GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT - Leading Research Economies and the New Geography of Knowledge

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    JONATHAN ADAMS

    COMMITTEE ON INSTITUTIONAL COOPERATION

    GLOBAL UNIVERSITY SUMMIT 2012, CHICAGO, ILLINOIS

    GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT

    LEADING RESEARCH ECONOMIES ANDTHE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF KNOWLEDGE

    APRIL 2012

    REUTERS/JOHN KOLESIDIS

    DEVELOPING TALENT TO DRIVE INNOVATION

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    There is no question that economic competitiveness

    depends on innovative processes and products

    developed by talented people working in knowledge-based organizations.

    The Higher Education sector has a unique and

    critical role to play because it is the source o skilled

    and knowledge-competent people. Graduates and

    doctoral researchers contribute to the development

    o the knowledge capital within their institutions.

    That enables those institutions to generate cutting-

    edge papers and reports, create start-up companies

    and collaborate with local and global commercial

    partners. But the graduates also leave those

    institutions and spread out across the economy

    bringing with them both knowledge and the ability to

    use knowledge to the huge benet o their employers.

    Countries that invest in their research base are

    not only committing to the direct development o

    knowledge and innovation. They are also supporting

    the knowledge-rich environment in which people are

    trained and develop their talents. Laboratories and

    institutions with great research records also producepeople who have been soaked in that environment

    and have experienced the culture and discipline o

    identiying the most important inormation and then

    putting it to the best use. Whether this is in molecular

    biology, innovative materials, new design concepts

    or breakthrough economic theory, it all impacts on

    wealth creation and the quality o lie.

    For these reasons the level o investment, the

    numbers o trained researchers and the output and

    impact o the research base are key perormance

    indicators o value to governments, research and

    higher education agencies and all research-oriented

    institutions and companies. This report summarizesa key set o such indicators or a group o major

    research economies that collectively account or

    about 60% o global research publications in journals

    indexed in Thomson Reuters Web of KnowledgeSM.

    GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORTLEADING RESEARCH ECONOMIES ANDTHE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF KNOWLEDGE

    THE FOLLOWING ANALYSES USE CONSISTENT COLORS TO DESIGNATE THESE COUNTRIES:

    OECD data on Gross expenditure on R&D (GERD)conrm

    that Japan, the US and Germany are investing relatively more

    o GDP in their research base. Chinas GERD has increased

    dramatically in absolute terms and is also growing as a share

    o an expanding GDP. This represents a huge additional

    investment in global research.

    Within Europe, Germanys GERD is substantially greater than

    any other country. France has broadly maintained its research

    spend but in the UK the level o investment shows signs o

    decline and the UK remains behind the general EU target on

    expenditure.

    Research spend in Asia will be the major change actor in thenext decade.

    More researchers as well as greater expenditure are

    characteristic o the research economies in Japan and the

    USA. EU countries have around 8 researchers per thousand

    people in the labor orce but the USA is at 9 and Japan at 10.

    Chinas labor orce remains relatively unskilled, but in absolute

    numbers it has as many researchers OECDs relatively more

    skilled category o workers as Western Europe.

    Ph.D. training in China is still expanding. It is evident that the

    balance o highly skilled, R&D-competent workers in Asia willgrow very signicantly over the next decade. This is unlikely to

    be counterbalanced by established economies.

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    THE FOLLOWING ANALYSES USE CONSISTENT COLORS TO DESIGNATE THESE COUNTRIES:

    Research papers (journal articles and reviews) are the primary

    route to disseminating new knowledge in most science

    disciplines. The US share o world papers has been declining

    or some time. This was initially due to research growth in

    Europe but is now much more refective o growth by Asia and

    in particular China.

    Chinas output has risen so rapidly that it has more than

    doubled its share o world papers in the last decade. This

    unprecedented trajectory shows little sign o fattening.

    In Europe, the UK and Germany remain well ahead o France

    but all three see their world share declining.

    Research impact is essential for identifying output that

    is worth exploiting. We can index impact by comparing the

    average number o citations per paper to the relevant world

    average or year and subject area.

    The USA was the world leader but research quality in Europe

    has improved over the last decade and the UK is on average

    now producing higher-impact papers.

    In Asia, China has improved its average perormance. Data

    conrm that it is producing many excellent papers. Much

    o its output explosion is more modest in quality, however,

    which means that its average impact remains well behind the

    world average.

    A Research Footprint uses a deconstructed picture o

    citation impact to compare each country by major discipline

    area both with the others in the analysis and with a worldaverage (1.0).

    The USA has somewhat the highest citation impact in physical

    sciences and engineering but the UK has a clear advantage

    in the lie sciences. Germany and France are close behind the

    USA in engineering and ahead in biology.

    China is clearly stronger in engineering and weaker in

    molecular biology. That refects its historical research

    investment but it is now diversiying its research base into

    the lie sciences. It will become equally competitive in these

    key areas.

    The changing geography o knowledge requires us to review

    our assumptions. But the data on investment, workorce,

    outputs and impact point less to a weakening o old

    economies and more to unprecedented change in new

    research economies. What we see in China is written more

    nely but equally clearly or other Asia-Pacic countries, the

    Middle East, North Arica and Latin America.

    Brazil is creating a Latin-regional ocus; Egypt is a key hub between the Middle East and Arica; China is diversiying a collaborative network

    around the Pacic basin. Future global research will require a shit in mindset towards balanced partnerships in which the old alliances will

    not always lead.

    New economies bring new ideas about problem denition and problem solving as well as innovative outcomes. Universities can lead the

    way in establishing knowledge partnerships, showing governments where national interest could be directed. Knowledge will be gained not

    only through intelligence and literature reviews but much more via hands-on engagement.

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    Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters

    ABOUT THOMSON REUTERS

    Thomson Reuters is the worlds leading source o intelligent inormation or businesses

    and proessionals. Our Research Analytics solutions rom the IP & Science business allow

    administrators to track, measure, analyze and compare research at their institution and

    others around the world. Based on the objective, reliable data in Web o Science, these

    oerings provide insight into trends and perormance, giving leaders concrete evidence

    to dene strategic direction.

    For more inormation, go to researchanalytics.thomsonreuters.com/impact/

    ABOUT THE AUTHOR

    Jonathan Adams is Director, Research Evaluation. He was a ounding Director o

    Evidence Ltd, the UK specialist on research perormance analysis and interpretation

    and was ormerly a member o the science policy sta o the UK Advisory Board or the

    Research Councils.

    FOR MORE GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORTS VISIT:

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