FULL YEAR 2018 Results -...
Transcript of FULL YEAR 2018 Results -...
FULL YEAR 2018 Results
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 2
• PT Indosat Tbk ( “Indosat Ooredoo” or “Company” ) cautions investors that certain statements contained in this document state its management's intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations, or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements
• The Company wishes to caution the reader that forward-looking statements are not historical facts and are only estimates or predictions. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to:
• The Company’s ability to manage domestic and international growth and maintain a high level of customer service
• Future sales growth
• Market acceptance of the Company’s product and service offerings
• The Company’s ability to secure adequate financing or equity capital to fund our operations
• Network expansion
• Performance of the Company’s network and equipment
• The Company’s ability to enter into strategic alliances or transactions
• Cooperation of incumbent local exchange carriers in provisioning lines and interconnecting our equipment
• Regulatory approval processes
• Changes in technology
• Price competition
• Other market conditions and associated risks
• The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events, new information, or otherwise
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 3
4G Pop. Coverage
Java (%)
4G Pop. Coverage
Ex-Java (%)
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 5
Operating Revenue
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
Profit (Loss) Attributable to shareholders
23,140 -22.7%
6,500 -49.1%
-14.5ppt
-2,404 -311.6%
6,370 11.7%
1,355 -17.5%
21.3% -7.5ppt
-865 -2.3%
in IDR billion
28.1%
29,926
12,763
42.6%
1,136
5,704
1,642
28.8%
-845
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 6
1,375
1,043 9671,016
1,358
220
232 178158
161
in IDR billion
+11.7% QoQ-13.5% YoY
CellularFixed DataFixed Voice
+1.9% | -27.1%
+33.7% | -1.2%
+7.1% | -15.9%
QoQ | YoY
4Q-17 1Q-18
4,228
7,360
5,692
2Q-18
5,765
5,373
4,417
3Q-18
5,704
4,530 4,851
4Q-18
6,370
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 7
110.296.2
75.364.1 58.0
-47.3% YoY -9.5% QoQ
in million in million
13.2
-14.0
-20.9
-11.1
-6.1
4Q-17 4Q-171Q-18 1Q-182Q-18 2Q-183Q-18 3Q-184Q-18 4Q-18
| |
3729
3540 40
PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 8
-38.3% YoY -9.6% QoQ
Voice Traffic
in billion minutes (Voice Traffic)
in minute/subscriber (MOU)
MOU
17.6 12.4 15.9 21.6 24.6
+13.8% QoQ+39.8% YoY
ARPU
in thousand IDR (ARPU)
4Q-17 4Q-171Q-18 1Q-182Q-18
11.6 9.4 8.5 7.9 7.2
2Q-183Q-18 3Q-184Q-18 4Q-18
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 9
333,263368,232
449,105490,476
562,615
in TByte
+14.7% QoQ+68.8% YoY
4Q-17 1Q-18 4Q-17
66% 70%72% 71%
76%
+5.0% QoQ+10.0% YoY
1Q-182Q-18 2Q-183Q-18 3Q-18 4Q-184Q-18
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 10
38.8
34.1
29.0 28.8
21.3
2,856
1,9421,560 1,642
1,356
-17.5% QoQ-52.5% YoY
EBITDA
in IDR billion
EBITDA Margin
4Q-17
1,105 1,136
-2,404
-311.6% YoY+2.8% YoY
FY-18FY-17FY-16
in IDR billion
1Q-18 2Q-18 3Q-18
in %
4Q-18
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 11
1.43 1.38
18,36117,868 20,419
FY-18FY-16 FY-17
Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA
in IDR billion
+14.3% YoY
3.14
*Excluding obligation under finance lease
Higher gearing during investment
mode, committed to maintain the
ratio below the covenant which as
4x net debt to EBITDA.
| |
3,752
1,322 1,350
2,183
4,434
51.0
23.2 25.1
38.3
69.6
PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 12
in IDR billion
-1,335
55041
-1,591
-290
Capex (Spent)
in IDR billion
Capex/Revenue
4Q-17
in %
4Q-17
1Q-18
1Q-18 2Q-18
2Q-18
3Q-18
3Q-18 4Q-18
4Q-18
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 13
23,999 24,294 24,427 22,127 22,423
30,179 31,062 31,880 33,23935,453
7,179 9,019 10,066 11,636 17,050
+11.8% QoQ+22.1% YoY
2G3G
4Q-17
4G
61,357
1Q-18
64,375
2Q-18
66,373
3Q-18
67,002
• Massive network expansion at
the end of 2018
• Delivered more than 1,000 4G
sites per week, with top speed of
1,200 sites per week.
• 4G population coverage also
improved from 45% to 80% by
end of 2018.4Q-18
74,926
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 15
Consolidated Revenue Growth Below market
EBITDA Margin Mid 30’s
CAPEX ~ IDR 8 trillion(Spent)
-22.7%
28.1%
IDR 9.3 trillion(Spent)
In Line w/ Market
Low 30’s
~ IDR 10 trillion(Spent)
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 18
On September 16, 2014, the South Jakarta Attorney Office (“Kejaksaan
Negeri Jakarta Selatan”), without preliminary notification, executed the
Supreme Court’s Decision on Mr. Indar Atmanto. The execution was
done based on a quotation of the Supreme Court’s Decision, which
states, among others, that (i) Mr. Indar Atmanto is found guilty and
sentenced to eight years imprisonment and charged with penalty of
Rp300,000,000,- (if the penalty is not paid, Mr. Indar Atmanto would
serve an additional six months imprisonment), and (ii) IM2 pay the
losses sustained by the State amounting to Rp1,358,343,346,674,-.
Subsequently, on January 16, 2015, Mr.Indar Atmanto and/or his lawyer
or IM2 received the document on the Supreme Court’s decision
regarding the litigation case. As of the issuance date of the
consolidated financial statements, Mr. Indar Atmanto and IM2 plan to
conduct further legal act by submitting a reconsideration request
peninjauan kembali (”PK”).
On March 16, 2015, Mr. Indar Atmanto’s submission of Judicial Review
[Peninjauan Kembali (”PK”)] was officially registered at the Corruption
Court under No. 08/AKTA.PID.SUS/PK/TPK/2015/PN.Jkt.Pst.
On November 4, 2015, the Supreme Court’s official website announced
that the Judicial Review filed by Mr. Indar Atmanto was rejected based
on Supreme Court’s decision dated October 20, 2015. However, no
detailed information regarding the exact content of such Supreme
Court’s decision was available. As of the issuance date of the interim
consolidated financial statements, the official copy of such Supreme
Court’s decision hasn’t been received.
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 19
On December 8, 2017, S&P Global Ratings raised its long-term corporate credit rating on
Indonesia-based telecommunications operator PT Indosat Tbk. (Indosat) to 'BBB-' from
'BB+'. The outlook is stable. The upgrade reflects their expectation that Indosat will
maintain its solid cash flow adequacy and reduce debt over the next 12-24 months. The
company's steady cash flows, moderate capital spending, and prudent financial policies
should support the improvement. We anticipate that Indosat's ratio of funds from
operations (FFO) to debt will remain above 40% until 2019.
On 25 January 2019, PEFINDO has assigned “idAAA” rating to PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT)’s
proposed Shelf Registration Bond III Year 2018-2020 and “idAAA(sy)” rating to ISAT’s
proposed Shelf Registration Sukuk Ijarah III Year 2018-2020. PEFINDO has also affirmed its
“idAAA” ratings for ISAT and its Shelf Registration Bond II Year 2017-2019, Shelf
Registration Bond I Year 2014-2016, and Bond VIII Year 2012. PEFINDO has also affirmed its
“idAAA(sy)” ratings for ISAT’s Shelf Registration Sukuk Ijarah II Year 2017-2019, Shelf
Registration Sukuk Ijarah I Year 2014-2016, and Sukuk Ijarah V Year 2012. The outlook for
the corporate rating is “stable”.
On 18 February 2019, Moody's Investors Service has reaffirmed Baa3 of Indosat Tbk. (P.T.)
(Indosat Ooredoo)’s standalone credit strength, which reflects its established market
position, strong financial profile and their expectation of moderate growth in the cellular
market. The outlook for the rating is stable. The stable outlook reflects their expectation
that Indosat Ooredoo will maintain a strong financial profile through steady revenue and
earnings growth and that the competitive and regulatory environments will remain
moderate.
On 19 February 2019, Fitch Ratings has revised Indonesian telecom operator PT Indosat
Tbk's (Indosat Ooredoo) Outlook to Negative from Stable. At the same time, the agency
has affirmed the company’s Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings
(IDR) at 'BBB+', and the foreign-currency senior unsecured rating at 'BBB+'. Fitch Ratings
Indonesia has also affirmed the National Long-Term Rating at ‘AAA(idn)’, with Stable
Outlook.
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 20
0.29
6.07
4.44
2.16
3.26
1.06
1.03 1.07
0.26
1.31
0.52
In IDR trillion
20202019 2022
IDR
USD in IDR
2021 20242023 2025 2026
* Excluding obligation under finance lease
2027 2028
| |PT Indosat Tbk. – FY 2018 Results 21
Number of BTS
2 x 12.5
2 x 15
2 x 7.5
Indosat
Telkomsel
XL Axiata
2 x 20.0
2 x 22.5
2 x 22.5
2 x 15.0
2 x 15.0
2 x 15.0
in Mhz
Hutchison - 2 x 10.0 2 x 15.0
15.0*
45.0
-
-
* Indosat/IM2: West Java exclude Bogor, Depok & Bekasi
2020 2020 2019, 2026,2028
2019Valid until
Smartfren 2 x 11.0 30.0 - -