February 3, 2003 Kelley School of Business Presentation ATA Holdings Corp. Sean Frick Director,...
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Transcript of February 3, 2003 Kelley School of Business Presentation ATA Holdings Corp. Sean Frick Director,...
February 3, 2003
Kelley School of Business Presentation
ATA Holdings Corp.
Sean FrickDirector,
Financial Analysis & Strategic Planning
Northwest’s Non-Stop North American Routes
Legacy Hub and Spoke Carriers
Next Generation Low Fare Carriers
American Trans Air
5
Q4 2003 Airline Unit Cost (Cents per Available Seat Mile)
Cost Advantage Allows ATA To Offer Lower Fares
5.9
7.6
8.3
9.39.7 9.8
10.2
12.9
10.7
7.5
12.5
9.1
6.9
8.1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
JetBlue
ATA
Sou
thwes
t
Amer
Wes
t
AirT
ran
Fro
ntier
Nor
thwes
t
Unite
d
Alask
a
Amer
ican
Delt
a
Con
tinen
tal
Midwes
t Exp
US A
irways
Cos
t p
er A
SM
(ce
nts
)
American Trans Air
6
Q3 2003 ATA Performance vs. Major Airlines
ATA Outperforms Industry
Source: Company Press Releases
23.8%22.9%
21.5% 21.1%
18.6%
17.0%
14.1%
12.1%
6.8%
27.6%
11.4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
ATA
Amer
Wes
t
Alask
a
Contin
enta
l
Southwes
t
North
west
Frontie
r
Amer
ican
United
Delta
US Airw
ays
EB
ITD
AR
Mar
gin
American Trans Air
7
Industry Fleet Age
Rapid Fleet Modernization will Improve Cost Structure• ATA’s fleet was one of the
oldest in the industry
• With the new aircraft order, ATA’s fleet is becoming the most modern in the industry
18.8
10.7
9.2 9.1 8.9
7.0
5.5
2.4
10.8
9.1
17.2
10.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Northwest
ATA (12/3
1/00)Delt
a
Amer
ican
Amer
ica W
est
Southwes
t
Alask
a
US Airw
ays
United
Continen
tal
ATA (9/30/0
3)
ATA (Sch
eduled
Ser
vice)
Air
craf
t D
eliv
erie
s
Source: Other airlines’ data from “U.S. Airlines Fleet Report” Deutsche Bank. October 1, 2003
American Trans Air
8
History of ATA
1973 J. George Mikelsons founds Ambassadair Travel Club in Indianapolis
1978 Deregulation of U.S. Airlines
1981 ATA begins Charter service, total revenues of $30.5M
1986 ATA begins Scheduled service, total revenues of $185M
1993 ATA completes initial public offering on the NASDAQ
1999 Revenues exceed $1.1B, making ATA the 11th US major airline
2000 ATA completes transaction for 50 new fully financed aircraft
2001 ATA begins successfully implementing new fleet and opens new Midway Terminal
2002 ATA opens new international terminal in Midway
2003 ATA earns first annual profit since 9-11
2004 ATA successfully restructures its debt and lease obligations
American Trans Air
9
ATA Company Profile
• 30th Year of Business
• Leading Market Share in Scheduled and Charter
Service
- # 1 Airline at Chicago-Midway and Indianapolis
- # 1 US Charter Airline
- # 1 Military Passenger Airline
• Re-fleeting to new 737 and 757 aircraft
- Youngest scheduled service fleet of any major airline
• Affordable Fare and Low-Cost Business Strategy
• 10th Largest Major Airline in the US
- $1.5B in Revenue in 2003
American Trans Air
10
2003 Airline Capacity
ATA’s Revenue Sources
79%
64%
5%
16%
13%
13%
10%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2003 ASMs ASMs by Gateway
Ava
ilab
le S
eat
Mil
esMilitary
Hawaii
Indianapolis
Other
Charter
Chicago Midway
Scheduled Service
• ATA’s revenue diversity has benefited its performance since the 9/11 terrorist attacks
American Trans Air
11
5 Year Passenger Growth
Scheduled Service Growth Leads Industry Majors• ATA leads the majors in
scheduled service passenger growth for the past 5 years
15% 12%
-4% -5%-13% -17% -21%
39%
131%
-26%-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%P
erce
ntag
e G
row
th
Source: Form 41 data
Enplaned Passengers – 2003 (12 Months ended July) versus 1998 (12 Months ended July)
American Trans Air
12
ATA is the #1 Carrier in Chicago-Midway and Indianapolis
Indianapolis Enplanements Share
Others11%
United10%
Southwest11%
US Airways12%
American10%
Northwest12%
Delta13%
ATA21%
ATA and Southwest Market Share
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
40.00%
45.00%
50.00%
55.00%
Jan-
01
Apr
-01
Jul-
01
Oct
-01
Jan-
02
Apr
-02
Jul-
02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03
Apr
-03
Jul-
03
Oct
-03
Mid
way
Mar
ket
Sh
are
- E
np
lan
emen
ts
ATA
Southwest
American Trans Air
13
• Curbside check-in• E-ticketing self service check-in• Online boarding pass print-out capability• Electronic Gate Readers
•Advanced Seat Assignment•Comfortable leather seating•Minimum 32” seat pitch•25% increased capacity in new overhead bin design•100% fresh air circulation (B737-800)•Quiet in-cabin experience
• Improved quality of in-flight entertainment
– PAVE program to show targeted short spots based on aircraft routing
– Recent full-length movies on longer flights updated monthly
ATA’s Scheduled Service Product
American Trans Air
14
Strategic Planning- Functions as special projects /
internal consulting group
- Opportunity to work
with other departments
- Direct Exposure to upper-
level management on
critical projects
- Team Oriented
Strategic Planning Profile
Pro Forma
Financials
FINANCE
Process
Diagrams,
Labor
Negotiations
OPERATIONS
Market
Analysis
MARKETING
Presentations,
Financial Releases,
Industry
Comparisons
INVESTOR
RELATIONS
American Trans Air
15
Strategic Planning Process
Research
• Internet
• Libraries
• Proprietary databases
• Trade press
• SEC information
Analysis/Modeling
• Economic modeling
• Regression
• Risk Adjustment
• Excel
• Access
Understanding
• Group sessions
• Brainstorming
• Hypothesis testing
Communication
• Simplify
• Encapsulate
• Present
American Trans Air
16
Career PathVice President
Director
Strategic Planner
Staff
Clerical Operations Management– Maintenance– Flight Operations– Airport Services– Customer Services
Manager
MBA / Law School
Staff Management– Strategic Planning– Finance– Marketing– IS
or
Sr. Strategic Planner
Financial Analyst
American Trans Air
17
ATA Kelley School of Business Alumni
Ken Wolff Former CFO and Executive Vice President
Jack Schultz Director, Accounting
Sean Frick Director, Financial Analysis & Strategic Planning
Peter Tamulonis Manager, Operations Productivity and Analysis
Ryan Poeppelman Manager, Stations
American Trans Air
18
ATA’s “Five” Year Business Plan
Input Output Uses
• Detailed Financial Statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Statement of Cash Flows, etc.)
• Detailed Operating Statistics (Departures, Passengers, Seat Miles, etc.)
• Meaningful Metrics and Ratios (RASM, CASM, EBITDAR, Debt to Equity, etc.)
• Special Projects (Aircraft Acquisition Deal, Privatization, Government Loan Application)
• Supporting the Management Decision Making Process (Asset Allocation, Cost Control, Liquidity Analysis)
• Debt covenants
• Valuable source for historical information
• Begin with aircraft
• Historical unit utilization, revenue, and expenses applied to create income statement
• Income statement flows into balance sheet and cash flow statements
• Adjust for unique transactions and management input
Creation
• Developed according to GAAP
• Regression Analysis performed to determine cost and balance sheet drivers
• Historical data from 1997 to present input into model and updated monthly
• Formatting and printing macros
ATA Airlines, Inc.