Dennis Gilles May 31, 2013. 2 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains certain...
Transcript of Dennis Gilles May 31, 2013. 2 Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains certain...
Dennis Gilles May 31, 2013
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Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which reflect the company’s current expectations and beliefs regarding its future results of operations, performance and achievements. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and are based upon assumptions and beliefs that may or may not materialize. Forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “will”, “could”, “prospects”, “potential”, “planned”, “expected”, “estimates”, "schedule", "anticipates" and similar terms.
These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements concerning the company’s strategy; operating forecasts; capacity, financing and construction of new projects or expansions of existing projects; working capital requirements and availability; illustrative plant economics; and the use of share price value projections. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause the company’s actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those discussed or anticipated, including the factors set forth in the section entitled “Risk Factors” included in the company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012 and its other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The company does not assume the obligation to update any forward-looking statement.
All financial information presented in U.S. dollars unless otherwise indicated.
Geothermal Resources in the Western U.S.
Data source: United States Geological Survey. Map Credit: Billy Roberts
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Geothermal Power Background• Produced by utilizing heat that naturally exists within the
Earth’s crust• National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) estimates that heat within 10,000
meters of earth’s surface is 50,000 times greater than energy that is available from petroleum and natural gas
• Geological anomalies create “shallow” reservoirs of geothermal fluids (steam and water) that can be economically exploited
• Typically reservoirs are 1,000 – 12,000 feet deep
• Geothermal fluids act as heat carriers. Those fluids are piped to the surface and used to drive turbine generators
• Geothermal fluid is reinjected to sustain reservoir pressure
• Geothermal power is renewable without significant output deterioration over time
Steam Power Plant
In dry steam or flash power plants, the hot steam (or flashed hot water) passes directly into a steam turbine.
The steam spins the turbine blades, which in turn spin the generator making the electricity.
Condensed steam is returned into the reservoir to be reheated.
Binary Cycle Power Generation
In a binary cycle plant, hot water from the ground is run through a heat exchanger to vaporize a working fluid (hydrocarbon or refrigerant) that powers the turbine generator.
The geothermal water is returned into the reservoir to be reheated.
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Geothermal Overview
• Large existing installed base in the United States
• 3,386 MW(2) in production as of year end 2012
• Comparative production of geothermal, wind, and solar in the United States in 2012(1) : (thousand MWh)
• Wind 140,089
• Geothermal 16,791
• Solar 4,342
(Wind surpassed geothermal in 2005)
• Globally, there is 11,224 MW(1) in production• United States is the largest producer in the world
• The first geothermal power plants in the U.S. were built in 1962 at The Geysers dry steam field in Northern California
– The Geysers are the largest producing geothermal field in the world
• Geothermal power has incredible potential as an energy source
Source: US DOE
Source: NREL
US Electric Geothermal Resource Survey
NREL Estimated US Geothermal Potential
Shallow – Identified…………………….30,000 MW
Shallow – Unidentified………………..120,000 MW
Co-production & Geo-pressure……>100,000 MW
Enhanced Geothermal Systems.. 13,000,000 MW
(1) GEA Data for 2012(2) Source: EIA Data for 2012
Geothermal Electricity Production in U.S. by State
California 2,732 Megawatts Nevada 517 Megawatts Utah 48 Megawatts Hawaii 38 Megawatts (25% of Big Island’s total energy)
Oregon 33 Megawatts Idaho 16 Megawatts Alaska 0.7 Megawatt Wyoming 0.3 Megawatt
Dry Steam: 1,585 MW Flash: 997 MW Binary: 804 MW
Total 3,386 MWSource: Geothermal Energy Association – 2013 Annual Generation Report
Total Projects in Development by State
Total Planned Capacity Estimated
State Projects Additions (MW) Resource (MW) Low High Low High
AK 6 50 50 95 95
AZ 2 2 2 102 102
CA 33 995 1,061 1,736 1,827
CO 3 20 40 60 60
HI 3 - - - -
ID 11 83 83 439 514
ND 2 0.60 0.82 - -
NM 1 15 15 - -
NV 75 1,056 1,061 2,150 2,275
OR 18 73 77 208 270
TX 1 1 1 - -
UT 19 215 215 260 280
WA 1 - - 100 100
TOTAL 175 2,511 2,606 5,150 5,523
Source: Geothermal Energy Association – 2013 Annual Generation Report
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World’s Largest Geothermal Fields(MW capacity)
World's Largest Geothermal FieldsReference: Proceedings World Geothermal Congress April 2010
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200
205
213
227
232
234
270
329
377
458
595
716
720
905
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Kamojang (Indonesia)
Darajat (Indonesia)
Heber (USA)
Hellisheidi (Iceland)
Wayang Windu (Indonesia)
Wairakei (NZ)
Tiwi (Philippines)
Coso (USA)
Salton Sea (USA)
Salak (Indonesia)
Mak-Ban (Philippines)
Larderello (Italy)
Tongonan (Philippines)
Cerro Prieto (Mexico)
Geysers (USA)
Megawatts
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Why Geothermal?
Versus Other Renewable Power Generation
• Clean and renewable generating source
• Cost competitive with traditional sources in many geographic areas
• No commodity risk and/or price volatility from fuel inputs
• No emissions = easier permitting process in power hungry Western US
• High availability versus all technologies
• Incentives enhance attractive project returns
• Base load power
• Not dependent on variables such as the time of day, cloud cover, etc.
• 95% utilization versus 30-35% for wind and solar
• Can constitute larger portion of a utility’s generating portfolio
• Results in lower production costs per megawatt produced
• More attractive project returns
• Smaller footprint and reduced visual impact versus wind and solar
• However longer development lead times and higher exploration risk/cost
Versus Traditional Power Generation
Wyoming Coal Plant
Natural Geyser
Specific Barriers to Geothermal Development
Drilling, Drilling, Drilling….. High risk - resource discovery (3 to 5 years) Cost per well $2 to $8 million Lack of drilling and development price incentives Need to reward investors with higher returns Need to create new era of geothermal drilling based on feed-in tariff
Other Factors….. Long development lead times for plant equipment Capital-intensive Regulatory patchwork
This is what it is all about!
Direct Use Applications
Direct use applications displace about 1.6 Million barrels of oil annually in the U.S.
• District Heating• Process heat• Agriculture• Aquaculture• Balneology
(Hot spring and water bathing)
District Heating Applications
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… a look at our company
_____________________________Vision: Building a sustainable, long-term clean
renewable energy company
Management: Proven geothermal energy development and operating experience
Assets: Three operating geothermal power plants• 22 MW plant near Vale, Oregon• 9 MW plant near Reno, Nevada• 13 MW plant near Pocatello, Idaho
Advanced development properties• El Ceibillo near Guatemala City, Guatemala• San Emidio II near Reno, Nevada
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U.S. Geothermal’s Producing Power Plants
Nevada
Idaho
Oregon
Reno
Boise
Raft River
San EmidioGerlach
Granite Creek
Operating Projects
Development Projects
Neal Hot Springs
Neal Hot Springs, Oregon
60 to 70% Owned*
22 net MW
Neal Hot Springs, Oregon
60 to 70% Owned*
22 net MW
San Emidio, Nevada
100% Owned
9 net MW
San Emidio, Nevada
100% Owned
9 net MW
Raft River, Idaho
50% Owned **
10 net MW
Raft River, Idaho
50% Owned **
10 net MW
* EP=Enbridge, % subject to final calculations
** EP= Goldman Sachs
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Neal Hot SpringsOregon’s First Commercial Geothermal Power Plant
Online November 2012
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22 net MW power plant
Commercial Operation: November 2012
$130 million total cost
$33 million ITC Treasury cash grant– Possible additional $3.1 million after sequestration resolution
$7.3 million BETC Oregon tax credit – payment pending
$72 million (approx.) 22 year project term loan from DOE– Fixed APR ~2.6%
PPA with Idaho Power– long term buyer with attractive pricing and terms
Enbridge is equity partner
Neal Hot Springs:
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San Emidio Power Plant Online May 2012
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NV Energy 19.9 MW PPA Reservoir with 20 year operating
history
New 9 net MW power plant (Phase I) $44 million total project cost Received $11.75 million ITC
US Treasury cash grant $29 million construction loan - SAIC 20+ year project loan – pending
Option for second 11 MW plant
San Emidio Power Plant
Raft RiverPacific Northwest and Idaho’s First Geothermal Power Plant
Online - 2007
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Raft River Operations
13 MW net capacity– 10 MW current production
25 year Idaho Power PPA– Allows separate REC sales
Goldman Sachs tax equity partner since 2008
Excellent operating history $11 million DOE grant
– studying fracturing for increased production
Resource expansion potential
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El Ceibillo Project – GuatemalaDevelopment Drilling Started April 2013
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El Ceibillo Project
PPA MOU signed for 50 MW – Current retail market $140 per megawatt hour
Phase I: Planned 25 net MW power plant Estimated total project cost - $135 million Existing well field – 5 production wells
– Plan to re-enter 2 wells to deepen and drill new wells– Confirmation reservoir drilling underway
Adjacent to Guatemala City and main shipping port
– Transmission interconnect 2 km south Development decision tied to PPA, project
financing, and equity partner Option for Second 25 MW Plant (Phase II)
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U.S. Geothermal Growth Plan
1. Invest incrementally within existing Plant footprint for more MW
2. Add to Plant footprint by building new power plants on undeveloped acreage
3. Pursue development at currently held undeveloped sites
4. Evaluate other potential renewable growth opportunities– M&A– Greenfield
4 Options Under Evaluation for Renewable Growth 4 Options Under Evaluation for Renewable Growth
Utilize stimulus package
incentives:
Higher Focus
Lower Focus
- Investment Tax Credit of 30%
- Must be in continuous construction by 12/31/13
- DOE Cost Share Drilling
Quarterly Financial Results
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• All 3 projects online as of the middle of Q4 2012
• First two quarters with positive EBITDA, net income, and cash flow
Q3 - 2012 Q4 - 2012 Q1-2013
Revenue 2,019,749 5,299,162 7,086,990
Operating Income 270,012 1,671,619 3,979,695
Net Income (836,581) 748,072 2,235,079
Net Income - USG (766,100) 382,127 1,388,523
EBITDA - USG Share (499,337) 1,379,586 2,622,806
Cash Flow from Ops 387,787 995,206 4,253,788
Cash + AR - AP 3,345,381 13,552,295 16,119,075
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Planned 2013 Performance
Selected Metrics
Total HTM Share
Gross Project Capacity 65 MW
Net Project Capacity 44 MW 29 MW
Potential Annual Generation 340,000 MWh
Gross Revenue $26.3 million
EBITDA $12.9 million
Net Free Cash Flow $ 4.0 million
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• Traded on NYSE MKT – HTM and TSX GTH
• Recent transition from early development company to operating IPP
• Proven management team
• 10 years of successful project development and growth
• 3 modern geothermal power plants, plus two advanced development projects
• 65 MW gross generating capacity online during 2012
• Valuable, non depleting earth energy sources
• Achieved positive net income, cash flow, and EBITDA
• 2013 first year of sustainable earnings & cash flows
• Under valued stock in oversold market
Summary … a new beginning