Drought Update February 23, 2004 WATF meeting Roger A. Pielke, Sr., Director Colorado Climate Center...
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Drought Update Drought Update February 23, 2004 WATF February 23, 2004 WATF meeting meeting Roger A. Pielke, Sr., Director Roger A. Pielke, Sr., Director Colorado Climate Center Colorado Climate Center (presented to WTF group, Denver, CO) Prepared by Odie Bliss http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu
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Transcript of Drought Update February 23, 2004 WATF meeting Roger A. Pielke, Sr., Director Colorado Climate Center...
Drought UpdateDrought UpdateFebruary 23, 2004 WATF meetingFebruary 23, 2004 WATF meeting
Roger A. Pielke, Sr., DirectorRoger A. Pielke, Sr., Director
Colorado Climate CenterColorado Climate Center(presented to WTF group, Denver, CO)Prepared by Odie Bliss
http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2004/jan/jan04.html
NCEP Reanalysis of 1000-500 mb NCEP Reanalysis of 1000-500 mb Thickness Temperature for July 2003Thickness Temperature for July 2003
NCEP Reanalysis of 1000-500 mb Thickness NCEP Reanalysis of 1000-500 mb Thickness Temperature for August 2003Temperature for August 2003
NCEP Reanalysis of 1000-500 mb NCEP Reanalysis of 1000-500 mb Thickness Temperature for Summer 2003Thickness Temperature for Summer 2003
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2004/jan/st005dv00pcp200401.html
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2004/jan/st005dv00pcp200401.html
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2004/jan/st005dv00pcp200401.html
Period of record 1895-2003Period of record 1895-2003
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2004/jan/st005dv00pcp200401.html
Climate divisions defined by Dr. Klaus Wolter of Climate divisions defined by Dr. Klaus Wolter of NOAA's Climate Diagnostic Center in Boulder, CONOAA's Climate Diagnostic Center in Boulder, CO
Division 1- Grand LakeDivision 1- Grand Lake 1NWGrand Lake 1 NW2004 Water Year
(through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1984 Min Year - 2002
Period of Record Average - 1941 - 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated
Division 1- Taylor ParkDivision 1- Taylor ParkTaylor Park
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1999 Min Year - 1974
Period of Record Average - 1942 - 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 2 – Grand JunctionDivision 2 – Grand JunctionGrand Junction WSFO
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1929 Min Year - 1956
Period of Record Average - 1893- 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 2 – CollbranDivision 2 – CollbranCollbran 2SW
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1997 Min Year - 1974
Period of Record Average - 1893 - 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 3 – Cochetopa CreekDivision 3 – Cochetopa CreekCochetopa Creek2004 Water Year
(through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1957 Min Year - 2002
Period of Record Average - 1949 - 2002 2004 Water Year 2nd Min Year - 1950
Division 3 – Mesa VerdeDivision 3 – Mesa VerdeMesa Verde NP2004 Water Year
(through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPMonths
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1941 Min Year - 1977
Period of Record Average - 1893- 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year
Division 3 - MontroseDivision 3 - MontroseMontrose #2
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1941 Min Year - 1958
Period of Record Average - 1893- 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 4 - CenterDivision 4 - CenterCenter 4SSW
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1992 Min Year - 1951
Period of Record Average - 1971 - 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year
Division 4 – Del NorteDivision 4 – Del NorteDel Norte
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1985 Min Year - 1951
Period of Record Average - 1921-2002 2004 Accumulated 2002 Accumulated Water Year
Division 5 – Colorado SpringsDivision 5 – Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2004 Water Year
(through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1999 Min Year - 1939
Period of Record Average - 1893-2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 5 - PuebloDivision 5 - Pueblo
Pueblo WSO2004 Water Year
(through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1942 Min Year - 2002
Period of Record Average - 1874-2000 2004 Water Year Accumulated
Division 5 – Buena VistaDivision 5 – Buena VistaBuena Vista
2004 Water Year through Oct '03 - Jan '04
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1965 Min Year - 1902
2004 Water Year Accumulated Period of Record Average - 1901 - 2002 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 6 – Cheyenne WellsDivision 6 – Cheyenne WellsCheyenne Wells2004 Water Year
(through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
Months
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1909 Min Year - 1956
Period of Record Average - 1971 - 2002 2004 Water Year 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 6 – Rocky FordDivision 6 – Rocky FordRocky Ford
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1999 Min Year - 2002
Period of Record Average - 1889-2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated
Division 7 – AkronDivision 7 – Akron Akron 4E
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1915 Min Year - 2002
Period of Record Average - 1906 - 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated
Division 7 - LeroyDivision 7 - LeroyLeroy 5SW
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1995 Min Year - 1894
Period of Record Average - 1890-2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 8 – BoulderDivision 8 – Boulder Boulder
2004 Water Yearthrough Oct '03 - Jan '04
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2003 Water Year 30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1995
Min Year - 1966 Period of Record Average - 1894-2002 2002 Water Year
Division 8 – CheesmanDivision 8 – Cheesman Cheesman
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1970 Min Year - 2002
Period of Record Average - 1904 - 2002 2004 Water Year
Division 8 – KasslerDivision 8 – Kassler Kassler
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1915 Min Year - 1956
Period of Record Average - 1899 - 2002 2004 Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated
Division 8 – Fort CollinsDivision 8 – Fort Collins Fort Collins
2004 Water Year (through Oct '03 - Jan '04)
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OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPMonth
Ac
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30 Year Averages-1971-2000 Max Year - 1961 Min Year - 1966
Period of Record Average - 1890 - 2002 2004 Water Year 2002 WY
January 2004 ave temperatures map
January 2004 precipitation map
Water Year Precipitation map
3 Month SPI3 Month SPI
12 Month SPI12 Month SPI
48 Month SPI48 Month SPI
Projected Conditions at 0.2 Probability Level Projected Conditions at 0.2 Probability Level 12 Month SPI at 6 months12 Month SPI at 6 months
Projected Conditions at 0.5 Probability Level Projected Conditions at 0.5 Probability Level 12 Month SPI at 6 months12 Month SPI at 6 months
Projected Conditions at 0.8 Probability Level Projected Conditions at 0.8 Probability Level 12 Month SPI at 6 months12 Month SPI at 6 months
Projected Conditions at 0.2 Probability Level Projected Conditions at 0.2 Probability Level 48 Month SPI at 12 months48 Month SPI at 12 months
Projected Conditions at 0.5 Probability Level 48 Month SPI at 12 months
Projected Conditions at 0.8 Probability Level Projected Conditions at 0.8 Probability Level 48 Month SPI at 12 months48 Month SPI at 12 months
Colorado Climate CenterColorado Climate CenterColorado State UniversityColorado State University
Data and Power Point Presentations available for Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloadingdownloading
http://ccc.atmos.colostate.edu• click on “Drought” click on “Drought” • then click on “Presentations”then click on “Presentations”
