Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation (Work Package 3) Screening of NEEAPs, Status Jan 2008

Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation (Work Package 3) Screening of NEEAPs, Status Jan 2008

Dr. Ralf SchüleSenior Consultant and Project Co-ordinatorWuppertal Institute - RG II:Energy, Transport and Climate Policy

Presentation given at the Interparliamentary Meeting on RE and EE at the European Sustainable Energy Week 2008 January 29, 2008Brussels

Daniel BeckerSenior ConsultantECOFYS Germany GmbH

January, 16 2008 Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation - 2nd project meeting 2

Tasks of Evaluation

Task 1: Definition of Criteria for Evaluation Task 2: Evaluation of NEEAPs

Screening (27) In depth-evaluation (10-12)

Categorisation of energy efficiency measures

Country reports

Sectoral reports

Update of evaluation after acceptance

Task 3: Highlighting Good Practice / What does not work

Task 4: Reporting and EEW-Brochures


Time Schedule

Evaluation of NEEAPsTasks 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1. Criteria Development2. Screening of NEEAPs3. In depth analysis/ sectoral analysis

4. Update of Evaluation

5. Deliverables

Screening

Country reports

Sectoral reports

Good Practice

Brochures


Requirements of the ESD

ESD requires MS to submit three NEEAPs to EC as of 2016

The first NEEAP was due by June 30, 2007

Only a few requirements for NEEAPs are preset:

National indicative annual energy savings target adopted for 2016 (GWh)

National intermediate indicative annual energy savings target adopted for 2010 (GWh)

Energy efficiency improvement programmes, energy services, and other measures planned for achieving the target

Measures to implement Article 7 addressing the public sector


Criteria of Screening (1)

1.1 Status of plan1.2 Energy Savings (Target in TWh)

(1) percent of energy consumption (+/- 9%?)

(2) percent of saving potential

1.3 GHG impact, expected contribution to emissions reduction/ conversion factor used

1.4 Early Action / Additionality of Measures 1.5 Early Savings1.6 Consistency of national to ESD targets

1. Status and Design



2.1 Policy Packages per sector2.2 Involvement of Energy Supply Sector

(qualitatively, covered sectors, fuels, %targets?)

2.3 Role of public sector2.4 Role of Energy Services (acc. ESD) 2.5 Financing

2. Effectiveness of instruments



3.1 Existence of ex ante estimates through sectors3.2 Transparency of calculation3.3 Plausibility of calculation3.4 Information on evaluation and methodologies

(bottom up or/and top down)

3.5 Plausibility of methods

3. Monitoring and Evaluation


First Impressions

Only few MS took deadline seriously (5 still missing) Very heterogeneous designs, contents and levels of information

provided Illustrative and impressive collection of measures enables

international mutual learning In fact, collection of measures addressing broadens thinking about EE

from isolated measures to coherent policy packages In most cases, relationship between technical energy saving

potentials, energy saving targets and EEI-measures to be implemented is weak or not transparent (to be shown more detailed by EEW-evaluation)


Criterion: Availability

Availability

of 27 plans Four are not yet available, Five are only available as a

preliminary version / draft Two are not available in English

(as of January 15, 2008)

Country Submission

Austria

Belgium Jan 08

Bulgaria

Cyprus

Czech Republic

Denmark 2005 plan

Estonia Draft/EEP

Finland

France French, temp-doc.

Germany

Greece outline of plan

Hungary Dev. Plan, 15pp.

Ireland

Italy

Latvia

Lithuania inoff. Engl. version

Luxembourg not available

Malta

Netherlands

Poland

Portugal not available

Romania

Slovakia not available

Slovenia Slovenian

Spain

Sweden not available

UK


Criterion: Energy Saving Target

Energy Saving Target

Most of MS will achieve their target, (to be verified whether compliance is realistic on the basis of measures and packages listed)

Some MS base their calculations on national EE plans, partly not consistent with ESD requirements

Five MS want to overachieve the target (UK, IRE, LIT, DEN, CYP)

Country Target

Austria 9%BelgiumBulgaria 9%Cyprus 10%Czech Republic 9%Denmark 11%/2012Estonia 9%, not cons.Finland 9%France no informationGermany 9%Greece 9%Hungary 1%/a 2013Ireland 9%/12,5%Italy 9.6 %Latvia 9%Lithuania 11%Luxembourg Malta 9%Netherlands 9%Poland 9%PortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpain 11 % (for 2012)SwedenUK 9/18%


Criterion: GHG-ImpactsCountry GHG-Impact

AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus no informationCzech Republic no informationDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland single sectorsItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK

GHG-Emissions

Only few MS explicitly calculate the GHG effect of measures


Criterion: Additional Measures

Additional Measures

Most of MS distinguish between measures already implemented and additional measures

(mostly according to national EE development plans or sectoral plans)

Good quantity of additional measures to be implemented

Country Additional Measures

AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus no early actionCzech Republic add. measuresDenmarkEstonia no informationFinland partly add. (5%)FranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland acc. div. sec. plansItaly Many add. measuresLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourg MaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK


Criterion: Early Savings

Early Savings

Eight MS claim early savings (1995 pp.), especially GER and AUT

Country Early Savings

Austria 43%BelgiumBulgariaCyprusCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermany 45%GreeceHungary 7%IrelandItaly calc. for measuresLatviaLithuania 17%LuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK since 2000


Criterion: Policy Packages

Policy Packages

In most of the MS, thinking in „policy packages“ is basis of domestic policy(„small“ and „large“ packages)

Agricultural sector underrepresented (especially France and Poland)

Country Policy Packages

AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus "small package"Czech Republic few supp. MeasuresDenmarkEstonia 18 m. subd. in aimsFinlandFrance agriculture?GermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK


Criterion: Financing Energy Savings

Financing

Only a few countries address the issue of financing EE-measures e.g. DEN, HUN, GER, UK(not required)

Country Financing

AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprusCzech RepublicDenmark Electr. Saving TrustEstoniaFinlandFranceGermany efficiency fundGreeceHungary credit fundIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK carbon fund


Criterion: Involvement of Energy Supplier

Involvement of Energy Supplier

In most of MS, energy suppliers are or will be involved in the process of implementation of EE policies, partly quantified in its contribution, partly as addressee of measures

Country E-supply

Austria ???BelgiumBulgaria ???CyprusCzech Republic Energy actDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland 4.7%ItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK


Criterion: Involvement of Public Sector

Public Sector

In most of MS, the public sector has been assigned an important role in implementing ee-policies

Country Public Sector

AustriaBelgiumBulgaria ???Cyprus 2 measuresCzech RepublicDenmarkEstonia ???FinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIreland 9% (incl. business)Italy section in planLatvia 11.7% (incl. tertiary)LithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK 26% (incl. business)


Criterion: Role of Energy Services

Energy Services

In most NEEAPs, the role of Energy services is neglected

Country E-Services

Austria ???BelgiumBulgariaCyprus 1 measureCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK


Criterion: Ex Ante Estimates

Ex ante estimates

Only half of MS conducted ex ante estimates, related to potentials

Urgent need for ISI-potential study (end Feb.)

Country Ex Ante Estimates

AustriaBelgiumBulgariaCyprus each sectorCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK


Criterion: Monitoring and Evaluation

Monitoring and Evaluation

AUT, BUL, CZ, GER, FIN, ITA, LAT, UK provide information on evaluation methods (mostly bottom up)

Country Information on Evaluation

Austria 13% bottum upBelgiumBulgaria bottum upCyprus no infoCzech Republic mix of bu/tdDenmarkEstoniaFinland bottum up, 37-50%FranceGermany mostly bottum upGreeceHungaryIrelandItaly mostly bottum up Latvia td in 3 sectorsLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPolandPortugalRomaniaSlovakiaSloveniaSpainSwedenUK mostly bottum up


Summary

Availability: 11 of 27 plans are either not available, available as a preliminary version or are not

available in English (as of January 15, 2008)

Energy Saving Target: Most of MS will achieve their target, to be verified whether compliance is realistic on the

basis of the measures and packages listed. Few MS rely their calculations on national EE plans, partly not consistent with ESD

requirements Two MS will overachieve the target (UK, IRE, LIT, DEN, CYP)

Early Action/Early Savings/Additionality Most of MS do not clearly distinguish between EA, ES and additional measures In Austria and Germany, early action will to a large extend contribute to ESD-compliance

(43 and 45%), Lithuania: 17% In many MS, additional measures will be implemented to achieve the required target


Summary

Policy Packages: In most of the MS, thinking in „policy packages“ is basis of domestic policy

(„small“ and „large“ packages) Some countries count the implementation of related EU-directives to domestiv measures Agricultural sector underrepresented

Financing Only a few countries address the issue of financing EE-measures (e.g. DEN; HUN; GER,

UK)

Public Sector, Energy Supplier, Energy Services In most of MS, public sector has been assigned an important role in implementing ee-

policies Also in most of MS, energy suppliers are or will be involved in the process of

implementation of ee policies Energy services are predominantly neglected


Summary

Ex ante estimates Only half of MS conducted ex ante estimates, related to potentials Urgend need for ISI-potential study

Monitoring and evaluation Only AUT, BUL, CZ, GER, FIN, ITA, LAT, UK provide information on evaluation methods

(mostly bottom up)


Policy Conclusions

From diversity to harmonisation harmonisation of NEEAPs (template) harmonisation of evaluation methods (EMEEES)

From plan to implementation urge MS with pending or drafted plans to submit urge MS to implement/monitor and improve EEI measures listed in

the NEEAPs clear distinction between/definition of early action, early savings,

additional savings/measures

From energy savings to GHG-emissions reductions explicit documentation of GHG-effects (although not required)

Thank you for your attention!

Daniel BeckerEcofys Germany GmbH

++49 30 2977357920

[email protected]

Dr. Ralf Schüle Wuppertal Institut für Klima, Umwelt, Energie

++49/(0)202/[email protected]

Energy Efficiency Watch Evaluation (Work Package 3) Screening of NEEAPs, Status Jan 2008

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