Future of Manufacturing launch - presentation
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Transcript of Future of Manufacturing launch - presentation
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The Future of Manufacturing: A new era of opportunity and challenge for the UK
10.00 Welcome (Sir John Parker)10.05 Headline messages (Sir Mark Walport)10.15 Response from Government (Rt. Hon. Vince Cable MP)10.25 Findings & framework for action (Lead Expert Group)10.50 Panel discussion (chaired by Sir Richard Lapthorne)11.30 Close
Join in the conversation on Twitter:@uksciencechief @foresightgovuk #FoMn #manufacturing
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Key message 1: Manufacturing matters, now and for the future
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Absolute value: 10% contribution to GDP (£139 bn in 2012)
• Exports: 53% of UK exports in 2012 (£256 billion)
• R&D: 72-79% of total UK business R&D spend 2000-2011
• Productivity: growth 2.3% p.a. (1980-2009), UK 0.7% p.a.
• Jobs: high skilled and well paid
• Resilience: provides resilience in face of recession
Manufacturing is and must continue to be an essential part of the UK economy
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3Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output
Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
The changing position of manufacturing in leading economies
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Key message 2: Looking ahead to 2050 - a new era for manufacturing
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Packaging of services with products e.g. Rolls Royce
• Selling of technological ‘know how’ e.g. ARM
• Remanufacturing of products e.g. JCB / Caterpillar
Manufacturers will increasingly make use of a wider ‘value chain to create revenue.
More than making a product and selling it
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Looking ahead to 2050 - a new era for manufacturing
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
Faster, more responsive and closer to customers
• Mass personalisation of low-cost products, on demand
• Distributed production: big high-tech, modular, home, mobile
• Greater design freedom
• More digital connections along value chains
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Looking ahead to 2050 - a new era for manufacturing
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
Exposed to new market opportunities
• Changes to personal wealth / ageing populations
• BRICs and the ‘Next 11’
• Continued global ‘fragmentation’ of the value chain
• Some ‘onshoring’ back to the UK
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Looking ahead to 2050 - a new era for manufacturing
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
More sustainable
• Growing / more urban populations raise resource demand
• Climate change and global supply chain vulnerability
• Resulting volatility in price of commodities
• Reuse, remanufacturing, recycling - a ‘circular economy’
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Looking ahead to 2050 - a new era for manufacturing
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
Increasingly dependent on highly skilled workers
• Strong demand for manufacturing workers
• A need to accommodate more older workers
• Importance of STEM qualifications
• Blending of technical & commercial ‘hybrid’ skills
• Potential for human enhancement
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9Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output
Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Better intelligence - beyond measuring output from production
• Better targeting of support, using the wider policy system
• Enhancing capability in evaluating and coordinating policy
• Scaling up a number of existing initiatives
Key message 3:
As manufacturing evolves, policy makers will need new approaches to ensure that the UK is a place where it thrives
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10 Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
• Welcome (Sir John Parker)
• Headline messages (Sir Mark Walport)
• Response from Government (the Rt. Hon. Vince Cable MP)
• Findings and framework for action
• Panel discussion (chaired by Sir Richard Lapthorne)
#FoMn #manufacturing
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11 Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
• Welcome (Sir John Parker)
• Headline messages (Sir Mark Walport)
• Response from Government (the Rt. Hon. Vince Cable MP)
• Findings and framework for action
• Panel discussion (chaired by Sir Richard Lapthorne)
#FoMn #manufacturing
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Faster, more responsive and closer to customersDr Hamid Mughal, Rolls Royce plc
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Central role of technology in manufacturing competitiveness
• Primary / underpinning technologies (ICT, sensors, advanced materials, biotechnology…) likely to become more pervasive in products and processes
• Secondary technologies (mobile internet, big data, robotics, additive manufacturing…) likely to make use of these
• Implications - distributed production, personalisation of low cost products, digitised value chains, higher performance
• Factories of the future will become increasingly diverse
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Collaborative Model of Manufacturing Growth & Success
Capital F
unding
Business Advice
Skills S
upport
UK Gro
wth
Skilled Labour
Wealth C
reation
Business Need
Product Need
Know-HowProven Capabilities
Know-How
High Calibre Staff
Devt Funding
Economic Context
Partnering
Generic capabilities
Spill-over Benefits
Business Ideas
Innovativ
e ideas
Scientific K
nowledge
High C
alibre
Sta
ff
Intelle
ctual P
roperty
Papers &
Gro
wth
Exploita
tion P
ull
Exploitation
Technology Pipeline
Prototype Demonstration
Pre-production
Fundamental Research
Production Demonstration
Industrial Exploitation• Competitive Products • Profit & growth• Wealth creation • Intellectual Property
• Product Technology gaps• New material needs• Poor process capability • Environmental challenges
Early Research Lead - Universities
Partners – Industry, EPSRC, Catapult
Capability Demonstrators
Pro
ble
m
So
luti
on
Lab Demonstration
Technology Development
Lead - Catapult
Partners: Industry, TSB / BIS, Universities
Lead – Industry
Partners – TSB / BIS, Catapult
Universities
Lead - Industry
Partners: Supply chain, TSB / BIS, Catapult
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More SustainableProfessor Steve Evans, University of Cambridge
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Potential volatility of supply / price of resources
• Climate change affecting vulnerable supply chains
• Greater use of regulation ‘pricing the environment’
• Consumer pull for eco-products
• Robust products for ‘collaborative consumption’
• Emergence of a circular economy in which products are reused, remanufactured and recycled
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16Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output
Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
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Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
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New approaches to policy for the futureProfessor Alan Hughes, University of Cambridge
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Better intelligence - beyond measuring production output
• Manufacturers already using a wider value-chain to generate revenue from pre/post production
• New metrics would inform how new value is being created and where the UK can capture more
• Potential for new models of data collection or sampling of firms, piloted alongside existing systems
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New approaches to policy for the futureProfessor Alan Hughes, University of Cambridge
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Better targeting of support, using the wider policy system
• Opportunity for industrial policy to evolve to the next level, tailored to requirements of specific areas of the value chain
• Identifying barriers to emergence of new technologies and their business implementation in different sectors
• A systems based approach is needed for the future, integrating science, technology, innovation and industrial policies
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New approaches to policy for the futureProfessor Alan Hughes, University of Cambridge
Share of manufacturing exports in manufacturing output Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
#FoMn #manufacturing
• Enhancing capability in evaluating and coordinating policy
• Changes in manufacturing will require future capacity in:
1. Evaluating changes across the sector, drawing in intelligence;
2. Assessing the impact of policies relevant across manufacturing; and
3. Identifying and responding to international best practice in policy design and implementation.
• One option would be to establish a US-style Office for Manufacturing to strengthen Government capability
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21 Foresight Future of Manufacturing Project: 30 th October 2013
• Welcome (Sir John Parker)
• Headline messages (Sir Mark Walport)
• Response from Government (the Rt. Hon. Vince Cable MP)
• Findings and framework for action
• Panel discussion (chaired by Sir Richard Lapthorne)
#FoMn #manufacturing