EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · #9 Grand Candy – Grassy dasher proved he can dirt well...
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JOE KRISTUFEK Racing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing EXPERT SELECTIONS Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert. ©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention. Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy. Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Nov.12 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 611 174 97 84 28.5% 58.1% Sunday, November 19, 2017 Race 1 #7 Archie’s Girl – Fits well on drop but tough to trust? #2 Titfortat – Speed of the speed can run them off their feet. #9 Rockaroo – Usually runs her race; willing finisher. #10 Cash Dance – Hot pace sets the table for her late kick. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 7-2-9-10-5-3-1-8-6-4 Race 2 #3 McKinli’sbabyblues – Red flags, or not; tough to gauge. #7 Urawesomeblossom – Improved with blinks; respect here. #2 Flatout Happy – Rates for tough team; go to whoa threat. #1 Tiger Lisa – Improved on drop to this level; hand forced. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-7-2-1/9-8-4-6/10-5 Race 3 #1/1a Upstage/Awestruck – Both halves of entry rate high. #4 Wholehearted – Has run big races; rates with A-game. #2 Promise of Spring – Broke through in the mud; upside? #7 Tiz My Lady – She is what she is; fits well with these. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 1a-1-4-2-7/5-3/6 Race 4 #4 Justa Lady – Has really come into her own; needs a trip. #1 Delectation – 1 st Lasix; Euro class cuts back for this. #5 Clairenation – Woke up last out to edge talented group. #6 Pretty Perfection – Fresh face better than ever; dirt too. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-1-5-6-2/9-8-/7-1a-10/3 Race 5 #4 Roussalka – Cuts back turf to dirt & drops off troubled run. #5 Brilliant Destiny – Placement makes sense for debut. #1 Bella Moon – Drops in with excuses; must work a trip. #3 Shotogoodjudgement – Sneaky family; flies under radar. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 4-5-1-3-6-2/9-7-10-8 Race 6 #3 Salsa’s Return – Drops into win spot for tough team. #10 Cutacorner – Forgive turf debacle; very capable here. #6 Sugar Buzz – Claimed out of clunker; bounce back fresh? #9 Jack Tripp – Forward factor; hangs around late to share. Joe’s SELECTIONS – 3-10-6-9-8-2-4-1-7-5
Transcript of EXPERT SELECTIONS - Churchill Downs · #9 Grand Candy – Grassy dasher proved he can dirt well...
JOE KRISTUFEKRacing Analyst @JoeyDaKRacing
EXPERT SELECTIONS
Joe Kristufek returns for his third season as Churchill Downs’ paddock host. He has an extensive background in horse racing and wagering and has been instrumental in the creation of and hosting fan education programs at the premier racing events at racetracks coast to coast. A native of Chicago, Kristufek is the morning-line odds maker for several racetracks, including his hometown Arlington Park. He is also the racing writer and handicapper for the Daily Herald newspaper in Arlington Heights, IL. Joe is well recognized for his diversified handicapping skills and suggested wagering tactics and he loves interacting with all racing fans - from beginner to expert.
©2017 Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. All rights reserved. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate, but occasionally errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Equibase Company LLC and Churchill Downs, Inc. disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention.
Selections subject to change due to scratches, off the turf, etc. Tune in to the twinspires.com pre-race paddock show for the most up to the minute information. Check program numbers for accuracy.
Joe’s '17 Top Pick Stats through Nov.12 Races Wins 2nd 3rd Win% WPS% 611 174 97 84 28.5% 58.1% Sunday,November19,2017Race1#7Archie’sGirl–Fitswellondropbuttoughtotrust?#2Titfortat–Speedofthespeedcanrunthemofftheirfeet.#9Rockaroo–Usuallyrunsherrace;willingfinisher.#10CashDance–Hotpacesetsthetableforherlatekick.Joe’sSELECTIONS–7-2-9-10-5-3-1-8-6-4Race2#3McKinli’sbabyblues–Redflags,ornot;toughtogauge.#7Urawesomeblossom–Improvedwithblinks;respecthere.#2FlatoutHappy–Ratesfortoughteam;gotowhoathreat.#1TigerLisa–Improvedondroptothislevel;handforced.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-7-2-1/9-8-4-6/10-5Race3#1/1aUpstage/Awestruck–Bothhalvesofentryratehigh.#4Wholehearted–Hasrunbigraces;rateswithA-game.#2PromiseofSpring–Brokethroughinthemud;upside?#7TizMyLady–Sheiswhatsheis;fitswellwiththese.Joe’sSELECTIONS–1a-1-4-2-7/5-3/6
Race4#4JustaLady–Hasreallycomeintoherown;needsatrip.#1Delectation–1stLasix;Euroclasscutsbackforthis.#5Clairenation–Wokeuplastouttoedgetalentedgroup.#6PrettyPerfection–Freshfacebetterthanever;dirttoo.Joe’sSELECTIONS–4-1-5-6-2/9-8-/7-1a-10/3Race5#4Roussalka–Cutsbackturftodirt&dropsofftroubledrun.#5BrilliantDestiny–Placementmakessensefordebut.#1BellaMoon–Dropsinwithexcuses;mustworkatrip.#3Shotogoodjudgement–Sneakyfamily;fliesunderradar.Joe’sSELECTIONS–4-5-1-3-6-2/9-7-10-8Race6#3Salsa’sReturn–Dropsintowinspotfortoughteam.#10Cutacorner–Forgiveturfdebacle;verycapablehere.#6SugarBuzz–Claimedoutofclunker;bouncebackfresh?#9JackTripp–Forwardfactor;hangsaroundlatetoshare.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3-10-6-9-8-2-4-1-7-5
Race7#2America’sTale–Resumestandsoutonturfordirthere.#4SmartShot–Majorrighttoimproveinsecondtry;fires.#9PaddysClass–DecentruninKYDturfdebut;consider.#15Kitten’sCovergirl–Intriguingpedigree;ratesisdrawsin.Joe’sSELECTIONS–2-4/9-15-5-1-7-8-11-12-13-14-16-17-6-3Race8#3CharginStorm–Earlytroubleinlasttwo;fitslikeaglove.#5WinWithPride–Capabledropper;Ianshakesthecage.#10OsoReady–Mr.Bradsuperdangerousfirstoffclaim.#9Fulkerson–Finallydropstomoresuitablelevel;gimmicks.Joe’sSELECTIONS–3/5-10-9-7-6-8-2-4-1Race9#10Excitations–Verytalented;Stallbignumberswithblinks.#9GrandCandy–Grassydasherprovedhecandirtwelltoo.#6UnbridledOutlaw–OnedgetofireafreshshotforDale.#7WesternElegance–SharpHawthornedirtwork;maybe.Joe’sSELECTIONS–10-9-6-7/5-1-4-1a-11-2-8
Race10#5Mississippi–Betdownindebut;evenbettertoday.#4BartolomeMurillo–Supergoodfamily;looksready.#7Sourdough–SolidprogressionforMr.Ian;dangerous.#15MojoMan–Dangerousspeed;needssomedefections.Joe’sSELECTIONS–5-4-7-15-11-14-1-2-6-8/10-9-16-12-13
Race9:#10ExcitationsjustmissedinhislaststartatKeeneland.TheFairGroundsRacingClub-ownedsonofIntoMischiefcouldsitaperfecttripfromjustoffthepacewithMiguelMenaaboard.SuggestedPlay:#10Excitations
KK’sPlayoftheDayBy:KevinKerstein
@HorseRacingKK
WorkoftheDayBy:BrandonStauble
@bstaubs22
Race9:11/12-#11Excitationswasmovingwellwithblinkerson,last1/4in23.1withmuchmoreavailable.Forvaluableinformationonmorningworkoutsandracedayanalysis,followBrandononTwitter@bstaubs22.
