Clean Energy For the MENA Region’s Tomorrow - Dana Gas Morgan Fixed Income Emerging... · Clean...

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www.danagas.com 1 Dana Gas Investor Presentation February 2014 Clean Energy For the MENA Region’s Tomorrow

Transcript of Clean Energy For the MENA Region’s Tomorrow - Dana Gas Morgan Fixed Income Emerging... · Clean...

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www.danagas.com 1

Dana Gas Investor Presentation

February 2014

Clean Energy For the MENA

Region’s Tomorrow

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Forward Looking Statement

This presentation contains forward-looking

statements which may be identified by their use of

words like “plans,” “expects,” “will,” “anticipates,”

“believes,” “intends,” “projects,” “estimates” or other

words of similar meaning. All statements that

address expectations or projections about the

future, including, but not limited to, statements

about the strategy for growth, product

development, market position, expenditures, and

financial results, are forward looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are based on certain

assumptions and expectations of future events. The

Company, its subsidiaries and its affiliates (the

“Companies”) referred to in this presentation cannot

guarantee that these assumptions and expectations

are accurate or will be realised. The actual results,

performance or achievements of the Companies,

could thus differ materially from those projected in

any such forward-looking statements. The

Companies assume no responsibility to publicly

amend, modify or revise any forward looking

statements, on the basis of any subsequent

developments, information or events, or otherwise.

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Presentation Outline

The MENA Region and its relevance

Dana Gas: A Brief Overview

Recent Performance

Country Operations

Valuations

Summary

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5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Gas

Pro

du

ctio

n T

cf p

.a.

North Africa

Middle East

Focused on a region that holds the largest share of global

conventional oil & gas reserves and production

Countries included:

Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, United

Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait,

Oman Syria, Jordan, Egypt,

Libya, Tunisia & Algeria

Source: BP Statistical Review 2012 & IEA

Proved Oil Reserve (2012)

Proved Gas Reserve (2012) Global Gas Production (2012)

Global Oil Production (2012)

4

6614 Tcf

1669 Bln

bbl

118

Tcf p.a

86.2 mln bopd

MENA Gas production outlook

MENA oil production outlook

>35% of global oil

production

~20% of global gas

production

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Natural Gas fast becoming the Fuel of Choice for the

growing energy demand in MENA and else where

5

Global Population Trends

(Source: UN)

Global Primary Energy Demand

(Source: IEA)

Growing economies fueling demand for

energy

70% less CO2 than coal in power

generation (old plants)

Small physical footprint versus coal,

nuclear or renewables

Able to operate near full capacity reliably

all the time

Increasing pan-geographic pipeline

connectivity and growing LNG trade

addressing cross-border product demand

Globally, in 2012 c.25 bn boe of

discoveries were made, of which, c.70%

were natural gas (100 TCF)

250+ years of conventional /

unconventional (shale gas) reserve life

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Fast growing domestic demand in MENA

3. For countries where data available for 2012

MENA Country Primary Energy Mixes3 MENA Primary Energy Demand (Source: EIA) (Source: BP Statistical Review 2013 & IEA Data)

• Growing primary energy needs boost gas demand

• There is a switch from oil to gas in local economies as they

preserve oil for exports

50%

35%

46%

27%

41% 24%

CAGR of gas

consumption 7%

CAGR

gas

demand

6

Percentages represent gas consumption as

share of total primary energy consumption

Dana Gas Current operations

CAGR

gas

demand

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Dana Gas: A Brief Overview

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Independent E&P company listed on the ADX

Dana Gas is a MENASA focused gas

independent headquartered in the UAE

Dana Gas is quoted in the UAE stock

exchange (Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange).

Bloomberg: DANA:UH

Shares outstanding: 6,602 million

Market capitalisation: approx. $1.6 billion

Enterprise value: $2.2 billion

Net Debt/(Cash)1: $609 million

Current Production: 64.7 kboed (2013YE)

2P Reserves2 : 147 mmboe

Strong Corporate Governance structure and

a unique pan-MENA Board of Directors

access to business opportunities in the

world’s largest hydrocarbon region

1.Total interest bearing debt less cash

2.Includes Egypt & UAE reserves only at end of 2012

Dana Gas is operating at the heart of the World’s

Largest Hydrocarbon region

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Board of Directors consisting of luminaries from the MENA

region provide unparalleled access to key markets

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Dr. Adel Al Sabeeh Chairman KUWAIT

Former Oil Minister of Kuwait, Chairman & MD of

National Industries Company (NIC)

Dr. Tawfeeq Al Moayed Deputy Chairman

BAHRAIN Chairman of T.A. Almoayed & Sons W.L.L. and Chairman

of Almoayed Wilhelmsen

Hamid Jafar UAE

Chairman of Crescent Group of Companies

Sheikh Sultan Bin Ahmed Al Qasimi

UAE Deputy Chairman of Sharjah

Petroleum Council & Chairman of Sharjah Pipeline

Co

Ahmed Al Arbeed KUWAIT

Former Chairman of Board of Directors of Kuwait Oil Co. (KOC), GM of Seven

Sisters Company

Saeed Arrata EGYPT

Chairman of Sea Dragon Energy Company

Ziad Galadari UAE

Founder & Chairman of Galadari Advocates & Legal

Consultants

Majid Jafar Managing Director of the

Board - UAE CEO of Crescent Petroleum,

and Vice-Chairman of the Crescent Group of

Companies

Rashid Al Jarwan Executive Director

UAE Former GM of ADGAS, Board Director of Emirates General

Petroleum Corporation , Oman Insurance Company

and DIFC Investments

Abdulaziz Al Jomaih SAUDI ARABIA

MD of International Investments of Aljomaih

Group

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Board of Directors consisting of luminaries from the MENA

region providing unparalleled access to key markets

Abdullah Al Majdouie SAUDI ARABIA

Group President and Vice Chairman of the Almajdouie

Group

Ahmed Al Midfaa UAE

Chairman of Sharjah Chamber of Commerce &

Industry, Expo Centre Sharjah and Ruwad

Establishment in Sharjah

Varouj Nerguizian UAE

ED & GM of Bank of Sharjah, Chairman and GM of

Emirates Lebanon Bank SAL

Nasser Al Nowais UAE

Chairman of Rotana Hotels, MD of Abu Dhabi Trade

Centre

Salah Al Qahtani SAUDI ARABIA

Vice Chairman of Abdel Hadi Abdullah Al-Qahtani & Sons

Group of Companies

Khalid Al Rajhi SAUDI ARABIA

CEO of Al-Rajhi Partners & Al- Rajhi Holdings

Rashad Al Zubair OMAN

Chairman of The Zubair Corporation

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Portfolio with substantial upside

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Proven track record based on top class exploration,

accelerated development and inorganic opportunities

Drill bits success – Nile delta exploration success

– Reserve growth

M&A – Egypt entry: acquisition of Centurion Energy

– KRI partnership structure in Pearl Petroleum

for long term gas monetisation

– Komombo farm out

Project Delivery – Timely completion and on budget on key

projects

– Production build up in Egypt

– Fast track KRI development

– Nile Delta development (best-in-class

discovery-to-gas of 12 months; Allium

production commenced in 3 months)

– Managed investments in sync with

receivables

Major financial transactions – IPO in 2005 attracting $78 billion

– $ 1 billion Sukuk issue in 2007

– $ 850 million Sukuk restructuring in 2013

Exploration

M&A Project Delivery

√ Nile Delta Exploration

2007-2013

(48 exploratory wells with

success rate of 49%)

√ Centurion Energy (2006)

- $1.1 billion

√ Komombo farm-out (2009) –

$45 million

√ Nile Delta Production

(2007- )

√ Kor Mor 180k.m. onshore pipeline

+ Gas production (2008 - )

Value Delivery Model

√ Pearl Petroleum (2009) –

Farm out to MOL & OMV - $370

million

√ Egypt LPG plant (2012 - )

√ UAE subsea pipeline +

gas sweetening plant (2006)

√ Kor Mor LPG plant (2010 - )

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International and Experienced Management Team

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Patrick Allman-Ward

CEO

Over 30 years in the Oil & Gas

business. Held senior roles at

Shell as VP Exploration Asia-

Pacific, CEO and Board Director

of the South Rub Al Khali

Company (JV between Shell,

Total & Saudi Aramco). Width of

experience spanning the entire

upstream value chain from

exploration to project

management to delivering

sustainable returns across

multiple geographies in the Far

East, Middle East, Europe and

Africa

Rashid Al Jarwan

Executive Director

Over 35 years in Oil & Gas, held

the position of Acting CEO and

GM in Dana Gas. Board of

Directors at Emirates General

Petroleum Corporation, Oman

Insurance Company and DIFC

Investments. Also held various

executive and technical positions

in ADNOC Group of companies

for 28 years. Served as a Board

Member of the National

Petroleum Construction Co., the

National Drilling Co. & Sharjah

Industrial Development Co.

Mark Fenton

GM - Egypt

Over 28 years of experience in

operating oil and gas

companies, 17 years of which

working with Shell International.

He has experience in both

offshore and onshore oil field

developments, particularly in

the Middle East. He has held a

range of technical,

management and executive

positions in oil companies. He

is Member of the Society of

Petroleum Engineers (SPE)

Robinder Singh

IR Director

Over 25 years of international

experience in Investor Relations,

marketing and corporate

communications, product

management and business

development with Reliance

Industries, HSBC and Bank of

America. Experienced in multiple

billion dollar financial

transactions; developing investor

support for large scale capital

raising programmes and a range

of mergers and acquisitions

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40

60

80

Dana Gas Genel DNO Kuwait EnergyCorp

Pico GKP

2013

YE W

I Pro

duct

ion

(000

boe

/d)

0200400600800

10001200140016001800

Genel GKP Dana Gas DNO KuwaitEnergy Corp

Pico

WI C

omm

erci

al a

nd

Tech

nica

l Res

erve

s (m

mbo

e)

Commercial

Technical

Largest independent gas producer amongst

regionally owned peers

Reserve Ranking of MENA region owned Independent E&P companies

(Source: Woodmac)

Production Ranking of MENA region owned Independent E&P companies

(Source: Woodmac)

Privately owned

6

5

5. Working Interest Commercial: Fields in production, under development or likely to be developed in the near future; Technical: unlikely to be developed in the next 2-5 years, but with potential for commerciality

6. Based on GCA analysis, Dana Gas estimates that its 40% share of best estimate in place volumes for Khor Mor & Chemchemal are c. 20Tcf

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Key Financial Metrics have doubled in 6 years*

Revenue: Profit After Tax:

Operations Cash Flow: EBITDAX:

15

282 311 349487

690 636 652

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

USD

Mill

ion

30 33 2443

138165 156

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

USD

Mill

ion

* Awaiting 2013 Final Audited Financials

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Dana Gas: Recent Performance Highlights

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2013: Several Achievements Despite Several Challenges

Higher average production of 64,700 BOEPD vis-à-vis 2012’s average of 59,800

BOEPD - Egypt production at 37,100 BOEPD higher by 14% on a Y-o-Y basis, while

KRI production remained flat at 27,600 BOEPD

Higher annual production drives revenues which increase to $ 652 million - Q4 2013

revenues rose sharply to $ 186 million vis-à-vis Q4 2012 revenue of $ 151 million

Successfully drilled and tested three development wells during the year and

announced its 25th discovery with the Begonia-1 well in the Nile Delta.

GCA estimates the gas initially in-place volumes (unrisked*) for assets in Kurdistan –

Dana Gas estimates significant resource upside in both fields

Cash balance higher by 24% at $ 204 million supported by $ 53 million received from

Egypt

Total collections of $ 203 million ($ 134 million from Egypt and $ 69 million from KRI -

total trade receivables at $ 800 million

Increase in royalty payments, depreciation, depletion and amortization expense in

Egypt and lower sale of LPG (KRI) impact net profit which was $ 156 million

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Financial Highlights: Q4 2013 vs Q4 2012

(In $ million) Q4 – 2013 Q4 – 2012 Percentage

Change

Gross Revenue 186 151 23

Net Profit 35 31 17

Basic EPS (AED fils) 1.9 1.7 12

Higher production in Egypt (increase of 22%) and resumption of LPG sales in Kurdistan,

leading to higher revenue in Q4 2013

Net profit was higher by 17% compared to 4Q 2012 due to positive impact of higher

production from Egypt and higher sale of LPG in Kurdistan

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2013 Y-o-Y Financial Performance

(In $ million) 2013 2012 Percentage

Change

Gross Revenue 652 633 3

Net Profit 156 165 (5)

Basic EPS (AED fils) 8.6 9.1 (5)

Gross revenue higher by 3% due to an 8% increase in production

Net profit for the year was down by 5% to $ 156 million.

Higher production and lower capital expenditure resulting in increase in royalty payments

to the Egyptian government, higher depreciation, depletion and amortization expense in

Egypt. Profitability in KRI impacted by lower sales of high-margin LPG on a full year basis

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Dana Gas: Country Business Highlights

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Lack of investments resulting in a declining rate of gas exports whilst the domestic

consumption of gas has been increasing

Since the recent change of government in mid-2013, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the

United Arab Emirates have promised Egypt a total of $12 billion in grants, interest-free

loans and petroleum products

In December 2013 the Ministry of Petroleum paid $1.5 billion in partial repayment of the

state's debt to foreign oil companies. Accordingly, Dana Gas has received US$ 53 million

payment from the total outstanding receivables

The delay in receivables payment has led to a reduction in Dana Gas capital investment

in Egypt in 2013. Nevertheless, Dana Gas Egypt managed to enhance production on a

year-on-year basis

Egypt: Business Environment

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Source: BP Statistical Review 2013

Western Desert

Gulf of Suez / Sinai /

Eastern Desert

Nile Delta / East

Mediterranean

Dana Gas focus area in Egypt

Meaningful position in rich hydrocarbon zones in Egypt

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

Oil

and

Gas

Pro

duct

ion,

mln

boe

pd

Gas

Oil

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Oil

and

Gas

Res

erve

s, B

n bo

e Gas

Oil

Egypt Proved Oil and Gas

Reserves History

Egypt has managed c.

100% reserves

replacement of oil since

mid-1980s

Egypt Oil and Gas

Production History

Production has stabilised in

recent years following the

decline in the ‘90s

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Egypt: Nile Delta Operations

New Development Leases:

Balsam ( new )

Begonia (under EGAS discussion)

El Basant (Amendment)

Sama (Amendment)

Production Rate:

39.8 kboepd ( Q4 2013 Avg)

Drilling 2013:

5 wells (1 Expl “ Begonia discovery”

+1 App. + 1 Dev + 2 sidetrack)

Projects in Progress/ Planned:

EW Capacity De-bottlenecking

(200mmscf/d of raw rich gas)

El Basant Compression Station

Salma/Tulip tie-in (completed Q3,13)

(Phase 1): (4 wells)

(Phase 2): 6 wells

Balsam DL El Basant

DL

Sama DL

Begonia DL

New DL

South El

Manzala

El Wastani

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0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Oil

Pro

du

ctio

n G

row

th (

kbo

pd

)

Tight oil

Oil

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

KRI Brazil Angola

Gas

Res

our

ce P

ote

ntia

l(T

cf)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Brazil (incl PreSalt)

KRI Angola (incl.Presalt)

Res

our

ce P

ote

ntia

l (B

ln b

bl)

Largest Investor and gas producer in high-potential

Kurdistan Region of Iraq Oil Resource Potential

(Source: ANP,MNR,USGS)

Gas Resource Potential

(source: MNR, ANP, Songas)

Mostly

associated

gas

Top 10 sources of production growth in 2012-2030

(Source: IEA & Woodmac)

Including KRI

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2011 2012 2016E 2020E

Oil

Prod

ucti

on (k

bpd)

KRI production growth

(source: KRG,MNR)

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Rich gas and condensate producer with strong growth track

record

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Kor Mor Field Production, Dana Gas net share

Current Condensate Gas Ratio (CGR) on Khor Mor is ca. 45

bbl/mmscf comparable to Qatar North Field CGR of 47~50

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Operations in Kurdistan Region of Iraq

Total net production averaged at

27,600 BOEPD during 2013:

130 MMSCFD of natural gas

5700 bbl/d and 325 bbl/d of

condensate and LPG,

respectively

Completed repairs to LPG loading bay

resulting in restoration of the facility

with capacity of 900 MT

Production of LPG remained low

since restoration due to under lifting

by the MNR of Kurdistan Region of

Iraq

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Pearl Petroleum appointed Gaffney, Cline & Associates Limited (GCA), to provide an estimate of

hydrocarbons in-place as at 31st December, 2012 for both the Khor Mor and Chemchemal fields

GCA have estimated the gas initially in-place volumes (unrisked*) for 12 Khor Mor and 3 Chemchemal fault

blocks

Dana Gas has calculated an aggregated arithmetic sum Best Estimate (P50) volume of 22 Tscf for Khor Mor

and 30 Tscf for Chemchemal fields. Dana Gas’ 40% share of these Best Estimate in-place volumes for Khor

Mor and Chemchemal combined corresponds to 20 Tscf

The GCA report also indicates that both fields have considerable additional upside potential

GCA report also stated that certain Khor Mor fault blocks may contain oil instead of gas and determined oil

initially in-place volumes (unrisked*) for these individual blocks

Dana Gas has calculated an aggregated arithmetic sum Best Estimate (P50) in-place oil volume (unrisked*)

of around 1.8 billion barrels, in place of around 3 Tscf of gas in these blocks

* Note that a risk factor accounting for geological and commercial uncertainties has not been assessed or applied at this time.

However, both fields are surrounded by producing oil and/or gas fields which calibrates and reduces the geological and reservoir

risks. The reported hydrocarbon volumes are estimates based on professional judgment and are subject to future revisions,

upwards or downwards, as a result of future operations or as additional information becomes available.

Dana Gas Kurdistan Assets – Substantial Resources

Upside*

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UAE: Zora Gas Field Development Update

Project Management team on board

Platform fabrication and loadout contract

awarded in November 2013 to ADYARD

Work in progress for the following:

Contract for platform transportation

and installation

Contract for offshore & onshore

pipeline procurement and

installation

Contract for onshore gas treatment

plant

Award of drilling services and

securing the drilling rig

Project on track for first gas in Q1 2015

with capacity of 40 mmscfd

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Dana Gas: Credit Metrics

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Additional financial information

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EBITDA (LTM) $mln 342.2

EBIT (LTM) $mln 243.4

Net Debt $ mln 609.0

Net Debt/EBITDA x 1.8

Interest Cover Ratio (LTM) x 3.1

Book Leverage (Net debt/Total assets) x 17%

Weighted Avg Years to Maturity Years 3.7

Dana Gas Additional Financial Metrics (Q4-12 to Q3-13)

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Dana Gas Sukuk instruments

Convertible Sukuk:

Principal amount: $404 mln

Date of issue: 8/5/2013

Coupon: 7% (payable quarterly)

Maturity: 31/10/2017

Conversion price: 0.75 AED/sh

Conversion ratio: 48.93

Ordinary Sukuk:

Principal amount: $425 mln

Date of issue: 8/5/2013

Coupon: 9% (payable quarterly)

Maturity: 31/10/2017

Current

Yield to

Maturity:

3.562%

Sukuk Yield to Maturity

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Leverage and interest coverage ratio in line with peers

Net Debt /EBITDA (LTM*) (Source: Bloomberg)

EBIT / Interest Expense (LTM*) (Source: Bloomberg)

*LTM 30/06/2013 32

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Book gearing and Leverage comparable to industry peers

** Balance sheet includes Uganda liability currently under arbitration in English Commercial Courts

Debt to Book value of Assets (2013 H1) (Source: Bloomberg)

Debt to Book value of Equity (2013 H1) (Source: Bloomberg)

**

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Reserve life ca. 3 x average year to maturity of Debt

Note: Dana Gas

Reserve life

exclude KRI

production &

reserves

Reserve Life (2012 YE) (Source: Evaluate Energy)

Debt : Average year to maturity (Source: Bloomberg)

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Summary

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Summary

● Increase in uplift of LPG in KRI following repairs to the loading bay a positive for

future profitability

● Drilling success in 2013 and Block 6 in Egypt and the commencement of the Zora

project and provide visibility for future potential

● Review of Kurdistan assets provide for substantial resource upside

● Recent requests for exchanging convertible Sukuk to equity positively helps lower debt

obligation. Increase in cash balance positions the company for prudent growth

● Track record of project delivery and HSSE performance across geographies

● Taking a cautious approach towards capital investments in sync with cash collections -

priority given to adding reserves and replacing production

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Reach Us:

Dana Gas PJSC P. O. Box 2011, Sharjah, UAE

www.danagas.com

E-mail : [email protected]

Direct : +971 6 519 4401

Fax : +971 6 556 6522

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Back-up Information

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Achieved significant success in Egypt following

a successful acquisition

Dana Gas has added c.140 mmboe of reserves since acquisition in 2007

– Centurion 2P reserves were at c.67.9 mmboe at the time of acquisition

– Dana Gas produced c.76.5 mmboe since 2007 in Egypt

– Dana Gas 2P reserves in Egypt stood at 130.6 mmboe at 31.12.2012

Dana Gas Egypt Reserve Evolution

Exploration Success Ratio

67% 67% 67%64%

50%

57%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Expl

orat

ion

Succ

ess

(%)

Dana Gas added more

than 2X Centurion in

Egypt via drill-bit in past 6

years

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0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

WI G

as P

rodu

ctio

n, m

mcf

d

Offshore

Onshore

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

WI C

omm

erci

al &

Tec

hnic

al

Rese

rves

, bn

boe

Technical Commercial

12. Dana Gas H1 2013 production, other data based on Woodmac estimates

Reserve holders in Egypt

(source: Woodmac)

Egypt gas production ranking (2013e)

(source: Woodmac)

Dana Gas is the 3rd largest

onshore gas producer

3.6 2.1

40

Established itself as a key onshore gas player in Egypt

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

P/E

(X)

2014e

2015e

Significantly undervalued relative to listed peers in

international markets

Source: Bloomberg Consensus

P/E ranking of Dana Gas Peers

(Source: Bloomberg Consensus 4th February 2014)

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The End

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