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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 1

    Excursion on Friday, 21January at 14.00 -15.00 p.m. !!!

    Subject:

    Newest energy saving technology for large buildings

    Heat /Cold Storage in underground layers

    Place:

    Zernike complex , start Blue room, Duisenberg building

    Organisation:

    Call for volunteers ;students who arewilling and able

    to translate theexplanation in English

    Mail to [email protected]

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    Environmental Economics

    The economic theory of natural resources III1. Water

    2. Biological Renewable resources : Fisheries

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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 3

    I.Global water trends

    II.Economic studies of water resources

    i.Economics of large scale flooding ( sea or rivers)

    ii. Efficiency studies of drinking water companies, water purification plant anwaterboards

    iii. A sustainable use of ground water in theNetherlands

    III. The EconomicTheory of Fisheries

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    I. Global water issues

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    Halpern, B. S. et al (2008) ,A Global Map on

    Human Impact on Marine Ecosystems, Science,

    319, no 5856, 948-952.

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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 6Published by AAAS

    B. S. Halpern et al., Science 319, 948 -952 (2008)

    Global map (A) of cumulative human impact across 20 ocean ecosystem types

    A. Pollution of the oceans

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    World water shortage; projected water scarcity in

    2025 Souce: United Nations

    B. Fresh water quantity

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    C Fresh water quality:

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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 9

    II.Economic studies of water resources

    i.Economics of large scale flooding ( sea or rivers)

    ii. Efficiency studies of drinking water companies,

    water purification plant and waterboards

    iii. A sustainable use of ground water in theNetherlands

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    i. Water management policy of large scale flooding

    1953: a terrifying flood in the provinces South Hollandand Zealand

    Damage :

    1835 people died

    200.000 cows , horses and pigs died

    200.000 hectares of land unusable for many years

    72.000 peoplewereevacuated to other areas

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    Policy measures :

    The Delta Plan; a combined strategy of building higher dikes

    and the developing of theentire delta.

    theexecution was concluded in 1997 with the movable storm

    barrier near Rotterdam.

    Economic th

    eory :

    calculation of a fixed exceedence probability aftereach

    investment in the relevant safety structure ( Van Dantzig).

    This method is still in use in CBA of flood protection

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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 12

    Movable storm barrier in Rotterdam

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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 13

    Primary objective :protection against flooding forevery part of the

    country without consideration of differences in

    economic activity

    Criticism :

    All over protection against flooding does not take

    into account the spacial distribution ofeconomic

    activity , so the protection policy is not very cost-

    effective

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    Since 2004: a gradual shift in water management policy

    From :defending against to living with water

    room forwater , let the river be the river

    give more space to natural waterflows

    example: the creation oflower flood levels of the River Rhine bij

    increasing the capacity of the discharge from 14.000 m3/s

    to 16.000 m3/s in 2015 and 18.000 m3/s at the

    end of this century

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    environmental economics, d.wiersma4/11/2011 15

    Area for storage of

    water

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    New approach ofwatermanagement:

    Integration of

    watermanagement

    spatial planning

    economic development

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    ii. Efficiency studies in the water sector

    1. drinking watersupply companies

    characteristics:

    * traditional natural monopolies because of a network of pipelines

    * input: groundwater

    surfacewater

    * interconnection of networks of firms may give health problems

    because of the different types of inputs and it is difficult to find out

    which firm is legally resposible

    * separation of the network and the production on the network,

    likeelectricity and natural gas is not possible

    * Priceelasticity of demand for drinking water is relative low

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    regulation of drinking water companies

    Traditionalregulation by the government: prices has to cover total cost

    Problem ofregulation: the government has less information about the

    specific cost of the different firms than the firms itself.

    Result:

    *drinking water companies have no incentive to produce at minimum

    cost

    *higher than minimum prices can be charged, because the companiesface no competition.

    Inefficiency and welfare loss for society!!

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    Actual price

    Lowest price

    Actual demand Optimal demand

    X- inefficiency at firm level

    ACmin = Minimum Average Cost

    ACactual= Actual Average Cost

    MC

    ACmin

    ACactual

    X- inefficiency

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    Empirical estimated inefficiency, NL , 1991-1995

    Drinking water

    companies

    Waste water purification

    plants

    % of costs

    15.2

    30.0

    Joint research RUG with Erasmus University Rotterdam

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    Innovations of regulation to decrease inefficiency in thewatersector

    UK

    Privatization ofwater companies, combined with price cap regulation

    (Offwat)

    Result : Cost inefficiency is significant lower than in theNetherlands

    France

    Tender system in which the most efficient firm receives the right to supply

    drinking water for a specific period in a specific region

    Netherlands

    System ofbench marking in the sector itself: publication of cost comparisons

    between firms

    Result : costs are going down in the period 1997 2004 by 1.3% per year

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    ii. Efficiency studies in thewatersector

    2. Collective waste waterpurification plants

    Public firms with prices based on cost coverage

    Public Monopoly (no competition)

    X inefficiency (production not by lowest cost

    Private firms who can clean their own waste water cheaper has leftleft the public firm

    As a result the public firm gets over capacity and prices have

    increased

    In a study we proved that an X-inefficient firm with prices based

    on cost coverage can become efficient , when the public firm withmarket power at the supply side will be confronted with market

    power at the demand side

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    Wastewater purification plant

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    iii. Efficient allocation of groundwater resources

    by means of economic incentives

    Case study of theNetherlands

    Desertification of

    nature bydecrease of

    groundwater

    level

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    Groundwater use Damage to ecosystems

    Main developments in the last 50 years:

    1. Increased dewatering and drainage of agricultural areas (70%)

    2. Increased extraction of groundwater for drinking water and

    industrial/agricultural use (30%)

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    Groundwater level

    Damage

    ForestNature sensitive to

    water

    About 400.000

    hectares

    11% of total area

    ofNL

    Agricultural

    revenue

    loss

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    Damaged areas in theNetherlands

    (Red and yello areas)

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    Government policy :

    Since 1990.

    Main objective: Sustainable use of groundwaterwithin 50 years

    2 stages

    1. 1990 -2000 to stop increase of damage to ecosystems

    2. 2000- 2050 recovering ecosystems

    Measures:

    1. Improved water management

    2. Limitation ofextraction of groundwater

    ( groundwater is used for drinking,

    industry for cooling and agriculture in very dry periods )

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    Past allocation of groundwaterextraction

    Main instrument: quantity regulation per region by means of licences

    criterion : no expected damage to other users

    Inefficiencies

    1.Damage to ecosystems was not taken into account

    2. Inefficient allocation among extractors

    ( extraction licences was not based on differences

    in economic value of groundwater among users)

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    Adjusted measures to limit groundwaterextraction

    * limiting groundwater extraction for drinking by means of a publicity

    campaign with the objective to reduce the extraction by 15 % in 2010

    *Industrial self extraction of groundwater (especially for coolingpurposes) will be reduced by means of the existing system of regulation

    Inefficiencies

    Inefficient allocation between extractors

    ( extraction measures are not based on differences

    in opportunity costs between drinking water firms and industry)

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    Alternative allocation

    Efficient allocation: regional auctions of groundwaterextraction permits

    Problem: thin regional water markets with a few big extractorsTo correct for strategic behavor: special design of the auction

    Result of an auction:

    Same

    reduction ov

    er 1990 -2010 at 10

    %lowe

    r total costs!!Water companies save money , industry pays more

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    III. BIOLOGICAL RENEWABLE RESOURCES

    - Capacity for reproduction and growth

    - For ests, fisheries: populations of biological mechanisms;

    Focus on fisheries!!

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    Fisheries

    1. biological sub-model- logistic growth curve= stylized prescription of

    population dynamics2. economic sub-model ;

    description of behavior of fisheryman

    3. steady stateequilibrium: static efficiency

    4. open access fishery

    5. dynamic allocation6. policies to avoid extinction of the resource

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    1. Biological sub-model ; logistic growth approach to the

    behaviour of fish population (stock)

    Competition

    for scarcity of

    food

    Reproduction

    time

    Stock SS max

    S min

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    Relation between the stock (S) and the natural

    growth rate g of the stock

    Smax =40

    g =dS/dt

    MSY

    Example:

    g = 4S 0.1 S

    g= S(4- 0.1S) = 0;

    Smin = 0; Smax = 40

    dg/dS = 4- 0.2S=0;

    S = 20

    gmax = g (S=20) = 40

    40

    20

    gmax =MSY = maximum sustainable yield

    0

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    2. Economic sub-model

    a) Harvest function or production function of the fishery sector:

    H (harvest) = H(E,S)

    E = Fishing effort (capacity of the ships, the time spend at the ocean)

    S = Size of the stock

    Assumption 1.

    Following Schaefer, 1954 and Munro, 1981,1982 a good approximation of

    the production function is : H =e ExS

    With e is a measure of the catch efficiency

    In case ofe=1 we have: H= ExS

    Assumption 2.

    Steady stateequilibrium H = g

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    Production function

    H( harvest) = E (effort) x S (stock)

    ES

    H*

    SO S* Smax

    H, g

    C

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    H=g

    H

    So Smax

    h0

    h1

    h2h3

    0 2 4

    E0S

    E1S

    E2S

    E3S

    h0

    h1 h2 h3

    Transformation of H=H(S) to H= H(E)

    Assume E0 < E1

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    b) Costs and benefits and profit of fishing

    Total costs of harvesting: C = C(E)

    Assume a linear function : C =wE (2)

    withw the cost per unit ofharvesting (w is constant)

    c) B denote the gross benefit from harvesting:

    B =B(H)

    Assume that in the commercial fishery that fish are sold in a competitive

    market, each firm takes the market price P as given and the revenue

    obtained from the harvest H is

    B = HP (3)

    d) Fishing profits (net Benefits) :NB = B-C (4)

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    TC=wE

    TB=PH

    E* E(ffort)

    TB,TC

    3.Staticefficiency:max.net benefits

    Assumptions:

    Totalbenefits (Revenues): TB = PH

    Total Costs TC = wE

    Calculation example:

    Assume P=1, w=10

    H = 40 E -10E (1)

    TB = PH= 40 E -10E (2)

    TC = wE =10E (3)

    NB =TB-TC= 30 E 10E

    Max.NB ; d(NB)/ dE =0

    dNB/dE = 30 - 20E= 0 ; E* =1.5

    TB = 37.5; TC =15; NB=22.5

    1.5

    S = 40-10 E = 25

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    4. Open access fisheries

    characteristics:

    * Harvesting by a large number of independent firms

    * No barriers to entry or exit for the fishery

    * No enforcable property rights to the in situ fish resources

    * Perfect competition: effort applied will continue to increase as long

    as it is possible to earn a positive economic profit

    * Entry continue until the profits will become zero

    Long run free access equilibrium NB=0 orTB=TC

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    Equilibrium : Free access

    Average =marginal costs

    Average BenefitsMarg. Benefits

    E(ffort)

    PH

    wE TC

    Efree accesE efficient

    Calculation example:

    Free access case

    TB = TC

    40 E -10E = 10E

    E= 0; E= 3

    S = 40-10E=10

    TB

    31.5

    Free access

    AB =TB/E = 40 -10E

    AB = AC; 40-10 E = 10;

    E =3; S=10

    Efficient MB equal MC

    MB =d(TB)/dE = 40-20E

    MC= 10 ;E=1.5; S =25

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    FreeAccess:

    2 types ofexternalities:

    - contemporaneous: overcapacity of fishing

    - scarcity rent of the resourcewill be dissipated

    (inefficient)

    - intertemporal: overfishing reduces stock for future

    generations, so future profits will be lower (not

    sustainable)

    CONCLUSION

    Free access violates conditions forefficiency and sustainability

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    5. Dynamic efficiency: time preference!

    E static efficient E free access

    Dynamic efficiency?

    r=0 : Static efficient

    r>o : time preference : E Stock

    r = g: no value for future revenues: E = E free access

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    0.000

    10.000

    20.000

    0.000

    40.000

    50.000

    0.000

    0 20 40 0 0 100 120 140 1 0 1 0 200 220 240 2 0 2 0 00

    0.000

    0.200

    0.400

    0. 00

    0. 00

    1.000

    1.200

    to cort

    Stock and effort dynamic paths for an illustrative model.

    Perman, et. al.

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    Probability ofextinction of the species?

    No extinction in steady stateequilibria

    Possibleextinction when the critical Smin is at

    a relative high level of the stock

    Extinction is in a lot of cases irreversable

    6 P li l i ffi i ll i

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    6. Policy solutions to get an efficient allocation

    1. A tax t on Effort or on access for fishing

    * Assume free access behaviour:

    TB= TC

    HP =(w +t)E

    example: 40 E 10E = (10+t) E (1)

    Social objective:efficient level E*=1.5 (2)

    Substitution of(2) in (1) gives 60 22.5= 15 + 1.5 t ; t* =15

    1.5 3 E

    TC =10E

    TC=(10+t)E

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    2. A Command and Control approach a quantity restriction

    by means of fish quota

    TC=10 E

    1.5 3 E

    At E=1.5 ; TB = 40 E -10 E= 37.5 ; TC = 10 E = 15; NB = 22.5>0

    There is a positive incentive to fish more and a tendency for entry

    Entry can be limited by licenses for the incumbent fishing firms

    To restrict the effort of the incumbent firms strict control is needed

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    3. Transferable (marketable) rights on fishing effort

    Government issues for E = 1. 5 rights on effort, which can be

    bought by the fishing firms.

    The willingness to pay is the maximum value (NB per unit E)

    the firms have to pay for the rights.

    The fishing rights are free tradable on the market

    NB = 30 E -10 E ;Average NB per E is 30 -10E

    Demand function of fishing rights P = 30-10E

    1.5 3 E

    30

    15

    S

    D

    Demand: P = 30 10 E

    Supply : E =1.5

    P* =15

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    World:

    World fish harvest: 100 - 120 million tonnes

    1. Employment; - directly 30 million jobs

    - indirectly 200 million jobs

    2. Exploitation of the stocks:

    - 25%moderately

    - 50% fully

    - 25% overexploited or depleted

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    Policy European Union (1)

    -1977: 200 Miles limit

    -1983 -2002: Common Fisheries Policy (CFP)

    Objective: sustainable use of fish stocks

    Measures: -ceiling on annual fish quotas

    (total allowable catches (TAC)

    -distributed over member states, based on historical

    catches over 1973-1978.

    -Control and enforcement by the member states

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    Evaluation CFP

    -large number of stocks below biological reasonable

    levels

    -Current fleet is still over-sized

    -Legal systems and sanctions are not harmonized

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    Policy European Union (2)

    -reform policy after 2002

    *Shift from short run to a long term approach

    (not just one species but a group of interdependent species)

    Measures:

    1. Total Allowable Catches to limit the amount of fish over a specific period

    of time.

    2. Technical measures, such as mesh sizes, closed areas

    3. Limiting fishing effort by reducing the number of fishing days at sea

    4. Fixing the number and type of fishing vessels

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    Market alternatives :

    (proposed by Netherlands Institute of Agriculture and Economics)

    1. Quotas for fishing effort (fleet capacity and fishing periods(advantage: restriction of capacity and easier control)

    2. Licences for access to specific region and per type of fish

    3. Tax on fishing effort

    4. Auction of fishing effort rights, which are tradable at a market