COMPILED BY HOWIE BAUM - University of Cincinnati · 2020-04-30 · determined in the future. They...
Transcript of COMPILED BY HOWIE BAUM - University of Cincinnati · 2020-04-30 · determined in the future. They...
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COMPILED BY HOWIE BAUM
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Emerging technologies will change everything –how we work, how we live, & how we communicate
Emerging technologies are new progressive developments of technical innovations that are understood as capable of changing what exists today within a field, for a company’s competitive advantage.
Many of these can be described as disruptors of what exists today which makes for bigger changes than we have had in the past
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Emerging technologies are characterized by radical novelty, relatively fast growth, prominent impact, potential for a competitive advantage for a company that makes the product, and uncertainty and ambiguity because their importance is determined in the future.
They include a variety of technologies such as educational technology, information technology, nanotechnology, biotechnology,cognitive science, psycho technology, robotics, and artificial intelligence.
With the long term hope that they will offer opportunities for the betterment of the human condition.
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IMPROVING OUR HUMAN CONDITION ARE THE CHARACTERISTICS, KEY EVENTS, AND SITUATIONS WHICH COMPOSE THE ESSENTIALS OF HUMAN EXISTENCE:
Birth
Growth
Emotionality
Aspiration
Conflict
Mortality
The meaning of Life on a moral basis, such as:
Religion
Philosophy
History
Art
Literature
Anthropology
Psychology
Biology
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THESE ARE THE MAIN CATEGORIES WHERE EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES ARE COMING FROM:
AGRICULTURE
ARCHITECTURE
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
AVIATION
BUSINESS
COMMUNICATIONS
CONSTRUCTION
DISPLAYS
ELECTRONICS
ENERGY
ENTERTAINMENT
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (IT)
MATERIALS SCIENCE
MEDICAL
MILITARY
NEUROSCIENCE
OUTER SPACE
ROBOTICS
TRANSPORT
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Mega Trends are global, sustained and large economic forces of development that impact business, economy, society, cultures and personal lives thereby defining our future world and its increasing pace of change.
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NEW EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES AND HOW THEY AFFECT US AS HUMANS
The large majority of people in the world live a life dependent on technology.
The World Health Organization estimates that more than a billion (1,000,000,000) people right now are already dependent on assistive technologies like hearing aids, prosthetic limbs, body implants, and wheelchairs.
It is estimated that a third of the world’s population will be wearing glasses or contact lenses by the end of this decade.
Billions of people rely on drugs to maintain their quality of life (or even to stay alive). Especially in richer countries—between more than half of US adults are using prescribed drugs of some kind.
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Our clothes are plastic, our food is selectively-bred (or genetically-altered) for higher yields, and our mental labor is outsourced to computers.
Ever since we mastered fire and discovered that it made food both tastier and more nutritious, humans have been taking and shaping the world around them.
The world around us— including our own inventions—has then shaped us, in turn.
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Humans and machines are not actually opposites of each other; the binary of “natural” and “unnatural” is a description that can mask what’s really happening in the world.
Our technology is an extension of our humanity. We are all human machines.
It’s common to think about the world in terms of what’s natural, and what we’ve created:
Plants versus buildings
Pharmaceuticals versus home remedies
Organic food versus processed
Digital communication versus face-to-face
The point is that we shouldn’t use terms like “technology” and “nature” as if they’re opposites—because they’re not.
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The last decade has seen the explosion of smartphones and constant communication, everywhere, anytime.
What does that mean for how we think? Why is it that we feel that gut fear of the new?
So often the temptation is to worry—tabloids are adept at exploiting the fears of parents that too
much screen time is damaging the brains of their children.
But to focus our worry on how smartphones might be “rewiring kids’ brains” is missing a bigger point.
We should think less about changing brains and more about whether we can trust the devices that are doing the changing. After all, they’re designed and built by people trying to make money from us.
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“…The children now love luxury. They have bad manners, contempt for authority, they show disrespect for adults and love to talk rather than work or exercise. They no longer rise when adults enter the room. They contradict their parents, chatter in front of company, gobble down their food at the table and intimidate their teachers…”
WHO SAID THIS AND WHEN ?
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Socrates - 5th Century B.C.
2,500 years ago !!
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Socrates worried about what new technology was doing to young peoples’ brains.
As younger scholars moved from oral arguments to written ones, Socrates argued against writing, which he felt would “create forgetfulness in the learners’ souls, because they will not use their memories.”
Thousands of years later, little has changed: in the 20th century, moral panic erupted over television, which detractors worried would turn us all into zombified couch potatoes, incapable of creative thought.
Decades later, video games were even worse, turning our children into amoral, trigger-happy monsters.
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THERE ARE SOME KEY IMPORTANT RECURRING QUESTIONS IN EVERYTHING WE EXPERIENCE WITH
NEW TECHNOLOGIES
What is the point of a future that’s not accessible to everyone?
If we feel the technology we rely on is changing us, can we trust that change?
After all, the revolution of today is the mundane of tomorrow. Our successors will find the moral panics around smartphones as quaint as we now think of 20th century moral panics over television.
That isn’t to deny that technology changes us—just that
humanity can be endlessly adaptable, and we can find ourselves within a new normal with quick changes.
We will always be living part-biological, part-technological lives, because that’s what humans do.
We invent, we adapt, we manipulate and adjust—and we try and understand those processes, to welcome or to fear them.
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• Customer/User- Centeredapproaches
• Leveraging mobile, social media, cloud & big data/analytics organizations will put customers/users even more effectively at the center of their marketing.
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EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES
In the last minute there were…..
…….and that’s nothing to what’s coming
• 187 million emails sent
• 20 million photo views
• 375,000 apps downloaded
• 481,000 tweets
• 973,000 Facebook Logins
• 3.7 million Google searches
• 4.3 million YouTube videos watched
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17
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Some organizations will fail, some will thrive, and all will have to evolve.
HOW WILL CONSUMER BEHAVIOR EVOLVE?
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• Emerging technologies will be the dominant driver of disruptive change for the foreseeable future, bringing significant opportunities and threats
• In the race to the future, organizations that back the right emerging technologies may survive and prosper – those that don’t, wont
• Organizations face more uncertainty now than at any point in living memory
- Which emerging technologies to back?
- How to deliver the value and reduce the risks of the emerging technologies they back?
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HOW ARE HUMANS INTELLIGENT ?
• Learning
• Reasoning
• Problem Solving and Creativity
• Social Behavior
• Experiencing our Environment with our senses:
• Hearing• Sight• Touch• Taste• Smelling 24
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THE NO-COLLAR WORKFORCE
As automation, cognitive technologies, and artificial intelligence gain traction, companies may need to reinvent worker roles, assigning some to humans, others to machines, and still others to a hybrid model in which technology augments human performance.
Managing both humans and machines will present new challenges to the overall company management and the human resources organization, including how to simultaneously retrain augmented workers and to pioneer new HR processes for managing virtual workers, cognitive agents, bots, and the other AI-driven capabilities comprising the “no-collar” workforce.
By redesigning legacy practices, systems, and talent models around the tenets of autonomics, HR groups can begin transforming themselves into nimble, fast-moving, dynamic organizations better positioned to support the talent—both mechanized and human—of tomorrow.
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WHEN ROBOTS ARE YOUR COLLEAGUES, WHICH HUMAN SKILLS WILL STILL MATTER?
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Technology is moving at an increasingly fast pace, with every facet of our lives now linked intrinsically to microchips in one way or another.
While this might all be in the name of progress, it is also having a negative effect on many traditional careers, which are becoming more and more automated.
As a result, if a person is looking for a job, it is important to avoid choosing an industry that is made up of disappearing jobs.
There are already warning signs: A recent study by the Foundation for Young Australians (FYA) found that nearly 60 per cent of young people in the country are currently training for careers that will be two-thirds automated in the next 10 to 15 years, which is a huge waste of skills.
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JOBS IN A SENIOR’S LIFETIME THAT AREN’T AROUND ANYMORE
BOWLING PIN SETTERS
SWITCH BOARD OPERATORS
THE MILKMAN ELEVATOR ATTENDANT
TYPIST POOL HABERDASHER THE ICEMAN
BOOK PEDDLER, DOOR TO DOOR SALESPERSON, OR THE FULLER BRUSH MAN
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HERE ARE 13 OTHER JOBS THAT PROBABLY WON’T EXIST IN 2030:
Travel AgentsCashiersLibrariansMail Delivery PersonsBank TellersPeople will still need to consult with financial advisors and experts, so banks will still remain open; there will just be a lot less of them.Textile WorkersPersons who work in the Print IndustryThis covers a range of jobs, from newspaper and magazine publishers to the factory workers that produce and distribute them. Sports Referees and UmpiresAirplane PilotsAlthough the idea of planes being flown by machines might put some off flying for life, it is actually very likely that you’ve already been onboard an auto-piloted flight. Indeed, according to aviation consultant Douglas M. Moss, Asian flight carriers forbid their pilots from landing the plane, insisting the process must be automated.
Taxi DriversLumberjacksTelemarketersFishermen
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WHAT ITEMS THAT WE USE OR USED RECENTLY, WILL BE GONE IN THE FUTURE ?
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WHAT ELSE WILL BE GONE ?
FAST FOOD WORKERS THE CLUTCH PEDAL COLLEGE TEXTBOOKS
NEIGHBORHOOD MAIL COLLECTION BOX
PARKING METERS THE PENNY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9l1CyyY2jw
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WHEN WAS THE LAST TME YOU NEEDED TO:
Get ready to go on a car trip and look for your U.S. road atlas.
Buy, select, and lick a stamp
Post an ad in the Personals page of the Enquirer
Memorize a phone number
Use a phone book to find a company to do work around your house
Park your used car on the street with a sign that says it’s for sale
Figure out math in your head or on paper
Tell time by looking at the hands on a clock
Make a photo album
Have a CD or record collection
Make a mix cassette tape
Call a theater to get movie times
Record your favorite programs on a VHS video tape
Watch shows when they are broadcast live
Run to the store for a last minute gift
Cut things out of the newspaper
Send a handwritten letter
Look up the spelling of words in the dictionary
Use a phone booth
Carry enough change to make a phone call
Get your old checks back from the bank every month
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WHAT ARE THE PROS OF TECHNOLOGY?
It allows us to experience new cultures.
It provides us with deeper insights.
It allows us to do more with less.
It improves profits.
It makes research become simple.
It saves time.
More Job Opportunities
Better Communication
Incredible Medical and Health Care
Easy access to information
Encourages innovation and creativity
Improved housing and lifestyle
Better entertainment
Convenience in education
Social networking
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WHAT ARE THE CONS OF TECHNOLOGY?
It can be powerfully destructive.
It helps us destroy the environment.
It leads to health problems.
It has created a lack of privacy.
It isn’t cheap.
It creates the need to constantly upgrade.
Can Create a Social Divide
A Generation of Laziness
Quickly Becomes Obsolete
Social isolation
Loss of employment
Reduced competency
Weapons of mass destruction
Reduced privacy
Intellectual property theft
Exposure to attacks
Loss of human touch
Malfunctions may lead to loss of life
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SO WHICH WAY DO YOU THINK WE (AS HUMANITY) SHOULD GO ?
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A BETTER FUTURE FOR HUMANS
Robotus primus
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FLEXIBLE, OLED PHONE SCREEN
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THE END