Demographic Characteristics and Trends in Texas

Texas Fiscal Officers Academy

February 12, 2018Austin, Texas

@TexasDemography

Growing States, 2010‐2017

2010 CensusPopulation 2017 Population

NumericChange

2010-2017

PercentChange

2010-2017

United States 308,745,538  325,719,178  16,973,640  5.5%

Texas 25,145,561  28,304,596  3,159,035  12.6%

California 37,253,956  39,536,653  2,282,697  6.1%

Florida 18,801,310  20,984,400  2,183,090  11.6%

Georgia 9,687,653  10,429,379  741,726  7.7%

North Carolina 9,535,483  10,273,419  737,936  7.7%

Washington 6,724,540  7,405,743  681,203  10.1%

Arizona 6,392,017  7,016,270  624,253  9.8%

Colorado 5,029,196  5,607,154  577,958  11.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Count, 2017 Population Estimates.

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

Total Estimated Population by County, Texas, 2016

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

86%

113 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 500,000

500,001 - 4,589,928

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

Estimated Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010 to 2016

4Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

96 counties lost population over the 6 year period.

-2,010 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 20,000

20,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 497,469

Estimated Percent Change of the Total Population by County, Texas, 2010 to 2016

5Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Pecos

Brewster

Webb

Hudspeth

PresidioTerrell

CulbersonReeves

Val Verde

Crockett

Hill

Duval

Harris

Frio

Bell

Kerr

Kenedy

Starr

Polk

Clay

Edwards

Irion

Hall

Ellis

Jeff Davis

Sutton

Uvalde

Bee

Hale

Dallam

Leon

Bexar

Gaines

Hidalgo

Upton

Hartley

King

Erath

Jack

Kinney

Kent

Zavala

Brazoria

Tyler

GrayOldham

Dimmit

CassLynn HuntWise

La Salle

Rusk

Kimble

Lamb

Medina

Floyd

Terry

Coke

Llano

Liberty

Ector

Andrews

Milam

Travis Lee

Knox

Mills

Smith

Falls

Ward

Collin

Jones

Nolan

Potter

Burnet

Cottle

Nueces

Taylor

Zapata

Real

Coryell

Bowie

Motley

Young

Lamar

Martin

Garza

DallasFisher

Moore

Baylor

Kleberg

Archer

Scurry

Cameron

Cooke

Mason

Parker

Castro

Navarro

Brooks

Hardin

Deaf Smith

Lavaca

Donley

Hays

Goliad

Denton

El Paso

Fannin

Tarrant

Crane

Carson

Crosby

Borden

Schleicher

Gillespie

Shelby

Foard

Wood

Menard

Panola

Walker

Winkler

Harrison

Eastland

Loving

Bandera

Wichita

Hood

Matagorda

Brown

Reagan Houston

Maverick

Jasper

Coleman

Tom Green

Bailey

DeWittAtascosa

Bosque

Wharton

Concho

Runnels

Fayette

Haskell

Calhoun

Newton

Live Oak

Randall

Sterling

Jefferson

Briscoe

McMullen

Parmer

Jim Hogg

Mitchell

Wilson

Victoria

Trinity

Roberts

Howard

Bastrop

Grayson

San Saba

Midland

Hockley Dickens

Swisher

Gonzales

Anderson

Dawson

Willacy

Grimes

Wheeler

Cherokee

Colorado

Lubbock

Karnes

Red River

Refugio

Austin

Hemphill

Williamson

Jackson

Blanco

Ochiltree

McCulloch

Sherman

Wilbarger

Hansford

Callahan

McLennan

Yoakum

Angelina

Hopkins

Lipscomb

StephensPalo Pinto

Stonewall

Hamilton

MontagueCochran

Jim Wells

Limestone

Kaufman

Fort Bend

Titus

Comal

Armstrong

Kendall

FreestoneComancheGlasscock

Johnson

Galveston

Henderson

Montgomery

Brazos

Van Zandt

Chambers

Robertson

Waller

Sabine

Upshur

Hutchinson

Shackelford

Childress

Burleson

Nacogdoches

Lampasas

Collingsworth

Hardeman

Throckmorton

Guadalupe

Caldwell

Aransas

Marion

San Patricio

Madison

San Jacinto

Delta

Washington Orange

Rains

Gregg

Morris

San Augustine

Franklin

Somervell

Rockwall

-4.8% - 0%

0.1% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 18.1%

CountyU.S. Rank Population Change

Population Change

Percent of Change from 

Natural Increase

Percent Changefrom Domestic  

Migration

Percent Change from 

International Migration

Harris 2 56,587  79.9% ‐27.9% 48.1%Tarrant 5 35,462  44.4% 37.7% 17.9%Bexar 7 33,198  44.6% 39.3% 16.1%Dallas 9 29,209  79.9% ‐20.9% 41.0%Denton 11 27,689  23.9% 67.1% 9.0%

Fort Bend 13 27,388  24.8% 59.4% 15.8%Collin 14 26,506  25.8% 58.7% 15.5%Travis 17 24,505  44.2% 33.3% 22.5%

Williamson 22 20,659  20.3% 74.1% 5.6%Montgomery 24 19,769  18.5% 73.5% 8.0%Hidalgo* 54 10,529  113.5% ‐33.4% 19.9%

Hidalgo County had negative net migration (‐13.5% of total population growth).Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Top Counties for Numeric Growth in Texas, 2015-2016

Top Counties for Percent Growth* in Texas, 2015-2016

County U.S. Rank

2015‐2016Percent 

Population Change

Percent Change from Domestic Migration

Percent Change from InternationalMigration 

Kendall 2 5.2% 95.9% 4.0%Hays 3 5.1% 82.2% 1.8%Comal 6 4.4% 88.5% 2.0%

Williamson 14 4.1% 74.1% 5.6%Fort Bend 18 3.8% 59.4% 15.8%

Montgomery 24 3.7% 73.5% 8.0%Rockwall 25 3.6% 82.2% 2.5%Denton 28 3.6% 67.1% 9.0%Kaufman 36 3.4% 81.3% 2.2%Bastrop 42 3.1% 83.5% 0.7%Ellis 50 3.1% 78.1% 2.6%

*Among Counties with 10,000 or more population in 2016Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016 Vintage Population Estimates

Estimates of percent components of population change, Texas, 2011‐2017

53.2% 48.4% 51.6% 45.2% 43.0% 47.1% 52.5%

17.6%17.8%

20.7%20.3% 22.1%

24.9%27.7%

29.3% 33.7% 27.7% 34.5% 34.9%28.0%

19.8%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Net DomesticMigration

Net InternationalMigration

Natural Increase

8Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage population estimates

Domestic net‐migration, Texas, Florida, California, 2011‐2017

9

117,61

5 

145,51

3 

110,61

4 

163,16

0 

174,20

0 

125,80

0 

79,163

 

105,69

6 

91,745

 

99,228

  144,01

7 

196,56

0 

216,95

6 

160,85

4 

(54,62

6)

(40,75

6)

(53,07

6)

(46,33

0)

(80,85

9)

(122

,123

)

(138

,195

)

 (200,000)

 (150,000)

 (100,000)

 (50,000)

 ‐

 50,000

 100,000

 150,000

 200,000

 250,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Texas Florida California

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2017 Vintage Population Estimates

Percent of housing units built after 2000, counties, Texas, 2009‐2013

10Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

FreestoneWinkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

BastropAustin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

ShermanOchiltree

Comal

0.5% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 49.2%

11

Annual Shares of Recent Non‐Citizen Immigrants to Texas by World Area of Birth, 2005‐2015 

44.1%

50.6%

69.4%

35.8%

33.0%

17.3%

7.1%

7.3%

7.8%

13.1%

9.1%

5.5%

2015

2010

2005

Latin America Asia Europe Africa and OtherSource: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS

Unauthorized and Mexican Immigration, 2015

12

13

‐3.4% ‐2.9% ‐2.9% ‐2.8% ‐2.5%

‐0.3% ‐0.1%

4.5% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1%5.9%

7.1%

9.5%10.4%

13.2%

22.1%

‐5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

Estimated Percent of Total Net‐Migrant Flows to and From Texas and Other States, 2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2016. ACS Migration Flows, 2015

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2015

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000, 2010 Decennial Census and 2015 Population Estimates 11

NH White, 53%

NH Black, 11%

NH Asian, 3%

NH Other, 1%

Hispanic, 32%

2000

NH White, 43%

NH Black, 12%

NH Asian, 5%

NH Other, 2%

Hispanic, 39%

2015

Texas White (non‐Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, 2010

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Und

er 1 yea

r4 years

8 years

12 yea

rs16

 yea

rs20

 yea

rs24

 yea

rs28

 yea

rs32

 yea

rs36

 yea

rs40

 yea

rs44

 yea

rs48

 yea

rs52

 yea

rs56

 yea

rs60

 yea

rs64

 yea

rs68

 yea

rs72

 yea

rs76

 yea

rs80

 yea

rs84

 yea

rs88

 yea

rs92

 yea

rs96

 yea

rs10

0 to 104

…

Popu

latio

n

Age

White (non‐Hispanic)Hispanic

16Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female, Hispanic

17

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2014

Source: Texas Demographic Center, 2014 Population Estimates

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female, Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female, Hispanic Female Black, Non Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 + years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic

Percent  of the Population that is of Hispanic Descent,  Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

18

p2.2% - 15%

15.1% - 30%

30.1% - 50%

50.1% - 70%

70.1% - 98.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Percent of the Population that is Non‐Hispanic Black, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

19

0% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 33.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Percent of the Population that is of Asian Descent, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

20

0% - 0.5%

0.6% - 2.5%

2.6% - 5%

5.1% - 10%

10.1% - 17.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

Percent of the Population Born in Texas, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

21Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

44.7% - 55%

55.1% - 65%

65.1% - 75%

75.1% - 85%

85.1% - 90.6%

Median Household Income, Texas counties, 2011‐2015

DallasHoward

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

22

$22,741.00 - $35,000.00

$35,000.01 - $45,000.00

$45,000.01 - $55,000.00

$55,000.01 - $65,000.00

$65,000.01 - $89,152.00

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample

Percent of the population with income below poverty, Texas counties, 2011‐2015

23Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2011-2015 5-Year Sample

1.4% - 10%

10.1% - 15%

15.1% - 20%

20.1% - 30%

30.1% - 40.3% DallasHoward

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

Deaf Smith

Roberts

Tyler

Val Verde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

GlasscockShelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

San Augustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

LaSalle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

Liberty

Lee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

UptonHamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Limestone

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

Madison

McCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

Jeff Davis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

Jim Wells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop

Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

Fort Bend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

San Jacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman Ochiltree

Comal

Median Age, Texas Counties, 2009‐2013

Dallas

Howard

FoardFloyd

Brewster

FranklinHunt

Newton

Starr

Kinney

Collingsworth

TomGreen

Coleman

Brazoria

Leon

Duval

Lamb

Morris

Smith

Jackson

Medina

Wheeler

Dallam

Callahan

Lamar

Coryell

Gaines

Kendall

Nacogdoches

Milam

Hays

Willacy

Johnson

Reagan

Webb

Shackelford

Bowie

Scurry

Kenedy

Somervell

Oldham

Taylor

King

Borden

Walker

Stephens

DeafSmith

Roberts

Tyler

ValVerde

Brown

Parker

Harris

Zapata

RedRiver

Karnes

PaloPinto

Glasscock

Shelby

Wood

Crosby

Refugio

Burnet

Sterling

Montgomery

SanAugustine

Rains

Nueces

Jack

Swisher

Camp

Brazos

Orange

Colorado

Pecos

Cochran

Parmer

Freestone

Winkler

Wichita

Gray

Schleicher

Hardeman

TravisGillespie

Yoakum

Fayette

Uvalde

Grimes

VanZandt

Throckmorton

Falls

Grayson

Ellis

Hall

Dickens

TrinityReeves

Marion

Terrell

Lynn

La Salle

Jasper

Jones

Castro

Victoria

Kleberg

Briscoe

Clay

Matagorda

Brooks

Runnels

Carson

LibertyLee

Hale

Bexar

Garza

Montague

Upton

Hamilton

FisherDawson

Dimmit

Hutchinson

Llano

Presidio

Eastland

Sabine

Wharton

Rusk

Tarrant

Lavaca

Childress

Hidalgo

Kaufman

Moore

Menard

Edwards

SanPatricio

Terry

Crockett

Houston

Waller

Coke

Ward

Titus

Lampasas

Haskell

Martin

Atascosa

HemphillHartley

Young

BurlesonHardin

Gonzales

McMullen

Erath

Galveston

Hopkins

McLennan

MadisonMcCulloch

Donley

Kent

Real

Sutton

Midland

Hudspeth

Zavala

Harrison

Comanche

Mitchell

Navarro

Crane

Lubbock

Wise

Washington

JeffDavis

El Paso

Gregg

Williamson

Lipscomb

Mason

Henderson

Hansford

Chambers

Hill

Potter

JimWells

DeltaStonewall

Ector

Cameron

Maverick

Collin

Baylor

Panola

Guadalupe

Bastrop Austin

Andrews

Anderson

Blanco

DeWitt

Bandera

Bell

Aransas

Archer

Armstrong

Bee

Angelina

Bailey

Jefferson

Frio

Fannin

Goliad

Loving

Cass

FortBend

Bosque

Hockley

SanSaba

Kerr

Mills

Cooke

Wilbarger

Irion

Caldwell

JimHogg

Culberson

Upshur

Cherokee

Denton

Concho

Randall

Kimble

Knox

Polk

Hood

SanJacinto

Robertson

Wilson

Nolan

Cottle

Calhoun

Rockwall

LiveOak

Motley

Sherman

Ochiltree

Comal

24

25 - 35

36 - 40

41 - 45

46 - 50

51 - 56

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2009-2013 5 Year Sample

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Millions

Zero Net Migration

Half 2000 ‐2010

2000 ‐2010

2010 ‐2015

Estimates

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2050

25Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

Millions

Zero Net Migration

Half 2000 ‐2010

2000 ‐2010

2010 ‐2015

Estimates

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2010‐2020

26Source: Texas State Data Center 2016 Population Projections

 ‐

 5,000,000

 10,000,000

 15,000,000

 20,000,000

 25,000,000

 30,000,000

 35,000,000

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2014

2020

2030

2040

2050

Under 1818 to 6465+

Censuses                                   Estimates               Projections               

27

Population Change by Age Group, Texas, 1950‐2050

Source: US Census Bureau, 1950-2010 Censuses US Census Bureau, State Population EstimatesTexas State Data Center, 2014 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario

1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500

Under 55 to 9 years

10 to 14 years15 to 19 years20 to 24 years25 to 29 years30 to 34 years35 to 39 years40 to 44 years45 to 49 years50 to 65 years55 to 59 years60 to 65 years65 to 69 years70 to 74 years75 to 79 years80 to 84 years

85 years and older

Thousands

2010 Male 2030 Male 2010 Female 2030 Female

Texas Population Change by Age Group, 2010‐2030

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010‐2050

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

-6,200 - 0

1 - 2,000

2,001 - 10,000

10,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 1,000,000

1,000,001 -3,480,000

Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, 2010‐2050

Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections . 2000-2010 Migration Scenario

LT 0%

0-40%

41-100%

101-250%

251-500%

Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2010‐2050

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

NH‐WhiteNH‐BlackHispanicNH‐Other

31Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario

Population Projections 65 Years and Over by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2010‐2050

32

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

NH White

NH Black

Hispanic

NH Other

Source: Texas State Data Center 2014 Population Projections , Half 2000‐2010 Migration Scenario

Trends in Educational Attainment of Persons in the Labor Force (25‐64 Years of Age) in Texas by Race/Ethnicity –

High School Graduates and Above

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample, 2001‐2011

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, 2030 Using Constant Rates, 

Texas

34

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%

18.1%

24.0%

29.9%

18.7%

9.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Percen

t of the

 Civilian

 Lab

or Force

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Constant 2011 %

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force (ages 25‐64) by Educational Attainment for 2011, and 2030 Using Trended 

Rates, Texas

35

15.0%

23.8%

31.3%

20.1%

9.8%11.4%

20.4%

34.3%

22.1%

11.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Less than High School High School orEquivalent

Some College /Associate Degree

Bachelor's Degree Graduate orProfessional Degree

Percen

t of the

 Civilian

 Lab

or Force

Educational Attainment

2011 ACS

2030 Trended (2001‐2011 Trend)

These should be going DOWN These should be going UP

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year PUMS.Texas State Data Center, 2012 Vintage Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario

Demographics and Destiny

36

Contact 

State DemographerOffice: (210) 458‐6530Email: Lloyd.Potter@utsa.eduInternet: Demographics.Texas.gov

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.

@TexasDemography

37