COPERT Stock and Activity Data at a Country Level

COPERT - SIBYL workshop

21-22 October 2015

Brussels, Belgium

Key takeaways

Historical COPERT input data are available for each EU28+ country Can be directly introduced in COPERT to produce time-series of AP and GHG emissions These are not official data and should not be used to replace official data Available at http://www.emisia.com

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Data coverage

All EU28 MSs plus FYROM, Norway, Iceland, Switzerland, and Turkey

Time series for the complete 2000-2013 period

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Data usability

Data for each country stored in a zip format

Each country file contains all input data required for a full COPERT run

No additional info is needed

The content of the zip file after downloading can be extracted by password (to be purchased)

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Why not use official statistics?

Official statistics are available from various sources, both at a national and at an international level:

Are usually aggregated, present gaps, incomplete time series

Inconsistent definitions, no common vehicle classification

Values from different sources do not always agree

No single source provides all data required

No information at all for some specific data categories

A processing methodology is required to create a complete dataset by synthesizing all the collected statistical information

Cross-checking in the end to ensure matching with official statistics to the degree possible (at least at aggregated level)

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Example – GR vehicle stock numbers

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What happened with the data since last year

All COPERT data updated to 2013

Streamlined FLEETS and TRACCS data for smooth shift in historic data

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2000-2005 2005-2010 2011-2013

FLEETS Latest statistics

FLEETS

European Database of Vehicle Stock for the Calculation and

Forecast of Pollutant and Greenhouse Gases Emissions with

TREMOVE and COPERT

Funded by European Commission / DG Environment

December 2006 – April 2008

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Under the coordination of LAT/AUTH

TRACCS http:/traccs.emisia.com

Transport data collection supporting the quantitative analysis

of measures relating to transport and climate change

Funded by European Commission / DG Climate Action

January 2012 – December 2013

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TRACCS objectives

Provide updated historical data (stock, activity and economic) at EU level for the period 2005-2010

Complete and consistent road transport dataset with no gaps on a per country basis

Used for

Activity and emission modelling

Projection tools

Inventories for policy assessment purposes

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TRACCS sources for data collection

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Collected data: used in data processing, fill in gaps, make cross checking in the end

TRACCS data processing methodology

Implemented with VB software modules (reconciliation for stock data, QA/QC rules, energy balance) applied to all countries

Complete, processed, consistent dataset with no gaps for each country

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Collected data

Input file Reconciliation

module Final

Dataset

TRACCS data sources

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Overall indicator for

comparison with other

sources

(example: total

number of passenger

cars)

Perfect matching at aggregated level with at least one source of official statistics for road vehicles population

Reliability of COPERT data

TRACCS & FLEETS are reviewed and cross-checked by EC, independent reviewers, national experts on road statistics and emission modelling.

The quality, completeness and consistency of these two projects datasets ensure the good quality of the COPERT data

The fuel consumption produced by COPERT using these data matches consumption per fuel reported by national submissions to UNFCCC

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Some indicative results

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Gasoline / diesel trends (population)

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% change of gasoline % change of diesel

Years from 2005 - 2010

Gasoline: Increase in EU28 (-7%), decrease in 17 (western) countries

Diesel: increase in EU28 (39%), increase in all 33 countries

Absolute numbers EU28: ~ 159 vs. 62 million (2005)-> ~147 vs. 86 million (2010)

Total fuel consumption per vehicle category

Total fuel consumption (in Mt) from road transport (EU28, 2005-2010)

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PCs have the largest fuel consumption (slight decrease -1% from 2005 to 2010)

15% increase for 2W, 0% for buses, 6% for LCVs, 2% for HDTs

Diesel fuel consumption per vehicle category

Diesel fuel consumption share (%) per vehicle category (EU28, 2010)

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PCs have the largest share of diesel fuel consumption (41%), followed by HDTs (33%), LCVs (20%) and buses (6%)

Gasoline / diesel trends (fuel consumption)

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Gasoline / diesel fuel consumption (in Mt) from road transport (EU28, 2005-2010)

Gasoline: decrease in EU28 (-19%), decrease in 27 (western) countries

Diesel: increase in EU28 (23%), increase in all 32 countries

Absolute numbers : ~ 82 vs. 81 million t (2010), fuel consumption gasoline comparable to diesel

Fuel consumption factors for PCs(g/km)

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Implied fuel consumption factors (g/km) for PCs Total, Gasoline, Diesel (2005-2010) (values and % change)

EU28: improvement for gasoline (from 57.2 to 56.3 g/km) and diesel (from 50.4 to 49.2 g/km)

Per country: improvement in gasoline for 24 and in diesel for 19 countries

Thank you for your attention!

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