IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON URBAN MOBILITY...No Content Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City 1 Traffic...

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EXPERIENCE OF MAJOR CITIES IN VIETNAM Dr. Pham Hoai CHUNG Transport Development Strategy Institute Ministry of Transport, Vietnam IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON URBAN MOBILITY Ha Noi city Ho Chi Minh city November, 2020

Transcript of IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON URBAN MOBILITY...No Content Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City 1 Traffic...

  • EXPERIENCE OF MAJOR CITIES IN VIETNAM

    Dr. Pham Hoai CHUNG

    Transport Development Strategy Institute

    Ministry of Transport, Vietnam

    IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON URBAN MOBILITY

    Ha Noi city

    Ho Chi Minh city

    November, 2020

  • OVERVIEW OF HANOI CITY AND HO

    CHI MINH CITY1

    2 IMPACT OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN VIETNAM

    3IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON URBAN

    MOBILITY

    4 SOLUTIONS

  • Hanoi City - The capital of Vietnam

    Area: 3,348 square kilometers

    Population : 8.05 million people

    GRDP: $5,600 per capita

    Polulation density: 2,406 people/km2

    Highest density : 43,000 people/km2

    Urbanization rate : 69.7%.

    Ho Chi Minh city

    Ha Noi city

    Ho Chi Minh City - The leading in

    economic development of Vietnam

    Area: 2,095 square kilometers

    Population : 9.1 million people.

    GRDP: $6,300 per capita

    Polulation density: 4,344 people/km2

    Highest density : 46,000 people/km2

    Urbanization rate : 83%.

    OVERVIEW OFHANOI CITY AND HO CHI MINH CITY

  • No Content Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City

    1 Traffic infrastructure- Urban road length (km) 2.250 4.400

    -Ratio of land for traffic / urban construction land (%)

    9,75 10,2

    - Ratio of land for static traffic (%) 0,31 0,28

    2 Private Vehicle- Motorbikes (vehicles) 6,1 milion 8,0 milion

    Ratio of motorbikes / 1000 people (car / 1000 people)

    757 890

    Motorcycle growth 2015-2019 (% / year) 5,18% 3,82%

    - Passenger car (vehicles) 468 thousands 354 thousandsRatio of car / 1000 people (car / 1000 people)

    58 39

    Growth of car 2015-2019 (% / year) 17,43% 15,58%

    3 MRT

    - Urban Railway (route)Khai thác tuyến đầu tiên: 2021

    Khai thác tuyến đầu tiên: 2022

    - BRT (route)01 tuyến: BX Yên Nghĩa – BX Kim Mã

    Đang nghiên cứu

    4 Bus- No. of Route 127 139- Bus fleet 1,952 2,063

    Bus rate / 100,000 inhabitants 24 23

    -Number of passengers in 2019 (million trips / year)

    484,5 290

    Average number of trips by public transport (Trip / person / year)

    56 32

    - Market share (%) 8,69% 4,42% 4

    -Limited capacity transport

    infrastructure: land for traffic is

    still low, only 40-50% of therequirement

    -Large number of

    motorcycles, very high

    ownership rate

    -Cars are on a strong growth

    trend due to economic

    development

    -Public transport lack of

    capacity: only busescurrently. UMRT will be

    deployed in the near future.

    -People mainly use private

    vehicles in traffic, the rate

    of using public transport is

    very low

    EXISTING CONDITIONS OF THE URBANTRANSPORT INHANOI AND HO CHI MINH CITY

  • 5

    Current status (2020)

    • Hanoi: 07 bus routes using

    CNG fuel, 102 vehicles

    • Ho Chi Minh City: 453 vehiclesuse CNG

    Low emission vehicles

    In the near future (2021)

    - In Hanoi and City. Ho Chi Minh City will

    put into operation 15 routes, 250electric buses

    - Electric bus: speed 80 km / h, capacity

    65-70 people, Lithium-Ion battery, no

    emissions

    CNG Bus

    Electric Bus

    EXISTING CONDITIONS OF THE URBANTRANSPORT INHANOI AND HO CHI MINH CITY

  • OVERVIEW OF COVID-19 INVIETNAM

    2 13 17218 268

    369 369

    590

    1046

    1300

    2 35 350

    500

    1000

    1500

    Jan 23 Feb 01 Mar 06 Apr 01 Apr 15 Apr 28 Jul 24 Aug 02 Sep 02 Nov 20

    Infected Deceased

    Number of COVID-19 cases in Vietnam (including quaratined cases from immigration)

    Source: MOH and TDSI calculation

    1

    41 days 52 days

    Outbreak: cases found in society (immigration was excluded)

    Control: no case found in society

    83 days 42 days

    78 days

    23

    4 5The “safe-line”

    5 phase of COVID-19 in VIETNAM

    Social distance

    4 weeks2 types of

    COVID-19 cases

    Social

    Immigration

    Easy to quarantine.

    Cause outbreak.

    Hard to control.

  • IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON URBAN MOBILITY IN HA NOI CITY

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON URBAN MOBILITY

    IMPACT ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT COMPANY

    IMPACT ON TRAFFIC FLOW

    IMPACT ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT VOLUME

    IMPACT ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT EMPLOYEE

    IMPACT ON PASSENGER AND FREIGHT TRANSPORT

    COVID-19

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

  • IMPACT OF COVID-19 ONTRAFFIC FLOW

    ❖ Traffic flow survey: on 35 main traffic axes in Hanoi and 12 main traffic axes in Ho Chi Minh City

    ❖ People's commuter sociological survey: 5,820 people

    ❖ Time: from March 2020 - June 2020

    SURVEY LOCATION

    Survey respondents

    Vehicle

    type

    Illust

    ratio

    n

    Descriptions

    Motorbike Two-wheeled motor vehicles

    (including bicycles)

    Car Four-wheeled motor vehicle carrying

    people from 2 to 5 seats, including a

    pickup truck for both passenger and

    freight transportation

    Bus Small

    bus

    As a four-wheel or six-wheel motor

    vehicle for passenger transportation

    (7-12 seats)

    Mediu

    m bus

    As a four-wheel or six-wheel motor

    vehicle for passenger transportation

    (12-29 seats)

    Large

    bus

    Six-wheel motor vehicle for

    passenger transportation (29 seats or

    more)

    Tru

    ck

    Light

    truck

    Four-wheel motor vehicle for freight

    transportation (less than 3.5 tons)

    Heavy

    truck

    Motor vehicle with six or more wheels

    used for carrying large volume of

    freights (over 3.5 tons)

  • Field survey photo

    Survey bus and car speed Social survey

    Traffic survey

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ONTRAFFIC FLOW

  • Comparison of traffic volume on some routes due to Covid-19 impact

    Motorbike average speed

    Average speed of car

    Average speed of bus

    Traffic Volume Survey Results

    No Route

    Normal Impact of Covid-10 situationTỷ lệ

    giảmVolume

    (PCU)LOS

    Volume

    (PCU)LOS

    1 Dinh Tien Hoang 3,168 D 2,185 C 31,03%

    2 Dong Khoi 3,296 D 2,197 C 33,34%

    3 Ham Nghi 3,036 D 1,898 C 37,48%

    4 Le Duan 5,851 D 4,376 C 25,21%

    5 Le Loi 4,813 D 3,592 C 25,37%

    6 Ly Tu Trong 3,028 E 2,163 C 28,57%

    7 Nguyen Thai Hoc 4,550 D 3,626 C 20,31%

    8 Nguyen Thi Minh Khai 3,036 D 2,266 C 25,36%

    9 Tran Hung Dao 5,777 D 3,851 C 33,34%

    10 Truong Dinh 3,168 D 2,112 C 33,33%

    11 Cach Mang Thang Tam 4,816 D 3,320 C 31,02%

    12 Nam Ky Khoi Nghia 2,888 D 1,805 B 37,50%

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ONTRAFFIC FLOW

  • ❖ During the period of social isolation: Traffic volume

    decreases by 70-84%.

    ❖ Average COVID-19 affected period: Traffic volume

    decreases 20-37%

    ❖ Average speed of traffic at peak hours increased by

    1.80-2.36 times

    ❖ Results of the sociological survey: the average number of

    trips decreased by 35% (from an average of 3.2 trips /day and night to 2.1 trips / day)

    - Adopt work-from-home policy

    - Limit people on the street (social-distance)

    - Pupils and students are allowed to take leave from school

    to prevent epidemics

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ONTRAFFIC FLOW

    Traffic flow survey results:

    Reason

  • Before COVID-19 After COVID-19

    HCM

    City

    Hanoi

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ONTRAFFIC FLOW

  • TRANSPORT VOLUME REDUCTION

    FREIGHT TRANSPORT 8.1%

    PASSENGER TRANSPORT 27.3%

    Source: GSO, October 2020

    Passenger transport volumeQuarter

    I/2020YOY

    Quarter

    II/2020YOY

    First 6 months

    of 2020YOY

    Rail 1,341 6.5% 638 29.1% 1,979.2 46.6%

    Sea 1,306 6.7% 1,532 81.8% 2,837.7 74.3%

    IWT 44,705 8.7% 46,642 93.3% 91,347.1 89.9%

    Road 1,073,583 9.2% 628,291 52.8% 1,701,874.7 72.1%

    Air 10,543 8.1% 4,033 29.3% 14,575.4 54.5%

    Freight transport volumeQuarter

    I/2020YOY

    Quarter

    II/2020YOY

    First 6

    months of

    2020

    YOY

    Rail 1,192 94.6% 638 98.8% 2,586.1 96.7%

    Sea 19,405 97.4% 1,532 96.1% 39,885.3 96.8%

    IWT 72,213 98.4% 46,642 96.3% 147,821.6 97.4%

    Road 335,916 105.8% 628,291 91.1% 632,546.8 98.4%

    Air 89 94.7% 4,033 36.9% 211.4 62.6%

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PASSENGER AND FREIGHT TRANSPORT

  • Cost for

    COVID-19

    impact

    Capacity

    Reduction

    Stop Operating

    (Social-distance)Total

    Period From Mar 22 to Mar27 and from

    Apr 23 to May 3

    From Mar 28 to

    Apr 22

    Duration 15 days 25 days 40 days

    Volume reduction

    (passenger)157,344 4,212,166 4,369,510

    RevenueReduction

    (USD)1,000,000 2,700,000 3,700,000

    ✓ 104 affected routes

    ✓ Passenger decrease by 26.8% YOY

    Cost for COVID-19 impact Cost (USD)

    Buy masks, hand satinizers,

    disinfection equipment,…

    970,000

    Capacity reduction, Stop Operating 2,000,000

    Total 2,970,000

    ✓ 127 affected routes

    ✓ Passenger decrease by 52,5% YOY

    After COVID-19 Present

    IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT VOLUME

  • IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT COMPANY AND EMPLOYEE

    ✓ 7500 people have to take a break

    Income reduction:

    - Leadership and management: 20-40%

    - Driver and employees: 78-93%

    ✓ Costs for employee impacted by COVID-19:

    2,000,000 USD

    - 03 bus routes stop operating permanently - Many bus company request to stop operating because there are no passenger.

    ✓ Revenue reduction

    - 42,5% reduction YOY

  • MAIN SOLUTIONS APPLIED

    - Must wear mask properly always on the vehicle (permanent solution)

    - Comply with body temperature checked before boarding

    - Use the hand satinizer upon boarding

    - Sit in the corresponding seat on the bus (1 chair distance

    between passengers.

    - If there’re some symptoms of COVID-19, must notify to

    bus staff

    - Must equip hand sanitizers onboard

    - Open windows or maintain temperature

    higher than 260C in operation

    - Wash and sterilize vehicle at least once

    per day at the end of trips.

    1 chair distance between each passenger

    It took 3-4 minutes additionally for each vehicle. It tooks 3-4 hours per day, from 9PM to 1 AM.

    SOLUTION IN PUBLIC TRANSPORTHA NOI CITY

  • SOLUTION APPLIED

    - Not equipped 0

    - Equipped 10

    Equip with hand sanitizer and sanitizer on each vehicle

    Service staff, vehicle operators wear masks and

    gloves while working

    - Someone did not 0

    - 100% done 10

    Density of people gathering on vehicles

    - Number of people over 50% of carrying capacity /

    vehicle or more 0

    - Number of people with 50% capacity / vehicle or less 10

    Passenger wearing a mask on vehicle

    - Someone did not 0

    - 100% done 10

    - Not implemented 0

    - There is disinfection of the vehicle but infrequently 5

    - Disinfect the vehicle after the end of each trip 10

    There are instructions to promptly notify passengers

    with fever, cough, hard to breath

    - Without notification 0

    - Timely notification 10

    Propagating people and passengers on a sense of

    compliance in Covid-19 epidemic prevention and control

    Characteristics Point

    - There is no propaganda on the media 0

    - There is propaganda on the media 10

    Vehicle sterilize after each trip

    - Not implemented 0

    - 80% 5

    - 100% 10

    Proportion of staff and drivers of vehicles having their

    temperature checked when getting on and off the vehicle:

    - Close doors or use air conditioning below 26 ° C 0

    - Partially open and use air conditioning above 26 ° C 5

    - Open all doors, do not use air conditioning 10

    Vehicle ventilation level; arrangement of a thermometer

    in the vehicle:

    >80%: Allow to operate 60-80%: Can operate but must upgrade criteria later

  • THANK YOUfor

    YOUR ATTENTION!