Functions of Random Variables. Methods for determining the distribution of functions of Random...
Transcript of Functions of Random Variables. Methods for determining the distribution of functions of Random...
Methods for determining the distribution of functions of Random Variables
1. Distribution function method
2. Moment generating function method
3. Transformation method
Distribution function method
Let X, Y, Z …. have joint density f(x,y,z, …)Let W = h( X, Y, Z, …)First step
Find the distribution function of WG(w) = P[W ≤ w] = P[h( X, Y, Z, …) ≤ w]
Second stepFind the density function of Wg(w) = G'(w).
Example: Student’s t distributionLet Z and U be two independent random variables with:
1. Z having a Standard Normal distribution
and
2. U having a 2 distribution with degrees of freedom
Find the distribution ofZ
tU
Therefore the joint density of Z and U is:
The distribution function of T is:
Z tG t P T t P t P Z U
U
2
2
12 2
12
,2
2
z u
f z u f z h u u e
Student – W.W. Gosset
Worked for a distillery
Not allowed to publish
Published under the pseudonym “Student
Let x1, x2, … , xn denote a sample of size n from the density f(x).
Let M = max(xi) then determine the distribution of M.
Repeat this computation for m = min(xi)
Assume that the density is the uniform density from 0 to .
Finding the distribution function of M.
( ) max iG t P M t P x t
1 , , nP x t x t
1 nP x t P x t
0 0
0
1
n
t
tt
t
Differentiating we find the density function of M.
1
0
0 otherwise
n
n
ntt
g t G t
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 2 4 6 8 10
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0 2 4 6 8 10
f(x) g(t)
Finding the distribution function of m.
( ) min iG t P m t P x t
11 , , nP x t x t
11 nP x t P x t
0 0
1 1 0
1
n
t
tt
t
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 2 4 6 8 10
Differentiating we find the density function of m.
1
1 0
0 otherwise
nn t
tg t G t
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0 2 4 6 8 10
f(x) g(t)
The probability integral transformation
This transformation allows one to convert observations that come from a uniform distribution from 0 to 1 to observations that come from an arbitrary distribution.
Let U denote an observation having a uniform distribution from 0 to 1.
1 0 1( )
elsewhere
ug u
Find the distribution of X.
1( )X F ULet
Let f(x) denote an arbitrary density function and F(x) its corresponding cumulative distribution function.
1( )G x P X x P F U x
P U F x F x
Hence. g x G x F x f x
DefinitionLet X denote a random variable with probability density function f(x) if continuous (probability mass function p(x) if discrete)
Then
mX(t) = the moment generating function of X
tXE e
if is continuous
if is discrete
tx
tx
x
e f x dx X
e p x X
The distribution of a random variable X is described by either
1. The density function f(x) if X continuous (probability mass function p(x) if X discrete), or
2. The cumulative distribution function F(x), or
3. The moment generating function mX(t)
Properties1. mX(0) = 1
0 derivative of at 0.k thX Xm k m t t 2.
kk E X
2 33211 .
2! 3! !kk
Xm t t t t tk
3.
continuous
discrete
k
kk k
x f x dx XE X
x p x X
4. Let X be a random variable with moment generating function mX(t). Let Y = bX + a
Then mY(t) = mbX + a(t)
= E(e [bX + a]t) = eatmX (bt)
5. Let X and Y be two independent random variables with moment generating function mX(t) and mY(t) .
Then mX+Y(t) = mX (t) mY (t)
6. Let X and Y be two random variables with moment generating function mX(t) and mY(t) and two distribution functions FX(x) and FY(y) respectively.
Let mX (t) = mY (t) then FX(x) = FY(x).
This ensures that the distribution of a random variable can be identified by its moment generating function
M. G. F.’s - Continuous distributions
Name
Moment generating function MX(t)
Continuous Uniform
ebt-eat
[b-a]t
Exponential t
for t <
Gamma t
for t <
2
d.f.
1
1-2t /2
for t < 1/2
Normal et+(1/2)t22
M. G. F.’s - Discrete distributions
Name
Moment generating
function MX(t)
Discrete Uniform
et
N etN-1et-1
Bernoulli q + pet Binomial (q + pet)N
Geometric pet
1-qet
Negative Binomial
pet
1-qet k
Poisson e(et-1)
Moment generating function of the gamma distribution
tX txXm t E e e f x dx
1 0
0 0
xx e xf x
x
where
tX txXm t E e e f x dx
1
0
tx xe x e dx
using
1
0
t xx e dx
1
0
1a
a bxbx e dx
a
1
0
a bxa
ax e dx
b
or
Moment generating function of the Standard Normal distribution
tX txXm t E e e f x dx
2
21
2
x
f x e
where
thus
2 2
2 21 1
2 2
x xtxtx
Xm t e e dx e dx
We will use 2
22
0
11
2
x a
be dxb
2
21
2
xtx
Xm t e dx
2 2
21
2
x tx
e dx
22 2 2 22
2 2 2 21 1
2 2
x tx tx t t t
e e dx e e dx
2
2
t
e
Note:
2
2 32 2
22
2 21
2 2! 3!
t
X
t t
tm t e
2 3 4
12! 3! 4!
x x x xe x
2 4 6 2
2 31
2 2 2! 2 3! 2 !
m
m
t t t t
m
Also
2 33211
2! 3!Xm t t t t
Note:
2
2 32 2
22
2 21
2 2! 3!
t
X
t t
tm t e
2 3 4
12! 3! 4!
x x x xe x
2 4 6 2
2 31
2 2 2! 2 3! 2 !
m
m
t t t t
m
Also 2 33211
2! 3!Xm t t t t
momentth kk k x f x dx
Equating coefficients of tk, we get
21
for 2 then 2 ! 2 !
mm
k mm m
0 if is odd andk k
1 2 3 4hence 0, 1, 0, 3
ExampleSuppose that X has a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation .
Find the distribution of Y = aX + b
2 2
2
tt
Xm t e
Solution:
22
2
atatbt bt
aX b Xm t e m at e e
2 2 2
2
a ta b t
e
= the moment generating function of the normal distribution with mean a + b and variance a22.
Thus Z has a standard normal distribution .
Special Case: the z transformation
1XZ X aX b
10Z a b
22 2 2 21
1Z a
Thus Y = aX + b has a normal distribution with mean a + b and variance a22.
ExampleSuppose that X and Y are independent each having a normal distribution with means X and Y , standard deviations X and Y
Find the distribution of S = X + Y
2 2
2X
Xt
t
Xm t e
Solution:
2 2
2Y
Yt
t
Ym t e
2 2 2 2
2 2X Y
X Yt t
t t
X Y X Ym t m t m t e e
Now
or
2 2 2
2
X YX Y
tt
X Ym t e
= the moment generating function of the normal distribution with mean X + Y and variance
2 2
X Y
Thus Y = X + Y has a normal distribution with mean X + Y and variance 2 2
X Y
ExampleSuppose that X and Y are independent each having a normal distribution with means X and Y , standard deviations X and Y
Find the distribution of L = aX + bY
2 2
2X
Xt
t
Xm t e
Solution:
2 2
2Y
Yt
t
Ym t e
aX bY aX bY X Ym t m t m t m at m bt Now
2 22 2
2 2X Y
X Yat bt
at bte e
or
2 2 2 2 2
2
X YX Y
a b ta b t
aX bYm t e
= the moment generating function of the normal distribution with mean aX + bY and variance
2 2 2 2
X Ya b
Thus Y = aX + bY has a normal distribution with mean aX + bY and variance
2 2 2 2
X Ya b
Special Case:
Thus Y = X - Y has a normal distribution with mean X - Y and variance
2 22 2 2 21 1
X Y X Y
a = +1 and b = -1.
Example (Extension to n independent RV’s)Suppose that X1, X2, …, Xn are independent each having a normal distribution with means i, standard deviations i
(for i = 1, 2, … , n)
Find the distribution of L = a1X1 + a1X2 + …+ anXn
2 2
2i
i
i
tt
Xm t e
Solution:
1 1 1 1n n n na X a X a X a Xm t m t m t Now
22 221 1
1 1 2 2n n
n n
a ta ta t a t
e e
(for i = 1, 2, … , n)
1 1 nX X nm a t m a t
or
2 2 2 2 2
1 11 1
1 1
......
2
n nn n
n n
a a ta a t
a X a Xm t e
= the moment generating function of the normal distribution with mean
and variance
Thus Y = a1X1 + … + anXn has a normal distribution with mean a11 + …+ ann and variance
1 1 ... n na a 2 2 2 21 1 ... n na a
2 2 2 21 1 ... n na a
1 2
1na a a
n
1 2 n 2 2 2 21 1 1
In this case X1, X2, …, Xn is a sample from a normal distribution with mean , and standard deviations and
1 2
1nL X X X
n
the sample meanX
Special case:
Thus
2 2 2 2 21 1 ...x n na a
and variance
1 1 ...x n na a has a normal distribution with mean
1 1 ... n nY x a x a x
11 1... nx xn n
1 1...n n
2 2 2 22 2 21 1 1
... nn n n n
If x1, x2, …, xn is a sample from a normal distribution with mean , and standard deviations then the sample meanx
Summary
22x n
and variance
x has a normal distribution with mean
standard deviation xn
If x1, x2, …, xn is a sample from a distribution with mean , and standard deviations then if n is large the sample meanx
The Central Limit theorem
22x n
and variance
x has a normal distribution with mean
standard deviation xn
We will use the following fact: Let
m1(t), m2(t), … denote a sequence of moment generating functions corresponding to the sequence of distribution functions:
F1(x) , F2(x), … Let m(t) be a moment generating function corresponding to the distribution function F(x) then if
Proof: (use moment generating functions)
lim for all in an interval about 0.ii
m t m t t
lim for all .ii
F x F x x
then
Let x1, x2, … denote a sequence of independent random variables coming from a distribution with moment generating function m(t) and distribution function F(x).
1 2 1 2
=n n nS x x x x x xm t m t m t m t m t
Let Sn = x1 + x2 + … + xn then
=n
m t
1 2now n nx x x Sx
n n
1or n
n
n
x SS
n
t tm t m t m m
n n
0
Now lim ln lim lnz zn u
m t m t
2
2 20
lnlimu
m u ut
u
2
2 0lim using L'Hopital's rule
2u
m u
m ut
u
2
22
2 0lim using L'Hopital's rule again
2u
m u m u m u
m ut
2
22
2 0lim using L'Hopital's rule again
2u
m u m u m u
m ut
22
2
0 0
2
m mt
222 2
2 2 2
i iE x E xt t
222thus lim ln and lim
2
t
z zn n
tm t m t e