Critical Evaluation - Role of the Imf

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    CRITICALLY EVALUATING THE PERFORMANCE

    OF THE IMF

    Overseas Development Institute (ODI) research undertaken in 1980 pointed to five main

    criticisms of the IMF which support the analysis that it is a pillar of what activist Titus

    Alexander calls global apartheid.

    Firstly, developed countries were seen to have a more dominant role and control over less

    developed countries (LDCs) primarily due to the Western bias towards a capitalist form

    of the world economy with professional staff being Western trained and believing in the

    efficacy of market-oriented policies.

    Secondly, the Fund worked on the incorrect assumption that all payments disequilibria

    were caused domestically. The Group of 24 (G-24), on behalf of LDC members, and the

    United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) complained that the

    Fund did not distinguish sufficiently between disequilibria with predominantly external

    as opposed to internal causes. This criticism was voiced in the aftermath of the 1973 oil

    crisis. Then LDCs found themselves with payments deficits due to adverse changes in

    their terms of trade, with the Fund prescribing stabilisation programmes similar to those

    suggested for deficits caused by government over-spending. Faced with long-term,

    externally generated disequilibria, the Group of 24 argued that LDCs should be allowed

    more time to adjust their economies and that the policies needed to achieve such

    adjustment are different from demand-management programmes devised primarily with

    internally generated disequilibria in mind.

    The third criticism was that the effects of Fund policies were anti-developmental. The

    deflationary effects of IMF programmes quickly led to losses of output and employment

    in economies where incomes were low and unemployment was high. Moreover, it was

    sometimes claimed that the burden of the deflationary effects was borne

    disproportionately by the poor.

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    Fourthly is the accusation that harsh policy conditions were self-defeating where a

    vicious circle developed when members refused loans due to harsh conditionality,

    making their economy worse and eventually taking loans as a drastic medicine. Lastly is

    the point that the Fund's policies lack a clear economic rationale. Its policy foundations

    were theoretical and unclear due to differing opinions and departmental rivalries whilst

    dealing with countries with widely varying economic circumstances.

    ODI conclusions were that the Fund's very nature of promoting market-oriented economic

    approach attracted unavoidable criticism, as LDC governments were likely to object when in a

    tight corner. Yet, on the other hand, the Fund could provide a 'scapegoat service' where

    governments could take loans as a last resort, whilst blaming international bankers for any

    economic downfall. The ODI conceded that the fund was to some extent insensitive to political

    aspirations of LDCs, while its policy conditions were inflexible.

    Argentina, which had been considered by the IMF to be a model country in its compliance to

    policy proposals by the Bretton Woods institutions, experienced a catastrophic economic crisis in

    2001,which some believe to have been caused by IMF-induced budget restrictionswhich

    undercut the government's ability to sustain national infrastructure even in crucial areas such as

    health, education, and securityand privatisation of strategically vital national resources.Others

    attribute the crisis to Argentina's misdesigned fiscal federalism, which caused subnational

    spending to increase rapidly. The crisis added to widespread hatred of this institution in

    Argentina and other South American countries, with many blaming the IMF for the region's

    economic problems. The currentas of early 2006trend toward moderate left-wing

    governments in the region and a growing concern with the development of a regional economic

    policy largely independent of big business pressures has been ascribed to this crisis.

    In an interview, the former Romanian Prime Minister Clin Popescu-Triceanu claimed that

    "Since 2005, IMF is constantly making mistakes when it appreciates the country's economic

    performances."

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    Support of military dictatorships

    The role of the Bretton Woods institutions has been controversial since the late Cold War period,

    due to claims that the IMF policy makers supported military dictatorships friendly to American

    and European corporations and other anti-communist regimes. Critics also claim that the IMF is

    generally apathetic or hostile to their views of human rights, and labour rights. The controversy

    has helped spark the Anti-globalization movement.

    Arguments in favour of the IMF say that economic stability is a precursor to democracy;

    however, critics highlight various examples in which democratised countries fell after receiving

    IMF loans.

    Impact on access to food

    A number of civil society organisations have criticised the IMF's policies for their impact on

    people's access to food, particularly in developing countries. In October 2008, former US

    president Bill Clinton presented a speech to the United Nations World Food Day, which

    criticised the World Bank and IMF for their policies on food and agriculture:

    We need the World Bank, the IMF, all the big foundations, and all the governments to admit that,

    for 30 years, we all blew it, including me when I was president. We were wrong to believe that

    food was like some other product in international trade, and we all have to go back to a more

    responsible and sustainable form of agriculture.Former U.S. president Bill Clinton, Speech at

    United Nations World Food Day, October 16, 2008

    Impact on public health

    In 2009 a study by analysts from Cambridge and Yale universities published on the open-access

    Public Library of Science concluded that strict conditions on the international loans by the IMF

    resulted in thousands of deaths in Eastern Europe by tuberculosis as public health care had to be

    weakened. In the 21 countries to which the IMF had given loans, tuberculosis deaths rose by

    16.6%.

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    also Germany, the primary and politically most fragile supporter of a euro currency bailout

    would benefit from IMF recognition of their leadership in green technology, and directly from

    Green Fundgenerated demand for their exports, which might also improve their credit standing

    with international bankers

    Conditions of Loans

    On giving loans to countries, the IMF make the loan conditional on the implementation of certain

    economic policies. These policies tend to involve:

    Reducing government borrowingHigher taxes and lower spending

    Higher interest rates to stabilise the currency.

    Allow failing firms to go bankrupt. Structural adjustment. Privatisation, deregulation, reducing corruption and bureaucracy.

    The problem is that these policies of structural adjustment and macro economic intervention

    make the situation worse.

    For example, in the Asian crisis of 1997, many countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and

    Thailand were required by IMF to pursue tight monetary policy (higher interest rates) and tight

    fiscal policy to reduce the budget deficit and strengthen exchange rates. However, these policies

    caused a minor slowdown to turn into a serious recession with mass unemployment.

    In 2001, Argentina was forced into a similar policy of fiscal restraint. This led to a decline in

    investment in public services which arguably damaged the economy.

    IMF conditionality policies have come under severe criticism for at least three reasons:

    (i) that there has been "over-reach" in that the conditions widened in range through time to

    include "structural policies" not needed for managing the crisis;

    (ii) that the policies in the core economic and financial areas of IMF competence have also been

    inappropriate as they were contractionary and did not generate growth; and

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    (iii) that the policies were designed in ways insensitive to social impacts, and the burden of

    adjustment fell heavily on the poor and at the expense of social and public services.

    Scope of conditionality too broad

    The scope of IMF policy conditions has been increasing through the years and has become far

    too broad. Many of the conditions were not relevant or critical to the causes or the management

    of the crisis the countries found themselves in. Some of these conditions were put into the

    conditionality package under the influence or pressure of major IMF shareholders for their own

    interest or agenda, rather than in the interests of the debtor country.

    On many areas where conditions are set, neither the IMF nor the World Bank has the expertise to

    give proper advice, and thus the potential to commit a blunder is high and the negative effects

    can also be high. This includes the area of political conditionality and issues relating to

    "governance".

    During the Indonesia crisis, the IMF advice to the government to close 16 banks, without first

    assuring the public that their deposits in the banking system were safe, led to large deposit

    withdrawals and capital flight from the country. This is now recognised as a blunder.

    Even in a major economic area of structural conditionality, i.e. that of trade policy and reform,

    the potential of mistakes can be high. The IMF and World Bank are well known for advising

    developing countries under their charge to undergo rapid trade liberalisation.

    The appropriateness of the advice to undergo "big-bang" or rapid liberalisation is now

    contentious. In many countries, import liberalisation has led to domestic firms and industries

    having to close down as they were unable to compete with cheaper imports, and de-

    industrialisation has been the result.

    There is now strong emerging evidence that trade liberalisation can successfully work only under

    certain conditions. Factors for success or otherwise include the ability of the country's enterprises

    and farms to withstand import competition, its production and distribution capacity to export, as

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    well as the state of commodity prices and the degree of market access for its products. In the

    absence of positive factors, import liberalisation may cause the country into deeper problems.

    Exchange Rate Reforms.

    When the IMF intervened in Kenya in the 1990s, they made the Central bank remove controls

    over flows of capital. The consensus was that this decision made it easier for corrupt politicians

    to transfer money out of the economy (known as the Goldman scandal). Critics argue this is

    another example of how the IMF failed to understand the dynamics of the country that they were

    dealing withinsisting on blanket reforms.

    The economist Joseph Stiglitz has criticised the more monetarist approach of the IMF in recent

    years. He argues it is failing to take the best policy to improve the welfare of developing

    countries saying the IMF "was not participating in a conspiracy, but it was reflecting the interests

    and ideology of the Western financial community."

    Neo Liberal Criticisms

    There is also criticism of neo liberal policies such as privatisation. Arguably these free market

    policies were not always suitable for the situation of the country. For example, privatisation cancreate lead to the creation of private monopolies who exploit consumers.

    Free Market Criticisms of IMF

    As well as being criticised for implementing free market reforms Other critise the IMF for

    being too interventionist. Believers in free markets argue that it is better to let capital markets

    operate without attempts at intervention. They argue attempts to influence exchange rates only

    make things worseit is better to allow currencies to reach their market level.

    There is also a criticism that bailout countries with large debt creates moral hazard. Because of

    the possibility of getting bailed out it encourages people to borrow more.

    Lack of Transparency and involvement

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    The IMF have been criticised for imposing policy with little or no consultation with affected

    countries.

    Jeffrey Sachs, the head of the Harvard Institute for International Development said:

    "In Korea the IMF insisted that all presidential candidates immediately "endorse" an agreement

    which they had no part in drafting or negotiating, and no time to understand. The situation is out

    of handIt defies logic to believe the small group of 1,000 economists on 19th Street in

    Washington should dictate the economic conditions of life to 75 developing countries with

    around 1.4 billion people."