Digital Disruption - Engineers Australia · SUCCESSFUL DIGITAL DISRUPTION EXAMPLES •The largest...
Transcript of Digital Disruption - Engineers Australia · SUCCESSFUL DIGITAL DISRUPTION EXAMPLES •The largest...
DIGITAL DISRUPTIONDISRUPTIVE INFLUENCES, BUSTING MYTHS, OPPORTUNITIES
GAVIN STRACK
Curtin University
Navy Telecoms Mining Consulting Mining Start Up Consulting
1998 20182001 2004 2010 2012 2015
CPEng MBA EA ITEE CollegeBE
www.linkedin.com/in/gavinstrack/
@gavin_strack
CFSE
These views are my own and are not the views of any organisation I am
affiliated with.
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CONTEXT
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BEFORE WE LOOK TO THE FUTURE …
… CONSIDER OUR PAST
• New York City circa 1900
• ~3.4m people
• ~100,000 horses
• ~1,200 t/day of manure
• 100,000 L/day urine
Edwin G. Burrows and Mike Wallace, Gotham: A History of New York City to 1898 [New York: Oxford University Press, 1999]
We’re going to
need a lot more
street sweepers!
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DISRUPTIVE INFLUENCES, BUSTING MYTHS, OPPORTUNITIES 5
WHAT’S HAPPENING
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DISRUPTION IS ALREADY HAPPENING
It’s just not evenly distributed across different industries and regions
Complexity
1700’s 1900’s 1980’s 2000’s
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DATA, DATA EVERYWHERE
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We create 2.5 quintillion bytes of data per
day
90% of the data that exists in the world
has been created in the past 2 years alone
- IBM
DATA SCIENTISTS ARE OVERWHELMED BY THE COMPLEXITY AND QUANTITY OF DATA.
BUSINESS EXPERTS ARE UNDERWHELMED BY THE TANGIBLE OUTPUT OF THE DATA SCIENTISTS
- HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW 2017
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TOOLS – NOT SOLUTIONS …
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TECHNOLOGY HYPE CYCLE
Innovation
Trigger
Peak of
Inflated
Expectations
Trough of
Disillusionment
Slope of
Enlightenment
Plateau of
Productivity
Gartner - https://www.gartner.com/en/research/methodologies/gartner-hype-cycle
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TECHNOLOGY HYPE CYCLE
Autonomous Vehicles
Augmented Reality
Brain Computer Interface
Quantum Computing
2014
T I D E
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TECHNOLOGY HYPE CYCLE
Machine LearningAutonomous Vehicles
Augmented Reality
Virtual Reality
Brain Computer InterfaceQuantum Computing
Smart Dust 2015
T I D E
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TECHNOLOGY HYPE CYCLE
Machine LearningAutonomous Vehicles
Augmented Reality
Virtual Reality
Blockchain
Brain Computer Interface
Quantum Computing
Smart Dust 2016
T I D E
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TECHNOLOGY HYPE CYCLE
Machine LearningAutonomous Vehicles
Augmented Reality
Virtual Reality
Blockchain
Brain Computer Interface
Quantum Computing
Smart Dust 2017
T I D E
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TECHNOLOGY HYPE CYCLE
Autonomous Vehicles
Augmented Reality
Blockchain
Brain Computer Interface
Quantum Computing
Smart Dust
2018
T I D E
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JUST LAST WEEK
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SUCCESSFUL EXAMPLES
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SUCCESSFUL DIGITAL DISRUPTION EXAMPLES
• The largest taxi company (Uber) owns no taxis
• The largest accommodation provider (AirBnB) owns no real estate
• The largest communications companies (Skype, WhatsApp, Facebook
Messenger, Viber) own no infrastructure
• The world’s most valuable retailer (Alibaba) owns no inventory
• The most popular media platform (Facebook) creates no content
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MY PERSONAL FAVOURITE …
Forbes.com – 26th Jan 2018DISRUPTIVE INFLUENCES, BUSTING MYTHS, OPPORTUNITIES 21
HOW DO WE ADD VALUE IN THIS DYNAMIC WORLD ?
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ENGINEERING INFLUENCE ON THE HYPE CYCLE
Innovation
Trigger
Peak of
Inflated
Expectations
Trough of
Disillusionment
Slope of
Enlightenment
Plateau of
Productivity
Hype Driven
Science Driven
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HYPOTHESIS
Too much “hype” and not enough engineering and business analysis, results in
technology purchasing decisions that are premature, or are poorly
implemented.
78 percent of nearly 4,000 CIOs worldwide say their digital strategy is
moderately effective or worse, suggesting such efforts remain in their infancy.
- 2018 KPMG Harvey Nash CIO survey
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SECOND ORDER RESPONSE
Innovation
Trigger
Peak of
Inflated
Expectations
Trough of
Disillusionment
Slope of
Enlightenment
Plateau of
Productivity
Hype Driven
Data Driven
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ENGINEERING INFLUENCE ON THE HYPE CYCLE
MIT, Dept. of Mechanical Engineering – 2.151 Advanced System Dynamics and Control
u 𝑡 = ሷ𝑦 + 2ℶ𝜔 ሶ𝑦 + 𝜔2𝑦
ℶ = Dampening Factor
Low ℶ = Speculative
High ℶ = Conservative
ℶ = 𝐸𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔
𝐻𝑦𝑝𝑒?
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DAMPENING IS NOT “NAY SAYING”
More akin to “Systems Engineering” and Risk Management.
A system is a construct or collection of different elements that
together produce results not obtainable by the elements alone.
What result is desired, and what is the most efficient means of
obtaining it?
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THE BEST RESULTS COME IN PAIRS
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+
Domain Expert Technology Expert
OPPORTUNITIES
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IT’S NEVER BEEN EASIER TO …
LEARN
• Self-paced, Online Courses
• Micro-degrees / Short courses
• Conferences / Living Labs
• Meetups
• EA College Events
WORK
• Freelancers (hire one, or be one!)
• Contract (fixed term)
• Secondments
• Projects
• Side Hustle
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ATTRACT AND RETAIN TALENT
Top 5 Reasons why Engineers quit their jobs:
1.The job is boring
2.The boss is a “tool”
3.The commute is a killer
4.The job offers no opportunities
5.There’s no work/life balance
October 2018 – interestingengineering.com
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Questions
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Code: #5538