Classification: Statoil internal Status: Draft Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR – Strong H orses in The...
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Transcript of Classification: Statoil internal Status: Draft Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR – Strong H orses in The...
Classification: Statoil internal Status: Draft
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR – Strong Horses in The Gullfaks Family
Sandsli, 8.februar 2005
2
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR (SRI) – strong horses in the Gullfaks family
Topics to be covered:
•Seismic amplitudes in exploration
•Existing technology to reduce cost and increase reserves
•Production technology issues
•Examples of flexibility built into the concept
•Lessons learned
3
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
Situation in year 2001:
Rimfaks Brent: Production start year 2000. Spring 2001: IOR possibility documented, 2 infill wells + extra gas handling capacity gives 2.1 MSm3 of extra oil.
GF Sør L+M templates, prod.start Sept.2001. 3 flowlines to GFC for GF Sør Brent gas production. Extra capacity and tie-in possibility at L/M for upsides in GF Sør Field.
Prospects defined in the Brent Gp. and Statfjord Fm. in the Ole, Dole and Doffen (ODD) segments. (Later named Skinfaks.)
The SRI team also matured the Gulltopp (Dolly) discovery to PDO level in 2003
4
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
Proven segments: N2 and N3 Upper Brent • Prospects:
N4 upper Brent. P(f): 97%N5 upper Brent. P(f): 80%N1 upper Brent. P(f): 90%
Prospects: N4 lower Brent. P(f): 56%N1 lower Brent. P(f): 46% (defined in 2004)
N1 Statfjord. P(f): 40 %N4 Statfjord. P(f): 90%
Exploration well in ’Dole’(N3) and ’Ole’ (N2) segments drilled in spring, 2002
5
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
2002 2003 2004
DG1(BoK)
DG2(BoV)
DG3(BoG)
PDOdel.
33/12-8SDG1 team establ.
Rimfaks Brent IORStatic (G&G) model used:
Dynamic (res.) model used:
Elements included in production strategy:
3D IRAP RMS (built 2001)
3D Eclipse 300 (PDO mod.) 3D Eclipse 300 (new model, built 2002)
- 2 infill wells.- 3 MSm3/Sd ekstra gas pr.- Gas reinjection, blowdownfrom oct.2010 (PDO strategy)
3. infill well, with DIACS
3 -> 4MSm3/Sd extra gas prod.rate
SkinfaksStatic (G&G) model used:
Dynamic (res.) model used:
Elements included in production strategy:
2D IRAP Classic + GeoX
Field analogue + MBAL models
3D Full Field Eclipse 100 (Brent reservoir)
- 5 conventional, horisontal wells.- Depletion
- Water Injection DIACS
compl.
3D IRAP RMS
- Gas Injection
XX
Gas lift
Segm.N1 UB incl. in ’basis’
- N1 UB and N4 Statfj. excl. from ’basis’
- Wells: 1 + 1 ML + 1 sidetr.
Volume reduction (significant!)
DG1, DG2 and DG3 are decision gates in Statoils project development model
6
SatellitePhase 2
Pipeline 8” + umbilical
Gullveig
GFA
K
Rimfaks
J
GFB GFC
pipeline10”
G
F
E
D10.5 km
Gullfaks South
I
HStatpipe30”
Ole/Dole/DoffenPhase 1 & 2
4.5 km
IOR Gullveig/Rimfaks
2 km
Pipeline 10”+ umbilical
Pipeline
Umbilical
Spool
MLSatellite
Phase 2
Pipeline 8” + umbilical
Gullveig
GFA
K
Rimfaks
J
GFB GFC
pipeline10”
G
F
E
D10.5 km
Gullfaks South
I
HStatpipe30”
Ole/Dole/DoffenPhase 1 & 2
4.5 km
IOR Gullveig/Rimfaks
2 km
Pipeline 10”+ umbilical
Pipeline
Umbilical
Spool
ML
Gullveig
GFA
K
Rimfaks
J
GFB GFC
pipeline10”
G
F
E
D10.5 km
Gullfaks South
I
HStatpipe30”
Ole/Dole/DoffenPhase 1 & 2
4.5 km
IOR Gullveig/Rimfaks
2 km
Pipeline 10”+ umbilical
Pipeline
Umbilical
Spool
ML
Gullveig
GFA
K
Rimfaks
J
GFB GFC
pipeline10”
G
F
E
D10.5 km
Gullfaks South
I
HStatpipe30”
Ole/Dole/DoffenPhase 1 & 2
4.5 km
IOR Gullveig/Rimfaks
2 km
Pipeline 10”+ umbilical
Pipeline
Umbilical
Spool
Pipeline
Umbilical
Spool
ML
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
A Gullveig Statfjord well was a part of the project in the DG1 and early DG2 phases. Later excluded.
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
2002 2003 2004
DG1(BoK)
DG2(BoV)
DG3(BoG)
PDOdel.
33/12-8SDG1 team establ.
Feasibility study phase
Project feasible. Establish project team. Go on with concept (screening) studies.
DG1/BoK concept:
7
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
2002 2003 2004
DG1(BoK)
DG2(BoV)
DG3(BoG)
PDOdel.
33/12-8SDG1 team establ. Scr.
ph. 1
Skinfaks
Rimfaks IOR
4 GF-concepts evaluated:
Continue with optimising concept ’D’ for a final concept selection (AP1 – Approval point 1).
Screen.phase 2
Scr. ph. 3
Gulltopp GFA
GFC
L/M
’A’ ’B’’C’
’D’
Feasibility study phase
8
Wells and pipelines in a network
PROJECT
Facility (Subsea) Drilling, Well and Production
Technology
Petroleum Technology
DisciplineLeaders:
Tools: OLGA GAP/PROSPER ECLIPSE W. NETWORK OPTION
Flow assurance ”Nodal analysis” Reservoir simulation
For the SRI project: Skinfaks and Rimfaks wells prognosed with very different tubing head pressuresImpact on production profiles Decision: Two flowlines instead of one, from the SRI prod.system.
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
9
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
The SRI Core Team
”The SRI Technical Forum”
”The Technical Forum”: -Project members from all engineering disciplines (Reservoir, ProTech, Drilling, Completion, Flow Assurance, Subsea, Pipeline,Topside)
- A leader was appointed
- Meetings were held regularly (every week)
Which tasks do the other persons
have ?
How are my data used ?
Possibilities? Limitations?
Consequences?
Concept screening/selection
Design Basis Document
Technical solutions
10
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
2002 2003 2004
DG1(BoK)
DG2(BoV)
DG3(BoG)
PDOdel.
33/12-8SDG1 team establ. Scr.
ph. 1
9 variants of concept ’D’ evaluated:
- 1 or 2 templates, 1 or 2 flowlines, with or without smart wells.
-Selection criteria:- NPV (and then IRR and NPV/CAPEX discounted)- Robustness (drilling), and flexibility wrt. upside volumes
Recommendation, AP1, end of october 2003: Concept ’3S’ (2 templates, 8 slots, 2 flowlines, smart wells (DIACS, one ML):
Screen.phase 2
Scr. ph. 3
Scr. Ph. 4
“-8S”
“Opt.”
RF Lunde
“RF”
J RF Cook
“-8S”
“Opt.”
RF Lunde
“RF”
J RF Cook
To L/M
Recommendation from Project end of November.2003: Postpone DG2/BoV. Improve concept and economics.
BUT: Further work the following weeks weakens the project economy significantly: Cost increase (rock dumping, pilot well in segm.N4), delayed prod.start (Jan.06 => Oct.06).
’Basis’ well ’Upside’ well
Feasibility study phase
11
RF Lunde
J RF Cook
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
2002 2003 2004
DG1(BoK)
DG2(BoV)
DG3(BoG)
PDOdel.
33/12-8SDG1 team establ. Scr.
ph. 1
11 variants of concept ’SRI to GFC via L/M’ (re)evaluated: - 1 or 2 templates, + 1 or 2 satellites, 1 or 2 flowlines.
- Further optimising of subsea wellhead locations and subsea/pipeline cost.- Increased volumes (3.RF well, Skinfaks N1 segment, Skinfaks gas lift)
-Upside volumes quantified, value (risked) calculated.-Selection criteria: NPV (and then IRR and NPV/CAPEX disc.)
Screen.phase 2
Scr. ph. 3
Scr. Ph. 4
To L/M
Recommendation from Project, February 2004: Optimise concept ’2SX’ (1 template, 1 satellite, 2 flowlines) further towards DG2.
’Basis’ well ’Upside’ well
Scr. Ph. 5Feasibility study phase
12
Scr. Ph. 6 .
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
2002 2003 2004
DG1(BoK)
DG2(BoV)
DG3(BoG)
PDOdel.
33/12-8SDG1 team establ. Scr.
ph. 1Screen.phase 2
Scr. ph. 3
Scr. Ph. 4
Partners approved concept 2SX (AP1/DG2), September 2004
Scr. Ph. 5
Discussion with partners on ’low cost’ alternatives:
- Early in the concept selection phase (spring 2003), alternatives for SRI based on re-use of existing infrastructure (I, J, K templates) were briefly reviewed from the operator and put behind for specific reasons, but without any formal process or documentation.
- Now, license partners want to compare concept 2SX with other alternatives, making use of existing infrastructure:
-38 (!) combinations/variants were evaluated
- Screening criterion: NPV. In addition: Relative value (NPV/CAPEX disc.), IRR, technical maturity and risk, and flexibility for realising upside volumes.
Feasibility study phase
13
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
Statoil’s Project Development Model,Planning Phase:
After AP1, your influence on the concept as subsurface engineers is very much reduced.
Formal requirements for uncertainty analysis on volumes and production profiles.
At AP1, concept selection point: Important with a good picture of the resource potential in the area.
In Statoil’s governing documentation (AR05 ++) the focus on AP1 seems less than on the formal approval point DG2 (provisional project sanction).
Classification: Statoil internal Status: Draft
This development benefits from flexibility in existing infrastructure
Providing additional connection points for potential future developments at a low pre-investment cost
- PDO delivered Dec.2004- PDO approved Feb.2005
15
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
NPV in MNOK05 has increased with a factor of 3-4 since the PDO
- 1/3 of effect due to increase in oil production volumes- 2/3 of effect due to increased prices on oil and gas
Reserves and
CAPEXPDO 2020
CCE-2 Upd 2020
Oil (MSm3) 5,71 6,21
Rich gas (GSm3) 2,58 2,57
CAPEX (MNOK05) 3432 3588
UnitCut-off year
2020
b.tax a.tax
NPV 7% MNOK 05 5 572 1 349
Break even price, oil
USD/bbl 9,0 10,3
IRR % 73 33
Reserves and CAPEX (cut-off year 2020)(CCE-2 is last project update, per September 2005)
Results, CCE2 (upd. cost, plan and volumes)
Delta production profile (pr year)
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Year
MS
m3 (
oil)
/ G
Sm
3 (
gas)
Gas
Oil
16
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR. RES/PRO-seminar, 23.-24.November 2005.
Skinfaks/Rimfaks IOR – strong horses in the Gullfaks family
Lessons learned:
1. Combining infill drilling (IOR) and new disoveries can make a profitable project.
2. Involve the license group EARLY in the concept selection phase.
3. Document also ‘obvious’ choices wrt. concepts screended out.
4. The focus on the concept selection point (AP1) should be stronger in Statoil’s governing documentation, wrt. line and partner involvement.
5. Create a technical forum for continuous, cross-disciplinary discussions ‘on working level’ (not only at core team level).
6. Define and place the ‘system responsibility’ role early. Make sure that various models (wells - pipeline network) are consistent.
7. Strive to get flexibility included in the concept. It will most certainly pay off!