Climate Change Tt

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    Is the world getting warmer?

    If so, are the actions of mankind to blame forearths temperature increase?

    What can/should be done about theseissues?

    Are the potential resolutions worth the cost toimplement them?

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    ?

    The main reason behind the ClimateChange is Global Warming.

    Global warming is mainly caused due toGHGs emissions.

    Burning fuels such as coal, natural gas & oil produces

    Green house gases in excessive amounts.

    There is a Increase CO2 emissions, especially in China and developing countries like

    India

    With rise in Economic growth , industries are increasing at incredible rate due towhich rate of carbon dioxide has increased

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    GJJ99 3Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research

    The greenhouse effect

    SUNSome solar radiation is

    reflected by the earths

    surface and the atmosphere

    ATMOSPHERE

    Solar radiationpasses through the

    clear atmosphere

    EARTHMost solar radiation is absorbedby the surface, which warms

    Some of the infrared

    radiation is absorbed

    and re-emitted by the

    greenhouse gases.

    The effect of this is to

    warm the surface

    and the lower

    atmosphere

    Infrared radiation

    is emitted from the

    Earths surface

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    CONSEQUENCES

    OFGLOBAL

    WARMING

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    -0.6

    -0.4-0.2

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1920 1960 2000

    Year

    TemperatureChange(C)

    1920 1960 2000

    Year

    Northern vs. Southern Latitude Land vs. Ocean

    Northern HemisphereSouthern Hemisphere

    LandOcean

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    GRACE (gravity measured by satellite) foundmelting of Antarctica equivalent to sea levelrise of 0.4 mm/year (2 in/century)

    Zwally, 2005 (satellite radaraltimetry)

    confirmed Antarctica melting

    Greenland ice melting onexterior, accumulating inland(higher precipitation)

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    Present rate is 1.8 0.3 mm/yr (7.4in/century)

    Accelerating at a rate of 0.013 0.006

    mm/yr2

    If acceleration continues, could result in 12in/century sea level rise

    Scenarios claiming 1 meter or more rise areunrealistic

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    Polar Bears

    Require pack ice to live

    Might eventually go extinct in the wild

    Sea turtlesBreed on the same islands as

    their birth

    Could go extinct on some islands

    as beaches are flooded

    Other species may go extinct as rainfall patterns

    change throughout the world

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    Decreased thermohaline circulation

    Cooler temperatures in North Atlantic

    CO2 fertilization effect

    Precipitation changes Droughts and famine (some areas)

    Expanded arable land in Canada, Soviet Union

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    -50 -20 -10 -5 5 10 20 50

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    Lake Faguibine Lake Chad

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    Impact on Agricultural Sector

    A report from Carnegie Inst, shows that

    in past 20 years annual yield ofworlds

    six largest crops has decreased due to

    increasingly warmer temperature. These

    drop in yield led to a economic loss of $5billion a year.

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    According To Nicholas Stern ClimateChange will have a serious impact oneconomic growth that 1% of GDP will berequired to mitigate its effects. Thats lotof money, given that GDP was almost

    $70 trillion in 2008,according to worldbank.

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    DIFFERENT EFFECTS ON COUNTRIES

    Oxfam Internationals report concludedthat trade patterns will likely to shift asclimate changes take hold.

    Richer parts of world will receive a boost,while poorer regions suffer .American Agricultural profits will raise by$1.3 billion annually ,while sub saharan will

    lose $2 billion annually due to viability ofregions staple crops ,maize ,declined.

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    Electricity costs will go up 90% till 2035,

    Prices of petrol will rise rapidly up 58%

    Price of Natural gas will rise up 55% till 2035

    There will be increase in the cost impact on

    Individual rising from average $829 to

    $1241 by 2035

    There will be job losses averaging 11 lakhs

    From any point b/w 2012 to 2035

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    INVESTMENT TREND

    According to new Energy Finance ,total newglobal investment in clean energy were $33.4billion in 2004, $ 58.7 billion in 2005, 148.4

    billion in 2007 (60% increase)It will increase through 2030.

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    TRANSPORTATION COSTS

    The increase in temperature will causevarious transport infrastructure like roads,bridges, ships to face greater temperature

    changes. Due to this the maintenance cost ofthe transport will increase. This will causebroken runways, malformed roads & sunken

    foundations.

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    ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS

    There are 5 essential biological systems whichsupport the world economy Croplands

    Forests Grasslands Oceans Fresh waterways

    With change in temperature, it degrades theseecological factors. Hence, doing seriousdamage to economy.

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    IMPACT ON LIVING BEINGS

    30 new diseases emerged in last 20 years,many thrived in warmer weather.

    Lyme disease is linked to warmer humid

    conditions that breed more deer ticks. Fewer deaths from cold, more from heat.

    50 years from now, malaria could spreadto parts of world that are now too cold tosupport lifecycle of the mosquitoes & itsparasites that transmit the disease.

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    ConservationReduce energy needs

    Recycling

    Alternate energy sourcesNuclear

    Wind

    Geothermal

    HydroelectricSolar

    Fusion?

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/44/Recycle001.svg
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    Depleted oil and gas reservoirs

    CO2 in enhanced oil and gas recovery

    Deep saline formations (a) offshore (b) onshore CO2 in enhanced coal bed methane recovery

    Ada ted from IPCC SRCCS Figure TS-7

    3a2

    3b 14

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    Increased frequency of extremetemperature events (such as heat waves,forest fire etc.).

    Heightened storm intensity. Altered precipitation patterns.

    Sea-level rise(Melting of glaciers).

    Reversal of ocean currents . These factors can have relevant effects on

    the functioning of ecosystems, the viability

    of wildlife, and the well-being of humans.

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    Global warming is happening

    Most warming is probably the result ofhuman activities

    There will be positive and negative (mostly)repercussions from global warming

    The costs to mitigate global warming will be

    high better spent elsewhere?