„GERMAN ENERGY POLICY –

A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD?“

Alexander ZAFIRIOU

Survey by the German MC

Oran, Algeria, 24 November 2011

November 2011 GERMAN ENERGY POLICY – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD? 2

- Survey among WEC-network

- Feedback from 21 Countries

14 within Europe

7 outside of Europe

- 10 questions in the following areas

a) How feasible are the objectives of the “Energiewende”?

b) Which national/international consequences are expected?

c) Could the GER approach serve as a blueprint for the

world?

”German Survey“

November 2011 GERMAN ENERGY POLICY – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD? 3

Will GER reach all its objectives?

No expert believes that GER will reach all its objectives of the energy concept in time.

67 % of the experts believe that GER, will reach its objectives partly (38 %) or completely (29 %).

YES - completely and without delay NO - delayed

partly

completely

November 2011 GERMAN ENERGY POLICY – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD? 4

Which impact do you expect on the economic power of GER?

Short-/medium-term a weakening of GER’s economic power is expected by 76 %; 10 % expect a strengthening

Long-term (beyond 2020) 48 % expect an economically weaker GER; 33 % expect a strengthening

weakeningweakening

strengthening

strengthening

until 2020 beyond 2020

no impact no impact

November 2011 GERMAN ENERGY POLICY – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD? 5

Which international impact is expected?

71 % expect in the midterm a significant additional increase of electricity prices in their own national markets

62 % expect increased threats for Europe’s security of supply

higher electricity prices increased threats for security of supply

November 2011 GERMAN ENERGY POLICY – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD? 6

GER energy policy - blueprint for the world?

GER shouldn’t be a blueprint for the world

Elements worth to be copied

81 % reject that the GER energy policy approach should be a blueprint for the world

62 % of the experts could imagine that at least elements of the GER approach are could be copied

no elements worth to be copied

RES-goals

CO 2-goals

PED-goals

nuclear “critics“

not specified

November 2011 GERMAN ENERGY POLICY – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE WORLD? 7

Media attention