IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity...

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IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe

Transcript of IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity...

Page 1: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Sources of PM Emissions in Europe

Page 2: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme

Activity data Vintages

Other

Emission factor

Controlstrategies,legislation

Emissionsand

Costs

Sizedistribution

Current practice

Legend:

- Data asked for

- Data available from guidebooks

- Data assumed in the model but available for review

- Result of calculation

Base year:Detailed (but availablefrom publishedsources) energy, agriculture, transportand industrial production statistics.

Forecast:Aggregated data and economic indicators

Abatement technologies

(efficiency, costs, etc.)

Page 3: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Methodology

Emission factors for TSP first– mass balance approach for stationary combustion sources

– reported factors for the mobile and other sources

PM10 and PM2.5 fractions for uncontrolled emissions

Uncontrolled emission factors forfine / coarse / PM>10

Size-specific emission removal efficiencies

Page 4: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Source sectors

• Compatible with the current RAINS structure• Additional information/sources:

– boiler type and size (grate, fluidized bed, pulverized fuel),

– unleaded gasoline,

– gasoline direct injection engines,

– brake and tire wear, road abrasion,

– material handling,

– industrial processes (e.g. fertilizer production)

– other ‘dust’.

Page 5: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

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Source sectorsStationary combustion sources

• Centralized power and district heating plants– Existing plants* (wet bottom, other types of boilers)

– New plants

• Fuel production and conversion sector• Industrial combustion plants

– Boilers

– Other combustion

• Residential combustion

*Refers to all plants commissioned before or in 1990

Page 6: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

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Source sectorsIndustrial processes

• Cement production• Iron and Steel

– Pig iron production

– Coke production

– Sinter production

– Electric arc and basic oxygen furnaces

• Non-ferrous metal smelters• Fertilizer production• Pulp and paper industry

Page 7: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Source sectorsMobile sources

• Exhaust emissions– Heavy duty vehicles (trucks, busses)

– Light duty vehicles, cars, motorcycles *

– Gasoline direct injection engines

– Unleaded gasoline

– Off-road machinery *

– National sea shipping (medium and large vessels)

• Non-exhaust emissions– Tire and brake wear

– Road abrasion

*For gasoline distinguishing between 2 and 4-stroke engines

Page 8: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

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Source sectorsOther sources

• Agriculture– pig farms

– poultry farms

– cattle farms

– other

• Material handling• Other dust

Page 9: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Data sourcesActivity data

• Stationary combustion– International and national energy statistics, DG Energy

projections, Official Energy Pathway

• Industrial processes– International commodity statistics, national experts

• Mobile sources– as stationary combustion and AUTO OIL

• Other– TNO (1993), FAO (1999), EFMA (1998), IFA (1999),

national experts

Page 10: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Data sourcesEmission factors

• Stationary combustion– AEAT (1999), UBA (1999), EPA (1999) IEA, UNECE

databases on fuel characteristics, national experts

• Industrial processes– EPA (1998), AEAT (2000), UBA (1999)

• Mobile sources– AUTO OIL, Wulf (1998), CBS-RIVM (1998)

• Other– RIVM (2000)

Page 11: IIASA Sources of PM Emissions in Europe. IIASA RAINS Emission and cost calculation scheme Activity data Vintages Other Emission factor Control strategies,

IIASA

Conclusions/ Summary

• Framework for calculating European emissions of PM developed

• Most important PM sources covered• The model has an open environment• The model is available on the web• Further work is necessary to:

– improve database on country specific parameters (e.g., fuel characteristics, current practices, legislation, etc.)

– assess the importance of fugitive losses

– perform further verification