Shri. L.N. Gupta, Joint Secretary (Refineries)Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Government of India India-IEA Joint Emergency Response Exercise Workshop

Presentation Outline2341

Indias Energy Facts at a Glance. 17.5% of worlds population (1.21 billion in year 2011)

3rd largest economy in the world by GDP (PPP basis IMF report)

GDP growth rate is expected to be in the range of 6.5-7.5%

11th largest Energy Producer in the world - Produces 2.4% of world production

6th highest in Energy Consumption - Consumes 3.3% of world consumption

Energy Consumption/capita amongst lowest in the world hence great growth potential

One eight North Americas per capita energy Consumption (Indias per capita consumption: Primary Energy 400 KGOE; Hydrocarbons 166)

One Sixth of western Europe Consumption and One fourth of the World Average

Average Energy Consumption Growth has been 6% p.a., projected to increase further

Primary Energy % ShareSource statistical review of world energy 2011Share of Coal as primary energy source continues ..

Decline in share of Oil in % terms

MMTOE19952000200520092010Oil75.2106.1120151156Natural Gas17.423.7324656Coal142.8144.2184251278Hydro-Electricity17.217.4222425Nuclear Energy1.72.9445Renewable0.7255Total254295364480524

Chart1

29.60629921266.850393700856.22047244096.77165354330.66929133860

35.96610169498.033898305148.88135593225.89830508470.98305084750.2372881356

32.88424525718.825955457850.70112730276.04894143521.0448171570.4949133902

31.46488851849.564492602652.21921233595.00104188370.79183163160.9585330277

29.664250286210.625715375852.95688668454.80732544830.99198779090.9538344143

Oil

Natural Gas

Coal

Hydro-Electricity

Nuclear Energy

Renewable

Sheet1

199520002005200820092010

Oil4039363534.834

Natural Gas2324242423.824

Coal2724282929.430

Hydro electricity37666.66

Nuclear energy76665.55

Renewable1.21

19952000200520092010

Oil29.636.032.931.529.7

19952000200520092010Natural Gas6.98.08.89.610.6

Oil29.636.032.931.529.7Coal56.248.950.752.253.0

Natural Gas6.98.08.89.610.6Hydro-Electricity6.85.96.05.04.8

Coal56.248.950.752.253.0Nuclear Energy0.71.01.00.81.0

Hydro-Electricity6.85.96.05.04.8Renewable0.00.20.51.01.0

Nuclear Energy0.71.01.00.81.0

Renewable0.00.20.51.01.0

Sheet1

Oil

Natural Gas

Coal

Hydro-Electricity

Nuclear Energy

Renewable

Sheet2

Sheet3

199520002005200920102009

Oil3571.635193909390940283909

Natural Gas19122176.22511266128582661

Coal22072399.73013330635563306

Hydro Elect216599.4659736776736

Nuclear600585627614626614

Renewable137159137

8507927910719113631200211363

World Primary Energy consumption19952000200520092010

Oil42383634.433.6

Natural Gas22232323.423.8

Coal26262829.129.6

Hydro-Electricity3666.56.5

Nuclear Energy7665.45.2

Renewable0001.21.3

Growing Primary Energy Demand IndiaSource: BP Statistical Review 2011Projected figure Source: Integrated Energy Policy

Estimated Demand for Primary Energy to rise up to 1633 MTOE by 2031-32 For oil, though importer for over 25 years, considering the dramatic rise in volume demand, the balance of trade for oil is a critical issue 510MTOE1633MTOECAGR= 6%Gas CAGR= 7%Oil CAGR= 5%

Chart1

269157521515

360201751929

4562591082454

6323341553479

81643522443115

Coal

Oil

Natural Gas

Hydro

Nuclear

Sheet1

20112016202120262032215.7

Coal269360456632816

Oil1572012593344355.0

Natural Gas52751081552247.2

Hydro1519243443

Nuclear15295479115

Upstream Sector: Key Facts26 sedimentary basins: 3.14 mn sq kM (44% on land and 56% offshore) Prognosticated Hydrocarbon reserves: 28 BTOE (

New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP) Provides an international class fiscal and contract framework for E&P of hydrocarbonsEstimated sedimentary area of 3.14 lakh Sq. Kms47% of estimated area has been awarded under first eight NELPIn the first eight rounds of NELP spanning 2000-2011, Production Sharing Contracts (PSCs) for 235 exploration blocks have been signed.Actual investment made by E&P companies under NELP is of the order of US$ 15.88 billionExploration Blocks awarded in NELP RoundsSource: PPAC Note: 9th NELP round has just now overApril 2000

Significant DiscoveriesSource: DGH

Disc Yr:2000-2005

Recent DiscoveriesSource: DGH

Position of Hydrocarbon Reserves* Reserves denote balance recoverable reserves of hydrocarbonsSource: PPAC

Initial In PlaceUltimate Reserves Reserves* (MMT)OilGasO+OEGOilGasO+OEGOilGasO+OEGONGC4960.662416.137376.791403.251191.672594.92552.61659.381211.99OIL776.09317.061093.15230.06170.83400.8981.79100.81182.6Pvt./JV820.671208.702029.37194.89640.67835.56122.995524.22647.215Total6557.423941.8910499.311828.202003.173831.37757.3951284.412041.805

Crude oil Production: ProjectionSource: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

Alternate Source of HC: CBM and Shale Gas Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

Coal Bed Methane (CBM) Gas development in IndiaPrognosticated CBM Resources92TCFEstablished CBM resources8.92TCFTotal available Coal bearing area26000Sq.KMExploration Initiated17000Sq.KMBlocks Awarded*33Nos.Commercial production of CBM gas0.23MMSCMD*CBM blocks have been awarded in the state of Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Chattisgarh, Gujarat, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Orissa, Rajasthan, Tamilnadu and West Bengal.

Shale Gas development in Indiaa) Shale Gas Spread in the sedimentary basinsCambay, Gondwana, Krishna-Godavari onland and Cauveryb) MoU signed on 06.10.2010 between Department of State, USA and Ministry of Petroleum & Natural GasFor the assessment of Shale Gas Resources in India, imparting training to Indian Geo-Scientists and Engineers & assistance in formulation of Regulatory Frameworks.

Refinery Capacity: India Third largest refining capacity in Asia-Pacific and fifth largest in the world

Indias Refinery Capacity additions have made the country surplus in products

Source: PPAC

Indian Refining Sector on Expansion Spree Indias present refining capacity is 213 MMTPA (leapfrogged from 62 MMTPA in 1998)Refining capacity is expected to touch 310.9 MMTPA by 2017India is the largest exporter of petroleum product in Asia since Aug09 (Platts)*Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

Projected Refining Capacity-PSU Vs. PrivateSource: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

Finished Products: Production & Consumption

Figs in MMTSource: PPACFigure of FY12 is provisional

Projected Products Demand: Sector-wise

Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

Projected Products Demand: Product-wise

Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

India Net Exporter of Petroleum ProductsIndias rapid Refinery Capacity additions have made the country net exporter of products (Largest exporter in Asia according to Platts)Figs in MMTSource: PPAC

Indias Marketing Network at a glanceAs of 01.04.2011 (Prvnl.)Source: PPAC

Retail Outlets41,947LPG Customers PSUs (Domestic and Non-domestic)126.89 millionLPG Distributors- PSUs10,541Bottling Capacity (TMTPA)11889Auto LPG Dispensing Stations222Crude Oil Pipelines length (KM)6559Oil Product Pipelines length (KM)12,783Movement through Pipelines 2010-11 (MMT )142Gas Pipelines length (KM)9774Gas Pipeline movement in 2010-11 (MMSCMD)170

Petroleum Products a major foreign exchange earner US $ billionSource: PPAC

Strategic Storage

Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserves Limited (ISPRL), a Special Purpose Vehicle created by the Government of India, is currently building 5.33 MMT of crude oil storage capacity . The storages are in underground rock caverns and the locations and capacities are as follows: Visakhapatnam, State of Andhra Pradesh. Capacity: 1.33 MMTMangalore, State of Karnataka. Capacity: 1.5 MMTPadur , State of Karnataka. Capacity: 2.5 MMT.As per the Integrated Energy Policy, the country is required to maintain a reserve of strategic-cum- buffer stock equivalent to 90 days of oil imports.OIL PSUs are also in the process of building storages for hydrocarbons. With these storages the total storage of crude oil and petroleum products is expected to be approx 30.82 MMT. As per a paper prepared by MoP&NG, the country would require additional storage of 13.32 MMT by the year 2019-20. Of this, ISPRL is conducting feasibility studies for 12.5 MMT of crude oil storage.

*Source: ISPRL

*Source: PPACCrude Pipelines

Number: 17Length : 7425 kmCapacity:117 MMT

Product pipelines

Number: 28Length :11000 kmCapacity:68 MMT

Indian Demand Assumptions Figs in MMSCMD Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII Plan

Figs in MMSCMD Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII PlanNatural Gas Availability: Projections

Figs in MMSCMD Source: Report of the WG on P&NG Sector for the XII PlanLNG Import Facilities: Projections

*Source: PPACGas Pipelines in India:

Pipeline Length 13428 KMDesign Capacity 355 MMSCMDAverage Flow 232 MMSCMDGas Pipeline Network

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