CORPORATE PRESENTATION November 2018 · 2 Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains...
Transcript of CORPORATE PRESENTATION November 2018 · 2 Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains...
CORPORATEPRESENTATION
November 2018
2
Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains projections andother forward-looking statements within themeaning of Section 27A of the U.S.Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of theU.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934.These projections and statements reflect theCompany’s current views with respect tofuture events and financial performance. Noassurances can be given, however, thatthese events will occur or that theseprojections will be achieved, and actualresults could differ materially from thoseprojected as a result of certain factors. Adiscussion of these factors is included in theCompany’s periodic reports filed with theU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Contact:
Karen AciernoDirector – Investor [email protected]
Cimarex Energy Co.1700 Lincoln Street, Suite 3700Denver, CO 80203303-295-3995
3
Cimarex Energy Snapshot
NYSE symbol: XEC
Market Cap1: $8.0 billion
Enterprise Value1: $8.6 billion
Debt/EBITDA2: 1.1x
Annual Dividend3: $0.72 (0.9% yield)
Daily Production: 219 MBOE, 64 MBO
2018E Capex: $1.6-$1.7 billion
2018E Production Growth: 17%-18%
1 As of November 5, 20182 As of and for the twelve months ended 6/30/18. See Appendix for non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations to nearest comparable GAAP measure.3 Annualized yield of announced 3Q18 dividend
4
Cimarex Energy Overview
• Maximizing full-cycle return on invested capitalEnduring Culture
• Creating value, generating top-tier returnsProven Track Record
• Core positions in the Permian and Anadarko BasinsPremier Portfolio
• Trailing 10-year average CROCE: 30%• 10-year production growth CAGR: 11%
Profitable Growth
• Low leverage and liquidity provides opportunitiesStrong
Financial Position
5
The Culture of Cimarex
Maximize Full-Cycle Returns
Idea GenerationDriven by Rigorous
Technical Evaluation
Acreage Concentration
Increasing Economies of Scale, Returns
Inventory ExpansionInnovation and
ExplorationFocused Execution
Focused on Maximizing IRR, NPV
Financial Discipline
Strong Returns, Cash Flow Growth, Liquidity,
Optionality
Lookback Evaluation
Improves Economic Returns, Operational
Efficiencies
6
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Drilling &Completion
Midstream SWD Overhead Land -$1,500/acre
% of Fully-Burdened Investment ATAX IRR
What are Fully-Burdened Returns?
2017 XEC project, includes 36 gross wells.Flat oil & natural gas realized prices of $55.00/$2.00
Half-Cycle
Fully-Burdened
+ + + +
Half-Cycle vs Fully-Burdened Returns(% of Fully-Burdened Investment vs IRR)
7
History of Outsized Returns
Cash Return on Capital Employed (CROCE)XEC vs S&P 500 E&P Peers
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
XEC Peer Avg.***
8
XEC Generating Top-Tier Returns
Source: Stifel estimatesE&P estimates based on Stifel estimates, S&P 500 estimates based on consensusCROCE = (CFFO + Interest (1-tax))/ (Avg Capital Employed)
2018 Cash Return on Capital Employed (CROCE)XEC vs S&P 500
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
CRO
CE (
%) Average
9
Delaware Basin – Overview 259,000 total net acres
70% of 2018 D&C Budget Currently running 12 rigs, 2
completion crews
Stacked pay opportunities provides multi-zone development opportunities– Upper and Lower Wolfcamp
– Second and Third Bone Spring
– Avalon
WolfcampBonesprinAvalon
WolfcampBone SpringAvalon
10
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Gen 1 Gen 2 Gen 3 Gen 4
Oil (b/d)
54 –10,000-ft. lateral Upper Wolfcamp wells drilled in Permian Basin since 2013
Improvement in well productivity seen through enhanced completion design
Returns get better with each design change– Current wells have IRRs that
range from 90-140% ATAX Provides strong fully burdened
returns
Well Productivity ImprovementsLong Lateral Upper Wolfcamp Wells(Culberson and Reeves Counties)
Completion GenerationIP180 (BOE/d)
11
Sales agreements in place for oil volumes through 2019
Strategic partnerships in core areas– Pipelines in place– Purchase obligations– Midland index pricing
~70% of oil production on pipe; increasing to >80% by YE18
Permian Basin – Oil Takeaway
Plains pipelinePlains pipeline (under construction)Energy Transfer pipelineOffloading Site
12
Sales agreements in place– 98% of forecasted production through December 2019– El Paso or Waha index pricing
Own and operate two gas gathering systems – Triple Crown – Culberson/Eddy Counties– Matterhorn – Reeves County– Connected to multiple gas processors with inter- and
intrastate outlets– Long-term sales agreements in place for NGL volumes
Permian Basin – Residue Gas & NGL Takeaway
13
Low er WolfcampUpper WolfcampOperated SWD
Carry Back 6 State A 1H
4,220 BOE/d, 2,446 b/d
Delaware Basin – Culberson/White City
100,000+ net acres, JDA with Chevron in Culberson 25% of 2018 D&C capital Targeting Upper and Lower
Wolfcamp, Bone Spring Western delineation
continues to unlock value– Six well average: 30-day IP
of 3,427 Boe/d (56% oil) Animal Kingdom: (WOC)
Lower Wolfcamp– 8 wells testing 14
wells/section
1,216’
1,216’225’
Low
er W
olfc
amp
Animal Kingdom spacing
225’
Animal Kingdom –
8 WellsFlowing Back
14
Resilient Long Lateral ReturnsCulberson Long Lateral Wolfcamp
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
$30 $40 $50 $60 $70Realized Oil Price
Upper Wolfcamp - $2/Mcf Lower Wolfcamp - $2/Mcf
Upper Wolfcamp - $1/Mcf Lower Wolfcamp - $1/Mcf
BTAX IRR*
*Assumes full NGL recovery, NGL price is 30% of oil price
15
Wood State
Snowshoe
Pagoda State
Upper WolfcampOperated SWD
Delaware Basin – Reeves County
61,853 net acres 25% of 2018 D&C capital Targeting Upper Wolfcamp Wood State: 12 well/section
– Development wells 28% above parent wells
Pagoda State: 16 wells/section– Development wells 16% above
parent wells
Snowshoe: 18 wells/section– 8 wells test flowing back
16
Delaware Basin – Lea County
31,384 net acres 12% of 2018 D&C capital Targeting Upper Wolfcamp,
Avalon, Bone Spring Vaca Draw 20-17 Lease IP30s:
– Upper Wolfcamp: 4,645 BOE/D (3,032 BO/D)
– Avalon: 2,733 BOE/D (2,051 BO/D)
– Leonard: 3,413 BOE/D (2,522 BO/D)
Triste Draw (Avalon) – 6 wells testing 20 wells/section,
completing
Red Hills
Red Tank
Triste Draw
Upper WolfcampAvalonBone Spring
Vaca Draw 20-17
Red Hills Unit 17 – 5,164 BOE/d,
3,611 BO/d
17
Mid-Continent – Overview
326,000 net acres 30% of 2018 D&C capital Woodford: 135,625 net
undeveloped acres– Participated in >950 wells
Meramec: 116,500 net acres 14N-10W area: formulating
Woodford/Meramec co-development plans– Operate 90% of ~24,000
gross acres, 60% WI– $2 billion development (net)– Successfully tested 19
wells/section (Leon Gundy)
Cana Core
14N10W
Lone Rock
18
Mid-Continent – Meramec
116,500 net acres – 100% HBP
15% of 2018 D&C capital 40 industry development
pilots active, XEC has interest or data in 31 2018 Developments
– Steve O: 6 wells on 8 well spacing (flowing back)
– Lehman: 4 wells on 6 well spacing
– Miss Mary: 3 wells on 8 well spacing
5,000 ft Meramec10,000 ft MeramecMeramec play outline
Steve O
14N10W
Lehman
Miss Mary
19
Mid-Continent – Woodford
135,625 net undeveloped acres 15% of 2018 D&C capital Lone Rock (16,000 net acres)
yielding best Woodford results to date, completion optimization driving results– Shelly: 5 wells testing 8 and 12
wells per section (flowing back)– JD Hoppinscotch: 4 wells on 8
well spacing (flowing back)
14N-10W area: formulating development plans
Lone Rock
14N 10W
Shelly JD Hoppinscotch
Operated wellNon-operated well
Sweeny 8.24H 1,755 BOE/d, 667 b/d
Kim Anderson Farm 1-23H2,164 BOE/d, 717 b/d
20
Cash Operating Margin ExpansionDeclining LOE and Increasing Realized Prices Driving Margin Expansion
Cash operating costs include: LOE, Transportation, Production Tax, G&A
Realized prices exclude hedge gain/loss
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
$/B
oe O
PEX
& M
argi
n
Mar
gin
%
Cash Operating Costs Margin Margin %
21
2018 Program Overview
Production - MBOE/d
Net Wells Online – 2018E
*Pro forma excludes Ward County volumes
Capital Program ($mm)E&D Capital $1,600 - $1,700D&C Capital $1,300 - $1,400Midstream/Other $80 - $90D&C as % of E&DPermianMid-Continent
Production GuidanceTotal (MBoe/d) 218 - 221Oil(MBbls/d) 66.0 - 67.2
Pro Forma* Y/Y GrowthTotal (MBoe/d) 17% - 18%Oil(MBbls/d) 21% - 23%
2018E
2018E
82%70%30%
2018E
1QA 2QA 3QA 4QE Wells Drillingor WOC at12/31/18Mid-Continent Permian
46
1523
34
51
1QA 2QA 3QA 4QE 2018EOIL
238-247218-221
22
Disciplined Financial Positioning• $1.9 billion of liquidity, including $864mm of cash (3Q18)Significant
Liquidity
• 1.1x Debt/TTM EBITDA (3Q18)Conservative Leverage
• $750 million 3.900% senior unsecured notes due in 2027• $750 million 4.375% senior unsecured notes due in 2024
Investment Grade Debt
XEC Debt/EBITDA
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3Q18
Debt
/TTM
EBI
TDA
Debt/TTM EBITDA Average
23
Positioned for Success
• Maximizing full-cycle return on invested capital• Idea driven, technical emphasis
Enduring Culture
• Generating strong returns• Decades of top-tier inventory
Premier Portfolio
• 2018 Oil Production Growth: 21%-23%Profitable Growth
• Low leverage and liquidity provides opportunitiesStrong
Financial Position
24
Appendix
25
2018 Guidance
4Q18E FY18E
Production (MBOE/d) 238 - 247 218-221
Oil Production (MBbls/d) 73.0 - 78.0 66.0 – 67.2
Capital Expenditures ($billion)E & D $1.6 – 1.7
D & C $1.3 – 1.4
Midstream/Other $0.08 – 0.09
Expenses ($/BOE)Production $3.35 – 3.80
Transportation, processing & other $2.40 – 3.00
DD&A and ARO accretion $7.00 – 7.60
General and administrative $1.10 – 1.40
Taxes other than income (% of oil and gas revenue) 5.75 – 6.25%
26
Hedges as of October 30, 20182018 2019 2020
Fourth Quarter
First Quarter
Second Quarter
Third Quarter
Fourth Quarter
First Quarter
Second Quarter
OILWTI Oil Collars1
Volume (Bbl/d) 37,000 31,000 31,000 24,000 16,000 8,000 —Weighted Average Floor 52.97 53.94 53.94 55.67 58.50 60.00 —Weighted Average Ceiling 64.79 66.88 66.88 70.03 71.94 75.85 —
WTI Swaps2
Volume (Bbl/d) 29,000 29,000 29,000 24,000 16,000 7,000 7,000Weighted Average Differential3 (5.01) (5.46) (5.46) (6.50) (7.79) (0.40) (0.40)
GASPEPL Collars4
Volume (MMBtu/d) 123,261 120,000 120,000 90,000 60,000 30,000 —Weighted Average Floor 2.09 2.05 2.05 1.93 1.93 1.97 —Weighted Average Ceiling 2.43 2.42 2.42 2.34 2.42 2.51 —
El Paso Perm Collars5
Volume (MMBtu/d) 86,630 80,000 80,000 60,000 30,000 10,000 —Weighted Average Floor 1.78 1.69 1.69 1.48 1.37 1.40 —Weighted Average Ceiling 2.01 1.92 1.92 1.74 1.60 1.70 —
Waha Collars6
Volume (MMBtu/d) 26,630 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 20,000 —Weighted Average Floor 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.40 —Weighted Average Ceiling 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.73 —
Total Natural Gas CollarsVolume (MMBtu/d) 236,521 230,000 230,000 180,000 120,000 60,000 —
Notes:1 WTI refers to West Texas Intermediate oil prices as quoted on the New York Mercantile Exchange 4 PEPL refers to Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Tex/OK Mid-Continent as quoted on Platt’s Inside FERC 2 Index price on basis swaps is WTI Midland as quoted by Argus Americas Crude 5 El Paso Perm refers to El Paso Permian Basin index as quoted on Platt’s Inside FERC3 Index price on basis swaps is WTI NYMEX less weighted average differential shown in table 6 Waha refers to West Texas Natural Gas Index (“Waha”) as quoted in Platt’s Inside FERC.
27
Permian Region ProductionDaily Production(BOE)
81
9994
8780
85 86 85
96
107 105
112 114
122 121
0
25
50
75
100
125
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
Oil NGL Natural Gas
28
Mid-Continent Region ProductionDaily Production(MBOE)
7470 68
7782
77
7174
8185 85
8891
89
0
25
50
75
100
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
Oil NGL Natural Gas
97
29
Own and operate salt water disposal (SWD) systems in Culberson, Eddy and Reeves – Improves operating costs
Recycling produced water for completion operations– 40% of total water procured in
2017 was recycled– Cost savings of ~$1.10/bbl of
water Culberson Wolfcamp wells use
87% recycled water for completions; Reeves Wolfcamp wells use 46%
Secured SWD agreements in Lea County
Permian Basin Water Management
Saltwater Disposal System
30
Investment Sensitivities Highlight Asset Quality and Depth
Assuming 10% annual production CAGR over the next three years, Cimarex can generate $500-600mm of cumulative free cash flow
*Assumes $55/$2.00 realized prices*Free cash flow is defined as cash provided by operating activities less D&C capital, capitalized overhead, production and midstream capital and dividends. It excludes proceeds from announced asset sale.
2019-2021Cumulative Free Cash
Growth Sensitivities Boe Oil Flow ($mm)* CROCEMaintenance Case 700 Flat FlatGrowth Sensitivity 1,200 10% 13% $500-$600 30%
Production Growth (3-Yr CAGR)Capex
($mm)
31
Culberson Lower Wolfcamp - Animal Kingdom– Eight wells testing 14 wells per section– Waiting on completion
Red Hills (Lea) Upper Wolfcamp - Hallertau– Six wells testing 12 wells per section– Producing
Reeves Upper Wolfcamp - Snowshoe– Eight wells testing 18 wells per section– Currently completing
Red Tank (Lea) Avalon - Triste Draw– Six wells testing 20 wells per section– Waiting on completion
Permian Basin Development Pilot Details
1,216’
1,216’225’
Low
er W
olfc
amp
Animal Kingdom spacing
225’
Snowshoe spacing880’
880’
375’
Upp
er W
olfc
amp
190’
500’
380’
Ava
lon
Triste Draw spacing
Hallertau spacing880’
Upp
er W
olfc
amp
50’
225’
32
Non-GAAP ReconciliationReconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA1
($ in Millions) 2015 2016 2017LTM
9/30/18
Net income (loss) $ (2,580) $ (409) $ 494 $ 650
Income tax expense (benefit) (1,472) (214) 188 143
Interest expense, net of capitalized 55 62 52 47
DD&A and ARO accretion 741 400 462 560
EBITDA (3,256) (161) 1,196 1,400
Impairment of oil and gas 4,033 758 — —
Adjusted EBITDA 778 597 1,196 1,400
1The above table provides a reconciliation from generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) net income (loss) to non-GAAP EBITDA and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, which excludes ceiling test impairments
Debt Adjusted Shares (Using trailing 12-mo (TTM) stock price)
2016 2017LTM
9/30/18
Basic shares outstanding (in 000s) 95,124 95,437 95,603Debt adjusted shares outstanding
YE Debt, net 847,124 1,099,466 636,054TTM stock price 115.07 114.00 102.43
Equivalent shares issued using TTM stock price 7,362 9,644 6,210
Debt adjusted shares using TTM stock price 102,485 105,082 101,813
33
Non-GAAP ReconciliationReconciliation of cash flow from operations1 Debt/Cap calculation
Nine Months Ended September 30, ($ in Millions)
Sept 30, 2018
($ in Millions) 2017 2018Long-term debt (principal) 1,500
Net cash provided by operating activities $ 756 $ 1,158 Stockholders equity 3,026
Change in operating assets and liabilities 73 (52) Total capitalization 4,526
Adjusted cash flow from operations $ 829 $ 1,105 Long-term debt/total capitalization 33%
Finding & development (F&D) cost2017
Additions to proved reserves (MMBOE)Revisions of previous estimates (10.0)
Extensions & discoveries 156.8
Purchase of reserves 0.2
Total Additions (all sources) 147
Total Capital ($MM) $ 1,281
F&D Costs (all sources) ($/BOE) $ 8.71
Drilling F&D cost (extensions & discoveries) ($/BOE) $ 8.17
Debt/Adjusted EBITDA calculationTwelve months Ended Dec 31 LTM
($ in Millions) 2016 2017 9/30/18
Long-term debt (principal) $1,500 $1,500 $1,500
Adjusted EBITDA 597 1,196 1,400
Debt/Adjusted EBITDA 2.5x 1.3x 1.1x
1Management uses the non-GAAP measure of adjusted cash flow from operations as a means of measuring the company's ability to fund its capital program and dividends, without fluctuations caused by changes in current assets and liabilities, which are included in the GAAP measure of cash flow from operating activities. Management believes this non-GAAP measure provides useful information to investors for the same reasons, and that it is also used by professional research analysts in providing investment recommendations pertaining to companies in the oil and gas exploration and production industry.
34
Non-GAAP ReconciliationCash Return on Capital Employed (CROCE)
Cash Flow from Operating Activities+ After-tax Interest ExpenseAverage Book Equity + Average Debt
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cash flow from operating activities 1,367 675 1,130 1,292 1,193 1,324 1,619 726 626 1,097Effective Tax Rate 37% 36% 37% 37% 37% 37% 37% 36% 34% 28%
Stockholder's equity 2,349 2,038 2,610 3,131 3,390 3,834 4,332 2,458 2,043 2,568Debt 591 393 350 405 750 924 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500Capitalization 2,941 2,431 2,960 3,536 4,140 4,758 5,832 3,958 3,543 4,068
Interest expense 33 40 37 36 49 55 73 86 83 75Capitalized int (22) (23) (29) (29) (35) (32) (36) (31) (21) (23)Net interest exp 11 17 8 7 14 23 37 55 62 52
CROCE 41% 26% 42% 40% 31% 30% 31% 16% 18% 30%