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Energy

Energy

Energy and climate outlook: the mainchallenges

Oslo 21 February 2013, Jnos Herman,

Ambassador of the European Union to Norway

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Energy

5

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Current policy

Power Sector

Residential & Tertiary

Non CO2Other Sectors

Industry

Transport

Non CO2Agriculture

Target: Low carbon-economy by 2050

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Energy

Energy Roadmap 2050: a long-term policy framework

. Basis for developing the 2030 policy framework and concretemilestones

Aim of the Energy Roadmap

. Explore routes towards a low-carbon energy system by 2050which improve competitiveness and security of supply

. Give more certainty to governments and investors

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Energy

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Ref CPI High Energy effic. Div. supply techn. High RES Delayed CCS Low nuclear

Capital cost Energy fuel purchases Total Energy system costs

Energy Roadmap 2050: Decarbonisation is economicallyfeasible

A ve r a g e a n n u a l e n e r g y c ap i t a l a n d f u e l c o s t s f r o m 2 0 1 1 t o 2 0 5 0 f o r e a c h s ce n a r i o

In all decarbonisation scenarios, total costs are similar to current policies.

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Energy

12,40%

0,30%

2,60% 3,30% 3,80%

5,40% 5,50% 5,90%

8,50% 8,50% 9,10%

9,70% 9,90%10,70% 11,40%

12,40% 12,90%14,10%

21,10% 21,40%21,70%

23,00%24,10%

24,70%

30,70%

33,60%34,30%

46,90%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

EU MT LU UK NL BE CY IE HU IT GR CZ PO DE SK FR BG ES LT RO SI DK EE PT AT FI LV SW

2010 2020

High share of Renewables significant challengesahead

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Energy

Gas-fired power stations support the integration

of Renewables

Gas-to-power is a suitable backup solution forRenewables

Natural gas a transition fuel for decarbonisation

Less CO2 intensive fuel

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Energy

Natural gas with carbon capture & storage (CCS)

Even greater potential for natural gas with carboncapture & storage

Commission support for CCS demonstrationprojects

Norway an important partner in development ofCCS technology

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Energy

Internal energy market and infrastructure

Priorities beyond 2020

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Energy

12

Barrels ofoil we do nothave to import

per year

Money savedat 73EUR/barrel

per year

Primary energysavings in 2020

20%Energy

savingtarget =

368Mtoe

=2.6

bn

193

billionEUR

=

=

1 000less coalpower plants

500 000less wind

turbines

Energy efficiency: benefits are enormous

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Energy

2030 Policy framework

Completion of the Internal Energy Market

Framework for national interventions in the energysector

Conclusion and outlook: