IEA MOST Workshop on Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage · IEA –MOST Workshop on Carbon...
Transcript of IEA MOST Workshop on Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage · IEA –MOST Workshop on Carbon...
Encouraging Deployment of CCUS –
Asian Development Bank’s Activities
Ashok Bhargava Asian Development Bank
Beijing, 19 September 2011
IEA –MOST Workshop on Carbon
Capture Utilization and Storage
Asian Development Bank – An Introduction
ADB – A Regional Development Partner in Low-Carbon Growth
Focusing on reducing poverty and improving quality of life in Asia and the Pacific
founded in 1966 and Headquarters in Manila
67 Member countries and 27 field offices
with triple “A” credit rating, mobilizing low-cost funds for development
In 2010, it approved $17.5 billion in financing operations
ADB in People’s Republic of China
ADB – PRC
partnership
PRC became ADB member country in 1986and is one of the largest borrowers
ADB cumulative lending in the past 25 yearshave reached more than $ 23 billion
Average annual lending is about $1.5 billion
The energy sector is one of the prioritysectors for ADB operations
In energy sector the cumulative lending hasreached more than $ 4billion
Why CCS is needed in developing countries?
High growth trajectory
for fossil fuel,
especially carbon
intensive coal
Without CCS, the
CO2 emissions are
unlikely to peak out
Large capacity addition, especially in next 10
– 15 years, with high proportion of coal-
based plants
Rapidly rising coal consumption has wider
implications for the global climate change
mitigation efforts
CCS is the only near commercial technology
to decouple CO2 emissions from fossil fuel
consumption
Why CCS is needed in developing countries?
High growth trajectory
for fossil fuel,
especially carbon
intensive coal
Without CCS, the
CO2 emissions are
unlikely to peak out
Large capacity addition, especially in next 10
– 15 years, with high proportion of coal-
based plants
Rapidly rising coal consumption has wider
implications for the global climate change
mitigation efforts
CCS is the only near commercial technology
to decouple CO2 emissions from fossil fuel
consumption
But ……CCS is not a priority in developing countries
“wait and see”
approach on CCS
No incentives or
supporting policies
for CCS
Reliance on energy efficiency and renewable
to lower carbon intensity; CCS is not included
in the low-carbon technology portfolio
No targets, programs or incentives for CCS,
which is delaying its demonstration and
deployment
Slower uptake of CCS in developed countries
is also raising concerns in developing
countries
Challenges in CCS Financing
High upfront project
development cost
Complex multi-
sectoral set up
Regulatory risks
and liabilities
Perceived risks
Expensive and time intensive storage
characterization
The whole CCS chain will involve multiple
agencies to collaborate over a long period
Evolving regulatory framework with
uncertainties; potential long-term liabilities
High perceived risks due to unfamiliarity
Impact of High Capital Cost and Energy Penalty
CCS is
expensive and
energy penalty
is high
Using captured
CO2 for EOR can
marginally lower
the cost impact
But ……………..
Base
Cost
24%
200
400
600
800
01/10/2010
400 MW IGCC
Base
Cost
65%
01/10/2010
600 MW SC
Co
st
- $
millio
n
30
60
90
120
Ele
ctr
icit
y T
arif
f $
/M
Wh
51
90
73
112
With CCS
Without CCS
53%
80%
with CCS coal-fired power plants are financially
unviable with the existing tariff.
What if …………….
Additional
capital cost and
energy penalty
are
compensated
Concessionalities
provided to bring
“with CCS” tariff
to within 20% of
the existing level
Base
Cost
24%
200
400
600
800
07/10/2010
400 MW IGCC
Base
Cost
65%
07/10/2010
600 MW SC
Co
st
- $
millio
n
30
60
90
120
Ele
ctr
icit
y T
arif
f $
/M
Wh
51
677375
With CCS
Without CCS
$226 M $226 M
CCS demonstration will require international
support in developing countries
Cost of electricity comparisons
“with CCS” power is
competitive with
other low-carbon
technologies
Electricity Tariff and Capital Cost Comparison in PRC
0.05
0.19 $/kWh
0.09 $/kWh
0.11 $/kWh
0.08 $/kWh
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Wind IGCC + CCS SC+CCS Solar Std Coal
Co
st
($m
illi
on
/MW
)
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
Tarif
f ($
/kW
h)
Cost ($M/MW) Std Coal tariff (ct $/kWh)
Comparing a coal-fired “with CCS” to a “without
CCS” plant is unfair
Why Renewable and CCS …. not Renewable or CCS
Renewable and CCS both are needed
Large renewable capacity addition and energy efficiency improvements alone are not sufficient
1 GW
Wind
3000
GWh
1000
2000
3000
40001 GW
Coal-
fired
power
plant
Ele
ctr
icit
y g
en
era
ted
-
GW
h
1GW
Solar
2200
GWh
5000
6000
6200
GWh
Each GW of coal fired power plant “without CCS”
emit more CO2 than avoided by a GW each of solar
and wind combined
Financing CCS Demonstration in Developed
Countries - Role of Public Financing
CCS demonstration is being rolled out in developed countries
Multibillion dollar public funding needed to kick start CCS demonstration
No such funding mechanism available in developing countries
.
Source: IEA/CSLF Report to the Muskoka 2010 G8 summit
ADB approach to support CCS in Developing
Countries
Established a CCS dedicated fund
Formed partnerships
Prioritized the People’s Republic of China
. The CCS Fund with $21.5 million contribution
from Global CCS Institute is operational
CCS partnership with the CCI, stakeholder in
the CSLF, Member - Global CCS Institute,
$1.25 million studies with NDRC Department
of Climate Change and Greengen Company
completed on the CCS roadmap; a pilot CCS
project is being assessed, a natural gas
project for possible CCS ready application is in
program.
Financing CCS in Developing Countries – ADB
Report (TA 7278-REG)
ADB submitted a report to CSLF on financing CCS in emerging economies
Key recommendation -set up $5 billion CCS dedicated fund for developing countries
It will - support storage characterization, FEED studies and nearly offset incremental CapEx and OpEx.
.
Strategic Analysis and Capacity Development in
PRC– TA 7286 - PRC
ADB completed the TA with NDRC Department of Climate Change and Greengen
Report identified key role of CCS in CO2 emission reduction but identified challenges
It called for more innovative CCS and suitable financing mechanism
. Key conclusions and recommendations
Both post and pre-combustion capture should
be considered for demonstration
Current high capital cost of IGCC plants will
reduce sharply when installed capacity reaches
5 GW and higher
EOR may provide early opportunities but cross
sectoral cooperation is proving difficult
Pilot regulatory framework modeled on
international best practices can guide
demonstration projects
Near-term CCS activities (2011 – 2013) in the PRC
Expand capacity development to new area
Strengthen regulatory and policy capacity
Prepare a demonstration project for investment
. $1.8 million Capacity development TA with
Datang International for a natural gas power
plant (2011)
Potential capacity development TA for an oxy
fuel project (2012)
Policy and advisory TA for NDRC Department
of Climate Change
FEED studies for potential project (2012 –
2013)
Looking ahead …..
Preferred financing mechanism for CCS in developing countries
Strengthen ADB’s CCS Fund
Support capacity development and policy formulation
. ADB will continue to work with partners in the
CCUS action group to identify and establish a
CCS financing mechanism
Seek more near-term contributions to support
project development activities – FEED studies,
storage characterization
Submit a CCS road map for the PRC; provide
need based support to NDRC and energy
companies
Conclusions
CCS technologies face unique challenges
Compelling reasons to fast track CCS demonstration in developing countries
MDBs have a critical role to play in capacity development and creating enabling environment
Unlike other low-carbon technologies, there is
weak policy support for CCS technologies.
Surging demand for fossil fuel but unsatisfactory
progress on CCS in developing countries
demands early CCS demonstration
Without a targeted CCS Fund to substantially
mitigate higher CapEx and OpEx, the CCS
demonstration at-scale will be difficult in
developing countries. Some work is underway
but it requires support and funding from
developed countries.
Conclusions
Compelling reasons to fast track CCS demonstration in developing countries
MDB’s like ADB are ready to support PRC and other developing countries
Energy efficiency and renewable alone can not
provide the desired carbon intensity reductions
in PRC
PRC has a critical role to play in CCS
demonstration and deployment
Pilot CCS activities have laid the groundwork for
near-term CCS demonstrations (by 2015) if right
funding and policy supports are available in time
Successful demonstration will build confidence
in CCS and may lead to supporting policies and
programs
For further information