CMD 2012: Downstream Focus (Egil Hogna and Tove Andersen)
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Transcript of CMD 2012: Downstream Focus (Egil Hogna and Tove Andersen)
Egil Hogna, Head of Downstream
Tove Andersen, Head of Marketing
Downstream focus
1
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Downstream role and priorities
Knowledge leadership in sustainable
agriculture and crop nutrition
Creating pull for Yara solutions working
with food companies and other
stakeholders
Farmer and distributor preference for
Yara solutions driven by engaging tools
Innovation a clear market differentiator:
Adapting to a water scarce world
Be the crop nutrition
provider adding the
most value after own
costs to any fertilizer
product from plant
gate to customer
Our goal… …and what we prioritize to get there
Safe and productive operations
2
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Yara Small Site Productivity System
Yara Small Site
Productivity
System
Engineering/
maintenanceProductivity
Product/
material
handling
Safety
3
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Strong financial performance last 12 months
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
30 %
35 %
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
2008 2009 2010 2011 L12M
CROGIEBITDA ex special items and CROGI
EBITDA ex sp. Items CROGI
NOK millions
4
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
2010/11 2011/12
Europe Outside Europe
Increased OPP sales and sales overseas
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
OPP/OBL JV TPP
2010/11 2011/2012
Kilotons Kilotons
-7%
-1%
5%
5
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Strong NPK development
Realized prices on Yara-produced NPK compounds
* 100 = European price in YTD 2011
Yara-produced compound NPK volumes
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Kilotons
+15%
+1%
OverseasEurope
Jan-Sep 2012Jan-Sep 2011
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Index*
+5%
-2%
OverseasEurope
6
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Increased nitrate demand overseas, but
European presence remains important
Nitrate sales
-20 %
0 %
20 %
40 %
60 %
80 %
100 %
Jan July 2008
Jan July 2009
Jan July 2010
Jan July 2011
Jan July 2012
Nitrate premiums*
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12
Kilotons
Outside Europe Europe
* CAN cif Germany premium above (Urea black sea + $35 freight) * 1.065 duty tax
7
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2008 2009 2010 2011 3Q 2012
DaysGross operating capital days, 12 months rolling
Operating capital discipline maintained
8
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Innovation is progressing
Scouting Market ImplementationActive Development IndustrializationIdea
Water Sensor In-house KNO3
Fertigation Tool & Service
Fertigation Portfolio -CN
Semi-soluble
NPK
Leadership in
fertigation
Market shaper for
water scarce
agriculture
Leadership in
semi-soluble
fertilizers
Growth in calcium and potassium nitrate identified
Fertigation Plan software launched for data collection in major markets
In-house research project crop water sensor technologies
New process route for production of potassium nitrate
Leadership in semi-soluble fertilizers
A new NPK-type commercially launched in Brazil
New product offered together with direct injection technology
Market shaper for water scarce agriculture
R&D on the link between water use efficiency and crop nutrition
Water footprint calculator: focus on effect of crop nutrition
9
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Downstream develops Push and Pull for Yara’s
products and solutions
10
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Significant potential in shifting sales into value
added segments
USD/t
Kilotons
Premium above global blend
11
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
We work in a systematic manner to identify the
crop segments with highest potential
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0 50 100 150 200 250
CVI
million ha
CVI and hectare grown of key crops
Strawberry
WheatMaizeCoffee
Oranges
Apples
Crop Value Index is sales price of the crop divided by cost of fertilizers and is used as an indicator for the profitability of an investment in fertilizer to produce that crop
Potato
12
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
External research
+
Yara research and trials
Knowledge is developed and translated into
crop nutrition solutions for the farmer
Local
adaptation
=
Segment and country specific
Crop Nutrition Program
13
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Yara’s Plantmaster series includes 14 crops
and 400 million ha of harvested land
14
IR – Date: 2011-12-06
Yara’s crop nutrition solutions provide large
benefits for farmers
45
65
Current practice Yara
Citrus yield in Brazil
44%
2,4
4,3
Current practice Yara
Corn yield in Tanzania
83%
71
84
Current practice Yara
Sugarcane yield in Brazil
19%
3,03,3
Current practice Yara
Coffee yield in Vietnam
12%
Source: Yara trias
15
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
To promote our solutions to the farmer we work
with different partners and channels
Web
Social media
Precision farming tools
Farmer meetings
Demonstration
plots
Advisors
Research institutes
Value chain
partners
Mobile apps
Crop Clinics
Distributors
16
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Acquire and transmit images
Process images and
generate response
Receive and display
recommendation
Central server
Smartphone with camera and
internet access
ImageIT – fertilizer recommendations in the
farmers hand
17
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0 % 20 % 40 % 60 % 80 %
Leaf cover [%]
N-Uptake [kg N/ha]
Agronomic calibration
% of leaf cover into N uptake
Predict N-uptake from:
Percentage leaf cover
Growth stage
Fraction of brown leaves
18
Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
Organic growth and growth through acquisitions utilizing existing platform
and strengths
Further improved safety and productivity through standardized processes
Innovation and agronomy leadership to sustain premium margins
Downstream in 2013