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Transcript of Futurecom brazil october_hossein_final_v1
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Hossein Moiin
CTO, Nokia Siemens Networks
Broadband from today to 2015 and beyondChallenges and Opportunities
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Transforming lives &work
Individualisation & socialisation
Clouds/Network are the computer
Transforming all industries
Adoption
Communication technologies as transformation agents
Adaptation Absorption
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Uncertain TIMES Where are the trends leading ?
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Example: Brasilians like the Internet experience and are very enthusiastic regarding usage in future
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Would upgrade their fixed Internet access at home
Would spend more time on the mobile Internet in the future
Source: Nokia Siemens Networks Broadband study 2009
81%
63%
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Where are the bottlenecks and limitations?
Spectrum is a limited resource
The data tornado needs to be managed
Content rich apps challenge long loop copper lines
Streaming & interactivity drive need for low latency networks Cloud computing
adoption will stress the network
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
The challenge to realize the broadband opportunitiesNeed for highly scalable networks @ lowest cost per bit
Voice/data revenue growth 3% YoY
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
1200%
20150 Bn$
500 Bn$
1.000 Bn$
1.500 Bn$
2.000 Bn$
2.500 Bn$
3.000 Bn$
Broadband data and new subscribers drive growth …
2009
Voice
Data
Voice
Data
But there will be a gap between traffic and revenue growth
Traffic growthof 50% YoY
Subs growthof 10% YoY
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
The blueprint for an “indiversal” networkCustomer & value centric - evolve to the Network of One
One Agileoperation
One Simplifiednetwork
One Flexibleservice delivery
Holistic approach to efficiency and experience
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
How to meet near-term demands for broadband @home?
FTTC/B with VDSL2is the most cost effective way to satisfy the need for 50 Mbps per household
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
It becomes difficult to satisfy bandwidth hunger with today's access technologies
upstream downstream
50 50 100Mbps
Web surfing
HDTV
Video Sharing
Super HDTV
Gaming
Applications bandwidth demand100Mbps
ADSL
ADSL2+
upstream downstream
GPON
Docsis3.0
VDSL2
50 50
Access technology capabilities (today)100Mbps
100Mbps
3x HDTV
Surfing
Gaming
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Next Generation Optical Access – NGOA1)Shaping the colorful future of broadband access
PhotonicIP core
Passive splitter
Longdistance office
UD-WDM
OLT
1) Nokia Siemens Networks research project 2) depending on choice of cascaded splitter / filter design
Passive optical distribution network
One wavelength per customer: unshared 1Gbps symmetrical
Passive filter/combiner
Up to 100 km reach2) and high splitting factor of 1000 2)
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Technology evolution supports mobile broadbandHigh data rates in the most efficient way
The ultimate mobile broadband experience with LTE and LTE-A
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Enabling the mobile broadband experienceCapacity and coverage count
of cells carryof the traffic
for rural coverage for high capacity
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Heterogeneous Networks The Combined Benefit of Wide & Local Area
Wide Area• Majority of cells • Beyond 300 m
Medium Area• Share growing• 100-300m
Hot spots• Share growing• 10-100m
Indoor• Share growing• 1-10m
Femto
LTE
TD-LTE
LTE-ATD-LTE-A
GSM
HSPA+WiFi
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Delivering the mobile broadband experience meansmore base stations, more cell sites and higher backhaul capacity
PDH vs Ethernet:Annual Mobile Backhaul Service Charges per Connection
Source: Infonetics Research (2010)Source: ABI Research 2010
21% of CAPEX for mobile backhaul
Backhaul is going to IP/Ethernet for lowest cost per bit and to fit with all-IP services
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
Full-packet mobile backhaul networkevolution starts today via any access media
LTE ready backhaulProvide synchronization, meet latency targets and optimize connectivity between NodeBs
eNodeB/NodeB/BTS
HSPA
LTE
LTE-A
GSM/EDGE
copper
fiber
microwave
IP/Ethernet
Access Aggregation
NG backhaulLeverage technologies like NGOA, packet microwave radio, LTE-A relaying
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Providing an “Identity” bridge between Connectivity and Applications
Applications
Connectivity
GSMGPRSEDGE
HSPALTE
WLANWiMAX
DSLPON
Mobile TVAdvertising
Payments
Social Networks
IPTV
Gaming
ID Provider
HTTPDigest
GAA/GBA
OpenID SAML
2.0
MAP
EAP RADIUS
Diameter
Identity Management
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Internet
Cellphones
Laptops
Adoption
Adaptation
Absorption
Smart Phones
eReaders
Objectsconnected
Connectedcar
A market on the moveDevelopment of smart ‘things’ & the “indiversal” network
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23
We need to work collectivelly as an industry to provide enriching services and ensure CSPs real growth.
LTE, SON and all-IP transport networks will enhance the end user broadband experience.
CSPs will have the corner stones to integrate web and network providing enriching services.
Mobile broadband is a key technology component to increase Brazilians’ digital inclusion.
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Thank you
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/13/23