1

CSLI Advisory Board – Fall 2006 Presentation Review of Spring 2006 Survey Findings

September 14, 2006

Presented by

Dan Nataf, Ph.DDirector, Center for the Study of Local Issues

Anne Arundel Community College101 College Parkway

Arnold, MD 21012(410) 777-2733

(410) 777-4733 fax

ddnataf@aacc.edu

www2.aacc.edu/csli

2

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Agenda

• I. Call to order• II. Review CSLI current initiatives/projects• III. Review results of Spring 2006 survey• IV. Review proposed draft for Fall 2006• V. Discuss possible themes for Spring 2007 survey• VI. Any other old or new business

3

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 CSLI Current Initiatives and Projects

Student Oriented Activities• Constitutional Day Survey of Students• Service Learning Project • CSLI Student Club

Externally Oriented Activities• Workforce Housing Survey – AAA Chamber of Commerce• Maryland Seafood Festival - AAA Chamber of Commerce• Housing Commission of Anne Arundel County Housing

Authority

4

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Overview: Spring 2006 Semi-annual Survey

• Spring 2006 survey conducted March 6-9

• Students participating: 80

Students are surveyed about the quality of their experiences

– Spring 2006: 55% rated their learning experience as “excellent,” 39% as “good”

– 94% were “very satisfied” with overall quality of training received

– 84% would consider participating in another similar CSLI survey in the future

• Faculty participating: 18

• Number of completed surveys: 401

5

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Most Important Issues Facing AA County Residents –

1995-2006 - Trends for Major Issues

Graph 1: Most Important Issue - Trends

2628

26

19

12

19 20

1315

1013

97 6

9 8

1518 18

24

31

26

31

2730

2225

21

26

18

3128

25

Crime

Crime 31% Growth/Transp 36%

Education

12

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

6

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Most Important Issues Facing AA County Residents –

1995-2006 - Trends for Major Issues Concern about the economy rises

Graph 2: Most Important Issue - Economy and Taxes Included

3 35

14

8

12

8 7 7

15

12

Education

TaxesEconomy

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

7

CSLI Semi-annual Survey : Spring 2006How would you rate economic conditions…excellent, good, fair or poor?

3826 27 22

34 34 31 28

7476

55 56

6274 74

38

7471

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Spring 2002Fall 2002Spring 2003Fall 2003Spring 2004Fall 2004Spring 2005Fall 2005Spring 2006

AACounty -Exc+Good

Nation -Exc+Good

8

65 63 6258 57

51 49

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

% "Very Serious"Cost Very

seriousSomewhat

seriousNot very serious

NA

The cost of housing 65 23 11 0

The cost of utilities such as electricity or natural gas

63 29 8 0

The cost of gasoline

62 30 8 0

The cost of health care

58 28 11 2

Not having enough money for retirement

57 24 16 3

The cost of education

51 29 16 5

The cost of property taxes

49 37 12 2

CSLI Semi-annual Survey : Spring 2006

Seriousness of Costs

9

CSLI Semi-annual Survey : Spring 2006Income and seriousness of various costs

01020304050607080

Housing

Health

Retirement

Gasoline

Utilities

Ed Taxes

% Very Serious -Various Costs by Income

Under $50k

$50-100k

Over $100

10

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006

Age and seriousness of various costs

01020304050607080

Housing

Ed Health

Gasoline

Retirement

Utilities

Taxes

% Very Serious -Various Costs by Age

18-29

30-44

45-59

60+

11

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006Seniors’ Most Pressing Needs

Need Percent

Health care (quality and cost) 41

Affordable housing 12

Assisted living 7

Adequate income 7

Drug costs 6

Cost of living 6

Transportation 6

Taxes 4

Independence 4

Other 4

Social isolation 2

Seniors facilities/programs 2

Total 101

12

CSLI Semi-annual Survey : Spring 2006

How Prepared are Local Authorities in Event of Terrorist Strike - Trend

3022 24 27

44

33

121513 1511

Very prepared

4854

4847Somewhat prepared

Not very prepared

37

611

5 8Unsure 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Katrina

13

CSLI Semi-annual Survey : Spring 2006

How Prepared are Local Authorities in Event of Terrorist Strike - Trend

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Graph 4: Likelihood of Terrorist Attack in County

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Unsure

14

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 County’s Direction: Right or Wrong?

Positive feelings affected by perceptions of the economy?

County - Right or Wrong Direction

66

575154 55

Wrong26

Unsure18

76

55

7474

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Sp 99Fa 9

9Sp 00

Fa 00

Sp 01Fa 0

1Sp 02

Fa 02

Sp 03Fa 0

3Sp 04

Fa '04

Sp '05

Fa '05

Sp '06

Right

Econ (good+xlint)

15

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 County, State, Federal Issues

and Politics

Thinking ahead to the race for county executive in our county, what is the most important issue or candidate trait that would make you vote for a particular candidate?

What is the most important issue facing the state of Maryland at this time? What is the most important issue facing the state of Maryland at this time?

What is the most important issue facing the federal government at this time?

16

Candidate Trait Percent

Honesty 22

Right experience 4

Integrity, ethical 4

Share vision, convictions 3

For the people 3

Competent, responsible 2

Other 2

Independent, open minded 2

Knows communities, knowledgeable

2

Partisan 1

Family values 0

Section total 41% of all responses

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Reasons for voting for the next County ExecutiveCandidate Traits – Yes to the honest politician

17

County, State, Federal Most Important Issues

Issues County State Federal

Education 16 13 0Control growth 9 8 0Lower taxes 7 10 1Other 6 6 3Environment 4 9 1Budget, funding 3 6 1Economic development/economy 3 14 5Property tax 3 0 0Gay marriage, abortion, moral

values2 2 1

Crime 1 10 0Health care 1 5 4Horse farm 1 0 0Baltimore Port Sale 5 2

Utility bills 5 0

Gambling/slots 3 0

Homeland security 2 10

Gas prices 1 0

Immigrants 1 3

War/Iraq 41

Terrorism 10

Deficit/debt 12

Social security 2

Partisanship 1

Bush leadership, competence 5

18

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Support for Various State Policies

Yes to “Wal-Mart Bill,” Smoking Ban, No to Gay Marriage

Policy (Spring, 2006) Support Oppose NA

An amendment to the Maryland constitution defining marriage as only between a man and a woman

53 39 8

The General Assembly overrode Governor Ehrlich’s veto of the so called “Wal-Mart Bill” which makes employers with over 10,000 employees spend at least 8 percent of their payrolls on health benefits. Do you support or oppose this bill?

62 31 7

There is a bill facing the General Assembly that would eliminate all smoking in bars and restaurants – do you support or oppose this bill?

64 34 2

19

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006

Support for Gubernatorial Candidates

Candidate Overall Democrats Republicans Independents Men Women

Robert Ehrlich Jr. 40 22 68 32 49 35

Martin O’Malley 23 39 10 18 18 29

Douglas Duncan 3 8 1 0 4 3

Undecided 30 31 22 50 29 33

Total 100 100 101 100 100 100

20

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006

Ehrlich Support by Party and Ideology

Rep/Cons

75Republicans 68

Cons 65Rep/Mods 63

Dem/Cons 46Average 40% Moderates 37

Independents = 33Liberals 29

Democrats 22Dem/Mods 20

Dem/Lib 10

21

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006

Support for Ehrlich - Demographics

Support for Ehrlich - Demographics

Retired, Protestants 5160+ = 50 Men = 49

Some college = 47Employed in private sector 46

Whites = 45$75-100, 18-30 age = 44$30-50k, Catholics = 43

Postgraduates = 4230-44 age, $100-150 = 41

Average 40% Evangelicals = 40, College grads 40

$150+ =3845-59 age, =37

$50-75, seculars = 36Women, single, $0-30k = 35

High school diploma = 34

22

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Ehrlich Support by Issues

Lower taxes - Most impt. issue = 69Utility cost NVS =67Ed cost NVS = 64

Econ conditions - Excellent = 61WalMart oppose 58

Housing, Healthcare NVS = 57Gas cost NVS =56

Ports MII, 54Anti-gay marriage =52

Homeland security MII = 50Education MII = 49

Property tax cost NVS = 49Oppose smoking ban, Healthcare SWS = 46

Crime, Environment, Housing SWS = 44Utility cost SWS, Property tax cost NVS = 43

Education costs SWS 42

Propty tax VS, Economy good, smoke ban support = 40 Average 40%Utility costs VS = 39

Econ conditions fair, Housing VS, gambling MII =38Gas cost MII, healthcare costs MII, ed costs VS = 37

Utility MII = 36WalMart support = 35

Help economy, pro gay marriage =32Budget, healthcare MII = 31

Cost of living 29gas prices 25

23

Bush Job Approval

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 President Bush’s Job Approval

Majority Disapproves

Do you approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?

Fall 2005 Approve 45% Disapprove 48% Unsure 7%

Spring 2006 Approve 37% Disapprove 54% Unsure 8%

9/11Iraq Invasion

Saddam

24

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Bush Job Approval – Party and Ideology (vs. Ehrlich)

BushRep/Cons 73

Cons 76 Republicans 65

Rep/Mods 60

Dem/Cons 42Average 37%

Moderates 38

Independents = 19 Democrats 17

Liberals 16

Dem/Mods 14Dem/Lib 5

EhrlichRep/Cons 75

Republicans 68Cons 65

Rep/Mods 63

Dem/Cons 46

Average 40% Moderates 37

Independents = 33Liberals 29

Democrats 22Dem/Mods 20

Dem/Lib 10

25

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Bush Job Approval – Fall 2005 and Spring 2006

Bush Spring 2006

Conservatives, 76 Republicans, 65

Men, 41Moderates 38Average, 37%

Women, 34

=>Independents, 19 Democrats 17

Liberals 16

Bush Fall 2005

Republicans, 77Conservatives, 70

Men, 51

Average 45% Women, 41

Independents, 40Moderates, 39

Democrats, Liberals 18

26

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Bush Approval by Federal Issues+

Homeland security, 58 (10% overall)Local economy “excellent,” 58 (14%)

Terrorism, 57 (10%)Immigration, 50 (3%)

Favor “no gay marriage amendment,” 46 (53%)

Average 37%

Local economy less than excellent, 34 (86%) War in Iraq, 32 (41%)Deficit/debt, 29 (12%)

Oppose “no gay marriage amendment,” 27 (39%)Healthcare, 25 (4%)

Bush leadership, competence, 13 (5%)

27

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Other Issues covered in Spring Survey: Cancer, Charities, Seniors

How serious a concern are cancer rates in Anne Arundel County, very, somewhat or not serious? (1) Very serious 54 percent (2) Somewhat serious 25 percent (3) Not very serious 10 percent (0) No opinion 11 percent

Very importan

t

Somewhat important

Not very important

No answer

Smoking 77 17 5 1

Air or water pollution

67 26 4 3

Exercise 55 33 11 2

Heredity 55 34 8 4

Eating habits 44 42 12 3

Work-related factors 39 41 15 4

How important are each of the following factors in increasing the risk for cancer in Anne Arundel County – Are they ‘very important,’ ‘somewhat important’ and ‘not very important?’

28

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Other Issues covered in Spring Survey: Charities

For the following charities, I will ask you if you have heard of each, whether you have a positive, negative or neutral impression of each, and whether you have contributed to each any time over the last two years.

Heard of itImpression

Pos Neg Neut

Contributed over 2 years

Yes No

Yes No Unsure

The YWCA 88 11 63 4 33 14 85 1  

The YMCA 96 4 64 5 31 11 88 1  

The United Way 95 4 56 17 26 46 58 2  

The Chrysalis House 25 74 31 3 53 10 74 16  

The Salvation Army 99 1 89 4 7 78 22 0  

The Red Cross 98 1 80 10 10 64 35 1  

29

CSLI Semi-annual Survey: Spring 2006 Other Issues covered in Spring Survey: Seniors

Is someone in your immediate family going to be 55 or older in the next three years? Yes 75% No 24% N.A. 1%

How familiar are you with the services available to seniors in this area such as transportation assistance or volunteer opportunities?Very familiar 16% (Somewhat familiar 28 % Not very familiar 55 % N.A. 1%

How confident are you that should the need arise, you could become very familiar with seniors’ services - are you very confident, somewhat confident, or not very confident?

Very confident 59% Somewhat confident 28% Not very confident 11% N.A. 3%