CSLI Advisory BoardSept. 11, 2014

Agenda Call to orderReview of ongoing activities Review/discuss Spring 2014 survey Review/discuss proposed Fall 2014 Survey Any other new/old business Adjournment

Center for the Study of Local IssuesAnne Arundel Community College

101 College ParkwayArnold, MD 21012-1895http:www2.aacc.edu/csli

ddnataf@aacc.edu410.777.2733

CSLI Active Client Projects: Ongoing

Coordinating Center• Client: Non-profit; helps coordinate health care services for

severely ill patients▫ Type of survey: Client satisfaction ▫ Methodology: Coordinating Center sends out

questionnaire; CSLI receives returned completed surveys. Students call subset of client list to verify receipt and return of surveys – in fall will offer to conduct survey; second wave mailed to those needing another copy.

▫ N= Up to 2500 – typical completions: 750-800▫ Current status: Renewed for 2014 - ongoing▫ Contract value: $2860 Net income to CSLI: $1500▫ Students employed: 2-3

CSLI Active Client Projects

Ratcliffe Scholarship – Survey of Recipients• Client: Ratcliffe Scholarship Program

▫ Type of survey: Online▫ Methodology: Two online surveys – new recipients, past

recipients▫ N= 50+ possible respondents▫ Current status: New recipient survey in-progress; past

recipient survey in late spring▫ Contract Value: $1250 Net income to CSLI: $350▫ Students employed: Monitoring of progress

CSLI Recently Finished Client Projects

Queen Anne’s County – Survey of Residents with Failing Septic Systems

• Client: Queen Anne’s County▫ Type of survey: Mailed (primarily)▫ Methodology: Cover letter sent by county, CSLI sends mailed

questionnaire, creates online option, sends tickler▫ N= 390 respondents (1523 surveys mailed)▫ Current status: Survey completed, presentation to county

commissioners Feb. 25▫ Contract Value: $5750 Net income to CSLI: $2500▫ Students employed: Monitoring of progress

CSLI Recent Student-related Activities

1. CSLI student interns Fall 2014: 2 (Brittany Arroyo and Gabrielle

Giovinazzo Hours: vary depending on projects and

needs of the moment but goal is to average five hours per week per intern

Duties: range from data entry, survey design, student supervision, and telephone interviewing. Usually active in club activities.

2. CSLI student club ◦ Inception: 2006 – designated an official student

club. ◦ Organizational structure: Officers include

president, vice president, secretary and treasurer, elected at beginning of fall semester. CSLI interns usually chosen as club president/vice president and represent the club at student association meetings

◦ Budget: Varies yearly–2012-13: $800 from student association.

◦ 2013-14 Activities: Various field trips◦ Annapolis – Maryland General Assembly◦ Baltimore Council of Foreign Affairs

CSLI Recent Student-related Activities

CSLI Recent Activities-Public Outreach . CSLI Web site: Posted all new presentations and updates to

searchable database (see http://www2.aacc.edu/csli). Candidate forums: Co-sponsoring a candidate forum for council

candidates in districts 1-6 and county executive candidates. Oct. 21 at Pascal Center – 6-9:30 p.m. Moderated a candidate forum between Republican county executive candidates at Severna Park HS in June.

Public presentations: Various presentations through the year… Newspaper citations: Various articles in Capital, Baltimore Sun

and Washington Post about upcoming elections. Appearance on PBS “State Circle” television program in August.

Capital Newspaper: Spring 2014 piloted new relationship with Capital-Gazette newspaper – integrated into survey design phase with the expectation of running stories mentioning survey results.

CSLI Semi-Web PanelSemi-annual Survey and Web Panel

Web panel: We have accumulated a total of around 1,783  possibly valid email addresses.

◦ About 40+ percent of respondents accept request to give email addresses.

◦ Response rate typically between 10-20%.

◦ Used with Partners-in-Care project.

◦ Open to topic suggestions from faculty.

Semi-annual Survey –

Overview of Spring 2014

Results

County: Right or Wrong Direction? Fall ‘00 to Spring ‘14

Fa '00

Sp '01

Fa '01

Sp '02

Fa '02

Sp '03

Fa '03

Sp '04

Fa '04

Sp '05

Fa '05

Sp '06

Fa '06

Sp '07

Fa '07

Sp '08

Fa '08

Sp '09

Fa '09

Sp '10

Fa '10

Sp '11

Fa '11

Sp '12

Fa '12

Sp '13

Fa '13

Sp '14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

55

62

66

60 61 62

51

58 58

53

5755

51 52 51 5052

47

52 5249 50

47

43

50 49 50 50

24 23

15

26

21

25

3431

24

2927 26

2927

33 32 3128 27 28 28 28

32

41

3633

3533

20

15

19

14

18

1315

12

19 1816

1820 21

16 17 17

25

21 2023 22 22

1614

1816 17

Right Wrong Unsure

Most Important Problem: Fall 2007 to Spring 2014

Fa '07 Sp '08 Fa '08 Sp '09 Fa '09 Sp '10 Fa '10 Sp '11 Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Fa '13 Sp '10

10

20

30

40

50

60

8

23

38

48

33

36 36 35

48

30

27

23

16 16

12 1210

8 7 8 9 10

57 8 8

6

12

17 16

1210

12 1113

119

17 1719 19

22

3 42 1 2

4 3 3 4

9 911

17

8

Economy Education Crime / drugs Taxes – too high Govt. inefficient, corrupt

Economy

Taxes

Govt. Waste/EthicsCrime

Education

Right/Wrong Direction – County, State, Nation: Fall ‘12 to Spring ‘14

Fall '12 Spring '13 Fall '13 Spring '140

10

20

30

40

50

60

36

24

10

27

36 35 35

31

50 49 50 50

Nation State County

Economic Conditions: (% excellent+good)County vs. Maryland and USA

F '06

S '0

7F '0

7S

'08

F'08

S '0

9F '0

9S

'10

F '10

S '1

1F '1

1S

'12

F '12

S '1

3F '1

3S

'14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

71 71 69

5549 46 48

44 4549 48 51 48 49

53 50

27 30 31 32 35 3338

33 30

40 40

511 11 11 11 9

13 1612 14

21

County State Federal

S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '11 F '11 S '12 F '12 S '13 F '13 S '140

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0

71

75

70

56

60

52

60

44

38

32 32

26

40

32

21

17

2124

41

30

36

3027

24 24

61

5053

4244 43

46

39 39

32 3129

37

47

58 59 59

6360

63

58

63 63 62

66 65

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

26

35

3134

29

36

Received salary increase

Taxes

Stock/pension lossesCost of utilities

Cost of transportation

Economic indicators, Spring 2014

Economic indicators, Spring 2014Condition AA County Students

County-Students

Taxes are too high in relation to the govt. services provided

65 37 28

Significant losses in your stock or retirement accounts

26 5 21

Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living

57 46 11

Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate

26 16 10

Hard to afford cost of utilities such as electricity or gas

37 33 4

Received a salary increase or other increase in income recently

36 32 4

Hard to afford cost of transportation 24 21 3Delay in making a major purchase such as a home or car

43 42 1

Facing the possibility of house foreclosure or loss

4 5 -1

Facing the possibility of unemployment 16 21 -5

Unable to find affordable housing 10 18 -8

Found a new or better job recently 14 24 -10

Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months  Better Same Worse Unsure/NA Total

Economic growth 30 49 15 6 100

Unemployment 30 39 25 6 100

Inflation 10 34 52 5 101

Your personal financial situation

25 59 13 3 100

Growth Unemployment Inflation Personal Sit.

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

-3

-9

-43

-2

22

9

-46

6

2622

-38

14

7

-13

-43

7

1

-17

-52

3

15

5

-42

12

Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Fa '13 Sp '14

Major Issues: Support/Oppose Issue Suppor

tOppos

eUnsure NA/

Won’t say

Increased availability of pre-kindergarten schooling for low income families

82 11 5 2

Reducing the estate tax in Maryland so that it only applies to estates over $5 million

69 17 12 2

The construction of a new high school in the Crofton area.

64 7 25 4

An increase in the state minimum wage to $10.10 by 2016

60 30 9 1

Having a later start time for students in high school

55 27 15 3

Changing gun control laws to make the purchase of shotguns as strictly regulated as the purchase of handguns

51 42 7 1

Leaving unchanged the county’s storm-water fee meant to help clean up the Bay.

44 41 14 1

A decrease in Maryland’s corporate income tax

43 39 16 2

Legalization of marijuana for recreational use, with a high tax and restrictions against the sale to minors

36 50 13 1

Minimum Wage – Party, Ideology and Race

Dem Rep Unaffiliated Liberal Moderate Conservative Af-Am Whites

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

18

-23

-9

27

2

-25

40

-17

Graph 5a: Minimum Wage - Percentage Above or Below the Average (60% support)

Marijuana – Party, Ideology and Age

Dem Rep Unaffiliated Liberal Moderate Conservative 18-40 41-55 56-70 71+

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

7

-9

1

17

2

-14

17

-4

-1

-12

Table 5b: Legalize Marijuana Percentage Above or Below Average (36%)

Affordable Care Act - SupportProblem Suppor

tOppose Undecided

Overall 49 40 10

Democrats 73 17 8

Republicans 19 70 10

Unaffiliated 55 34 9

Liberals 80 10 10

Moderates 54 32 13

Conservatives 18 76 5

Race for Governor, Spring 2014 CANDIDATE With

Undecided/NA

Overall – Likely Voters

Without Undecided/

NAOverall-LV

Party Specific Vote –LV*

Democrats      

Brown, Anthony (D)

7 33 56

Gansler, Doug (D)

3 14 19

Mizeur, Heather (D)

2 9 16

Total within party 12 56 91

Republicans      

Craig, David (R) 2 8 9

George, Ron (R) 2 10 22

Lollar, Charles (R)

1 3 9

Hogan, Larry (R) 5 23 57

Total within party 10 44 97

UNDECIDED, other

78    

Total overall 100    

County Executive Race, Spring 2014CANDIDATE With

Undecided/NA

Overall – Likely Voters

Without Undecided/

NAOverall-LV

Party Specific Vote -LV*

Laura Neuman (R) 18 45 54

Steve Schuh (R) 9 23 40

George Johnson (D)

13 32 59

Undecided or missing

57 (3%

missing)

0  

Total 100  100  

Job approval, Spring 2014Individual/Office Approve Disapprove No answer

Governor Martin O’Malley

33 55 12

County Exec. Laura Neuman

54 11 35

President Barack Obama

39 52 9

“Congress” 9 86 5

Presidential Job approvalFall 2007 to Spring 2014

Fa '07 Sp '08 Fa '08 Sp '09 Fa '09 Sp '10 Fa '10 Sp '11 Fa '11 Sp '12 Fa '12 Sp '13 Fa '13 Sp '140

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

35

2825

52

47 47

42

47

37

4244 44

40 39

3230

24

61

54

47

43

47

40

45

50 49

4345

CSLI Gallup

Trust in Political Parties

Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa Sp Fa2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

42

37

3334

37 37

34

31

37 37 37

3432

3028

31

37

34

38

3230

34

38

32

23

31

20

27

31

21 21

17

29

32

21

17

26

37

29

87

68

79

4

7 79

46

8

Democrats Republicans Neither No opinion /other

End of slideshow

•Go to draft fall 2014 questionnaire