FINANCIAL RESULTS Q4 2017 - Statkraft€¦ · 14/02/2018  · Highlights in Q4 Underlying EBITDA of...

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FINANCIAL RESULTS Q4 2017 CEO Christian Rynning-Tønnesen CFO Irene Egset 15 February 2018

Transcript of FINANCIAL RESULTS Q4 2017 - Statkraft€¦ · 14/02/2018  · Highlights in Q4 Underlying EBITDA of...

Page 1: FINANCIAL RESULTS Q4 2017 - Statkraft€¦ · 14/02/2018  · Highlights in Q4 Underlying EBITDA of NOK 4786 million, up NOK 115 million Strong result: Net profit amounting to NOK

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q4 2017

CEO Christian Rynning-Tønnesen

CFO Irene Egset

15 February 2018

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Health, safety and environment

Health and safety

- One serious incident in Q4

- Strengthening of safety performance is top priority in Statkraft

Environment

- No serious environmental incidents

2

1TRI rate (12 months rolling): Total recordable injuries per million hours worked

0

2

4

6

8

10

2015 2017 2016 2014

TRI-rate1

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Highlights in Q4

Underlying EBITDA of NOK 4786 million, up NOK 115 million

Strong result: Net profit amounting to NOK 5317 million, up NOK 4569 million

Performance improvement programme realised NOK 410 million so far

Partial reversal of impairments for gas-fired generation due to improved market outlook

Substantial gains from divestments of offshore wind assets

Investment decision on biofuel demo plant

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Cost reductions from the Performance Improvement Programme

4

800

410

390

Remaining Target cost

reduction

Realised

Estimated cost savings 2016-2018

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Improved outlook for gas-fired generation

Partly reversal of impairments of NOK 914

million for German gas-fired power plants

Key drivers:

- Higher coal prices (30% increase in

2017)

- Higher CO2-prices

- Continued plant decommissioning

Increased Clean spark spread (gas to

power margin) in 2017

5

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

EUR/MWh

CLEAN SPARK SPREAD GERMANY 2020*

Base

Peak

*50% efficiency assumed.

Sources: CO2 – ECX, TTF Gas – ICE Endex, Power – EEX

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Large gains from offshore wind divestments

50% share in Triton Knoll project

- Divested with a gain of NOK 426 million.

40% share in Sheringham Shoal

- Divested with a gain of NOK 2 634 million.

30% share in Dudgeon

- Signed sales agreement in December,

closing expected in Q1 2018.

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Investment decision on biofuel pilot plant

Purpose: Develop technology for advanced biofuel production in partnership with Södra

Transform forest feedstock to renewable energy for the transport sector

Investment cost NOK 500 million:

- Enova will finance around 25%

- Statkraft’s share NOK 190 million

Completion is scheduled for 2019

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Annual result, 2017

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EBITDA, underlying: Adjusted for unrealised value changes from energy derivatives, gain/loss from acquisitions/divestments of business activities and impairments and related costs

-179

12 705

11 732

14 432

Net profit/loss EBITDA, underlying

2017

2016 NOK million

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Outlook

Robust earnings:

- Europe’s largest reservoir capacity and flexible power plants

- Long-term contracts contribute to stabilising revenues and net profit

Solid financial position:

- Ongoing performance improvement programme strengthens competitiveness

- Divestments strengthens financial solidity

- New long-term dividend model improves predictability and investment capacity

Targeted growth in renewable technologies

- Investment program continues to be adapted to financial capacity

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NOK million Q4 2017 Q4 2016 The year 2017 The year 2016

Net revenues1 7 188 7 297 23 296 21 875

EBITDA1 4 786 4 671 14 432 12 705

Net profit/loss 5 317 748 11 732 -179

Fourth quarter 2017:

- Nordic prices measured in EUR down 11% Q-on-Q

- Overall generation down 9% Q-on-Q

Net profit impacted by gains from divestments of offshore wind assets and reversal of

impairments

Key figures

10

1 Adjusted for unrealised value changes from energy derivatives, gain/loss from acquisitions/divestments of business activities and impairments and related costs

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Price drivers and the German power market

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Gas, NBP/TTF (EUR/MWh) Coal, ARA (USD/t) CO2, EUA (EUR/t)

Q4 2017 vs. Q4 2016

Coal, CO2 and gas prices higher

High wind power production

German power prices down by 12%

German power prices (EEX base)

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45-12%

Q4

33.2

Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2014 2015 2016 2017

Average quarterly price EUR/MWh

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1512 1603 1606 1609 1612 1703 1706 1709 1712

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1512 1603 1606 1609 1612 1703 1706 1709 1712

0

5

10

15

20

25

1512 1603 1606 1609 1612 1703 1706 1709 1712

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Nordic reservoir level

Total Nordic hydrological resources slightly above normal level end of Q4

- Water reservoirs 103% of median

- Inflow slightly above normal level

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Q4 Q1 Q3 Q2

2016

2017

Median

%

12

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Nordic power prices

Nordic power prices 30.6 EUR/MWh, down 11% Q4 2017 vs. Q4 2016

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Q4 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q1 Q4 Q4 Q3

Average monthly spot price EUR/MWh

2014 2015 2016 2017

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Energy management

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Q4 production down 9% Q-on-Q

Technology TWh Change in

TWh

Hydropower 15.8 -1.2

Wind power 0.8 -

Gas power 0.7 -0.6

Bio power 0.1 -

Total 17.3 -1.8 0

2

4

6

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

TWh

Monthly power generation

2016 2017

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Net operating revenues

Net operating revenues1 down by

NOK 109 million (- 1%)

Major effects:

- Net generation decreased mainly due to

reduced Nordic power prices and lower

generation

- Sales and trading decreased mainly due

to negative contribution from Continental

trading

- Customers increased mainly due to

improved contribution from market

access in UK and Germany

NOK million

Net operating revenues

Q4 2017 7 188

Transmission costs -80

Other operating

revenues

-453

-252

Generation

+560

Sales and trading

+97

Customers

Share of profit/loss in

equity accounted investments +94

Other

Net operating revenues

Q4 2016 7 297

-75

Sa

les re

ve

nu

es le

ss e

ne

rgy

pu

rch

ase

15

1 Adjusted for unrealised value changes from energy derivatives, gain/loss from acquisitions/divestments of business activities and impairments and related costs

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NOK 4.8 billion in underlying EBITDA

Underlying EBITDA1 was up by NOK 115

million Q-on-Q

Primarily a result of higher contribution from

Industrial ownership due to higher power

generation and grid revenues

Positive effects from market access

activities in the UK, lower costs, one-off

effects in International power and new wind

capacity

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∆ Q4 17/Q4 16 + 2%

14 432

12 705

4 7864 671

FY

2016

FY

2017

Q4 2017 Q4 2016

NOK million

1 Adjusted for unrealised value changes from energy derivatives, gain/loss from acquisitions/divestments of business activities and impairments and related costs

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Financial items

17

-1 606

Net financial

items Q4 2017

Other

financial items

181

Interest

expences

-315

Currency effects

subsidiaries and

associates

111

Currency hedging and

short-term positions

-592

Debt in foreign

currency

-991

NOK million

There are positive translation effects in equity

Breakdown Net financial items Q4 2017

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Net profit

Solid contributions from operating activities

Gains from divestment of offshore wind assets

Net profit 2016 held back by impairments

18

NOK million Q4 2017 Q4 2016 FY 2017 FY 2016

Net profit/loss 5 317 748 11 732 -179

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Underlying1 EBITDA Q4 2016 Q4 2017

Q4 net profit breakdown

19

1 486

1 606

949

906

3 063

602

224

109

5 3174 7864 671

Net operating revenues

Operating expenses excl. depreciations

Q4 2017 Net profit

Tax Net financial items

Depre- ciations

Impairments and related

costs

Gain/loss from acquisitions/

divestments of business

Unrealised value changes from energy derivatives

Q4 2017 Adj. EBITDA

Q4 2016 Adj. EBITDA

NOK million

Booked net profit affected by items excluded from underlying operating profit and negative net financial items

Underlying1 EBITDA Q4 2017 Net Profit Q4 2017

Underlying EBITDA ∆ +2% vs. Q4/16

1 Adjusted for unrealised value changes from energy derivatives, gain/loss from acquisitions/divestments of business activities and impairments and related costs

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Q4 segment financials EBITDA including share of profit/loss from equity accounted investments

20

NOK million

Underlying1

EBITDA

478

118

243

432

342

749

120

282

490

396

Industrial

ownership

District

heating

Wind

power

International

power

Market

operations

European flexible

generation

2 815

3 245

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

1 Adjusted for unrealised value changes from energy derivatives, gain/loss from acquisitions/divestments of business activities and impairments and related costs

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NOK

1.3

billion

Q4 2017 capital expenditure1

Distribution of CAPEX in the quarter:

- 44% expansion investments

- 51% maintenance/other investments

- 5% shareholdings

New hydropower capacity under

construction in Albania

Wind power developments in Norway

Maintenance primarily within Nordic

hydropower and Norwegian grid

21

European

flexible

generation

27%

International

power

23%

Industrial

ownership

25%

Wind

power

11%

Other2

14%

1 Excluding loans to equity accounted investments 2 Including District heating, Market operations and Other activities

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780

5 549

586

14 217

9 991

43

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

11 000

12 000

13 000

14 000

15 000

Cash reserves 01.10

From operations Changes in debt Investment activities

Cash reserves 31.12

Currency effects

Cash flow in Q4

22

NOK million

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Long-term debt repayment profile

NOK 2.2 billion debt matures in 2018

NOK 24.8 billion in net interest-bearing debt (NOK 32.5 billion at year end 2016)

- NOK 34%, EUR 53%, GBP 7%, USD 2%, BRL 2%, CLP/CLF 1%

- Duration: 4.38 years

- Net interest-bearing debt-equity 21.3%

23

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 >2028

NOK million

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Strong credit ratings

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A- / Stable Baa1 / Stable

Maintaining current ratings with S&P and Moody’s

Strong support from owner

CAPEX adapted to financial capacity

Rating impact assessment completed prior to new investment decisions

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Strong underlying operations

Delivering on strategy

Robust financial position

Solid foundation for further growth in renewable energy

Summary

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www.statkraft.com

THANK YOU Investor contacts: Debt Capital Markets Financial information Funding manager Stephan Skaane Senior Financial Advisor Arild Ratikainen

Phone: +47 905 13 652 Phone: +47 971 74 132

E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected]

Vice President Tron Ringstad Vice President Bjørn Inge Nordang

Phone: +47 905 13 652 Phone: +47 913 59 865

E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected]