Electrical Management Energy

112
Modelling of Energy Systems-Renewables and Efficiency Rangan Banerjee Department of Energy Science and Engineering IIT Bombay Seminar at Strathclyde University, June 2, 2009

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electrical management energi

Transcript of Electrical Management Energy

  • Modelling of Energy Systems-Renewables and Efficiency Rangan BanerjeeDepartment of Energy Science and Engineering IIT BombaySeminar at Strathclyde University, June 2, 2009

  • Indian ExamplesAnalysis of wind integration into power systemPV- Battery storage Design spaceSolar Water Heater DiffusionOptimal response to time of use tariff - process scheduling - cool storage -cogenerationBenchmarking of glass furnaceDecision Support System for energy planning

  • Issues in grid integrationConventional power planning- hydro-thermal schedulingHow do we deal with renewables?Capacity creditNew methodology based on Load Duration CurveIllustrated for Wind in Tamil Nadu

  • Tamil Nadu location

  • Tamil Nadu Grid Details

  • TN Installed wind power and wind energy generated

    Chart1

    83.8131.508282476

    274.8369.0171428571

    556.8631.3442622951

    676.8706.0954495006

    707.8745.8223140496

    725.8921.42578125

    771.81243.3453299057

    813.81433.2597014925

    858.81483.237861094

    991.81964.4860813704

    1362.82513.7430527588

    2037.83447.3633834168

    2895.84804.6419475655

    3460.85468.7743568115

    Installed wind power

    Wind energy generated

    Year

    Installed capacity (MW)

    Energy generated (MU)

    Fig.1

    Fig.1

    83.8131.508282476

    274.8369.0171428571

    556.8631.3442622951

    676.8706.0954495006

    707.8745.8223140496

    725.8921.42578125

    771.81243.3453299057

    813.81433.2597014925

    858.81483.237861094

    991.81964.4860813704

    1362.82513.7430527588

    2037.83447.3633834168

    2895.84804.6419475655

    3460.85468.7743568115

    Installed wind power

    Wind energy generated

    Year

    Installed capacity (MW)

    Energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 4

    Fig. 4

    296.31042322211017.91831935161381.4051751721

    327.3823507441071.40140295141204.6145783245

    331.2507238681050.89964706341170.2645506896

    339.9559537449997.21248529071002.1279727472

    356.0072519608931.6473002873854.5933360563

    356.9135067286929.0862676047743.0461997047

    384.3448976934888.7457000391663.9372147433

    431.4087906171884.6120057482603.6863447781

    545.734907786969.7515795477637.1070377525

    687.04765504461038.9088077664712.4800131257

    703.31544586011097.8779243547796.2035648017

    672.4152911881139.3818916229893.8003085546

    594.68052682671236.8202341031107.9035258732

    504.10487458261336.39814185181322.7274019477

    423.73569315841413.92663158491629.2184977073

    363.7594889281403.79503038191876.9199940286

    295.50994524961407.16683446011894.0630825404

    211.46727294351330.97151824761886.2578873684

    142.86398727781204.08560530861838.3437953579

    121.60095593111244.05913020181909.7380081652

    156.58218109231144.27473590531690.7730886703

    189.2592362881161.01515272431601.1049127356

    226.52762056221127.69601503111507.9405730864

    258.39410704531003.48424360891453.553919496

    January

    June

    September

    Hours

    Power generated in MW

    Fig. 5

    Fig. 5

    276.51497.69

    301.13497.69

    161.54497.69

    124.93497.69

    439.67497.69

    810.4497.69

    960.47497.69

    1028.69497.69

    912.18497.69

    682.52497.69

    126.24497.69

    148497.69

    497.69

    Mean value

    Months

    Wind energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 6

    Fig. 6

    13.786764705922.1395518668

    16.544117647122.1395518668

    9.191176470622.1395518668

    4.624105011922.1395518668

    17.899761336522.1395518668

    28.455284552822.1395518668

    35.230352303522.1395518668

    37.940379403822.1395518668

    31.978319783222.1395518668

    25.745257452622.1395518668

    3.523035230422.1395518668

    3.387533875322.1395518668

    Mean Value

    Months

    Capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 7

    Fig. 7

    13.7867647059

    16.5441176471

    9.1911764706

    4.6241050119

    17.8997613365

    28.4552845528

    35.2303523035

    37.9403794038

    31.9783197832

    25.7452574526

    3.5230352304

    3.3875338753

    Monthly capacity factor (%)

    Monthly capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 12

    Fig. 12

    001265

    60701475

    1003551625

    15011051775

    2401975

    4702085

    7702125

    1150

    1460

    1630

    1855

    base capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    wind power installed capacity (MW)

    effective base/peak load savings (MW)

  • Hourly variation of wind powerMonthly variation of wind energy generated

    Chart2

    296.31042322211017.91831935161381.4051751721

    327.3823507441071.40140295141204.6145783245

    331.2507238681050.89964706341170.2645506896

    339.9559537449997.21248529071002.1279727472

    356.0072519608931.6473002873854.5933360563

    356.9135067286929.0862676047743.0461997047

    384.3448976934888.7457000391663.9372147433

    431.4087906171884.6120057482603.6863447781

    545.734907786969.7515795477637.1070377525

    687.04765504461038.9088077664712.4800131257

    703.31544586011097.8779243547796.2035648017

    672.4152911881139.3818916229893.8003085546

    594.68052682671236.8202341031107.9035258732

    504.10487458261336.39814185181322.7274019477

    423.73569315841413.92663158491629.2184977073

    363.7594889281403.79503038191876.9199940286

    295.50994524961407.16683446011894.0630825404

    211.46727294351330.97151824761886.2578873684

    142.86398727781204.08560530861838.3437953579

    121.60095593111244.05913020181909.7380081652

    156.58218109231144.27473590531690.7730886703

    189.2592362881161.01515272431601.1049127356

    226.52762056221127.69601503111507.9405730864

    258.39410704531003.48424360891453.553919496

    January

    June

    September

    Hours

    Power generated in MW

    Fig.1

    Fig.1

    83.8131.508282476

    274.8369.0171428571

    556.8631.3442622951

    676.8706.0954495006

    707.8745.8223140496

    725.8921.42578125

    771.81243.3453299057

    813.81433.2597014925

    858.81483.237861094

    991.81964.4860813704

    1362.82513.7430527588

    2037.83447.3633834168

    2895.84804.6419475655

    3460.85468.7743568115

    Installed wind power

    Wind energy generated

    Year

    Installed capacity (MW)

    Energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 4

    Fig. 4

    296.31042322211017.91831935161381.4051751721

    327.3823507441071.40140295141204.6145783245

    331.2507238681050.89964706341170.2645506896

    339.9559537449997.21248529071002.1279727472

    356.0072519608931.6473002873854.5933360563

    356.9135067286929.0862676047743.0461997047

    384.3448976934888.7457000391663.9372147433

    431.4087906171884.6120057482603.6863447781

    545.734907786969.7515795477637.1070377525

    687.04765504461038.9088077664712.4800131257

    703.31544586011097.8779243547796.2035648017

    672.4152911881139.3818916229893.8003085546

    594.68052682671236.8202341031107.9035258732

    504.10487458261336.39814185181322.7274019477

    423.73569315841413.92663158491629.2184977073

    363.7594889281403.79503038191876.9199940286

    295.50994524961407.16683446011894.0630825404

    211.46727294351330.97151824761886.2578873684

    142.86398727781204.08560530861838.3437953579

    121.60095593111244.05913020181909.7380081652

    156.58218109231144.27473590531690.7730886703

    189.2592362881161.01515272431601.1049127356

    226.52762056221127.69601503111507.9405730864

    258.39410704531003.48424360891453.553919496

    January

    June

    September

    Hours

    Power generated in MW

    Fig. 5

    Fig. 5

    276.51497.69

    301.13497.69

    161.54497.69

    124.93497.69

    439.67497.69

    810.4497.69

    960.47497.69

    1028.69497.69

    912.18497.69

    682.52497.69

    126.24497.69

    148497.69

    497.69

    Mean value

    Months

    Wind energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 6

    Fig. 6

    13.786764705922.1395518668

    16.544117647122.1395518668

    9.191176470622.1395518668

    4.624105011922.1395518668

    17.899761336522.1395518668

    28.455284552822.1395518668

    35.230352303522.1395518668

    37.940379403822.1395518668

    31.978319783222.1395518668

    25.745257452622.1395518668

    3.523035230422.1395518668

    3.387533875322.1395518668

    Mean Value

    Months

    Capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 7

    Fig. 7

    13.7867647059

    16.5441176471

    9.1911764706

    4.6241050119

    17.8997613365

    28.4552845528

    35.2303523035

    37.9403794038

    31.9783197832

    25.7452574526

    3.5230352304

    3.3875338753

    Monthly capacity factor (%)

    Monthly capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 12

    Fig. 12

    001265

    60701475

    1003551625

    15011051775

    2401975

    4702085

    7702125

    1150

    1460

    1630

    1855

    base capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    wind power installed capacity (MW)

    effective base/peak load savings (MW)

    Chart3

    276.51497.69

    301.13497.69

    161.54497.69

    124.93497.69

    439.67497.69

    810.4497.69

    960.47497.69

    1028.69497.69

    912.18497.69

    682.52497.69

    126.24497.69

    148497.69

    497.69

    Mean value

    Months

    Wind energy generated (MU)

    Fig.1

    Fig.1

    83.8131.508282476

    274.8369.0171428571

    556.8631.3442622951

    676.8706.0954495006

    707.8745.8223140496

    725.8921.42578125

    771.81243.3453299057

    813.81433.2597014925

    858.81483.237861094

    991.81964.4860813704

    1362.82513.7430527588

    2037.83447.3633834168

    2895.84804.6419475655

    3460.85468.7743568115

    Installed wind power

    Wind energy generated

    Year

    Installed capacity (MW)

    Energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 4

    Fig. 4

    296.31042322211017.91831935161381.4051751721

    327.3823507441071.40140295141204.6145783245

    331.2507238681050.89964706341170.2645506896

    339.9559537449997.21248529071002.1279727472

    356.0072519608931.6473002873854.5933360563

    356.9135067286929.0862676047743.0461997047

    384.3448976934888.7457000391663.9372147433

    431.4087906171884.6120057482603.6863447781

    545.734907786969.7515795477637.1070377525

    687.04765504461038.9088077664712.4800131257

    703.31544586011097.8779243547796.2035648017

    672.4152911881139.3818916229893.8003085546

    594.68052682671236.8202341031107.9035258732

    504.10487458261336.39814185181322.7274019477

    423.73569315841413.92663158491629.2184977073

    363.7594889281403.79503038191876.9199940286

    295.50994524961407.16683446011894.0630825404

    211.46727294351330.97151824761886.2578873684

    142.86398727781204.08560530861838.3437953579

    121.60095593111244.05913020181909.7380081652

    156.58218109231144.27473590531690.7730886703

    189.2592362881161.01515272431601.1049127356

    226.52762056221127.69601503111507.9405730864

    258.39410704531003.48424360891453.553919496

    January

    June

    September

    Hours

    Power generated in MW

    Fig. 5

    Fig. 5

    276.51497.69

    301.13497.69

    161.54497.69

    124.93497.69

    439.67497.69

    810.4497.69

    960.47497.69

    1028.69497.69

    912.18497.69

    682.52497.69

    126.24497.69

    148497.69

    497.69

    Mean value

    Months

    Wind energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 6

    Fig. 6

    13.786764705922.1395518668

    16.544117647122.1395518668

    9.191176470622.1395518668

    4.624105011922.1395518668

    17.899761336522.1395518668

    28.455284552822.1395518668

    35.230352303522.1395518668

    37.940379403822.1395518668

    31.978319783222.1395518668

    25.745257452622.1395518668

    3.523035230422.1395518668

    3.387533875322.1395518668

    Mean Value

    Months

    Capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 7

    Fig. 7

    13.7867647059

    16.5441176471

    9.1911764706

    4.6241050119

    17.8997613365

    28.4552845528

    35.2303523035

    37.9403794038

    31.9783197832

    25.7452574526

    3.5230352304

    3.3875338753

    Monthly capacity factor (%)

    Monthly capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 12

    Fig. 12

    001265

    60701475

    1003551625

    15011051775

    2401975

    4702085

    7702125

    1150

    1460

    1630

    1855

    base capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    wind power installed capacity (MW)

    effective base/peak load savings (MW)

  • Capacity Credit Methodology

  • Variation of CC

    Chart4

    13.786764705922.1395518668

    16.544117647122.1395518668

    9.191176470622.1395518668

    4.624105011922.1395518668

    17.899761336522.1395518668

    28.455284552822.1395518668

    35.230352303522.1395518668

    37.940379403822.1395518668

    31.978319783222.1395518668

    25.745257452622.1395518668

    3.523035230422.1395518668

    3.387533875322.1395518668

    Mean Value

    Months

    Capacity credit (%)

    Fig.1

    Fig.1

    83.8131.508282476

    274.8369.0171428571

    556.8631.3442622951

    676.8706.0954495006

    707.8745.8223140496

    725.8921.42578125

    771.81243.3453299057

    813.81433.2597014925

    858.81483.237861094

    991.81964.4860813704

    1362.82513.7430527588

    2037.83447.3633834168

    2895.84804.6419475655

    3460.85468.7743568115

    Installed wind power

    Wind energy generated

    Year

    Installed capacity (MW)

    Energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 4

    Fig. 4

    296.31042322211017.91831935161381.4051751721

    327.3823507441071.40140295141204.6145783245

    331.2507238681050.89964706341170.2645506896

    339.9559537449997.21248529071002.1279727472

    356.0072519608931.6473002873854.5933360563

    356.9135067286929.0862676047743.0461997047

    384.3448976934888.7457000391663.9372147433

    431.4087906171884.6120057482603.6863447781

    545.734907786969.7515795477637.1070377525

    687.04765504461038.9088077664712.4800131257

    703.31544586011097.8779243547796.2035648017

    672.4152911881139.3818916229893.8003085546

    594.68052682671236.8202341031107.9035258732

    504.10487458261336.39814185181322.7274019477

    423.73569315841413.92663158491629.2184977073

    363.7594889281403.79503038191876.9199940286

    295.50994524961407.16683446011894.0630825404

    211.46727294351330.97151824761886.2578873684

    142.86398727781204.08560530861838.3437953579

    121.60095593111244.05913020181909.7380081652

    156.58218109231144.27473590531690.7730886703

    189.2592362881161.01515272431601.1049127356

    226.52762056221127.69601503111507.9405730864

    258.39410704531003.48424360891453.553919496

    January

    June

    September

    Hours

    Power generated in MW

    Fig. 5

    Fig. 5

    276.51497.69

    301.13497.69

    161.54497.69

    124.93497.69

    439.67497.69

    810.4497.69

    960.47497.69

    1028.69497.69

    912.18497.69

    682.52497.69

    126.24497.69

    148497.69

    497.69

    Mean value

    Months

    Wind energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 6

    Fig. 6

    13.786764705922.1395518668

    16.544117647122.1395518668

    9.191176470622.1395518668

    4.624105011922.1395518668

    17.899761336522.1395518668

    28.455284552822.1395518668

    35.230352303522.1395518668

    37.940379403822.1395518668

    31.978319783222.1395518668

    25.745257452622.1395518668

    3.523035230422.1395518668

    3.387533875322.1395518668

    Mean Value

    Months

    Capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 7

    Fig. 7

    13.7867647059

    16.5441176471

    9.1911764706

    4.6241050119

    17.8997613365

    28.4552845528

    35.2303523035

    37.9403794038

    31.9783197832

    25.7452574526

    3.5230352304

    3.3875338753

    Monthly capacity factor (%)

    Monthly capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 12

    Fig. 12

    001265

    60701475

    1003551625

    15011051775

    2401975

    4702085

    7702125

    1150

    1460

    1630

    1855

    base capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    wind power installed capacity (MW)

    effective base/peak load savings (MW)

  • Chart5

    13.7867647059

    16.5441176471

    9.1911764706

    4.6241050119

    17.8997613365

    28.4552845528

    35.2303523035

    37.9403794038

    31.9783197832

    25.7452574526

    3.5230352304

    3.3875338753

    Monthly capacity factor (%)

    Monthly capacity credit (%)

    Fig.1

    Fig.1

    83.8131.508282476

    274.8369.0171428571

    556.8631.3442622951

    676.8706.0954495006

    707.8745.8223140496

    725.8921.42578125

    771.81243.3453299057

    813.81433.2597014925

    858.81483.237861094

    991.81964.4860813704

    1362.82513.7430527588

    2037.83447.3633834168

    2895.84804.6419475655

    3460.85468.7743568115

    Installed wind power

    Wind energy generated

    Year

    Installed capacity (MW)

    Energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 4

    Fig. 4

    296.31042322211017.91831935161381.4051751721

    327.3823507441071.40140295141204.6145783245

    331.2507238681050.89964706341170.2645506896

    339.9559537449997.21248529071002.1279727472

    356.0072519608931.6473002873854.5933360563

    356.9135067286929.0862676047743.0461997047

    384.3448976934888.7457000391663.9372147433

    431.4087906171884.6120057482603.6863447781

    545.734907786969.7515795477637.1070377525

    687.04765504461038.9088077664712.4800131257

    703.31544586011097.8779243547796.2035648017

    672.4152911881139.3818916229893.8003085546

    594.68052682671236.8202341031107.9035258732

    504.10487458261336.39814185181322.7274019477

    423.73569315841413.92663158491629.2184977073

    363.7594889281403.79503038191876.9199940286

    295.50994524961407.16683446011894.0630825404

    211.46727294351330.97151824761886.2578873684

    142.86398727781204.08560530861838.3437953579

    121.60095593111244.05913020181909.7380081652

    156.58218109231144.27473590531690.7730886703

    189.2592362881161.01515272431601.1049127356

    226.52762056221127.69601503111507.9405730864

    258.39410704531003.48424360891453.553919496

    January

    June

    September

    Hours

    Power generated in MW

    Fig. 5

    Fig. 5

    276.51497.69

    301.13497.69

    161.54497.69

    124.93497.69

    439.67497.69

    810.4497.69

    960.47497.69

    1028.69497.69

    912.18497.69

    682.52497.69

    126.24497.69

    148497.69

    497.69

    Mean value

    Months

    Wind energy generated (MU)

    Fig. 6

    Fig. 6

    13.786764705922.1395518668

    16.544117647122.1395518668

    9.191176470622.1395518668

    4.624105011922.1395518668

    17.899761336522.1395518668

    28.455284552822.1395518668

    35.230352303522.1395518668

    37.940379403822.1395518668

    31.978319783222.1395518668

    25.745257452622.1395518668

    3.523035230422.1395518668

    3.387533875322.1395518668

    Mean Value

    Months

    Capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 7

    Fig. 7

    13.7867647059

    16.5441176471

    9.1911764706

    4.6241050119

    17.8997613365

    28.4552845528

    35.2303523035

    37.9403794038

    31.9783197832

    25.7452574526

    3.5230352304

    3.3875338753

    Monthly capacity factor (%)

    Monthly capacity credit (%)

    Fig. 12

    Fig. 12

    001265

    60701475

    1003551625

    15011051775

    2401975

    4702085

    7702125

    1150

    1460

    1630

    1855

    base capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    peak capacity saved

    wind power installed capacity (MW)

    effective base/peak load savings (MW)

  • Methodology Wind (Micro level)

  • Impacts on LDC

  • LDC Methodology for future scenarios

  • TN Wind energy scenarios for 2021

  • Simulation for UKSite: Valley, Hollyhead, Anglessy (Wales)

    Chart1

    8.2987096774

    6.7577232143

    7.1677419355

    6.1338368056

    6.0250907258

    5.9534826389

    5.4982258065

    5.402063172

    6.6799722222

    6.8646841398

    8.2318055556

    8.3455107527

    month

    wind speed (m/s)

    Mean monthly wind speed

    Stats

    Statistics for synthetic windspeed series

    StationValley

    Latitude (deg)53.25

    Longitude (deg)4.53

    Anemometer height AGL (m)16

    Mean windspeed of series (m/s)6.7804163813

    Standard deviation of series (m/s)3.9767476076

    Annual mean windspeed (m/s)6.69035673526.77929509136.92518264846.83053652976.79648401836.75743436076.76448059366.68958904116.73096461196.8398401826

    SD of annual means (m/s)0.0721478894

    Mean cube windspeed of series (m/s)^3688.1334626267

    Annual mean cube windspeed (m/s)^3682.2697891142678.4400000303753.2767826484687.9903368507673.3428237443682.8537597942687.6256569956647.9897534247672.6856478632714.8600757991

    SD of annual mean cubes (m/s)^328.2516053838

    Mean square of windspeed series (m/s)^214.4350422822

    Frequency scale of spectrum (h^-1)0.0000910830.00010802360.0001281150.00015194320.00018020330.00021371950.00025346940.00030061240.00035652360.00042283380.00050147710.00059474730.0007053650.00083655650.00099214850.00117667920.0013955310.00165508720.00196291850.00232800370.00276099150.00327451110.00388354070.00460584440.00546249010.00647846410.00768340020.00911244350.01080727610.01281733230.01520124090.01802853510.02138168050.02535848090.03007493030.0356685970.04230263540.05017054530.05950181570.07056861850.08369374710.09926003170.11772150530.13961664690.16558408810.196381240.23290638520.2762248790.32760022330.38853091970.4607941779

    Smoothed spectrum (normalised to variance)4.91585731223.59504143661.97469012023.34274818523.8648420362.88740279813.944239599410.54569013338.07718609159.60221911118.84009468638.2156437116.84551146316.23372602137.76823024427.129487022210.85613018017.36220377859.532625445310.893325985512.667268376211.226889750213.501027946614.96962234816.773955330514.534376605918.022987441515.02461186216.255490576419.28273829317.348442644716.116452290115.193587556414.606381697713.028926478910.82979114368.8442755368.25128433556.12971421683.42524454512.56200662991.99832214631.47202749431.01542087320.64915438550.42018137320.24080281930.23721703750.21677401110.1854061370.1534823977

    Lags for autocovariance (hr)0123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960616263646566676869707172737475767778798081828384858687888990919293949596979899100

    Autocovariance10.85133823280.70746433120.56304353620.42785292620.32761768390.24786101790.17852404240.11494349830.06684494960.02897057760.0015720844-0.0207206061-0.0323489639-0.0348955149-0.0344742643-0.0321858082-0.0302060014-0.0283212333-0.0268077897-0.0289644601-0.0332915883-0.0389430551-0.0463123338-0.0510760452-0.0548102265-0.0569898309-0.0558094174-0.0550786809-0.0523872116-0.0472054197-0.0417686294-0.0347269798-0.0290148233-0.024891149-0.02261256-0.02048978-0.0218712148-0.0242847227-0.0263282023-0.0284176792-0.0302898357-0.0302647997-0.0310912739-0.0325591292-0.0327307184-0.0336838836-0.0334400535-0.0321430786-0.0295834348-0.0267984802-0.024948526-0.023715347-0.0234010147-0.0234504866-0.0241052576-0.0224522337-0.0201632202-0.0175475498-0.0134734664-0.0095767863-0.0071431066-0.0062068118-0.0053228173-0.0049447068-0.0036238198-0.0022073612-0.00081985780.0001109314-0.001890738-0.005494469-0.0102093044-0.0130217197-0.0148289868-0.0140302061-0.0109425283-0.0082869201-0.0058035584-0.0044777774-0.0039727924-0.004750151-0.0060617932-0.006266542-0.0070893168-0.0080043789-0.0078159183-0.0089286273-0.0091964868-0.0116592274-0.0136425448-0.0157080955-0.0174854039-0.0190427724-0.0191237771-0.0200821769-0.0202730071-0.0191761712-0.0167946687-0.0155606001-0.0150845246-0.015204263

    Histogram bin edges< 11 - 22 - 33 - 44 - 55 - 66 - 77 - 88 - 99 - 1111 - 1313 - 1515 - 17> 17

    Histogram for synthesised series0.02176940640.05751141550.08238584470.09981735160.10878995430.1018036530.10014840180.08917808220.07767123290.05603881280.03459474890.01962328770.01077054790.018869863

    Weibull probability density function0.02809975790.06256759510.08548102450.09901124930.1044024910.10308944370.09669972770.08689580160.07521316380.05690572780.03536616420.0197551490.01000562870.0046236419

    MLE fit Weibull scale factor (A)7.6274777547

    MLE fit Weibull shape factor (k)1.7723373253

    Mean monthly windspeed (m/s)8.29870967746.75772321437.16774193556.13383680566.02509072585.95348263895.49822580655.4020631726.67997222226.86468413988.23180555568.3455107527

    Mean monthly cube windspeed (m/s)^31131.9379677419662.389159375743.3374064516480.966121148459.4553178994402.749317385337.8809419355376.7115862693634.0692255556748.06989820231140.21095888891134.2826462366

    Monthly mean days (m/s)8.09225806458.08967741948.14193548398.29096774198.33677419358.26064516138.22645161298.26064516138.31483870978.45935483878.66193548398.73870967749.03419354848.9154838718.71290322588.42580645168.19741935488.0845161297.98645161297.74838709687.84322580658.23612903238.14064516137.9696774194

    6.88214285716.83928571436.98428571436.92142857146.74357142866.6756.51357142866.31428571436.17571428576.45142857146.66071428576.66285714297.02714285717.02071428577.20678571437.24714285716.96714285716.76214285716.49928571436.36071428576.51642857146.79714285716.88785714297.0685714286

    6.61870967746.81419354846.66709677426.73419354846.66838709686.79096774196.63419354846.58064516136.80516129037.16580645167.42967741947.47354838717.74903225818.11935483878.05161290328.03290322587.867.66709677427.47483870977.36322580657.01419354846.96516129036.75354838716.5922580645

    5.54466666675.6045.42733333335.23333333335.14733333335.18733333335.4225.76008333336.3086.72733333337.01666666677.28133333337.55133333337.50666666677.23133333337.0826.84866666676.63533333336.2365.81266666675.55.345.31266666675.496

    5.10903225815.25096774195.30129032265.3954838715.36967741945.38774193555.61096774195.85677419356.05483870976.29741935486.55354838716.88903225817.22838709687.27379032267.18516129037.16258064526.9245161296.89354838716.39935483875.8954838715.47483870975.164.92774193555

    5.07533333335.12333333335.06266666675.03866666674.93333333334.99866666675.08533333335.45933333335.96133333336.35466666676.5966.7646.88733333336.94291666677.11466666677.14133333336.99666666676.82533333336.60266666676.2165.90733333335.55533333335.18933333335.052

    4.80322580654.76903225814.78322580654.72193548394.564.61483870974.73225806454.97483870975.28516129035.74193548396.00838709686.31935483876.32774193556.38193548396.41032258066.38258064526.35096774196.33483870976.15806451615.825.50774193555.22516129034.89806451614.8458064516

    4.68774193554.80967741944.87096774194.69161290324.47612903234.47741935484.57032258064.66709677425.14903225815.56064516135.83806451616.39233870976.46782258066.61483870976.72016129036.42774193556.46919354846.30258064525.90516129035.46967741945.11096774194.75032258064.60516129034.6148387097

    6.5226.376.02666666675.82933333335.8545.85266666676.0066.48533333336.73466666676.8686.96533333337.4087.6547.59933333337.83533333337.55666666677.19333333336.99933333336.57266666676.22933333336.26333333336.52533333336.54866666676.42

    6.82193548396.69483870976.67935483876.65032258066.73677419356.64580645166.546.63806451616.66387096776.9154838717.07032258067.24774193557.45935483877.46709677427.25419354847.15241935486.86064516136.67741935486.65483870976.72387096776.62838709686.71419354846.90129032266.9541935484

    7.9927.987.80466666677.76466666677.8787.94133333338.06666666678.01266666678.00466666678.10733333338.45266666678.63466666679.05266666679.09866666678.77466666678.66933333338.39466666678.3628.33466666678.33066666678.17733333337.967.85133333337.918

    8.60903225818.42129032268.17612903238.12580645168.16967741947.99161290327.92903225817.97870967747.74903225818.09677419358.27741935488.37806451618.72580645168.68516129038.8954838718.67483870978.71806451618.65290322588.51612903238.49419354848.30709677428.15354838718.22774193558.3387096774

    Random number seed2

    Stats

    frequency (h-1)

    Smoothed PSDF for de-trended windspeed series

    Year_1

    windspeed record

    weibull MLE fit

    wind speed (m/s)

    frequency

    Windspeed histogram

    year

    wind speed (m/s)

    Mean wind speed for each year

    year

    wind speed cube (m/s)^3

    Mean cube wind speed for each year

    Lags (h)

    Autocovariance

    Autocovariance for windspeed series

    month

    wind speed (m/s)

    Mean monthly wind speed

    month

    cube wind speed (m/s)^3

    Mean monthly cube wind speed

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    hour

    wind speed (m/s)

    Monthly mean days

    HourHourly mean windspeeds

    Day123456789101112131415161718192021222324

    17.87.22.83.43.43.642.63.232.44.253.64.62.84.47.88.210.24.84.833.4

    23232.81.61.21.421.83.64.45.25.411.411.81013.21614.823.420.418.61613.6

    314.213.618.417.29.27.297.63.83.215.29.613.615.416.49.47.47.25.625.65.25.6

    45.23.63.67.88.27.65.46.65.47.25.26.65.86.25.85.45.68.86.44.82.24.86.86.4

    56.47.28.86.813151113.81515.214.812.817.216.813.69.614.411.411.411.414.214.89.810.2

    69.28.69.86.44.41.81.61.61.20.40.40.20.4124.27.45.24.45.64.49.46.87.8

    79.210.864.44.841.41.62.40.81.20.81.22.63.26.26.45.68.211.811.47.87.46.4

    86.87.23.633.446.27.6811.29.21013.6151315.213.213.610.24.87.85.26.86.8

    96.45.69.210.213.416.21514.2106.25.66.29.211.414.818.420.621.616.414.211.412.61613.6

    10131313.69.210.212.88.44.63.82.26.481313.611.48.68.47.49.29.89.28.445.2

    114.846.410.89.212.213.81112.611.88.28.46.22.61.81.41.631.22.41.81.434.8

    127.29.89.87.88.26.86.67.69.48.21215.221.22221.82121.222.820.816.614.2128.29.8

    1310.810.29.88.86.45.45.43.896.86.44.22.65575.63.666.85.28.410.410.2

    149.26.811.812.412.48.679.49.48.242.81.81.21.41.20.40.20.40.42.22.63.43.6

    1533.421.60.61.83.23.286.88.297.69.814.89.69.415.411.49.29.29.88.27.8

    168.235.64.867.24.281098.26.24.26.28.676.45.69.86.845.63.83

    176.45.66.88.265.4573.23.2323.23.853.84.86.48.28.8123.423.4

    183.445.25.26.46.27.68.410.410.614.2149.211.414.811.221.820.420.814.214.813.813.221.6

    1920.21910.29.29.67.6997.67.67.477.63.62.83.26.47.49.28.26.869.89.2

    2012.413.615.88.814.616.213.89.47.66.86.8711.81212.412.87.46.87.89.26.87.47.47.8

    218.29.210.214.212.41412.212.6117.28.87.47.65.84.62.6610.216.415.417.214.81614.8

    2215.811.8138.210.8942.42.62.82.42.63.654.27.64.841.623.65.264.4

    234.84449.697.61011.61414.212.210.89.26.66.22.81.63.42.434.46.86

    245.29.28.87.26.45.43.23.63.24.65.276.25.89.611.812.613.69.24.463.42.24.4

    258.212.413.612.411.2911.613.217.813.414.215.212.413.29.27.65.26.865.65.6368.8

    268.21314.819.617.610.66.26.276.27.47.410.24.62.42.21.23.63.64.85.26.865.2

    275.64.466.48.28.25.83.82.658.27.47.65.86.67.66.46.88.27.88.86.48.87.4

    287.87.81310.29.611.287.687.26.44.411.811.411.812.29.48.29.211.816.61210.46.8

    298.89.211.810.87.86.24.64.67.610.610.488.67.65.473.43.41.821.20.613

    300.80.62.43.6612.811121113.413.611.614.810.810.81010.410.211.410.86.48.43.46

    3147.29.26.810.88.27.66.66.22.85.65.68.26.86.69.614.413.613.616131215.414.2

    32912.411.49.211.28.296.63.45.85.65.49.4810.6107.68.210.214.21512.215.817.6

    3315.816.41819.217.814.2138.46.24.84.23.45.2553.62.2322.63.44.64.63.6

    346.27.45.88.88.87.85.63.42.43.24.451.20.62.24.24.82.62.82.612.234.4

    3581410.27.467.29.47.68.88.467.64.83.61.82.22.230.810.40.40.40.8

    3625.46.25.83.833.243.44.44.44.48.49.65.885.64.63.81.81.61.82.22.2

    371.62.23.65.41.40.81.60.60.610.81.81.21.411.210.82.81.83.84.277.6

    385.89.8139.29.67.2107.68.412.812.615.416.6147.64.266.8511.210.49.28.87.6

    395.8775.88.27.86.8442.66.46.611.49.68.68.412.89.27.44.67.210.69.411

    409.89.812.4149.29.61086.244.43.63.845.41012.811.612.812.29.410.611.49.4

    4195.4553.621.41.410.60.20.40.81.22.497.61615.612.212.413.215.815.4

    4214.89.411.41413.412.68.66.24.62.62.40.810.20.60.200.20.211.63.23.24.6

    435.46.24.27.45.61.81.63.25.48.48.6116.432.43.65.22.645.84.46.86.64

    444.44.27.48.411.810.610.413.410.69.813.2109.887.288.25.646.66.21010.88

    456.65.47.87.47.89.27.26.25.49.84.28.47.47.66.256.88.29.87.85.26.43.66.2

    4610.49.811.49.89.24.82.2227.412.6108.47.212.412.26.469.417.617.814.816.811.4

    4715.411.44.25.82.62.62.41.81.41.82.646.412.88.687.266.212.810.813.221.823.2

    4817.618.213.48.810.66.84.43.23.42.40.80.40.60.21.62.23.633.81.20.21.40.81.4

    492.21.42.21.43222.610.80.81.2287.25.410.610.212.211.26.25.69.83

    503.66.64.66.24.23.21.85.46.258.28.48.41011.217.413.21616.611.294.85.42.8

    512.245.853.220.21.61.21.44.41016.623.625.5222119.615.614.217.813.815.821.4

    5219.422.421.820.416.214.811.410.27.88.45.279.44.21.85.464.65.84.62.84.25.82.2

    532.42.44.68.471010.48.89.285.277.810.610.679.65.22.60.81.41.62.40.4

    5400.60.20.40.21.83.254.47.43.23.42.86.211.81513.812.210.89.8865.87.6

    558.49.49.25.432.43.42.82.81.81.21.22.43.62.66.66.84.63.459.8111415.8

    5613.612.411.812.810.26.44.43.221.82.62.83.84.66.26.27.26.889.811.89.210.85.4

    574.652.410.60.61.20.81.22.82.4565.811.276.48.26.210.611.87.855.8

    5858553.63.62.41.6410.214.815.410.812.28.65.444.24.87.46.664.63

    595.41.82.82.81.62.42.8120.80.611.64.26.210.48.213.88.875.233.61.4

    602.63.43.27.211.612.67.29.49.615.81411.810.411.211.213.811.613.69.28.43.84.43.83.2

    614.84.44.24.25.85.87.66.45.899.813.413.813.49.67.442.63.62.64.84.87.49.2

    6210.212.216.415.813.211.28.47.66.66.4541.61.80.80.81.60.80.811245.6

    635.23.84.43.42.61.83.44.62.43.831.81.20.62253.81.822.63.477.6

    6484.45.68.410.69.89.410.46.61011.811.89.810.61413.215.611.69.610.28.27.87.88

    657.63.83.22.43.45.84.85.67.87.657.65.26.23.84.43.63.27.810.210.612.614.213.2

    6610.89.810.211.88.811.210.88.655.64.68.66.63.82.620.81.20.84.23.453.43.8

    674.45.211.210.210.611.68.4810.2131714.617.420.21716.214.415.41310.26.277.45.2

    687.23.85.633.23.83.24.86.6109.810.21112.210.612118.68.69.28.211.611.215.2

    6916.414.212.29.874.42.42.21.83.88.87.69.4810.69.411114.22.22.22.63.25.8

    7032.223.22.63.22.434.24.86.244.44.64.23.82.45.245.27.45.84.45.6

    716.85.67.614.814.815.810.88.68.293.83.62.83.86.26369.27.69.29.28.412.2

    727.66.84.84.44.43.23.8357.67.410.611.4107.69.86.68.69.65.854.84.45.6

    734.45.24.87.27.67.485.245.66.66.89.412.212.219.824.22019.613.210.68.87.85.8

    748.45.67.666.26.69.46.832.42.64.44.25.44.28.85.83.84.63.83.25.46.64.8

    754.86.86.43.82.622.23.643.22.63.62.63.84.27.86.67.64.63.45.86.64.84.4

    767.29.47.610.811.29.87.664.24.43.256.67.69.65.287.66.85.86.68.25.24.4

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    8314.8171713.212.28.87.25.633.86.66798.666.210.69.68.48.27.46.66.2

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    896.28.483.42.62.25.64.6743.67.28.815.2211516.212.61111.673.82.83

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    937.69.256.42.61.23.65.88.47.87.49.41715.413.28.87.44.65.45.64.65.47.62.8

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    951.41.632.633.84.84.2443.24.65911.81312.811.4108.24.66.674.2

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    9722.83.21.42.22.62.64.44.66.64.824.66.66.864.25.23.41.22.22.21.63.4

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    10610.610.29.48.87.47.87.68.68.45.231.643.65.46107.27.211.212.29.86.24.6

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    1105.66.26.65.64.65.24.24.44.87.46.69.410.49.68.268.29.21212.212.21411.29.2

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    1120.80.201.21.42.65.4686.69.265.85.45.465.865.465.63.424.2

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    11510.288.67.43.62.21.433.64.28.27.61010.410.41315.214.611.27.89.411.613.213.8

    1161313.410.291111.410.2101311.88.25.46.656.44.83.82.43.4333.23.23.8

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    1271.81.4222.234.46.47.84.63.62.625.24.45.69.47.28.66.27.810.611.811.8

    1287.87.46.24.866.268.49.812.410.47.66.24.422.42.21.21.61.6445.48.2

    12910.215.213.613.815121212.46.451.81.8274.24.85.85.63.23.83.41.21.61.2

    1300.62.42.235.86.84.24.44.44.479.48.610.48.48.48.29.2511.20.20.61.2

    13122.83.44.64.24.87.47.86.813.41413.416.610.48.87.85.46.8532.41.81.22.6

    1323.62.43.65.84.243.22.611.632.86.26.25.22.66.26.45.44.44.24.83.63.8

    1335.44.64.421.62.62.65.68.6910.413.416.215.214.811.47.88.47.886.23.666.6

    1347111110.29.89.410.21212.213.412.2129.45.89.212.410.89.27.24.42.41.81.40.8

    1351.21.4333.41.81.61.82.2567.254.462.64.46.811.28.810.89.28.88.2

    1366.83.41.63.634.854.22.864.22.41.83.64.46.25.45.621.812.64.44.6

    1377.84.655.244.87.46.46.85710.610.41078.8955.455.266.85.6

    1384.65.253.84.66.44.44.446.875.83.25.65.2356.87.27.4109.47.24.8

    1394.85.67.2879.25.48.87.811.2149.812.8107.89.610109.46.26.24.642.6

    1404.85544.63.82.40.81.81.21.83.26.29.25.69.27.88.45.655.84.45.43.8

    1412.842.65.45.84.467.46.87.48.67.29.4108.85.64.46.44.64.66.25.445

    1422.424.44.44.24.8576.47.24.23.83.23.222.23.23.41.62.42.834.44.6

    1434.63.64.42.61.81.42.21.61.611.62.66.64.45.25.66.27.66.88.88.810.28.210.4

    1448108.47.88.68.899.28.69.47.89.811.210.41210.610.813.68.688.85.845.6

    14577.87.25.44.65.445.45.667.4141014.813.414.412.211.811.2106.49.48.68.2

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    1473.62.62.81.41.22.23.45.6531.81.21.233.23.846.4104.64.677.68

    1489.412.68.4812.210.29.88.49.48.612.21210.89.68.87.88.26.46.85.68.26.86.65.4

    1494.655.85.22.61.62.21.81.83.232.2111.435.45.65.464.6333.4

    1505.86.47.46.866.478.49.47.2910.21011.89.28.814.216109.64.84.43.43.4

    1513.83.821.61.65.43.64.24.82.65.211.29.4111012.410.811.410.475.84.84.84.6

    1523.64.85.25.65.46.610.4106.45.84.84.65.68.42.82.82.6347.47.86.25.63.6

    1533.22.42.23.645.24.446.88.410.214.617.817.814.411.211.295.444.43.83.44

    1542.24.84.85.67.4109.61211.898.676.26.25.86.66.84.64.21.82.63.233.4

    1557.24.865.64.85.444.25.87.27.276.26.631.65.26.67.87.46.47.86.27.2

    1568.6987.46.85.43.22.441.86.87.66.676.65.24.45.65.25.24.63.83.23.4

    1573.23.42.42.23.41.82.22.43.85.69.89.26.26.65.64.65.457.210.478.498.4

    1586.87.866.25.68.48.698.212.212.810.8109.61112.613.811.812.410.89.499.28.2

    1594.84.42.63.233.43.43.28.21110.69.679.25.85.64.857.48.66.24.443.8

    160443.63.83.43.22.84.23.42.42.645.844.61.23.653.64.24.44.43.63.6

    1614.45.65.86.86.65.668.6101110.21085.25.810.49.67.84.44.65.6786.8

    16287.27.47.87.6998.69.26.285.4889.27.43.83.42.43.832.82.22.4

    1632.42.62.84.645.244.24.65.24.877.410.810.411.287.84.43.42.82.242

    16421.81.810.40.42.245.25.64.43.41.42.85.81011.278.28.68.26.45.85.2

    1654.84.45.87.89.29.48.68.26.488.68.410.813.410.413.41211.41011.41210.8106.8

    1665.26.88.47.28.48.47.49.66.45.87.67.69.68.411.410.812.89.410.88.29.8116.27.6

    1676.25.44.85.44.844.44.24.82.66.44.24.25.67.67.67.28.27.26.86.85.67.66.4

    1686.864.63.62.23.83.26.68.697.68.48.49.2119.611.68.265.45.22.84.85.4

    1695.45.45.25.23.83.63.44.84.64.63.84.61.82.23.65.25.46.443.82.81.41.83.8

    1702.82.82.42.22.83.86.267.46.28.26.64.64.64.278.46.66.47.88.28.46.47.6

    1715.43.22.82.41.82.41.62.832.22.81.63.42.8378.4103.4221.81.43.2

    1723.24.444.41.643.857.46.888.48.46.67.44.24.82.40.810.60.813

    1733.44.44.82.41.61.83.43.86.45.84.83.65.67.49.29.67.67.45.85.26.48.68.66.8

    1748.46.86.87.47.67.4810.46.88.47.67.285.23.44.65.8566.25.6888.2

    1758.67.87.47.48.46.853.421.8344.85.26.24.64.23.82.4220.60.61.4

    1761.22.43.23.231.83.44.2443.24.22.22.421.41.63.23.23.44.43.443.2

    1772.83.64.65.44.64.66.25.66.27.68.27.212.69.611.810.812.811.411.612.210.68.47.68.8

    1788.411.29.411.69.810.6910.411.211.812.811.210.810.410.413.813.28.66.86.43.85.276

    1795.44.42.21.82.4244.23.42.84.44.63.42.81.633.478.28.68.86.46.22.4

    1802.62.82.82.44464.65.26.66.876.28.811.49.65.47.46.46.25.8542.6

    1813.85.21.81.21.210.80.80.40.80.60.81.44.27.610.86.254.24.22.61.22.62

    1825.24.44.63.82.42.42.432.23.84.26.66.67.87.28.88.67.453.82.65.46.67.2

    1839.26.86.27.26.66.86.686.878.28111212.4151079.68.810.21197

    1845.475.67.265766.665.66.878.64.44.256.265.42.82.43.65.2

    1855.24.25.84.87.25.44.45.235.65.24.83.22.8321.62.844.84.23.23.62.4

    1862.23.64.25.43.22.82.4432.61.41.20.82.81.63.255.67.47.88.65.44.64.4

    1874.4552.22.41.81.84.44.43.82.83.63.23.66.25.85.63.221.810.20.20.8

    1880.81.62.21.410.81.82.643.63.44.24.872.24.28.21014.61210.45.46.64.6

    1892.61.61.81.61.422.22.8356.49.68.210.28.47.26.43.244.43.64.24.45.2

    1905.4976.66.86.29.210.411.210.49.48.85.83.82.21.61.811.61.22.43.842.6

    1913.84.45.66.45.443.84.46.27.46.43.837.86.64.267.45.66.62.61.42.63.8

    1925.88.67.65.48.45.86.66.8565.25.45.85.889.27.27.47.48.88.68.69.26

    1934.64.45.266.87.442.61.81.61.824.83.24.85.88.25.24.452.83.21.61.6

    1944.67.48.68.27.25.45.25.254.44.233.22.62.83.23.21.81.633.64.65.85.4

    1957.63.63.42.8453.423.82.82.86.88.213.818.415.817.410.411.211.67.67.24.64.4

    1962.42.211.41.62.22.232.83.62.22.42.81.40.61.22.45.663.84.455.85.2

    1977.66.455.26.84.45.44.65.84.46.66.85.25.45.85.44.64.25.46.46.263.84.4

    1984.86.46.25.42.82.22.42.233.24.24.22.21.40.80.412.82.63.41.621.63

    1995.44.65.64.83.252.43.27.664.26.65.24.479.66.4867.488.287

    2007.697.667.26.2878.68.85.687.45.8810.48.677.43.84.822.82.2

    20136.45.85.46.884.442.82.24.24.84.83.64.43.63223.64.244.63.8

    2023.83.62.63.62.82.81.843.25.45.28.49.45.476.267.69.2787.277.6

    2037.63.653.632.42.621.61.845.477.8117.68.29.676.46.24.64.45.8

    20486.86.83.83.43.43.42.82.62.81.80.813.83.27.26.47.474.479.29.29.8

    20510.66.45.89.66.27.275.44.65.66.64.44.24.46.23.83.44.65.45.47.27.265.8

    2065.46.88.68.68.87.46.65.86.86.44.24.44.25.84.43.64.444.46.4431.40.4

    2071.222.22.63.85.45.24.85.83.657.66.63.66.24.83.45.64.63.844.63.64.6

    2085.46.276.66.85.44.42.82.82.83.24.23.81.82.83.85.49.611.28886.66.4

    2092.62.42.43.844.44.63.62.82.83.42.82.81.422.42.24.84.65.669.299.6

    21012.49.68.410.611.89.48.688.612.29.411.412.410.68.88.47.65.6554.43.24.42.6

    2111.81.626.67.25.64.644.63553.66.29.46.88.27.64.67.88.49.28.28.8

    21266.83.43.62.42.83.66.87.68.28.69.65.8789.28.69.6105.63.65.43.83

    2132.84.65.24.83.42.21.433.85.65.82.821.21.20.81.81.212.81.42.83.62.4

    2141.42.42.23.43.23.6335.87.4877.441.22.22.21.22468.667

    21546.44.23225.66.86.27.46.64.63446.662.82.210.410.81.4

    2162.23.43.22.43.63.23.88.497.87.47.883.85.231.82.41.41.60.80.60.61.8

    2172.43.64.25.66.87.87.63.44.25.278.2885.83.62.22121.410.22

    2181.42.42.22.81.62.84.25.26.65.27.4645.89.410.812.611.210.610.810.6117.85.4

    21943.40.40.612.43.24.24.64.64.87.45.47.29.454.22.23.82.63.25.65.23.6

    2206.84.65.87.67.47.86.23.43.62.24.455.86.27.258.68.811.48.25.65.445

    22176.87.610.67.89129.211.29.2813.211.814.612.410.86.87.46.666.242.64.8

    2224.84.65.841.61.62.86.23.67.86.68.211.414.216.418.620.6251915.410.83.832.86.4

    2235.8984.82.42.81.81.62.83.23.48.6886.86.667.45.67.467.88.67.8

    2249.67.27.610.67.86.85.66.43.64.62.62.21.22.62.42.23.44.83.65.25.64.642.8

    2253.66.25.85.67.49.49.811.29.4117.44.631.21.62.81.62.41.81.21.22.44.85.6

    22655.43.81.61.43.64.23.64.65.23.273.60.60000.22.210.80.80.80.8

    2271.243.23.21.82.23.43.42.422.633.45.47.67.49.28.87.477.46.64.23.6

    2284.45.25.24.64.82.622.211.22.642.82.42.4433.23.82.23.45.468.2

    2298.26.49.28.89.49.889.67.44.65.865.46.22.80.81.21.621.61.21.622.8

    2301.61.42.82.41.40.81.62.82.42.244.66.26.27.610.41111.612108.68.69.45.6

    2315.43.22.23.43.242.82.41.41.61.22.24.44.44.84.86.49.65.63.653.23.21.6

    23243.444.84.83.234.67.89.611.21087.610.411.87.87.8128.658.66.48.4

    2337.84.83.244.667.29.29.410.613.217.616.213.614.26.67.88.83.22.6332.23.8

    2344.45.47.27.68.6912.413.415.413.410.614.211.89.48.46.24.245.62.62.61.21.61.8

    2351.43.25.26.897.89.48.49.81213.21211.85.87.276.411.676.255.44.87.4

    23669.811.211.61312.2159.297.45.44.66.63.41.61.40.20.40.81.60.80.810.8

    2370.634.86.863.42.44.634.26.67898.48.88.610.69.25.653.64.62.2

    2381.41210.82.21.42.63.63.23.23.44.86.24.84.84.21.81.62.41.42.42.44.2

    2395.44.84.63.867.48.8875.24.44.25.42.821.21.81.65.64.84.66.67.26

    2404.45.45.64.83.43.41.41.61.21.63.23.47.45.86.25.87.44.84.22.21.8112.2

    2411.810.611.21.83.445.27.843.62.83.45.46.6116.64.8421.81.61.2

    2421.21.20.60.60.61.41.21.21.83.22.637.48.49.410.4107.87.410.49.81011.49.2

    2435.46.44.66.6676.86.44.88.87.4545.43.22.222.61.42.21.4321.6

    2443.85.855.24.25.45.86.810.61299.28.47.612.85.463.62.83.85.24.466.4

    24588.24.46.86.85.43.433.26.89.410.61010.613.414.49.612.28.87.69.610.65.27.2

    2465.26.67.211.4118.49.611.813.812149.688.65.46.68.26.63.43.84.45.24.23.6

    2474.44.469.65.23.22.61.210.60.60.411.43.63.63.22.82.62.22.83.87.24.8

    2484.24.44.669.61311.812.210.610.610.810.613.28.23.42.41.21.42.42.633.64.87.6

    24911.69.69.81010.410.615.216.819.21715.211.211.4912.49.611.28.86.66.43.64.884.6

    25033.2110.60.20.200.20.62.81.82.25.86.43.66.45.84.84.84.23.63.64.8

    2516.696.88.410.45.65.87.610.212.614.612.815.416.2171811.274.83.63.234.63.2

    2521.40.40.20.42.43.23.8543.645.28.411.811.815.613.811.210.69.865.61.62

    2532.42.644.65.666.2888.26.29.610.46.243.22.81.41.81.42.822.84.2

    25465.2568.88.810.49.411.61110.48.677.26.89.610.210.26.24.24.46.44.25.6

    2554.86.27.62.81.40.40.62.23.24.28.48.611.415.211.29.68.25.46.64.811.41.43.6

    2564.24.85.83.22.83.82.21.24.82.87.65.66.258.25.811.27.87.84.66.28.89.86.8

    2575.28.65.87.27.25.64.85.63.85.65.85.27.47.26.84.23.2444.62.41.20.61

    2581.21.612121.81.61.63.243.2532.43.22.43.23.84.8669.87.6

    2594.85.4611118.810.89.877.8810.27.496.46.66.45.47.49.41215.416.213

    2601211.89.88.46.455.85.63.43.64.85.28.46.26.47.66.44.652.23.23.61.80.4

    2610.21.443.45.25.66.67.26.62.834.23.87.610.810.67.411.24.83.83.83.67.210.2

    262111057.69.213.47.810.49.27.83.61.66.68.211.215.616.813.818.417.2115.66.84.6

    26386.67.25.64.67.66.6811.211.69.47.84.658.28.610.276.66.434.26.45.6

    26432.22.20.422.22.23.43.81.41.83.47.47.65.442.43.67.47.26.68.47.29.2

    2651111.410.212.414.8128.29.86.27.489.61212.212.816.212.814.29.211.27.89.69.215

    26613.412.28.457.25.66.26.45.47.47.610.6910.28.28.68.275.45.63.62.43.65.6

    26785.848.4118.86.64.63.44.24.869.411.812.497.856.28775.66

    26873.84.46.89.664.831.61.20.60.60.40.41.811.442.634.85.26.48.8

    2698.49.610.68.84.62.81.82.644.653.4236.45.869.610.69.811.41110.66

    27072.221.62.22.25.28.686.45.44.8799.67.210.610.65.85.25.63.83.64.2

    2713.8353.22.21.83.21.41.22.84.47.85.446.44.24.83.6423.24.24.63.2

    2723.63.22.83.43.4431.85.457.68.213.210.612.8119.210.27.889.61111.68.4

    2735.64.43.86.4444.47.610.68.611.411.611.416.812.87.29.212.214.614.210.610.26.87.2

    27411.411.41213.212.611.49.48.8109.664.64.610.217.618.410.488.666.48.413.27.4

    27510.88.29.210.812.612.613.213.8116.65.64.24.245.62.62.85.28.66.44.42.63.24.8

    2765.26.47.49.89.85.67.44.23.84.65.22.21.41.63.22.223.23.84.81.61.62.41.2

    2771.63.23.23.25.24.41.82.44.26.28.86.611.215.8139.25.65.85.24.847.86.66

    27867.810.46.45.21.82.61.83.4812.217.824.223.62225.822.615.81312.8161812.69.8

    2796.43.83.81.61.23.25.25.68.811.812.213.213.611.21515.212.66.67.29.26.467.87

    28075.24.46.45.67.41210.8118.644.65.47.47.46.241.433.466.45.68.8

    2818.466.4610.41210.49.812.213.68.48.212.471013.864.62.83.62.82.42.42.4

    2824.25.644.45.6710.84.27.47.23.420.20.20.20.401.41.22.24.47.48.411

    2835.66.86.44.86.48.477.479.611.614.4108.47.45.45.64.63.84.45.25.62.83.4

    2841.611.21.41.41.23.46.45.66.66510.61515.613.211.6910.812.815.411.49.47

    2859.813.613.6157.47.89.43.82.81.42.22610.2137.233.232.81.61.83.45.6

    2865.66.88.83.22.62.83.43.25.66.65.64.67.414.412.417.81211.66.86.86.84.84.23.8

    2875.667.412.68.87.47.48.864.67.812.615.61520.617.814.612.216.611.811.813.212.615.6

    28813.810.8661.83.29.410.815.618.617.29.89.47.44.46.63566.85.64.45.23.2

    2895.28.26.48.46.43.83.268.47.26.49.815.622.219.820.621.22117.212.89.86.43.45.2

    2906.44.43.44.82.82.84.45.21013.61415.213.610.810.67.67.46.267.265.666

    29178.27.44.85.65.23.43.22.42.64.84.25.445.67.25.23.46.46.89.28.86.65.2

    2923.23.81.83.83.879.48.41011.267.652.61112.65.2465.667.8

    2937.862.42.42.82.63.2222.22.22.61.61.82.63.43.451.44.45.678.86

    2948.47.89.811.48.87.47.87.878.67.41219.823.617.613.2126.65.66.83.42.43.22.4

    29565.68.276.42.83.22.44.23.82.45.84.63.24.42.62.24.234.43.43.88.45.2

    2969.48.86.44.44.44.44.43.44.86.27.87.26.82.22.22.643.49.25.66.476.612.6

    29714.41618.619.416.813.29.46.410910.48.68.411.2109.211.697.864.474.24.2

    2981.821.21.62.63.43.84.43.87.68.46.27.45.233.83.64.63.87.67.28.8107

    2994.83.84.83.42.62.62.85.25.252.411.41.22.65.86.86.23.81.610.41.61.2

    300110.40.413.22.82.83.83.62.22.245.67.86.66.8111314.616.614.411.615.6

    301129.87.43.23.82.61.83.22.62.23.43.44.25.67.49.28.810.49.212.27.82.42.63.4

    3023.845.63.24.24.210.810.811.610.614.619.817.619.221.222.819.813.47.27.68.83.87.88.4

    3037.88.27.46.49.412.67.810.85.64.22.81.45.411.2105.83.46.21312.211.28.47.46.6

    3048.46.810.49.81111.474.44.64.22.822.21.41.4245.25.25.23.43.23.43.4

    3052.43.66.63.22.23.83.42.41.43.297.86.69.27.68.67.45.27.86.86.454.66.8

    3066.811.61214.813.213.81114.610.89.25.8310.61.42.23.45.29.48.213.610.812.46.8

    307585.46.68.412.614.818.215.211.819.4151311.49.28.647.87.863.43.62.23.6

    3084.6354.62.22.41.42.41.81.64.67.47.69.812.61311.69.41110.88.28.68.210.2

    3097.65.84.64.64.63.24.83.23.21.20.811.82.85.47.210.612.8111211.45.41.81.6

    3102.24.26.66.23.86.26.26.810.88.288.410.28.88.8586.45.62.44.4545

    3113.22.2511.48.47.41210.814.610.214.420.615.418.421.618.612.810.465.26.49.87.27.6

    3126.86.286.286.24.23.42.84.43.84.82.60.40.60.60.60.61.64.468.610.215.4

    31311.812.81010.48.8977.43.84.43.67.47.26.85.83.41.43.45.65.63.61.62.45.8

    31447.67810.49.486.48.68.2722.823.24.22.8469.88.87.29.29.6

    3159.66.25.488.884.221.40.62.65.23.452.64.61.623.423.46.46.85.4

    3164.26.677813.217.215.215.215.815.614.416.8121514.215.217.612.69.86.86.85.44.4

    3171.41.21.42.652.81.83.46.87.48.61110.81111.47.678.46.89.210.811.41617.8

    31813.48.45.8889.4128.264.84.643.47.810.48.678.48.23.63.652.82.4

    3191.410.623.23.65.26.86.46.889.416.813.89.27.24.41.821.84.44.42.46.4

    3203.22.62.42.84.65.48.811.813.416.41110.410.217.612.614.298.46.88.87.23.67.23.6

    3219756.65.878.410.810.211.411.69.48.65.83.63.278.46.86.45.44.45.49.2

    322912.26.26.676.61211.411.815.210.613.218.62116.416.217.814.412128.21310.811.2

    32344.22.61.82.65.45.27.46.46.89.67.88.69.89.8875.24.87.88.89.810.811.2

    32414.613.2118.8108.41111.410.211.411.66.46.27.86.24.63.844.48.88.811.410.214.8

    3257.24.23.83.255.474.25.23.235.2258.88.677.813.29.81618.42125.6

    32622.819.216.615.414.8912.68.28.67.487.410.87.27.67.65.6612.613.616.61610.810.8

    3279.613.81617.21613.210.4138.25.25.45.22.85.85.46.24.84.48.27.24.47.84.69.2

    32810.65.86.29.885.84.81.41.222.211.61.61.61.82.22.25.268.811.812.49.6

    32914.613.211.410.411.49.414.210.26.88.85.46.47.29.87.6811.213.26.47.82.83.210.4

    3300.60.20.40.40.61.61.84.444.44.66.46.67.27.27.68.48.412.614.217.817.815.416.6

    33112.813.88.89.8108.43.41.43.81.437.413.615.215.613.611.6105.64.4322.23.2

    3326.28.411.46.26.25.44.25.26.87.88.68.89.26.23.61.420.81.84.4564.45

    3335.83.85.44.84.673.83.43.465.45.658.810.811.415.822.22421.821211916

    33410.612.214.214.813.211710.28.210.2119.412.412.614.412.412.88.47.89.211.411.410.27.6

    3356.87.27.26.65.45.84.66.6109.28.4911.2106.26.65.24.446.45.82.83.63.4

    3364.46.43.42.42.8357.412.49.610.417.488108.89.811.811.211.611.614.216.49.6

    3379.29.6108.4710.28.87.46.26.42.83.83.8374.22.83.28.29.27.67.288.6

    3387.665.48.4710.27.49.46.611.21316.21816.214.412.410.26.44.46.49117.210

    33912.812.212.677.43.63.81.65.48.67.46.27.653.85.664.84.834.456.26.8

    340611.612.616.81917.813.811.412.410.611.412.613.410.612.69.410.29.28.27.233.446.4

    3418.296.26.64.63.63386.412.4119.6119.47.88.811.410.210.28.65.85.88.2

    3425.27.66.86.210.211.2151918.62218.815.613.4104.62.868.88.89.69.69.410.612.2

    34311.29.69.45.877.8323.64.89.897.23.82.23.44.49.88.26.85.44.65.49.6

    34411.216.615.813.420.217.814.49.4810.214.219.81512.28.49.88.410.29.810.213.211.610.610.6

    34510.212.212.61313.48.213.4159.414.411.4812.812.81010.85.22.61.41.62.22.446

    3465.65.66.277.47.88.4158.411.279.411.28.69.46.611.47.83.83.84.434.86

    3474.467.65.86.24.656.29.411.610.41097.611.612.415.217.614.611.61699.69.6

    34812.28.67.28.48.87.4711.413.613.89.410.63.654.27.46.48.87.44.46.87.24.82.8

    3491.85.259.411.811.21616.21310.29.810.6101076.68.48.89.210.212.614.214.814.8

    35014.48.25.486.654.25.454.46.49.412.813.417.213.610.87.811.816.211913.29.6

    3511516.610.410.89.211.26.610.211.48.29.46.24.24.685.66.47.86.4697.6911.6

    35213.817.818.816.211.25.44.26.66.669.413.812.210.69.41314.610.812.49.68.65.84.82.2

    3531.62.82.26.67211.648.68.474.23.21.621.41.42.62.833.44.42.6

    3544.84.83.644.233.25.45.86.410.814.411.613.415.413.611.410.813.413.415.418.81720.2

    35519.624.419.412.411.811.25.84.22.81.61.61.84.24.26.678.89.817.416.814.812.686.4

    3567.611.615.820.416.213.48.4759.68.86.69.69.69.411.49.211.48.88.68856

    3574.85.63.641.40.82.62.22.47.29.81111.615167.410.814.61415.615.419.421.814.4

    35812.211.6108.812.813.415.611.84.43.44.46.66.25.85.8665.63.434497.6

    3599.29.68.68.810.28.87.87.477.29.46.26.63.61.610.61.40.40.40.84.6810

    36011.610.688.86.233.67.45621.82.24.28.414.21411.816.215.61111119.6

    36112.212.614.21311.212.27.86.22.262.655.45.48.48.88.810.8149.64811.612.2

    36212.210.6811.412.87.89.29.81112.210.89.410.68.6119.49.810.89.211.211116.810

    36312.21088.811.27.411.211.86.66.89.8788768.45.64.4434.67.26.8

    3646.46.41011.814.415.413.415.619.8222019.219.41110.410.46.45.24.45.63.44.43.61.8

    3651.61.60.412.45.82.42.222.22.61.61.40.20.60.81.64.45.243311.4

  • Wind power - load curve correlation in UKJuly 0.88Jan (-)0.51Mar 0.48Oct 0.39Average correlation factor over the year = 0.38

    Chart1

    0.70203376370.4206872245

    0.67399070680.4117665767

    0.65647838980.4154540168

    0.64863287180.3996874011

    0.64025030940.3599604945

    0.62638055430.3731039891

    0.65022065520.4023143947

    0.76089849860.4674092756

    0.87907161370.5604476444

    0.93219230860.7186794672

    0.95848413380.8234439178

    0.96852452890.9580287411

    0.97980246110.9618483155

    0.97693044110.9867736417

    0.96938846990.999999921

    0.97207369180.9870729361

    0.9777009830.9724785532

    10.9650881815

    0.98115674690.8865291401

    0.94568846760.7483922227

    0.90898265110.6342800642

    0.88799122050.5415760047

    0.8859364420.4461016355

    0.83337614120.4319748904

    UK load

    wind power

    Hrs.

    normalised power generated

    Sheet4

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.88721859031

    Column 1

    Column 11

    Column 20.8872185903

    result correln UK jan

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 2-0.50887386561

    result correln UK mar

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.48035188441

    result correln UK oct

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.39173191281

    calculn of P

    hrsvPfor 1000 MWnormalisedloadfor 3200 MWJULY

    04.80322580650.2074784798207.47847982810.4206872245300660.70203376370.4206872245663.93113545

    14.76903225810.2030789109203.07891091570.4117665767288650.67399070680.4117665767649.8525149302

    24.78322580650.2048975173204.89751727320.4154540168281150.65647838980.4154540168655.6720552742

    34.72193548390.1971215895197.12158952780.3996874011277790.64863287180.3996874011630.7890864891

    44.560.1775287003177.52870028390.3599604945274200.64025030940.3599604945568.0918409085

    54.61483870970.1840109325184.01093249750.3731039891268260.62638055430.3731039891588.8349839921

    64.73225806450.1984171949198.41719491180.4023143947278470.65022065520.4023143947634.9350237178

    74.97483870970.2305213002230.52130018180.4674092756325870.76089849860.4674092756737.6681605818

    85.28516129030.2764068374276.40683744960.5604476444376480.87907161370.5604476444884.5018798387

    95.74193548390.3544450952354.44509519950.7186794672399230.93219230860.71867946721134.2243046384

    106.00838709680.4061138118406.11381175230.8234439178410490.95848413380.82344391781299.5641976075

    116.31935483870.47248962472.48961998290.9580287411414790.96852452890.95802874111511.9667839451

    126.32774193550.4743733936474.37339360030.9618483155419620.97980246110.96184831551517.9948595209

    136.38193548390.4866663003486.66630028270.9867736417418390.97693044110.98677364171557.3321609047

    146.41032258060.493189361493.18936104890.999999921415160.96938846990.9999999211578.2059553566

    156.38258064520.4868139091486.8139091080.9870729361416310.97207369180.98707293611557.8045091456

    166.35096774190.4796161142479.61611418120.9724785532418720.9777009830.97247855321534.7715653799

    176.33483870970.4759712612475.9712611980.96508818154282710.96508818151523.1080358334

    186.15806451610.4372267747437.22677470450.8865291401420200.98115674690.88652914011399.1256790544

    195.820.3690991113369.09911128220.7483922227405010.94568846760.74839222271181.117156103

    205.50774193550.3128202043312.82020428750.6342800642389290.90898265110.63428006421001.0246537201

    215.22516129030.2670995448267.09954483460.5415760047380300.88799122050.5415760047854.7185434706

    224.89806451610.220012598220.0125979530.4461016355379420.8859364420.4461016355704.0403134496

    234.84580645160.213045437213.04543702460.4319748904356910.83337614120.4319748904681.7453984787

    JANfor 3200 MWloadnormalised loadnormalised wind

    08.09225806450.99216343563174.9229939099368570.81032890690.9921634356

    18.08967741940.99121452673171.8864853147368430.81002110630.9912145267

    28.141935483913200347570.76415882511

    38.290967741913200335730.73812769331

    48.336774193513200314980.69250725531

    58.260645161313200303950.66825696951

    68.226451612913200303710.66772931141

    78.260645161313200287410.63189253361

    88.314838709713200283930.62424149151

    98.459354838713200302940.66603640841

    108.661935483913200332720.73150998151

    118.738709677413200360590.79278427581

    129.034193548413200381580.83893237181

    138.91548387113200386820.85045290651

    148.712903225813200386230.84915574711

    158.425806451613200388920.85506991471

    168.197419354813200423540.93118459241

    178.0845161290.98931852433165.8192776164548410.9893185243

    187.98645161290.95375239133052.0076521765446620.98192771080.9537523913

    197.74838709680.87097958022787.1346566344431500.9486852520.8709795802

    207.84322580650.90335447682890.7343256164414500.91130947150.9033544768

    218.236129032313200395200.86887696771

    228.140645161313200368780.81079060771

    237.96967741940.94775541693032.8173339582404680.88971946180.9477554169

    MAR45484

    06.61870967740.54286774761737.1767923347377030.81198716430.5428677476

    16.81419354840.5924032611895.6904351278376830.81155643620.592403261

    26.66709677420.55486115641775.555700493365240.78659574010.5548611564

    36.73419354840.57178245971829.7038711215357160.7691943230.5717824597

    46.66838709680.55518337541776.5868013386341090.73458531650.5551833754

    56.79096774190.58636636181876.3723577522337190.72618611760.5863663618

    66.63419354840.54668663721749.3972390533347160.74765791570.5466866372

    76.58064516130.53355533451707.3770703062347550.74849783560.5335553345

    86.80516129030.59005067891888.1621725447374100.8056769970.5900506789

    97.16580645160.68892075152204.5464047182408050.87879309970.6889207515

    107.42967741940.76786331532457.1626090191414990.89373936640.7678633153

    117.47354838710.78154609522500.9475047382412490.88835526460.7815460952

    127.74903225810.87119716192787.8309180992407580.87778088860.8711971619

    138.119354838713200395830.852475611

    148.05161290320.97728831713127.3226147981387510.83455731910.9772883171

    158.03290322580.97049130873105.5721879687379430.81715590210.9704913087

    167.860.90916285482909.3211353692385510.83025003770.9091628548

    177.66709677420.84385315882700.3301082113419080.9025477570.8438531588

    187.47483870970.78195097152502.24310866934643310.7819509715

    197.36322580650.74744355742391.8193836995459710.99005017980.7474435574

    207.01419354840.64611121912067.5559011324433140.93282794560.6461112191

    216.96516129030.63265592362024.4989553855404390.87091077470.6326559236

    226.75354838710.57672674661845.5255890537378060.81420541430.5767267466

    236.59225806450.53638502691716.432086041357790.77055111670.5363850269

    OCT46433

    06.82193548390.59442473011902.159136256305280.67172750680.7625485818

    16.69483870970.56181638541797.8124331757297570.65476269060.7207174706

    26.67935483870.55792727511785.36728039295680.65060400030.7157283856

    36.65032258060.55068364791762.1876733768288100.63392523160.7064360104

    46.73677419350.57244005881831.808188191283180.62309943450.7343458859

    56.64580645160.54956252791758.6000892985284040.62499174860.7049977989

    66.540.52372980571675.9353783348319130.70220256560.6718586903

    76.63806451610.54764414981752.4612794497384980.8470966180.7025368372

    86.66387096770.55405615441772.9796939786412030.90661649830.7107623781

    96.9154838710.61921542141981.4893485072416930.91739828810.7943509372

    107.07032258060.66174662022117.58918449419340.92270116840.8489114285

    117.24774193550.71282382962281.0362546498420700.92569366510.9144350375

    127.45935483870.7771016772486.7253662938421320.92705789160.996892881

    137.46709677420.77952381032494.4761930353420960.92626576011.0000000774

    147.25419354840.71472909542287.1331052801415270.91374568180.9168791783

    157.15241935480.68506685312192.2139300774411240.90487820980.8788274291

    166.86064516130.60460108051934.7234575679414280.91156732020.7756031558

    176.67741935480.55744240211783.8156866642427700.9410962220.7151063737

    186.65483870970.55180629171765.7801333089441980.97251743790.7078761765

    196.72387096770.56915709961821.3027186114544710.7301343924

    206.62838709680.5452524621744.8078782543423000.93075450520.6994686973

    216.71419354840.56670313441813.4500301722389130.85622813390.7269863611

    226.90129032260.61541055191969.3137661488346990.76350474180.7894699192

    236.95419354840.62967197842014.9503309349319300.70257662770.8077649699

    46433

    45447

    calculn of P

    UK load

    wind power

    Hrs.

    normalised power generated

    result correln UK

    Load

    wind power

    Hrs.

    Normalised w.r.t. peak

    data for correln

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Load

    Wind power

    Hrs.

    Normalised generation w.r.t. peak

    Sheet3

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.32652781371

    loadwind

    0.70203376370.4206872245

    0.67399070680.4117665767

    0.65647838980.4154540168

    0.64863287180.3996874011

    0.64025030940.3599604945

    0.62638055430.3731039891

    0.65022065520.4023143947

    0.76089849860.4674092756

    0.87907161370.5604476444

    0.93219230860.7186794672

    0.95848413380.8234439178

    0.96852452890.9580287411

    0.97980246110.9618483155

    0.97693044110.9867736417

    0.96938846990.999999921

    0.97207369180.9870729361

    0.9777009830.9724785532

    10.9650881815

    0.98115674690.8865291401

    0.94568846760.7483922227

    0.90898265110.6342800642

    0.88799122050.5415760047

    0.8859364420.4461016355

    0.83337614120.4319748904

    0.81032890690.9921634356

    0.81002110630.9912145267

    0.76415882511

    0.73812769331

    0.69250725531

    0.66825696951

    0.66772931141

    0.63189253361

    0.62424149151

    0.66603640841

    0.73150998151

    0.79278427581

    0.83893237181

    0.85045290651

    0.84915574711

    0.85506991471

    0.93118459241

    10.9893185243

    0.98192771080.9537523913

    0.9486852520.8709795802

    0.91130947150.9033544768

    0.86887696771

    0.81079060771

    0.88971946180.9477554169

    0.81198716430.5428677476

    0.81155643620.592403261

    0.78659574010.5548611564

    0.7691943230.5717824597

    0.73458531650.5551833754

    0.72618611760.5863663618

    0.74765791570.5466866372

    0.74849783560.5335553345

    0.8056769970.5900506789

    0.87879309970.6889207515

    0.89373936640.7678633153

    0.88835526460.7815460952

    0.87778088860.8711971619

    0.852475611

    0.83455731910.9772883171

    0.81715590210.9704913087

    0.83025003770.9091628548

    0.9025477570.8438531588

    10.7819509715

    0.99005017980.7474435574

    0.93282794560.6461112191

    0.87091077470.6326559236

    0.81420541430.5767267466

    0.77055111670.5363850269

    0.67172750680.7625485818

    0.65476269060.7207174706

    0.65060400030.7157283856

    0.63392523160.7064360104

    0.62309943450.7343458859

    0.62499174860.7049977989

    0.70220256560.6718586903

    0.8470966180.7025368372

    0.90661649830.7107623781

    0.91739828810.7943509372

    0.92270116840.8489114285

    0.92569366510.9144350375

    0.92705789160.996892881

    0.92626576011.0000000774

    0.91374568180.9168791783

    0.90487820980.8788274291

    0.91156732020.7756031558

    0.9410962220.7151063737

    0.97251743790.7078761765

    10.7301343924

    0.93075450520.6994686973

    0.85622813390.7269863611

    0.76350474180.7894699192

    0.70257662770.8077649699

    Chart2

    0.81032890690.9921634356

    0.81002110630.9912145267

    0.76415882511

    0.73812769331

    0.69250725531

    0.66825696951

    0.66772931141

    0.63189253361

    0.62424149151

    0.66603640841

    0.73150998151

    0.79278427581

    0.83893237181

    0.85045290651

    0.84915574711

    0.85506991471

    0.93118459241

    10.9893185243

    0.98192771080.9537523913

    0.9486852520.8709795802

    0.91130947150.9033544768

    0.86887696771

    0.81079060771

    0.88971946180.9477554169

    Load

    wind power

    Hrs.

    Normalised w.r.t. peak

    Sheet4

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.88721859031

    Column 1

    Column 11

    Column 20.8872185903

    result correln UK jan

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 2-0.50887386561

    result correln UK mar

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.48035188441

    result correln UK oct

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.39173191281

    calculn of P

    hrsvPfor 1000 MWnormalisedloadfor 3200 MWJULY

    04.80322580650.2074784798207.47847982810.4206872245300660.70203376370.4206872245663.93113545

    14.76903225810.2030789109203.07891091570.4117665767288650.67399070680.4117665767649.8525149302

    24.78322580650.2048975173204.89751727320.4154540168281150.65647838980.4154540168655.6720552742

    34.72193548390.1971215895197.12158952780.3996874011277790.64863287180.3996874011630.7890864891

    44.560.1775287003177.52870028390.3599604945274200.64025030940.3599604945568.0918409085

    54.61483870970.1840109325184.01093249750.3731039891268260.62638055430.3731039891588.8349839921

    64.73225806450.1984171949198.41719491180.4023143947278470.65022065520.4023143947634.9350237178

    74.97483870970.2305213002230.52130018180.4674092756325870.76089849860.4674092756737.6681605818

    85.28516129030.2764068374276.40683744960.5604476444376480.87907161370.5604476444884.5018798387

    95.74193548390.3544450952354.44509519950.7186794672399230.93219230860.71867946721134.2243046384

    106.00838709680.4061138118406.11381175230.8234439178410490.95848413380.82344391781299.5641976075

    116.31935483870.47248962472.48961998290.9580287411414790.96852452890.95802874111511.9667839451

    126.32774193550.4743733936474.37339360030.9618483155419620.97980246110.96184831551517.9948595209

    136.38193548390.4866663003486.66630028270.9867736417418390.97693044110.98677364171557.3321609047

    146.41032258060.493189361493.18936104890.999999921415160.96938846990.9999999211578.2059553566

    156.38258064520.4868139091486.8139091080.9870729361416310.97207369180.98707293611557.8045091456

    166.35096774190.4796161142479.61611418120.9724785532418720.9777009830.97247855321534.7715653799

    176.33483870970.4759712612475.9712611980.96508818154282710.96508818151523.1080358334

    186.15806451610.4372267747437.22677470450.8865291401420200.98115674690.88652914011399.1256790544

    195.820.3690991113369.09911128220.7483922227405010.94568846760.74839222271181.117156103

    205.50774193550.3128202043312.82020428750.6342800642389290.90898265110.63428006421001.0246537201

    215.22516129030.2670995448267.09954483460.5415760047380300.88799122050.5415760047854.7185434706

    224.89806451610.220012598220.0125979530.4461016355379420.8859364420.4461016355704.0403134496

    234.84580645160.213045437213.04543702460.4319748904356910.83337614120.4319748904681.7453984787

    JANfor 3200 MWloadnormalised loadnormalised wind

    08.09225806450.99216343563174.9229939099368570.81032890690.9921634356

    18.08967741940.99121452673171.8864853147368430.81002110630.9912145267

    28.141935483913200347570.76415882511

    38.290967741913200335730.73812769331

    48.336774193513200314980.69250725531

    58.260645161313200303950.66825696951

    68.226451612913200303710.66772931141

    78.260645161313200287410.63189253361

    88.314838709713200283930.62424149151

    98.459354838713200302940.66603640841

    108.661935483913200332720.73150998151

    118.738709677413200360590.79278427581

    129.034193548413200381580.83893237181

    138.91548387113200386820.85045290651

    148.712903225813200386230.84915574711

    158.425806451613200388920.85506991471

    168.197419354813200423540.93118459241

    178.0845161290.98931852433165.8192776164548410.9893185243

    187.98645161290.95375239133052.0076521765446620.98192771080.9537523913

    197.74838709680.87097958022787.1346566344431500.9486852520.8709795802

    207.84322580650.90335447682890.7343256164414500.91130947150.9033544768

    218.236129032313200395200.86887696771

    228.140645161313200368780.81079060771

    237.96967741940.94775541693032.8173339582404680.88971946180.9477554169

    MAR45484

    06.61870967740.54286774761737.1767923347377030.81198716430.5428677476

    16.81419354840.5924032611895.6904351278376830.81155643620.592403261

    26.66709677420.55486115641775.555700493365240.78659574010.5548611564

    36.73419354840.57178245971829.7038711215357160.7691943230.5717824597

    46.66838709680.55518337541776.5868013386341090.73458531650.5551833754

    56.79096774190.58636636181876.3723577522337190.72618611760.5863663618

    66.63419354840.54668663721749.3972390533347160.74765791570.5466866372

    76.58064516130.53355533451707.3770703062347550.74849783560.5335553345

    86.80516129030.59005067891888.1621725447374100.8056769970.5900506789

    97.16580645160.68892075152204.5464047182408050.87879309970.6889207515

    107.42967741940.76786331532457.1626090191414990.89373936640.7678633153

    117.47354838710.78154609522500.9475047382412490.88835526460.7815460952

    127.74903225810.87119716192787.8309180992407580.87778088860.8711971619

    138.119354838713200395830.852475611

    148.05161290320.97728831713127.3226147981387510.83455731910.9772883171

    158.03290322580.97049130873105.5721879687379430.81715590210.9704913087

    167.860.90916285482909.3211353692385510.83025003770.9091628548

    177.66709677420.84385315882700.3301082113419080.9025477570.8438531588

    187.47483870970.78195097152502.24310866934643310.7819509715

    197.36322580650.74744355742391.8193836995459710.99005017980.7474435574

    207.01419354840.64611121912067.5559011324433140.93282794560.6461112191

    216.96516129030.63265592362024.4989553855404390.87091077470.6326559236

    226.75354838710.57672674661845.5255890537378060.81420541430.5767267466

    236.59225806450.53638502691716.432086041357790.77055111670.5363850269

    OCT46433

    06.82193548390.59442473011902.159136256305280.67172750680.7625485818

    16.69483870970.56181638541797.8124331757297570.65476269060.7207174706

    26.67935483870.55792727511785.36728039295680.65060400030.7157283856

    36.65032258060.55068364791762.1876733768288100.63392523160.7064360104

    46.73677419350.57244005881831.808188191283180.62309943450.7343458859

    56.64580645160.54956252791758.6000892985284040.62499174860.7049977989

    66.540.52372980571675.9353783348319130.70220256560.6718586903

    76.63806451610.54764414981752.4612794497384980.8470966180.7025368372

    86.66387096770.55405615441772.9796939786412030.90661649830.7107623781

    96.9154838710.61921542141981.4893485072416930.91739828810.7943509372

    107.07032258060.66174662022117.58918449419340.92270116840.8489114285

    117.24774193550.71282382962281.0362546498420700.92569366510.9144350375

    127.45935483870.7771016772486.7253662938421320.92705789160.996892881

    137.46709677420.77952381032494.4761930353420960.92626576011.0000000774

    147.25419354840.71472909542287.1331052801415270.91374568180.9168791783

    157.15241935480.68506685312192.2139300774411240.90487820980.8788274291

    166.86064516130.60460108051934.7234575679414280.91156732020.7756031558

    176.67741935480.55744240211783.8156866642427700.9410962220.7151063737

    186.65483870970.55180629171765.7801333089441980.97251743790.7078761765

    196.72387096770.56915709961821.3027186114544710.7301343924

    206.62838709680.5452524621744.8078782543423000.93075450520.6994686973

    216.71419354840.56670313441813.4500301722389130.85622813390.7269863611

    226.90129032260.61541055191969.3137661488346990.76350474180.7894699192

    236.95419354840.62967197842014.9503309349319300.70257662770.8077649699

    46433

    45447

    calculn of P

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    UK load

    wind power

    Hrs.

    normalised power generated

    result correln UK

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

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    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Load

    wind power

    Hrs.

    Normalised w.r.t. peak

    data for correln

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Load

    Wind power

    Hrs.

    Normalised generation w.r.t. peak

    Sheet3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.32652781371

    loadwind

    0.70203376370.4206872245

    0.67399070680.4117665767

    0.65647838980.4154540168

    0.64863287180.3996874011

    0.64025030940.3599604945

    0.62638055430.3731039891

    0.65022065520.4023143947

    0.76089849860.4674092756

    0.87907161370.5604476444

    0.93219230860.7186794672

    0.95848413380.8234439178

    0.96852452890.9580287411

    0.97980246110.9618483155

    0.97693044110.9867736417

    0.96938846990.999999921

    0.97207369180.9870729361

    0.9777009830.9724785532

    10.9650881815

    0.98115674690.8865291401

    0.94568846760.7483922227

    0.90898265110.6342800642

    0.88799122050.5415760047

    0.8859364420.4461016355

    0.83337614120.4319748904

    0.81032890690.9921634356

    0.81002110630.9912145267

    0.76415882511

    0.73812769331

    0.69250725531

    0.66825696951

    0.66772931141

    0.63189253361

    0.62424149151

    0.66603640841

    0.73150998151

    0.79278427581

    0.83893237181

    0.85045290651

    0.84915574711

    0.85506991471

    0.93118459241

    10.9893185243

    0.98192771080.9537523913

    0.9486852520.8709795802

    0.91130947150.9033544768

    0.86887696771

    0.81079060771

    0.88971946180.9477554169

    0.81198716430.5428677476

    0.81155643620.592403261

    0.78659574010.5548611564

    0.7691943230.5717824597

    0.73458531650.5551833754

    0.72618611760.5863663618

    0.74765791570.5466866372

    0.74849783560.5335553345

    0.8056769970.5900506789

    0.87879309970.6889207515

    0.89373936640.7678633153

    0.88835526460.7815460952

    0.87778088860.8711971619

    0.852475611

    0.83455731910.9772883171

    0.81715590210.9704913087

    0.83025003770.9091628548

    0.9025477570.8438531588

    10.7819509715

    0.99005017980.7474435574

    0.93282794560.6461112191

    0.87091077470.6326559236

    0.81420541430.5767267466

    0.77055111670.5363850269

    0.67172750680.7625485818

    0.65476269060.7207174706

    0.65060400030.7157283856

    0.63392523160.7064360104

    0.62309943450.7343458859

    0.62499174860.7049977989

    0.70220256560.6718586903

    0.8470966180.7025368372

    0.90661649830.7107623781

    0.91739828810.7943509372

    0.92270116840.8489114285

    0.92569366510.9144350375

    0.92705789160.996892881

    0.92626576011.0000000774

    0.91374568180.9168791783

    0.90487820980.8788274291

    0.91156732020.7756031558

    0.9410962220.7151063737

    0.97251743790.7078761765

    10.7301343924

    0.93075450520.6994686973

    0.85622813390.7269863611

    0.76350474180.7894699192

    0.70257662770.8077649699

    Chart3

    0.81198716430.5428677476

    0.81155643620.592403261

    0.78659574010.5548611564

    0.7691943230.5717824597

    0.73458531650.5551833754

    0.72618611760.5863663618

    0.74765791570.5466866372

    0.74849783560.5335553345

    0.8056769970.5900506789

    0.87879309970.6889207515

    0.89373936640.7678633153

    0.88835526460.7815460952

    0.87778088860.8711971619

    0.852475611

    0.83455731910.9772883171

    0.81715590210.9704913087

    0.83025003770.9091628548

    0.9025477570.8438531588

    10.7819509715

    0.99005017980.7474435574

    0.93282794560.6461112191

    0.87091077470.6326559236

    0.81420541430.5767267466

    0.77055111670.5363850269

    Load

    Wind power

    Hrs.

    Normalised generation w.r.t. peak

    Sheet4

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.88721859031

    Column 1

    Column 11

    Column 20.8872185903

    result correln UK jan

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 2-0.50887386561

    result correln UK mar

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.48035188441

    result correln UK oct

    Column 1Column 2

    Column 11

    Column 20.39173191281

    calculn of P

    hrsvPfor 1000 MWnormalisedloadfor 3200 MWJULY

    04.80322580650.2074784798207.47847982810.4206872245300660.70203376370.4206872245663.93113545

    14.76903225810.2030789109203.07891091570.4117665767288650.67399070680.4117665767649.8525149302

    24.78322580650.2048975173204.89751727320.4154540168281150.65647838980.4154540168655.6720552742

    34.72193548390.1971215895197.12158952780.3996874011277790.64863287180.3996874011630.7890864891

    44.560.1775287003177.52870028390.3599604945274200.64025030940.3599604945568.0918409085

    54.61483870970.1840109325184.01093249750.3731039891268260.62638055430.3731039891588.8349839921

    64.73225806450.1984171949198.41719491180.4023143947278470.65022065520.4023143947634.9350237178

    74.97483870970.2305213002230.52130018180.4674092756325870.76089849860.4674092756737.6681605818

    85.28516129030.2764068374276.40683744960.5604476444376480.87907161370.5604476444884.5018798387

    95.74193548390.3544450952354.44509519950.7186794672399230.93219230860.71867946721134.2243046384

    106.00838709680.4061138118406.11381175230.8234439178410490.95848413380.82344391781299.5641976075

    116.31935483870.47248962472.48961998290.9580287411414790.96852452890.95802874111511.9667839451

    126.32774193550.4743733936474.37339360030.9618483155419620.97980246110.96184831551517.9948595209

    136.38193548390.4866663003486.66630028270.9867736417418390.97693044110.98677364171557.3321609047

    146.41032258060.493189361493.18936104890.999999921415160.96938846990.9999999211578.2059553566

    156.38258064520.4868139091486.8139091080.9870729361416310.97207369180.98707293611557.8045091456

    166.35096774190.4796161142479.61611418120.9724785532418720.9777009830.97247855321534.7715653799

    176.33483870970.4759712612475.9712611980.96508818154282710.96508818151523.1080358334

    186.15806451610.4372267747437.22677470450.8865291401420200.98115674690.88652914011399.1256790544

    195.820.3690991113369.09911128220.7483922227405010.94568846760.74839222271181.117156103

    205.50774193550.3128202043312.82020428750.6342800642389290.90898265110.63428006421001.0246537201

    215.22516129030.2670995448267.09954483460.5415760047380300.88799122050.5415760047854.7185434706

    224.89806451610.220012598220.0125979530.4461016355379420.8859364420.4461016355704.0403134496

    234.84580645160.213045437213.04543702460.4319748904356910.83337614120.4319748904681.7453984787

    JANfor 3200 MWloadnormalised loadnormalised wind

    08.09225806450.99216343563174.9229939099368570.81032890690.9921634356

    18.08967741940.99121452673171.8864853147368430.81002110630.9912145267

    28.141935483913200347570.76415882511

    38.290967741913200335730.73812769331

    48.336774193513200314980.69250725531

    58.260645161313200303950.66825696951

    68.226451612913200303710.66772931141

    78.260645161313200287410.63189253361

    88.314838709713200283930.62424149151

    98.459354838713200302940.66603640841

    108.661935483913200332720.73150998151

    118.738709677413200360590.79278427581

    129.034193548413200381580.83893237181

    138.91548387113200386820.85045290651

    148.712903225813200386230.84915574711

    158.425806451613200388920.85506991471

    168.197419354813200423540.93118459241

    178.0845161290.98931852433165.8192776164548410.9893185243

    187.98645161290.95375239133052.0076521765446620.98192771080.9537523913

    197.74838709680.87097958022787.1346566344431500.9486852520.8709795802

    207.84322580650.90335447682890.7343256164414500.91130947150.9033544768

    218.236129032313200395200.86887696771

    228.140645161313200368780.81079060771

    237.96967741940.94775541693032.8173339582404680.88971946180.9477554169

    MAR45484

    06.61870967740.54286774761737.1767923347377030.81198716430.5428677476

    16.81419354840.5924032611895.6904351278376830.81155643620.592403261

    26.66709677420.55486115641775.555700493365240.78659574010.5548611564

    36.73419354840.57178245971829.7038711215357160.7691943230.5717824597

    46.66838709680.55518337541776.5868013386341090.73458531650.5551833754

    56.79096774190.58636636181876.3723577522337190.72618611760.5863663618

    66.63419354840.54668663721749.3972390533347160.74765791570.5466866372

    76.58064516130.53355533451707.3770703062347550.74849783560.5335553345

    86.80516129030.59005067891888.1621725447374100.8056769970.5900506789

    97.16580645160.68892075152204.5464047182408050.87879309970.6889207515

    107.42967741940.76786331532457.1626090191414990.89373936640.7678633153

    117.47354838710.78154609522500.9475047382412490.88835526460.7815460952

    127.74903225810.87119716192787.8309180992407580.87778088860.8711971619

    138.119354838713200395830.852475611

    148.05161290320.97728831713127.3226147981387510.83455731910.9772883171

    158.03290322580.97049130873105.5721879687379430.81715590210.9704913087

    167.860.90916285482909.3211353692385510.83025003770.9091628548

    177.66709677420.84385315882700.3301082113419080.9025477570.8438531588

    187.47483870970.78195097152502.24310866934643310.7819509715

    197.36322580650.74744355742391.8193836995459710.99005017980.7474435574

    207.01419354840.64611121912067.5559011324433140.93282794560.6461112191

    216.96516129030.63265592362024.4989553855404390.87091077470.6326559236

    226.75354838710.57672674661845.5255890537378060.81420541430.5767267466

    236.59225806450.53638502691716.432086041357790.77055111670.5363850269

    OCT46433

    06.82193548390.59442473011902.159136256305280.67172750680.7625485818

    16.69483870970.56181638541797.8124331757297570.65476269060.7207174706

    26.67935483870.55792727511785.36728039295680.65060400030.7157283856

    36.65032258060.55068364791762.1876733768288100.63392523160.7064360104

    46.73677419350.57244005881831.808188191283180.62309943450.7343458859

    56.64580645160.54956252791758.6000892985284040.62499174860.7049977989

    66.540.52372980571675.9353783348319130.70220256560.6718586903

    76.63806451610.54764414981752.46127