GLOBAL PLATFORM FOR Disaster Risk Reduction Operational Climate services for managing Socio-...
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GLOBAL PLATFORMFOR Disaster Risk Reduction
Operational Climate services for managing Socio-Economic Risks Linked to the Changing
Climate
The role of meteorological services inadressing the public health impacts
of climate change
Lucien MangaProgram Manager for Public Heath and Environnement
WHO Regional Office for Africa
CLIMATE CHANGE: Africa projectionsscenario
+4ºC+2 ºC -20% +20%
TemperatureRainfall
Source:IPCC AR4 WG1 ch 11
Relationships between weather and disease patterns in Kenya
Area Start Cessation Wet period
Probable health impacts
Nyanza/Western Late Sept 2009
Jan/Feb2010 4-5 months
Severe Flooding – sanitation problems, clean water, diarrhoeal diseases ( peak period -immediate)
N/Eastern, Eastern Early October 2009
End of December 2009
3 months Moderate Flooding – sanitation in Wajir town, vector borne diseases (Malaria ,RVF, haemorrhagic fevers) peak transmission Mid NOV/early DEC 2009Malaria and RVF epidemics likely
Rift valley Early Nov 2009
N. Rift – end of Dec 2009
2 months Vector breeding sites– vector borne diseases (malaria) peak transmission end Dec 2009 to - Jan 2010
S Rift - Jan/Feb 3-4 months
Mild flooding - vector borne diseases (Malaria RVF) peak transmission end Dec 2009 to - Jan 2010 Malaria epidemics and focalised RVF likely
Coast Early October 2009
End of December 2009
3 months Moderate Flooding – vector borne diseases peak transmission Mid NOV/early DEC 2009 Localised increase in malaria and filarial transmission especially south coast
04/21/23 3
Meteorological services in the African public health climate change framework
• African ministers of health and environment Joint Statement on Climate Change and Health.
• Essential Public Health Package to enhance climate change resilience in developing countries.
• Africa moving towards an integrated environment and health surveillance system to predict and prevent public health impacts of climate change.
• Meteorological services and data are a central component in:– the integrated environment and health surveillance
system;– Current health vulnerability assessments– Development of early warning and response systems
• Meteorological forecast for early warning systems is a MUST in Preparedeness, Readiness and Response.