Economic Recovery & Employment Opportunities July 7
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Transcript of Economic Recovery & Employment Opportunities July 7
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Economic Recovery and Employment
Opportunities for budding Managers
Venue ICBM SBE, Hyderabad
July 7, 2010
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Agenda Economic recovery
Global Scenario
Indian Scenario
Hiring Trend
Emerging Industries Companies on a hiring binge
Skills in demand
Skill Gap and Cygnus offering
Skill Gap Noticed Cygnus offerings to make students Industry Ready
Brainstorming and discussions
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Economic Scenario :Howrobust is therecovery?
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Economic Scenario
Global Recovery
Global GDP
US Economic Indicators
Challenges for global economy
Indian recovery
Indian GDP growth rate picks up
Components of GDP IIP
Foreign Trade
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Global Scenario
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Global GDP
RealGDP
-4
-2
0
24
6
8
2008 2009 2010 2011
Yea
GDP(%C
a
e)
World Advanced economies Emerging and developing economies
So ur c e : IMF
Global GDP expected to postpositive growth during 2010
Global GDP is expected togrow at 3.9% in 2010 after 3%
in 2008 and -0.8% in 2009
World traded goods & serviceshave would jump to 5.8% in2010 compared to -12.3% in2009
Commodity prices will grow22.6% (-36.1%) and consumerprices will grow 1.3 % (0.1%)
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US Economic Indicators
US registers 5.7% of highest growth in 13 quarters
Index of Industrial Production and Purchasing managers index are positive
Housing Starts have stabilized and existing home sales have momentum
High unemployment rate (10%), stagnating consumer spending, and high monthly
trade deficit (US$40 bn) are the areas of concern
Key US economic Data
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Challenges in global recovery
Continued policy efforts to sustain recovery
Rebalancing the demand from public to private
Nature and timing of unwinding of monetary policy in view
of low inflation and high
Structural rebalance in
Domestic vs. export or traded vs. non traded sector
Surge in capital flows
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Indian Scenario:Howrobust is therecovery?
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Components of GDP
COMPONENTS OF GDP
- Q Q Q3 Q Q Q
- -
---IN YEARS---
--GROW
TH(%)--
G C L D Y V C
All but Agri shows good growth
Forecast for industry substantially revisedupwards to 8.4% from earlier 6.3%
Forecast for services has been revisedmodestly up from earlier 8.1% to now
8.7%
Rising food and commodity prices hasbeen area of concern
Source: mospi.nic.in
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Index of Industrial Production (IIP)
Dec 2009 IIP growth over 2008 16.8 %
Cum Value for Apr-Dec 2009 numbersof IIP shows a growth of 8.6 %
This has primarily been driven by
Transport Eqpt (82.2%),
Machinery & Eqpt (44.6%)
Basic Chemicals ( 29%)
Area of concerns have been
Other manf. Industries (-9.6%)
Food Products (-6.9 %)
Leather & leather Products (-.01%) Electricity growth not adequate
IIP growth, %
0
5
10
15
20
General Index Mining Manufacturing Electr ic ity
Dec-09 Apr-Dec 09
Source:mospi.nic .in
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Foreign Trade
Oil imports in Dec was US$6.5bnwhich was 42.8% higher than 2008
Non-oil Imports was 22.4% higherthan Dec 2008
Exports shall touch US$165bnduring the year 2009-10 (17%lower than US$180bn achievedduring 2008-09)
In services exports IT &
ITeS/BPO is registering goodorder book position and expectedto grow in double digit in 2010-11
Merchandise Trade
US$ bn Dec-09 g, % Apr-Dec 09 g, %
Exports 14.6 9.3 117.6 -13.70
Imports 24.75 27.0 198.83 -23.60
Source: Min of Commerce
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Hiring Trend
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Hiring Trends
Emerging Industries
Companies on the hiring binge
Top Cities witnessing pace Demand vs. supply of professionals
Cos. looking for more Experience
Skills in demand
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Emerging Industries
IT Software Services (2.5L)* ITeS/ BPO (1L) Construction & Engineering (1.7L) Banking & Financial services (1L)
Telecom (65K) Auto & Auto Ancillary (50K) Insurance (50K) Oil & Gas
Pharma/ Biotech Capital Goods
* Nos. in the bracket indicate employment opportunities
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Companies ona hiringbinge
IT & ITeS TCS(30K), Cognizant(16K), Infosys(15K), WIPRO(7.5K)
Genpact(10K), IBM Daksh(5K), Capital IQ, Factset, Broadridge, DM,DMV
Construction & Engg Led by companies like GMR, GVK, HCC, NCC, IVRCL etc
State-wise projects being completed in 2010 will drive it Maharashtra (276nos, Rs60KCr)
Tamil Nadu (215nos, Rs52K Cr)
Andhrapradesh (181nos, Rs60K Cr) Gujarat (179nos, Rs78K Cr)
Karnataka (172nos, Rs46K Cr)
West Bengal (156 nos, Rs40K Cr)
Kerala (80 nos, Rs8.5K Cr)
Delhi/ NCR (74nos, Rs47K Cr)
Punjab (70nos, Rs12K Cr)
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Companies ona hiring
Binge contd Banking & Fin Services PSU Banks led by SBI(30K incl officers 5K), SBI associate Banks (8.5K
incl officers 1.7K)
Private sector Banks having aggressive growth plans are Yes Bank and
Kotak Mahindra Bank Telecom
Three new operators (10K)
Existing big players like AirTel, Reliance, Vodafone and Idea (together8K)
Auto & Auto anciliaries M&M (3K), Hyundai(1K), Maruti (900), GM(600)
Other important recruiters are Volkwagen, Honda and Toyota
Service stations, multi Brand servicing will also need to hire
Insurance
SBI Life (30K)
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Top Cities
Delhi/ NCR
Mumbai
Bangalore
Chennai
Hyderabad
Pune
Kolkata
Ahmedabad
Chandigarh
Kochi
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Demand vs. supply of professionals
ualification Demand (%) Supply (%)
B.Tech. 13.0 21.8
MBA/PGDM 7.4 11.0
MCA 2.0 4.7
M.Tech. 0.7 1.2
BBA 0.7 1.8
BCA 0.7 3.0MBBS 0.2 0.4
Others 75.3 56.1
Total 100.0 100.0
Source: BW-naukri.com survey
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Experience in demand
Mor demand forexperienced
5 r
5
> r
5 rre er
5r
Source: BW aukri.com urve
T e conclu ion i ba ed on 7
recruiter re ponded to t e BW
urve
T e demand a ifted from earlierfocu to experience of ear in
boom period to 5 ear now
ateral Movement a een arp
increa e indicating attrition rate to
ri e
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Skill gap noticed
Poor understanding of basics and its application
Lack of awareness of contemporary developments
No exposure to Industry domains and feel for business verticals
Slow with computers in terms of searching, keyboard skills
Poor communications skills in terms of both i.e. written and verbal
Carrying out team assignment
Multi-tasking and multi - skilling
Attitudinal towards hand-on ability to work, commitment and
stability
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Skills in demand
For freshers and yrs of experience
Communication skills Written communication Verbal ability
Conceptual and Analytical skills Sound basics in fundamentals Analytical Skills
Productivity linked Keyboard and Browsing skills
Selling skills Multitasking
Behavioral Flexible with Work timings Hand-on approach to work Team player
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Business Information Search &
Professional Presentation
Business Information Search
Quick web search
Searching on proprietary and subscribed sources
Searching across the value chain
Professional Presentation
Say it with Charts
Excel functions, word and Ppt making
Minto Pyramidal Principle
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Scanning Business Environment
Economy Analysis
Macro-economic Indicators
Inflation, Interest Rate, BOP
Economy Industry Linkage Lead, lag, concurrent
Economy Capital Market
linkage
GDP vs PE
Industry Analysis
Industry Value chain
Size & Growth
Major segments
Major players
Technology
Regulations
Growth drivers, issues and
challenges Outlook
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Business Strategy Analysis
Company Analysis
Products & Services
Business Model
OperationalPerformance
Financial Performance
Capital Market
performance Recent Strategies
Outlook
Case Discussion on
Contemporary topics
Pepsi divestment of
Restaurant business
Emerging Business Models
Strategy to fight recession
and bouncing Back
Blue Ocean Strategy
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Functional Projects(On one of the functions)
Human Resources Management
Talent Acquisition
Appraisal and Motivation
Compensation Design
Succession Planning
Marketing & International Business
Product Analysis
Product Promotion
Analysis of International Trades
Market Entry strategies
Finance
Analysis of Equity Markets
Technical Analysis
Operations & Systems
Project Management
Technology Management
Operations Planning
Logistics & distribution
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Soft Skills & Interview Tips
Reading Fast
Time Management
Building Team Spirit
Developing Winning Attitude
Making Presentations in front of professional Managers
Group Discussion
Facing Interviews
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Additional coverage
Coverage of functional projects across the functional focus area
A min of 10 cases on Indian environment
At least two in each focus area
BPO/KPO Management Across the value chain of sourcing work, talent acquisition to managingstakeholders' expectation
Working on the processes
Aptitude development
Placement facilitation Tie-up on the anvil with fast track blue-chip companies
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About Cygnus
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About Cygnus
In Brief
ur People
Research Methodology
ur Products & Services
ur Customers
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In Brief Cygnus in Latin means SWAN - a symbol of purity and swiftness
Cygnus stands for :
*Quality *Speed *Innovation * Satisfaction of its stakeholders(Employees and customers)
A Knowledge Products/services Organization
Focused on : Knowledge creation, dissemination and deployment
For profitable growth of its customers
Market, People and Process driven
6 years old Business Unit
Over 600 customers across the globe
Growing @ CAGR of over 50% (last 3 years)
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OurPeople A team of over 75 qualified Business
Analysts (MBA / CFA / CA / Engineers)
With techno-commercial - financial
skills:
Domain expertise in a range of
manufacturing /services industries
Analytical skills in areas like US
GAAP, IAS, Financial analysis, Risk
management, Business Strategy,
International Marketing, Macro-economics etc.
Process oriented
MB 's
67%
I.T
9%
CF /C
24%
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TechnologyLenders
Industry
Structure
DemandDrivers
CriticalSuccess
Factors
Cost-Revenue
Structure
Financials
Products
Regulatory
Issues
Major
Players
Fiscal &Monetary
Policy
Employment
InvestmentPattern
Political &
Social Scenario
Foreign
Trade
Regulatory
IssuesConsumption
Pattern
Major
Sectors
Cost Structure
Pricing Distribution
Competition
Financials
ProductsBranding
Regulatory
Issues
CapitalMarkets
Customer
Economy Industry Company
We deploy EIC Framework for analysis
Research Methodology
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Our Products and Services A wide range of Business Intelligence Products covering
Economies, Industry ( 35 sectors) and Companies
Business Research (For Corporates) Market surveys (B2B)
Competition Analysis Market entry / growth strategies
Credit Research (For Banks) Techno Economic Viability Studies (Credit Appraisals)
Sectoral studies
Securities Research (For Investment banks, Financial Servicescompanies) Equity research (IPO reports, Equity Valuations)
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Business Intelligence Products Economy Monitors Global and Indian (covering 12 states )
Monthly Global Industry Monitor Updates and analysis of developments in each of the 35 sectors
globally (and India)
QPAC Quarterly Performance analysis of Indian Industries and companies in each of the 26 sectors.
Industry Insights Comprehensive Industry Analysis.
Over 80 Industry Reports ,covering Global as well as Indian perspectives
Most of them also available as Editable PPTs
Industry Management Reports - 6 Comprehensive reports on the functionality of the industries , going to
the level of various departments in a an industry.
Pre-feasibility reports viz, Hotel, Hospital, B-School, Captive Power
Technology industry reports 22 Growing and Emerging Technologies - viz, Aerospace, Broadband,
Convergence, Imaging technology, Optical Technology
Cygnus Progress Online Database of top 2500 listed Indian Companies (can be queried and searched)
updated daily
Breadth of offerings ( Industries and types of reports)
Reader friendly packaging (PDF,PPT,Portals)
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Industries Covered
Manufacturing
Traditional industries - Agri Commodities, Agro Inputs, Automobiles, AutomotiveComponents, Chemicals & Petrochemicals, Engineering, Consumer Durables, Metals, Textiles,
Formulations, Bulk Drugs,FMCG, Gems & Jewellery, Emerging Industries - Agribiotech, Agro Processing Food, Biopharmaceuticals, IT Hardware, Contract Manufacturing
Services
Traditional industries - Banking, Life Insurance, Hospitality, Oil & Gas, Power,Media & Entertainment
Emerging Industries Health Care, Mutual Funds, Non-Life Insurance, Construction,Real Estate, Retail, Transportation, ITES, ITSS, Telecom
EconomyGlobal , India & States -Andhra Pradesh, Delhi, Gujarat, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra,
Orissa, Punjab, Tamil Nadu,Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal
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OurCustomers Across
the World