analysis in selectivity level. Simultaneously, graphs were also sorted by their
generic type being divided into three groups: bar, type and line (examples provided below):
Figure 1. Column type graph (Favourable Trend). (Aeroflot Annual Report 2013)
Figure 2. Pie type graph. (Rostelecom Annual Report 2013)
26
Figure 3. Line type graph (Favourable Trend). (Lukoil Annual Report 2013)
A similar method was used to analyse specifically KFV graphs in the top 30 profitable and bottom
30 profitable companies. Moreover, analysis described above was applied separately for the
purposes of comparison and the final outcome is presented in tables (see Appendix 3 and 4).
The second stage of analysis investigated “measurement distortion” in graphs sorted earlier.
For this purpose Tufte`s “Lie Factor” formula, which was then developed by Taylor and Anderson
(1986) into the Graph Discrepancy Index was used:
Graph Discrepancy Index = ( ab
- 1) x 100 %,
where
a = percentage change (in cms) depicted in graph, i.e.
height of last column−height of first columnheight of first column
x 100 %
b = percentage change in data
(Beattie and Jones, 1992, p.295)
As seen from the formula, method is only able to analyse bar/column type graphs, therefore
all other type of graphs were ignored. Moreover, investigation was aimed specifically at KFV
graphs, therefore bar/column type graphs portraying KFV were selected. Afterwards, using a virtual
tool “ruler” graphs were analysed manually and their heights were sorted. Using the formula
suggested by Taylor and Anderson (1986) the percentage of distortion was calculated for each of
the graphs and choosing normative of 5 or -5 % distortion (suggested by Tufte 1983), the total
number of distorted graphs was sorted out. Simultaneously, graphs were also sorted by “non-
compliance with normative graph construction and design principles” (Beattie and Jones, 1997).
27
Following the research by Beattie and Jones (1997), where graphs at the end of the analysis
were investigated in terms of non-compliance with graph design principles, this dissertation chose 6
main components from that research and analysed the graphs of Russian companies. Those 6
chosen components were the main problems of Russian companies (from observation) and were as
follows:
Figure 4. No scaled time axis without numeric financial labels
Magnit`s sales performance graph. (Magnit Annual Report 2013)
Figure 5. No scaled financial variable axis
Gazpromneft`s revenue graph. (Gazpromneft Annual Report 2013)
Figure 6. Specifier colour of last year different to prior years
CTC`s group revenue graph. (CTC Annual Report 2013)
28
Figure 7. Unconventional location of number attached to individual specifier and three-dimensional specifier
Arzamas`s revenue graph. (Arzamas Annual Report 2013)
Analysis described was presented in table format (see Tables list) and differences were examined
further on two-tailed t-test, also presented afterwards in table format. Methods used for analysis of
both hypotheses: “selectivity” and “graph distortion” are consistent with prior literature;
furthermore, the number of graphs and their final outcome will be compared to prior literature
(given in Discussions).
29
Findings
Quantitative analysis of the hypothesis will be presented in the Findings part by tables of
comparison between the top 30 most profitable and least profitable companies. Moreover, for the
purpose of the investigation whether the outcome has a significant impact either on the topic or the
difference between the two types of company, numerical tables with t-test will be provided. Both
one tailed and two tailed analysis were used in this dissertation: if analysis of effect was important
then one tailed; if analysis of effect and significance in both directions was important then two-
tailed t-test was applied. As the hypotheses for this dissertation investigate two aspects:
“selectivity” and “measurement distortion”, then the findings part will be divided into two parts as
well.
Table 2. Summary of graph usage among Russian companies
Panel A
Reports with at least one graph and total number of graphs
Operational Financial Market Environment Social TotalReports with graph (at least one graph) 57 57 46 37 44 57Total number of graphs 360 457 117 100 168 1241
Panel B
Type of graphs preference by Russian companies
Type Number of graphs Percentage Total
30
Bar/Column 917 74% 1241
Pie 181 15% 1241
Line 104 8% 1241
Table 2 provides general information about graph usage in 60 annual reports of Russian
companies. In total 1241 graphs were analysed and sorted out from 60 annual reports, which gave a
mean usage of graphs per annual report equal to 20.683. This is quite a high mean number
compared to prior literature which shows that graph usage among companies has rapidly increased
in the last decade. The highest mean graph usage was obtained in the research by Beattie and Jones
(2001a) equal to 14.0.
High mean demonstrates that Russian companies have intention and quite developed
practice in graph usage. Moreover, Table 2 provides us with some detailed analysis by each
classification of graph. Financial and operational graphs dominate among other classes by 4 and 3
times respectively, which shows high interest of Russian companies in portraying their performance
either by product or financially than focusing on market comparison, environment problems or
social issues.
The first line of Table 2 also provides us with aggregate information of graph usage per 60
annual reports, which demonstrates that 57 companies out of 60 investigated included at least 1
graph in their annual report. Moreover, from the analysis of Appendix 3 and 4, it can be seen that
those 3 companies which avoided the usage of graphs in their annual reports are listed among the
30 least profitable companies. The smallest number is the “environment” class of graphs: 23
companies out of 60 had absence of graphs on environment problems and development;
interestingly, 15 companies out of those 23 are also listed among the least profitable companies.
Identical pattern was noted among “market” and “social” classes of graphs; all of them have most
graph absence from the bottom listed companies. Moreover for general analysis, graphs were
divided by type (e.g. bar, pie, line) which can be seen in Table 2.
Results show that the vast majority of companies prefer using bar/column type graphs, as 74
% of the total amount of graphs were bar/column type. Further analysis will show association of
bar/column type graphs to most profitable companies and link to KFV graphs, which are the main
reasons for such an excessive result.
This is also consistent with Beattie and Jones (1992) equal to 63%, Beattie and Jones (1997)
equal to 79 % and 62.4 % for U.S and U.K, respectively. As our dissertation is focused mainly on
31
investigation of KFV graphs, general analysis of KFV was also conducted. Summary of the
analysis given in the table below will be useful for future investigation of hypotheses. Table 3
represents percentage proportion of total KFV graphs in each type of company out of the total
amount of financial graphs:
Table 3. Percentage proportion of KFV graphs out of total financial
Total KFV Total Financial Percentage out of total
Top Profitable 104 324 32.10%
Bottom Profitable 27 172 15.70%
As can be seen, the proportion of total KFV graphed is two times the difference between top and
bottom companies.
This is consistent with “selectivity” level hypothesis, that profitable companies will prefer
showing their good financial performance, while bottom companies will prefer concealing it from
the reader. This is consistent also with prior literature and significant at the 1% level based on two
tailed T-test analysis. For more specific analysis, from Appendix 1 and Appendix 2 the reports are
provided below (Table 4):
Table 4. Summary of annual reports analysis
Panel A
Most Profitable Companies
Operational
Financial
Market
Environment Social Total
Favourable
Unfavourable
Bar/Column Pie Line
Total 153 311 79 52 81 702 616 86 533 108 61
Mean 5.1 10.3 2.6 1.73 2.7 23.4 20.5 2.9 18.9 3.6 2.0St. Deviation 3.2 4.1 2.3 1.9 2.3 14.4 12.5 2.8 11.7 2.4 2.9
Panel B
Least Profitable Companies
Operational
Financial
Market
Environment Social Total
Favourable
Unfavourable
Bar/Column Pie Line
Total 194 172 38 48 87 539 329 210 423 73 43
Mean 6.4 5.7 1.2 1.6 2.9 17.9 10.9 7 13.1 2.4 1.4
32
St. Deviation 3.7 3.3 1.6 2.3 3.2 9.6 7.2 4.9 9.1 2.2 1.4
It is apparent from these two tables that “operational” graphs which present performance of
the company, dominate in least profitable companies. It can be assumed that least profitable
companies try to “conceal” their bad financial performance and enhance the attention of the reader
on performance indicators. With a high number of “operational” graphs a company can also show
that they did well, however some external factors had a negative impact on financial performance.
Difference between means of “operational” graphs is not significant in two-tailed t-test, which
again demonstrates the intention of Russian companies to portray their performance, even if
financially they are weaker. In contrast, financial graphs which also contain KFV graphs, have
quite notable difference in numbers.
It was anticipated before when Hypothesis one was developed, and it can be seen even
without specific KFV analysis that the most profitable companies prefer demonstrating their good
financial performance than least profitable, who have nothing financially strong to show.
Table 5. Summary of significance analysis of means of number of graphs (by classification) based on two-tailed T-test analysis
Top Profitable Companies
Bottom Profitable Companies
T-test (two-tailed)
Probability Level
Operational 5.1 6.46 0.8989 0.3724
Financial 10.36 5.73 4.3495 0.0001***
Market 2.63 1.26 4.4334 0.0001***
Environment 1.73 1.6 0.9996 0.3217
Social 2.7 2.9 0.1376 0.891
Total 23.41 17.96 2.9842 0.0042***
Favourable 20.5 10.96 5.1283 0.0001***
Unfavourable 2.91 7 3.9518 0.0002***
Bar/Column 17.9 14.1 1.7737 0.0814*
Pie 3.6 2.43 1.1973 0.2361
Line 2.08 1.43 1.085 0.2824Notes: * Significant at 1% level
** Significant at 5% level
*** Significant at 10% level
Analysis of difference based on two tailed t-test also supports this expectation at the 1%
level, with t-test value of 4.3495. Moreover, this is consistent with prior literature analysis of
financial graphs, where selectivity level of portraying financial graphs in profit (so called “good
news” companies) was high.
33
Another significant difference in analysis was obtained from number of “market” graphs
between top and bottom companies. As defined before, “market” graphs in this dissertation show
the number of graphs used by companies to compare their performance either financial or non-
financial with other companies` performance in the same industry. T-test value of difference is
4.4334 (1 % level) based on two tailed analysis, which can be linked to the absence of something to
compare.
In other words, the least profitable companies know that their bad performance cannot be
compared to others in the same industry; in order to avoid comparison with potential competitors,
they choose not to include such graphs. However, most profitable companies in order to strengthen
their position for the reader of annual reports, demonstrate their leading position in the industry by
such graphs.
As for the other two classes of graphs: “environment” and “social”, analysis of t test shows
absence of significance in difference of means, which supports the preliminary supposition that
neither top nor bottom companies focus much on portraying these type of graphs. Both of them
failed significance analysis based on two tailed t-test.
Nevertheless, total mean usage of graphs has a significant difference between most and least
profitable companies; t-test shows strong value of 2.9843 with significance at 1% level, based on
two tailed t-test. This outcome confirms again, that quite a high majority of bottom companies
refuse to portray their poor performance. This issue was also met before in analysis by Beattie and
Jones (1992), where lack of significance in “measurement distortion” analysis was associated with
low number of graphs in the annual reports of “bad news” companies.
For the specific analysis of “selectivity” level and support of Hypothesis 1, investigation of
KFV graphs and favourable/unfavourable trend used in graphs was conducted (Table 5). As seen
from the table, t-test analysis of trends classification of graphs (e.g. favourable and unfavourable)
has strong values. Both of them have quite a large difference in total amount (see Table 5), which
was expected due to results of prior literature. Favourable graphs have a t-test value of 5.1283 with
significance at the 1% level, which is due to an excess of favourable graphs in the profitable
companies approximately two times compared to least profitable companies. This is due to the
intention of profitable companies to use graphs to show good financial and non-financial
performance, while most favourable graphs of the bottom companies are associated with other
types of operational performance or a little of financial performance. This can be seen from the two
tables, presenting analysis of selectivity bias of favourable/unfavourable graphs by each class of
graphs (Table 6).
34
Although unfavourable graphs also have a strong value of t-test equal to 3.9518 with
significance at the 1% level, this time the vast majority of them are associated with graphs
portrayed in annual reports of the least profitable companies (see Table 5). It can be also associated
with the “honesty” of companies portraying unfavourable trends for the readers of annual reports,
but is also associated with understatement of graphs in “measurement distortion”, which will be
seen further.
Analysis by types of graphs (bar, pie, line) is linked to total amount of KFV graphed in
annual reports. Most financial graphs and all of the KFV graphs were portrayed by bar graphs with
time-series analysis. Considering that financial graphs in total were significantly higher in most
profitable companies` annual reports, then this outcome was quite anticipated, though significant at
10% level. Pie and Line graphs are preferable in the graphing environment and social graphs, or
other types of financial graphs (see e.g. in Methods) which is the main reason for the absence of
significance between means of most profitable and least profitable companies.
Table 6. Selectivity bias of favourable/unfavourable graphs by each class
Panel A
Most Profitable Companies
Operational Financial Market Environment Social Total
Favourable 140(23%) 293(46%) 69(11%) 44(7%) 70(13%) 616Unfavourable 26(38%) 31(19%) 10(15%) 8(12%) 10(16%) 86
Panel B
Least Profitable Companies
Operational Financial Market Environment Social Total
Favourable 130(41%) 96(29%) 21(6%) 22(6%) 60(18%) 329Unfavourable 64(30%) 76(36%) 17(8%) 26(12%) 27(14%) 210
Table 6 again confirms that the most profitable companies use favourable graphs to
demonstrate their financial (46%) and operational (23%) performances, while unfavourable graphs
are mainly met among operational (38%) ones.
35
This table confirms the hypothesis that due to better results operationally and financially
profitable companies will concentrate the attention of the reader on operational and financial
graphs. In contrast, due to poor financial performance, least profitable companies concentrate the
attention of the reader on how they performed well operationally. The fact that unfavourable graphs
are mainly focused on in operational and financial classes, can be assumed as honesty of the
companies as mentioned earlier. However, further GDI analysis shows that the most understated
graphs are used by the least profitable companies. Analysis of trend usage between most and least
profitable companies demonstrated the existence of “selectivity” in annual reports. However, for
the support of Hypothesis 1 which is focused on “selectivity” in KFV graphs, more specific
analysis was conducted, with the results summarized in Table 7:
Table 7. Comparison of means of KFV graphed between most and least profitable companies (based on two-tailed T-test analysis)
Top Profitable
CompaniesBottom Profitable
CompaniesT-test (two-
tailed)Probability
Level
KFV 3.46 0.89 7.8505 0.0001***
Sales 1.5 0.29 7.8195 0.0001***
Earnings 1.06 0.26 6.6665 0.0001***
EPS 0.56 0.19 5.6531 0.0001***
DPS 0.3 0.13 3.7202 0.0005***Notes: * Significant at 1% level
** Significant at 5% level
*** Significant at 10% level
Results of Table 7 were expected and unsurprisingly all of the types of KFV and totals have
significant difference. Expectancy of these results was linked to t-test analysis of financial graphs
(Table 5) which showed quite strong significance at the 1% level. Considering that one third of
those financial graphs were KFV (Table 3) while only 15% represented outcomes for similar
analysis in the least profitable, such a strong difference is quite normal. Based on the significance
of difference between means of graphs (two-tailed T-test equal to 3.46 at 1% level) Hypothesis 1 is
accepted.
The second part of “selectivity” analysis is linked to investigation of possible relation of
performance by company to graphing key financial variables. This type of investigation was done
before by Beattie and Jones (1992; 1997; 2001b) and gave quite strong values to support the
hypothesis of selectivity in each research. Therefore, chi-square test statistic was applied on each
sample to analyse this relationship. Moreover, investigation of inclusion of key financial variable
by companies was also done, to show selectivity level by companies:
36
Table 8. Number of companies which included at least one KFV
Most Profitable Companies
Total Companies KFV No KFV Percentage
30 30 0 100.00%
Least Profitable Companies
Total Companies KFV No KFV Percentage
30 13 17 43.33%
It was quite expected based on primary analysis that least profitable companies would prefer
not to show their poor financial performance by graphs or would try to focus on other financial
indicators, which can be shown in a favourable light. Mean differences presented in Table 7 also
demonstrate that proportion of key financial variable graphs in their annual reports varies between
top and bottom companies. Therefore, investigation of whether this variation is associated with
performance of the company (e.g. performance indicator) is important.
The research of Beattie and Jones (1997) analysed this issue in terms of EPS as a
performance indicator; this dissertation investigated this relationship based on Sales as a
performance indicator. For this purpose, statistical analysis based on chi-square test (one tailed)
was applied to the sample of top and bottom companies. Table 9 presents the outcome of this
analysis for both types of company. Results of this test are quite interesting because most profitable
companies have only an association of two out of four key financial variables (with sales itself)
while least profitable companies have three out of 4 KFV strongly associated with Sales as a
performance indicator. However, association of performance indicator with inclusion of at least one
key financial variable is stronger in the most profitable companies at the 1% level versus least
profitable companies at the 10% level. Earnings significance level also differs between the two
samples: 1 % level versus 5% level of significance for the most and least profitable companies,
respectively. In contrast, least profitable companies have also relation of Earnings per share with
sales at the 5% level, while for top companies the relation with EPS and DPS was not found. These
results may have some limitations due to fewer numbers of graphs among the least profitable
companies, or it may be assumed that least profitable companies might use the tool of “selectivity”
more than top companies.
37
Table 9. Test of relationship between change of amount of KFV graphs and performance of the company (sales as performance indicator)
Chi-square t-statistic (one tailed probability in parentheses)
Panel A
Most Profitable Companies
Performance Indicator
At least one KFV Sales Earnings EPS DPS
Sales ↑↓ (2012-2013) 67.1194 97.82608 34.744 15.408 8.9055
(0.002)*** (0.000)*** (0.003)*** (0.2) (0.127)
Panel B
Least Profitable Companies
Performance Indicator At least one KFV Sales
Earnings EPS DPS
Sales↑↓(2012-2013) 9.7848 30 5.4545 3.75 2.3077
(0.080)* (0.000)***(0.020)*
*(0.053)
*(0.129
)Notes: * Significant at 1% level
** Significant at 5% level *** Significant at 10% level
Values shown in the tables above, support Hypothesis 2, stating that most profitable
companies will have more intention, and therefore stronger relation between inclusion of key
financial variable graphs and performance indicator. Even though figures show that an
increase/decrease in performance will have an impact on 3 out of 4 KFV while in most profitable
companies it is only 2 out of 4, the association with KFV, which was stated in Hypothesis 2, is
stronger among profitable companies. Therefore, Hypothesis 2 is supported.
The next section of the “impression management” analysis is concerned with “measurement
distortion” developed by Beattie and Jones (1992). It emphasizes the degree of graph distortion
among top and bottom companies. Investigation of “measurement distortion” was based on manual
examination of each bar/column graph portraying KFV in annual reports, and then by using Tufte`s
“lie factor” formula calculating the degree of discrepancy (%). All of the reports containing KFV
graphs were represented by bar/column type graphs which made analysis easier, and gave stronger
results for the hypothesis evaluation.
38
Although most of the research exploring Graph Discrepancy Index ranked the sample by
degree of distortion, this dissertation will focus on the method used by Mather et al (1996) and
Tufte (1983). This method considered only graphs distorted more than +5 or -5%, which is assumed
as excessive. Hypothesis 3 regarding “measurement distortion” assumed that companies will use
graphs to demonstrate better company performance rather than worse.
Previous analysis (Table 4) showed that although companies had significant difference in
terms of top and bottom profitability, both of them had more favourable graphs(top profitable=616,
bottom profitable= 329) than unfavourable (top profitable=86, bottom profitable 329). These values
are consistent also with the hypothesis developed, that companies will try to show their best
performance by graphs than worst. However, for stronger support of Hypothesis 3, GDI analysis
was done.
As mentioned in prior literature (Mather et al, 1996) favourable distortion is exaggeration of
increasing trend or understatement of decreasing, while unfavourable distortion is exaggeration of
decreasing and understatement of decreasing. Results of graph discrepancy index analysis are given
in the tables below for each of the samples:
Table 10. Distortion of KFV graphs based on mean discrepancy index
Panel A
Most Profitable Companies (sample=30)
Graph Discrepancy Index Sales Earnings EPS DPS Total
Exaggeration of upward trend, GDI ≥5% 9 7 2 2 20Exaggeration of downward trend, GDI≥5% 2 1 2 0 5Understatement of upward trend, GDI≤ -5% 1 2 1 0 4Understatement of downward trend, GDI≤ -5% 1 5 2 2 10
Absence of Discrepancy 32 17 10 6 65
Total 45 32 17 10 104
Discrepancy percentage out of total 28.89% 46.88% 41.18% 40.00% 37.5%
Mean Discrepancy Index 0.43333 0.5 0.23333 0.133333 1.3
Standard Deviation 0.4955 0.5627 0.4955 0.3399 1.1
Panel B
39
Least Profitable Companies (sample=13)
Graph Discrepancy Index SalesEarnin
gs EPS DPS Total
Exaggeration of upward trend, GDI ≥5% 2 1 1 0 4
Exaggeration of downward trend, GDI≥5% 0 0 0 1 1Understatement of upward trend, GDI≤ -5% 1 1 2 1 5Understatement of downward trend, GDI≤ -5% 4 3 1 1 9
Absence of Discrepancy 2 3 2 1 8
Total 9 8 6 4 27
Discrepancy percentage out of total 77.78% 62.50% 66.6% 75% 70.37%
Mean Discrepancy Index 0.5384 0.384 0.307 0.23 1.4615
Standard Deviation 0.4985 0.4865 0.461 0.421 0.74757From the tables above it can be seen that 39 out of 104 and 19 out of 27 graphs were
distorted in the most and least profitable companies, respectively. With specific analysis: in most
profitable companies 20 graphs out of 25 exaggerated upward trend and 10 out of 14 understated
decreasing graphs; in least profitable companies 4 out of 5 graphs exaggerated upward trend and 9
out of 14 understated decreasing graph, overall favourable distorted graphs were equal to 45 out of
58 materially distorted. Among the 13 graphs left: 3 out of 25 exaggerated decreasing trend and 4
out of 14 understated increasing trend in most profitable companies, while in least profitable 1 out
of 5 exaggerated decreasing graph and 5 out of 14 understated increasing graph. This results in
77.5% of materially distorted graphs showing favourable portrayal of the company while only
22.5% the opposite. Moreover, specific investigation showed that favourably distorted graphs were
equal to 28% in most profitable, while this number was equal to 48% in least profitable companies,
which again confirms Hypothesis 3.
Furthermore, difference was analysed based on two-tailed t-statistic of their means, which
gave t=7.1156 with significance at 1% level. Significance level shows quite strong values for
hypothesis 3 which stated that companies will prefer showing favourable view of the company,
rather than unfavourable. Analysis of this hypothesis means that it cannot be rejected with 99%
confidence.
The last hypothesis of this dissertation deals with the problem of, whether proportion of
distorted graphs will be higher in least profitable companies rather than most or opposite.
Hypothesis 4 supposed that this proportion would be higher among least profitable companies due
to their poor performance. Quantitative analysis of this hypothesis is represented also in Table 10.
40
It can be seen that the percentage of distorted graphs is higher in least profitable companies
than most (70.37% against 37.50%) and this pattern is preserved in each class of the graphs (e.g.
sales, earnings, EPS, DPS). Moreover, their mean discrepancy indexes also showed that the
proportion is higher in the least profitable companies. Furthermore, each class of graphs was
analysed apart (sales, earnings, DPS, EPS) and the results also demonstrated that except earnings,
all other graphs were distorted higher in the least profitable companies.
However, two tailed t-test analysis of total amount of materially distorted graphs (top=39
and bottom=19), showed low significance with t=0.4817 and p=0.6326; moreover, specific analysis
of each graph (sales, earnings, EPS and DPS) didn`t show any significance, which can be seen from
Table 11 below. Although the existence of material distortion can be supported, the proportion
cannot be confirmed quantitatively. Existence of material distortion was also analysed based on
non-compliance with graph design and construction, developed by Beattie and Jones (1997).
Table 11. Summary of two-tailed t-test analysis of mean discrepancy index between most and least profitable companies based on KFV graphs. Other types of graph distortion and impression management techniques
Panel A
Summary of mean discrepancy index analysis
Top
ProfitableBottom
Profitable T-test Probabilit
y
n=30 n=13 (two-tailed)
Sales 0.4333 0.5384 0.6376 0.5273
Earnings 0.5 0.384 0.6451 0.5225
EPS 0.2333 0.307 0.4567 0.6503
DPS 0.1333 0.23 0.7962 0.4305
Total KFV 1.3 1.4615 0.4817 0.6326
Panel B
Other types of graph distortion and impression management techniques
Top
ProfitablePercen
tageBottom
ProfitablePercent
age
T-test of
means Probability
Techniques n=30 % n=13 %(two-tailed)
Time axis without scale 6 20% 4 30.7% 0.77 0.4433Financial axis without scale 18 60% 10 76.9% 0.98 0.3314
41
3D graph type 2 6.6% 5 38.4% 2.84 0.0069***Change of the colour by years (darker) 16 53.3% 11 84.6% 2.03 0.0483**Absence of numeric labels on fin variable axis 9 30% 10 76.9% 3.1 0.003***Absence of numeric labels on specifier 10 33.3% 9 69.2% 2.30 0.0262**
Notes: * Significant at 1% level
** Significant at 5% level
*** Significant at 10% level
Results showed that graph construction and design failures were mainly found in the 27
KFV graphs of the 13 least profitable companies. Each of the non-compliances were found to be
higher in the least profitable companies than most. Differences of their means were analysed based
on two tailed t-test analysis, which resulted in two failures significant at the 1% level (e.g. three
dimensional graphs, absence of numeric label on financial variable axis), two failures significant at
the 5% level (e.g. darkening columns by years, absence of numeric labels on specifier) and two not
significant failures (e.g. time axis without scale, financial axis without scale). It can be assumed
that existence of “material distortion” was confirmed based on the results of Table 11. However
analysis lacks confidence to accept Hypothesis 4, therefore it is rejected.
42
Discussion
Overall, results obtained from quantitative analysis confirmed the existence of impression
management techniques in the annual reports of Russian companies. Hypotheses developed initially
were supported during the investigation except one (Hypothesis 4).
Despite the fact that Russian companies have never been investigated in terms of impression
management in graphs, results obtained still can be compared to prior literature. For this purpose
Table 13 (at the end of the Discussion Chapter) was developed, which has all the prior literature
included in the literature review with comparison to the results of this dissertation.
It can be seen that proportion of graphs usage found in Russian companies is the highest,
compared to others. Although most of the research done earlier deviated between approx. 79 % - 92
%, none was higher than the graph proportion in Russian companies.
This shows that Russian companies have experience in constructing and using graphs in
their annual reports, which assumes that the results of this dissertation can be compared to prior
literature, which analysed mostly European countries and the US. Size of the sample used is the
smallest compared to prior literature (except Johnson et al., 1980), however mean number of graphs
is the highest (except Frownfelter and Fulkerson, 1998). Similar results are shown for graph
distortion, which except for Frownfelter and Fulkerson (1998) is the highest. Moreover, approx.
one third of the total financial graphs are taken by the KFV topic, while bar/column graphs are
43
highest among all the research (74 %). This indicates the originality of the Russian accounting
environment, which involves wide usage of graphs in annual reports and has the opportunity for
impression management.
For the originality analysis of each hypothesis, Table 12 was developed:
Table 12. Summary of discussion and investigation of originality of the results
Hypothesis Findings Originality
Hypothesis 1
Number of key
financial variable graphs will
be higher in annual reports of
“most profitable” companies,
rather than “least profitable”,
in terms of earnings before
interest and tax, as profit
indicator.
Results obtained demonstrated
significant support of
Hypothesis 1. Two-tailed t test
analysis of graph means were
found at the level of 3.46
which is significant at 1%
level. Therefore, Hypothesis 1
is accepted.
Similar hypothesis was
developed in two prior
research studies included in
literature review (e.g. Beattie
and Jones, 1992; Steinbart,
1989). Unsurprisingly, in both
of them analysis led to
significant support of
Hypothesis at 1 % level. It can
be assumed that inclusion of
KFV in annual reports of
“good news” companies is
commonly accepted.
Hypothesis 2
“Most profitable”
companies will have more
intention to include graphs of
key financial variables in
annual reports, rather than
“least profitable” companies,
in terms of the sales variable
graphed.
Chi-square test of relationship
between sales performance
and KFV graphs,
demonstrated strong
association at 1% level for
most and 10% level for least
profitable companies.
Simultaneously, strong
association was found
individually in each of the
This unique way of selectivity
analysis was used in the
research by Beattie and Jones;
1992; 1997; 2000; 2001;
Frownfelter and Fulkerson,
1998. However, neither of
them investigated this
hypothesis in Russian
companies and analysed it
based on “sales” variable.
44
KFV deviating from 10% to
1%. Therefore, Hypothesis 2
was not rejected.
Most of the research done
earlier, focused on association
with KFV graphs or EPS,
Income graphs, while other
variables were analysed in
general terms. However, this
dissertation emphasized the
association of performance
with sales variable and then
analysed it with other KFV in
general terms. This had not
been done before.
Hypothesis 3
Measurement distortion will
be used to give more
favourable image of the
company, rather than
unfavourable.
This hypothesis was initially
developed for the analysis of
graphs distortion in terms of
favourable or unfavourable
trend usage. Results of the
analysis were more than
enough to confirm favourable
distortion of graphs in annual
reports. T-test analysis was
equal to 7.1156 which was
significant at 1% level.
Hypothesis 3 is accepted.
Hypothesis was investigated in
the research by Steinbart 1989;
Beattie and Jones, 1992.
Although, Beattie and Jones
investigated this hypothesis
only in general terms, finding
favourably distorted graphs
out of total KFV graphs,
Steinbart did more specific
analysis to find out the
proportion of favourable
graphs in “good” and “bad”
news companies. Originality
of this dissertation is based on
the fact, that it mixed both
types of investigations and
applied them. It was found that
favourable distorted graphs
were equal to 28% and 48% in
most and least profitable
45
companies, respectively.
Further, Hypothesis was
investigated on the difference
in total amount of favourably
and unfavourably distorted,
which gave significant
outcome at 1% level.
Hypothesis 4
Measurement distortion of key
financial variables is more
likely to be found in “least
profitable” companies, rather
than “most profitable”, in
terms of mean discrepancy
index.
In contrast to previous
hypotheses, no significant
support was found. Although
existence of material distortion
was confirmed in both types of
company, significance of their
difference was not obtained.
Therefore, this hypothesis
failed to be accepted at any
high level of significance.
Originality of this hypothesis
is due to absence of this type
of investigation in prior
literature. Some kind of link
could be matched to the
research by Beattie and Jones
(1992), but their research did
not analyse companies based
on their performance.
Therefore, this hypothesis is
totally original, however
significant support for the
hypothesis was not found.
This could be linked to huge
difference of sample by types
of company (top=30 and
bottom=13) or to some other
limitations. Nevertheless,
originally developed
hypothesis found no support
from investigations.
In all, the existence of impression management techniques was found in annual reports of
Russian companies. High percentage of graph usage and mean number of graphs lead to possibility
46
of comparison with other countries investigated previously. However, Russian companies should be
assumed as newbies in applying International Accounting Standards for the preparation of annual
reports. This fact makes the outcome of analysis doubtful in terms of whether the distortion and
selectivity was done incidentally or expressly. Although this fact cannot be analysed quantitatively
it should be taken into account. Hence, the level of distortion and selectivity found in this
dissertation could be judged only if it was not done incidentally by the managers of the companies
investigated.
Another point to be mentioned is the size of the sample used, which is not as big as prior
research and therefore, could have some limitations. Moreover, this dissertation considered only
cross-sectional type of analysis based on the financial performance of 2013. Time series analysis is
essential to find out alteration of annual reports of each company based on several years of market
performance (Godfrey, Mather & Ramsey, 2003). This could lead to more accurate conclusions.
Nevertheless, based on the methods applied and results obtained, the existence of impression
management and selectivity in annual reports of Russian companies was confirmed.
47
Table 13. Comparison of prior literature with this dissertation based on main results
John
son et
al.
Stein
bart
Beattie
and
Jones
Green
et al.
CICA Mather
et al.
Beattie
and
Jones
Frownfelter
and
Fulkerson
Beattie
and
Jones
Beattie
and
Jones
Beattie and
Jones
Beattie
and
Jones
Disser
tation
Year 1980 1989 1992 1992 1993 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001a 2001b 2014
Countries
observed US US UK
Republ
ic of
Ireland
Canad
a
Australi
a
UK/US US/non-US Australia UK
Australia,
France,
Germany,
Nether
lands,
UK, US
Australia
, France,
Germany
Nether
lands,
UK, US
Russia
Companie
s
observed
50 319 240 117 200
a)43
b)44 176 74 89 137 300 300 60
Graph
usage (%)
N/A 79 79 54 83 a)83
b) 73
UK 80
US 92
N/A 89 N/A 80 88 95
48
Mean
number of
graphs
8.5 8.0 5.9 6.0 8.4 N/A
UK 7.7
US 13 33 9.4 N/A 4 - 14 N/A 20.68
Graph
Distortion
of Graphs
(%)
42 26 10.7 N/A N/A 16.4 24 68 24 N/A N/A N/A 44
49
Conclusion
This dissertation investigated the existence of impression management in financial graphs of
60 Russian Stock Exchange listed companies based on three techniques: selectivity, distortion and
presentational enhancement. Companies were ranked based on the alteration of their EBIT figures
from the financial year 2012 to 2013. Obtained data from annual reports for the year 2013 was
examined and statistical tests were applied. Results indicated existence of impression management
techniques (selectivity, distortion and presentational enhancement) in the companies` annual
reports.
The outcome of the research is consistent with prior literature and gave unsurprising
evidence of the difference in inclusion of KFV graphs in the most and least profitable companies.
The first two hypotheses about selectivity level in the companies were confirmed at 1%
significance level. It was found that the most profitable companies really have intention to add
more financial graphs; while the least profitable companies have nothing to show by KFV graphs.
Even though this hypothesis was in line with expectations based on previous studies, none of the
prior literature investigated selectivity level based on “sales” variable graph.
The association found with “sales” performance and inclusion of financial graphs indicates
a high level of selectivity and bias of presented information. It demonstrates that companies’ KFV
graph inclusion decision is strongly dependent upon its financial performance, where most
profitable companies add more KFV graphs compared to least profitable ones. In contrast,
distortion and presentational enhancement found in financial graphs were not as significant based
on statistical tests. Although the existence of distortion was confirmed and favourable trend usage
was proven at 1% significance based on statistical tests, confirmation of strong difference in graph
distortion between most and least profitable companies was not found. Existence of difference was
confirmed, with 48% distorted graphs in least profitable and 28% in most profitable; however, these
results failed at significance tests.
This is quite interesting, because the difference between samples was quite big (top=30 and
bottom=13); however, the difference between them was not significant. This can be linked to lack
of sample for least profitable companies, which could be higher if research considered more than 60
companies.
“Graphs enhance the potential to communicate, rather than merely to report financial
information and represent an aspect of corporate financial reporting…Moreover, graphs provide
opportunities for managements to manipulate the financial signals sent to users” (Beattie and
50
Jones, 1997). The importance of graphs is suggested by a number of researchers (Hanson, 1989;
Paivio, 1974; Lee, 1999). However, existence of impression management in financial graphs
decreases the level of fair presentation of the position of the company. Considering the growing
tendency of impression management and graph usage in the companies (Table 13), it should be put
under control. Existence of impression management in annual reports already contradicts with AUP
19 “Other Information in Documents Containing Audited Financial Statements”, which states the
importance of other information contained in annual reports is consistent with financial statements
without bias and fraud. However, graphs in annual reports are still not considered essential
information and not audited yet, which increases their potential to misrepresent financial data.
After all, preparation and organization of annual reports is on the behalf of managers, who
have their own motives to mislead investors, shareholders, etc. This can be overcome if appropriate
rules and regulations are developed and applied in auditing annual reports. Stringent regulatory
framework can clearly blur the image of the company and lead to effective decision making.
Limitations related to this dissertation are mainly linked to the sample size. Considering the
size of the sample used in previous studies, a more expanded sample is needed for further analysis.
Moreover, companies were analysed based on cross-sectional statistical data analysis, and for more
robust results investigation of time series is needed. If cross sectional analysis can confirm the
existence of impression management in annual reports, then time series analysis can show the
alteration of annual reports and behaviour of managers based on different performances in different
years. Therefore, more expanded analysis in a time framework is needed. In addition, the rank of
the companies was based on EBIT figures, which can be changed in further studies based on other
KFV variables, which might gave more clarification. Specific analysis by sectors might also show
the degree of distortion in each sector and might show outliers of the data.
Nevertheless, results obtained in this dissertation are consistent with prior literature and are reliable,
based on statistically significant evidence. It can be assumed that existence of impression
management was confirmed in annual reports of Russian Stock Exchange listed companies and
general expectations based on prior literature were met. This means that a stringent regulatory
framework is needed for the Russian Accounting System, in order to overcome current issues.
Although, degree of distortion is not so big, it might lead to wrong decisions and have a devastating
impact on the foreign investment in the economy of the country, which is currently in an unstable
position.
51
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Appendices
Appendix 1. List of Top Profitable Companies
Company SEDOL EBIT 2013 EBIT 2012 Change Revenue 2013 Market Cap. SectorAeroflot B58X588 17,107 14,462 18% 292,342 2,037 Air TransportationAFI Development B1VZKH7 6,470 -7,284 188% 11,795 378,000 Real Estate InvestmentARZAMASSKIY PRIB B232SQ8 474,450 412,016 15% 5,038 6,000 IndustrialsCTC Media Inc B142B27 7,112 5,123 38% 26,627 1,650 TelecommunicationsDIXY Group B596T06 7,507 4,513 66% 180,504 51,285 RetailEurasia Drilling Company B289L09 20,793 17,265 20% 111,613 4,266 Oil Equipment and ServicesGazprom Neft B11XHC5 7,451 7,369 1% 39,612 642,889 Oil and GasIDGC of Center and Volga B5B2VW8 4,452 3,769 18% 77,554 12,033 ElectricityInter Rao UES JSC B5B2VL7 55,048 -23,064 139% 662,321 98,867 UtilitiesJSC VTB Bank B5B1TP4 141,300 134,700 5% 784,800 540,454 FinanceLENENERGO JSC B59BHS5 6,972 2,725 155% 37,323 6,895 ElectricityLukoil B59SNS8 350,272 259,554 35% 3,811,776 52,349,000 Oil and GasM.VIDEO B59SPB5 6,906 5,667 22% 148,042 44,800 General RetailersMagnit OJSC B59GLW2 51,322 36,223 42% 528,461 923,409 Grocery StoresMEGAFON B8PR8P2 79,370 56,793 40% 297,229 651,806 Telephone and CommunicationsMMK B5B1RP0 91,700 81,536 12% 262,080 2,199 IndustrialsMobile Telesystems OJSC B59FPS3 112,186 100,515 12% 398,443 604,446 Telephone and CommunicationsNizhnekamskneftekhim B59LYW8 9,382 5,192 81% 126,043 38,645 Oil and GasNOVATEK OJSC B59HPK1 66,396 30,582 117% 83,915 1,215,220 GasPhosagro OJSC B3ZQM29 32,407 12,069 169% 104,566 169,593 IndustrialsPIK Group B59Q6G1 13,121 10,323 27% 62,543 52,615 ConstructionRAO Energy System of East B585368 6,978 -2,387 192% 139,596 7,588 ElectricityRosneft Oil B59SS16 676,000 479,000 41% 4,546,000 2,596,022 Oil and GasRostelecom B58ZLT7 53,831 49,909 8% 290,736 258,675 Telephone and CommunicationsRushydro JSC B450L21 1,013 868 17% 9,801 290,494 IndustrialsSurgutneftegaz B01WHG9 10,919 7,477 46% 26,179 1,111,576 Oil and GasTATNEFT B59BXN2 108,215 104,637 3% 454,983 512,212 Oil and GasTRANSAERO B5W3KT0 6,199 4,793 29% 110,150 31,231 Air TransportationTranscontainer B6694M2 8,131 5,834 39% 39,164 33,001 Transportation
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Yaroslavnefteorgsintez B5B1PS9 5,187 4,387 18% 21,311 24,389 Oil and Gas
Appendix 2. List of Least Profitable Companies
Company SEDOL EBIT 2013 EBIT 2012 Change % Revenue Market Cap. SectorAcron JSC B5902M1 16,834 20,111 -16% 67,904 49,573 IndustrialsAlrosa B6QPBP2 51,210 52,363 -2% 138,224 329,229 IndustrialsAvtovaz B5B8KK7 -7,726 38,772 -120% 177,049 19,124 Automobiles and PartsBASHNEFT 7129340 71,610 83,927 -15% 403,041 535,229 Oil and GasChelyabinsk Zink Zavod B59PZ27 -209,000 694,200 -130% 13,062 7,278 IndustrialsCHERKIZOVO B5B9CR1 2,927 7,297 -60% 52,957 820,000 Consumer ServicesDorogobuzh B596TG2 5,532 6,226 -11% 17,497 11,805 ChemicalsEvraz B71N6K8 8,900 252,400 -96% 9,198 2,370 IndustrialsFederal Grid Company of Unified Energy B59RSV3 -287,881 9,479 -3137% 157,970 74,402 ElectricityGazprom B59L4L7 1,528,851 1,594,758 -4% 5,255,815 3,522,382 Oil and GasIrkutstk Energetics JSCO B56GLL4 12,383 14,280 -13% 89,908 32,486 UtilitiesKrasnoyarskenergosbyt B56KKX1 12,500 543,200 -98% 25,388 2,234 IndustrialsKuybishevAzot B59CVN1 2,475 3,425 -28% 31,009 20,524 ChemicalsMechel B5960H0 -24,598 -6,613 -372% 274,445 617,000 IndustrialsMOSTOREST B59MBM 5,730 7,356 -22% 116,714 32,294 ConstructionNorilsk Nikel B114RK6 1,705 3,431 -50% 11,115 33,547 IndustrialsNovolipec Steel B2R9QD8 19,115 30,453 -37% 349,102 8,529 Steel IndustryPolymetal International- B6T5S47 -3,794 20,737 -118% 53,933 3,872 IndustrialsProtek- B3VLDC5 3,614 -2,556 41% 139,310 21,745 PharmateuticalsRaspadskaya Coal OJSC B5800Q2 -3,387 445 -761% 17,453 395,000 IndustrialsRos Agro PLC B5MTFN7 4,969 6,288 -21% 36,489 6,250 Consumer GoodsRussian Sea Group OJSC B3LNC13 117,500 362,800 -32% 16,008 4,772 Consumer GoodsSamarenergo B5B8MD4 -135,900 -66,300 -205% 40,197 1,091 ElectricitySeverstal B5B9C59 16,761 45,768 -74% 425,971 7,484 IndustrialsSollers OJSC 7425305 5,674 9,078 -37% 61,317 21,080 Automobiles and PartsTerritorial Generating Company B58H8C5 9,628 9,910 -3% 69,853 26,210 IndustrialsTube Metallurgical Company OJSC B590TG4 18,068 21,593 -16% 205,820 84,147 IndustrialsUC Rusal B5BCW81 -64,640 -4,738 -1364% 312,320 7,175 Metal IndustryUralkali OJSC B59MFL7 29,432 60,678 -51% 106,323 14,117 IndustrialsVimpelcom B62HR76 -2,024 4,311 -147% 17,497 15,248,000 Communications
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Appendix 3. Summary of financial report analysis (Top Profitable Companies)
Company Operational Financial Market Environment Social Total Favourable Unfavourable Bar Pie LineAeroflot 13 12 7 3 4 39 29 10 23 3 13Afi Development 1 2 5 0 0 8 5 3 3 5 0Arzamas 11 11 0 1 4 27 24 3 20 3 4CTC Media 6 8 4 0 0 18 18 0 14 4 0Dixy 4 9 2 0 0 15 15 0 13 2 0Energy System 5 9 1 1 1 17 14 3 13 4 0Eurasia 1 4 1 0 0 6 6 0 6 0 0Gazprom 9 10 5 5 4 33 33 0 27 3 3IDGC 7 10 3 3 6 29 25 4 27 2 0Inter Rao 2 6 1 3 3 15 15 0 14 1 0Lenenergo 9 19 9 2 7 46 37 9 36 7 3Lukoil 9 14 5 8 7 43 40 3 37 4 2Magnit 4 9 4 0 0 17 16 1 12 2 3Megafon 5 9 6 1 3 24 24 0 18 3 3MMK 4 13 3 3 1 24 18 6 10 8 6MTS 10 15 2 3 3 33 32 1 26 3 4Mvideo 2 6 1 0 0 9 9 0 9 0 0Nizhnekamsk 5 10 1 4 6 28 27 1 21 7 0Novatek 4 5 1 2 2 14 14 0 11 3 0Phosagro 7 15 1 2 5 28 23 5 18 8 2Pik Group 3 13 2 0 3 21 18 3 12 5 4Rosneft 7 16 1 3 3 30 27 3 19 9 2Rostelekom 4 12 2 1 2 21 19 2 16 5 0Rushydro 8 22 2 4 11 47 41 6 29 9 9Surgutneftgaz 8 9 3 1 4 25 21 4 18 5 2Tatneft 5 4 0 2 2 13 13 0 9 3 1Transcontainer 4 9 5 3 2 23 23 0 14 4 5VTB 6 13 9 0 4 32 30 2 28 4 0X5 12 15 2 2 5 37 37 0 26 9 2Yaroslavlneft 1 2 1 1 1 6 6 0 4 2 0Total 153 311 79 52 81 702 616 86 533 108 61
Mean 5.1 10.3 2.6 1.73 2.7 23.4 20.5 2.9 18.9 3.6 2
St.Deviation 3.2 4.1 2.3 1.9 2.3 14.4 12.5 2.8 11.7 2.4 2.9
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Appendix 4. Summary of financial report analysis (Least Profitable Companies)
Company Operational Financial Market Environment Social Total Favourable Unfavourable Bar Pie LineAkron 5 3 4 2 3 17 14 3 6 7 4Alrosa 9 1 0 0 1 11 8 3 9 2 0Avtovaz 4 2 2 1 4 13 11 2 5 6 2Bashneft 5 6 1 1 2 15 12 3 10 2 3Chelyabinsk 5 9 0 0 0 14 5 9 9 4 1Cherkizovo 13 12 2 0 0 27 11 16 22 4 1Dorogobuzh 3 5 0 3 0 11 8 3 6 3 4Energy Unified 9 7 0 5 12 33 26 7 31 2 0Evraz 10 9 2 4 5 30 18 12 26 4 1Gazprom 8 6 1 3 2 20 12 8 17 1 2Irkutsenergo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Krasnoyarskenergo 7 6 1 0 0 14 6 8 8 1 5Kuybishevazot 8 6 1 0 1 16 10 6 12 2 2Mechel 11 9 0 0 0 20 7 13 19 1 0Mostotrest 7 9 3 1 5 25 17 8 19 4 2Norilsk Nikel 13 3 6 3 10 35 31 4 27 7 1Novolipeck Steel 6 8 0 10 8 32 18 14 28 1 3Polymetal 12 11 1 1 4 29 10 19 27 1 1Protek 12 10 3 0 3 28 22 6 24 2 2Raspadskaya 6 5 0 0 3 14 5 9 13 1 0RusAgro 4 4 5 1 2 16 13 3 8 8 0Rusal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Russian Sea Group 4 9 0 0 0 13 6 7 9 1 3Samarenergo 2 4 1 0 4 11 7 4 5 3 3Severstal 9 10 4 0 2 25 10 15 17 4 2Sollers 7 5 0 6 8 26 17 9 25 0 1TGK-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0TM Company 7 4 1 5 1 18 13 5 16 2 0Uralkali 7 6 0 2 7 22 11 11 21 0 0Vimpelcom 1 3 0 0 0 4 1 3 4 0 0Total 194 172 38 48 87 539 329 210 423 73 43Mean 6.4 5.7 1.2 1.6 2.9 17.9 10.9 7 13.1 2.4 1.4St.Deviation 3.7 3.3 1.6 2.3 3.2 9.6 7.2 4.9 9.1 2.2 1.4
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