CHINA: Class 4 Integration of China into the global economy.
CHINA: TURNING A CHALLENGE INTO AN OPPORTUNITY · •Julie Adams, Almond Board of ... main reason...
Transcript of CHINA: TURNING A CHALLENGE INTO AN OPPORTUNITY · •Julie Adams, Almond Board of ... main reason...
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CHINA: TURNING A CHALLENGE INTO AN OPPORTUNITY
ROOM 314 | DECEMBER 5, 2018
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• Patrick Xiao, Almond Board of
California, moderator
• Ying Chen, China Chamber of
Commerce
• Julie Adams, Almond Board of
California
• Vivien Ling, Ruder Finn
Communications
• Brian Ezell, The Wonderful
Company
PRESENTATION |2017 2
AGENDA
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CHINA:
“Ground Zero” of our Trade
Challenges
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Global Trade Issues are Complex and
Varied….
In most markets, almond tariffs have not
been excessive….
Technical and Sanitary/phytosanitary
barriers are the real concern, and harder
to address…..
“Rules-Based” and “Scientifically-
Supported” do not always rule the day…..
Political tensions and economics will
always play a role…..
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China – Market Situation
Alliances are Key
• Aligned with ABC activities
• Establish links in country – many
associations are tied to government
• Shows ABC commitment to local
economy, trade, consumers
Retaliatory Tariffs hard to overcome
• 50% on kernel/inshell U.S. almonds
• 18-20% on processed/preserved
Market Access for Hulls on “Hold”
• Audit by Chinese officials scheduled just
when U.S. imposed tariffs
Reorganization of Government Ministries
• Need to assess where existing relationships
are active; new ministry functions
• ABC technical training workshops on hold
Technical Requirements on the Rise
• More regulatory focus on NGOs, food safety
• Border entry points under scrutiny
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YING CHENDirector of Oils and Cereals Department, CFNA
Chinese Almonds MarketSacramento, California
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China Chamber of Commerce of Foodstuffs and Native Produce (CFNA) wasestablished in September 1988.Taking Coordination, Guidance, Promotion, Consultation and Service as itsobjectives, CFNA works in the following areas: It encourages a fair and orderlymarket. It protects the interests and lawful rights of its members and of theindustry. It promotes industry development.
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私营性质,
51.14%
三资性质,
19.61%
个体企业, 0.06%
其它类型, 6.41%
国有企业
18.02%
集体企业,
4.75%国有和集体性质,
22.77%
The membership of CFNA has exceeded 6300 companies, among which 69 are members of the executive standing committee and 161 are members of the executive committee.
Its membership, covering all parts of China, is composed of the largest and most representative companies and a large number of small and medium sized enterprises. The chamber of commerce has set up 40 chambers of commodities, all of which have a nation-wide membership
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Animal by-products& Carpet
Tea & Horticulture
Fruit & VegetableMeat & Aquatic
Product
畜产地毯Cereals & Oils
Native & ForestryProducts
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CFNA hold China International Tree Nuts Conference for 7 consecutive years.
The conference welcome more than 400 participants worldwide each Year.
It will be held in Zhuhai, China from 6th —8th August 2019.
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China Current Market Situation
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From 1997 to 2017 the annual food import value increased from 4.1 to 61.7 billion U. S.dollars. Along with the development of national economy and the improvement of people'sliving standards, China's import food value has increased by 15.2 times in the past20 years.And the compound annual growth rate of China's import food
1997 and 2017 Comparison of import value of import food
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In past 20 years, there were big changes in the ranking of the top 10 import origin countries/regions. New
Zealand increased by 18 places to the third place, while France increased by 11 places to the fifth. The total
proportion of import value of top 10 origins of import food decreased from 77.2 percent to 62.1 percent. The
main reason for this lies in the entry of more import food into China market from more countries and regions.
1997 and 2017 Ranking and proportion of the top 10 origin countries/regions of import food
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In 2017, meat and its products, dairy, and aquatic products ranked top three in import value, respectively 9.5
billion, 9.3 billion and 8.5 billion U.S. dollars.
2017 major categories of import food: value and ranking
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In 2017, the top three categories in import value are meat and its products, dairy, and aquatic products.
They took up 15.4, 15.1 and 13.9 percent of the total import value respectively, while altogether accounted
for 44.4 percent of the total.
2017 proportion of import value in different categories of import food
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In 2017, the total value of import food coming in through all China's ports was 61.7 billion U.S. dollars. The
top 10 ports for food import were Shanghai, Shenzhen, Tianjin, Qingdao, Nanjing, Dalian, Guangzhou,
Huangpu, Ningbo, and Xiamen. The top three ports of import food value were Shanghai, Shenzhen and
Tianjin,the value of which were 13.3 billion, 8.2 billion and 6.0 billion U.S. dollars respectively.
Import food in main ports: value and ranking
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In 2017, aquatic products, meat and its products and coarse cereals ranked top three in import value of food
from the United States, with an import value of respectively 1.3 billion, 1.2 billion, and 1 billion U.S. dollars.
They respectively took up 20.3, 18.4 and 15.2 percent of the total import value of food from the United States.
2017 major categories of import food from the United States: value and ranking
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In 2017, 10 categories of food imported from the United States had a positive ear-on-year growth in value.
Grain and its products, nuts and dairy ranked top three in growth rate among all food-import categories, y
and increased respectively by 86.4, 48.7 and 47.6 percent
2017 major categories of import food from the United States: increase and decrease of value
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Almonds Import
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172018.1-3
Volume 4,327 9,789 13,83 10,04 8,261 11,00 4,923 9,007 10,57 16,18 5,085Price 3,240 2,299 2,719 3,365 4,063 3,932 6,087 7,070 5,511 5,889 5,704Average 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534 4,534
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Un
it: U
SD
Un
it: M
T
China Almonds Import Trend in last 10
Source: China Customs
This data is from China Customs. It’s
may differ from the shipment volume
including mainland China and Hong
Kong.
Though there’s fluctuation in some
years, the trend of Almonds import in
China is increasing.
Weighted Price (shown in dark red
line) indicate that in last ten years
rise along with the import volume.
The weighed price changes from the
range of $2299/MT (2009) to
$7070/MT (2015).
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Almonds Import
This data is showed the
import volume and price from
Mainland, China and Hong
Kong, China.
China Import hit a historical
high at the year of 2012 with
the import volume 107,134
metric tons per year.
The weighted price is varies
from $3770 (2009) to $9744
(2015)
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
2016/17-6
TShipments (MT) 10,6 7,76 7,56 14,6 21,1 45,2 60,3 76,0 107, 94,4 65,6 58,1 64,2 65,0
Weighted Price ($/MT) $4,32$6,98$6,57$5,53$4,87$3,77$4,76$4,87$5,11$6,70$8,02$9,74$7,40$5,97
10,667 7,766 7,563
14,666
21,123
45,223
60,348
76,000
107,134
94,429
65,690
58,118 64,256 65,077
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
We
igh
ted
Pri
ce
($
/MT
)
China (Mainland and Hong Kong) Historical Almond Shipments (MT)
TShipments (MT) Weighted Price ($/MT)
Source: ABC
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Almonds Import
January Febr
uaryMarch
April May June July August
September
October
November
December
Volume 327 248 568 531 800 561 471 829 803 2,97 4,30 3,80Price 5,88 6,32 6,67 6,22 6,41 6,80 6,80 6,43 6,32 5,89 5,66 5,37
327 248 568 531 800 561 471 829 803
2,971
4,308 3,804
5,881 6,328 6,675 6,227 6,413 6,800 6,801 6,431 6,329 5,892
5,669 5,377
01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000
Un
it: U
DS/
MT
Un
it: M
T
Volume Price Expon. (Volume) Expon. (Price)
Monthly Importing Volume and Price of Almonds in 2017
The Shipments volume are increasing in last 3 months of the year with weighted price decline slightly.
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Almonds Import
United
States,
15,815.27
5 , 98%
Australia,
225.293 ,
1%
Ohters,
148.1 , 1%
United States Australia Ohters
United
States
Australi
aItaly Thai
land
South
Africa
Kyrgyzstan
TaiwanProvi…
Canada
NorfolkIsland
Spain
Price 5,86 6,80 10,1 6,71 3,61 2,24 4,16 37,6 30,5 19,4
5,862 6,803 10,141 6,713 3,611 2,245 4,165
37,636 30,500
19,429
010,00020,00030,00040,000
Un
it: U
SD/M
T
Average Weighted Price of Major Exporting
Countries 2017
MAJOR EXPORTING COUNTRIES OF ALMONDS TO CHINA 2017
Totally 10 Countries and Regions exports Almonds to China, , 98% of which came from U.S. The volume reaches 15,518 tons in 2017, followed by Australia.
Price differ among the supplying countries from $2245 to $37,636.
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Observations of China’s Actions for Economy and Industry Development
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Forecast
China’s actions, policies to facilitate a smoother trade environment
Government efforts to improve consumers’ life quality and endeavors for consumption upgrade
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Terms of the Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA)
Part OneProvision 1 to 12
• Specifies the practical duties of each member.
Part TwoProvision 13 to 22
• Specifies the preferential and differential treatments on developing countries during the implementation of Part One.
Part ThreeProvision 23 to 24
• Arrangements of the institutions involved, final clause and establishment of WTO Trade Facilitation Committee.
TFAPrimitive Coverage
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Notice of AQSIQ on simplifying inspection and quarantine procedures and improving customs clearance efficiency
Besides the grading system on goods risks and company credit for imported and exported goods that needs inspection and quarantine, a conformity assessment is conducted. The assessment procedure includes sampling, inspection(quarantine), examination; evaluation, validation and assurance of conformity; registration, approval, authorization and a combination of any of the above procedures.
The exit-entry inspection and quarantine follows all or part of the following procedures: application accepted, examination of documents, surveillance, field and laboratory inspection and quarantine, animal quarantine, quarantine treatment, comprehensive evaluation, certificate release and clearance, as well as filling.
Based on the grade of goods risks and company credit, a unified field and laboratory inspection and quarantine proportion is set up (hereinafter referred to as “sampling proportion”). After the application is accepted by the exit-entry inspection and quarantine institution, a sampling inspection should be implemented on a random batch of goods by a random inspector. And the result of the inspection should go public.
The exit-entry inspection and quarantine institution should serve as a single window for international trade and provide e-CIQ service, promoting the dematerialization during customs clearance from accepting applications to certificate release.
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Notice of AQSIQ on simplifying inspection and quarantine procedures and improving customs clearance efficiency
An assurance of conformity provided by consigner in exit or by consignee in entry should be handed in, including commitment to abiding the law, assurance of conformity, quality and safety responsibilities, and voluntary recall measures when problems are found.
For goods identified to be unconformity or with increasingly high risks, or for consignees or inspection applicants who’s credit are under Grade C, a higher sampling ratio can be applied to the goods after risk evaluation, up to 100%.
For goods constantly proved to be at a stable quality and safety level or with reducing risks, or for consignees or inspection applicants who’s credit are over Grade A, a lower sampling ratio can be applied to the goods after risk evaluation, down to the lowest standard.
The consigners, consignees and inspection applicants should carry out its own responsibility to the quality and safety of the goods.
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Notice of the General Administration of Customs on advancing the integrated reform of national customs clearance
Chapter One
Chapter Two
Chapter Three
a. Initialize the customs’ risk control centers and tax collection centers. Enlarge the tax to all goods listed in all chapters in the Customs Tariff of People’s Republic of China, regardless their means of transportation.
b. Related services at documents examination centers for integrated customs clearance shall be terminated.
c. Other affairs should be carried out according to GACC AnnouncementNo. 62 of 2016.
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Basic Principles:We should persist in deepening reform and innovation, attaching equal importance to imports and exports, overall planning and development, and mutually beneficial and win-win strategy.
Optimize import structure and promote production and consumption :Support the import of products related to people's livelihood; actively develop trade in services; increase the import of technology and equipment conducive to the transformation and development; and increase the import of agricultural products and resources products.
Optimize the layout of the international market:We should strengthen international cooperation in “the Belt and Road“ initiative, accelerate the implementation of the strategy of free trade zones, and implement preferential arrangements for imports of goods and services from the least developed countries.
Actively promoting the role of multi-channel:Run China International Imports Expo well; Give full play to the role of foreign capital reserve in expanding imports; innovate the mode of import trade; vigorously cultivate import promotion platform; optimize the import customs clearance process ; reduce the institutional costs of import links; and speed up the improvement of domestic business environment.
Opinions on expanding import and promoting balanced development of foreign trade
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Almond Board of California
Trade Communications
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35
China today
Robust market demands
➢ 3rd largest export market for California
Almonds
➢ Increasing demands for healthy,
diverse and premium foods
➢ 1/3 consumers ate more almonds in
2017 than before
Active NPDs with almonds
➢ Dramatic growth of new products with
almonds launched, with over 8.3% five-
year CAGR, higher than 6.4% global
wide
➢ Snacking, bakery and dairy categories
being the growth engine
Source: Innova China report 2018 and brands auditing
Sterling and Rice Group, 2017 Almonds Global Perception Report
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Objectives
Boost advocacy and
trade affinity
✓ Demonstrate strong consumer needs to boost
trade partners’ confidence
✓ Drive trade partners to provide consistent
product name and align on product benefits
Drive growth in ingredient
categories
✓ Collaborate with bakery chains, participate in
exhibitions
✓ Deep-dive into Chocolate sector to formulate
strategy to tab the chocolate sector
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37
TARGET AUDIENCE
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Government
influencesTrade Target Consumer
EducationPullPush
Facilitate industry
development
Boost confidence, increase almond usage
and innovations
Enhance almond
awareness and
preference
From B2B to B2B2C
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39
Targeted trade engagement activities
Govt./Industry
AssociationsRetail Brands Traders/Importers
• Strengthen strategic industry relations
• Conduct in-depth packaged co-operations
• Implement regular information and insights
exchange
• Key brand visits and on-going dialogues
• Organise brand roundtables/seminar
• Engage brands co-promotion marketing
campaigns
• Key trader/importers visits
• Host trader summits and trainings to share
market news and insights
• Regular interactions through ABC owned social channels & paid media exposure
• Engagement at yearly trade exhibitions such as CNSA exhibition, SIAL, etc.
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TRADE PROGRAMS
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Owned Channels
B2B WeChat & E-newsletter
Official website
Face to face visits
Media Channels
Trade media
(Online & Offline)
Open platform
Fashion week
Follow the Sunshine
E-commerce campaigns
Event Channels
Trade shows
Trade seminar
Key engagement vehicles
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EVENT CHANNELS
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F&B Sector
• SIAL China
Nuts Industry Sector
• CNSA* packaged collaborations
• CFNA and trader summit
• Brand roundtable
Bakery Sector
• Bakery China
Diversified trade events channels
*The Specialized Committee for Nuts and Roasted Seeds of China National Food Industry Association (CNSA) was established in 2005.
It is a national industry association, which is authorized by government to manage China’s nuts and roasted seeds industry. ABC has
signed a cooperation memo with CNSA to better promote California almonds in China.
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Nuts industry sector: CNSA collaboration
CNSA Annual meetingTop brands connection
CNSA ExhibitionMass Industry Outreach
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Nuts industry sector: CFNA collaboration & trader summit
• Strengthen relationship with CFNA
• Build deeper relationship with key trade partners
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Nuts industry sector: Brand roundtable
• Share resources and channels for market promotion
• Leverage global resources to inspire brands for almond application
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F&B sector: SIAL China
• Build deeper trade relationships with industry partners, understand their needs and seek opportunities
for further collaborations.
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Bakery sector: Bakery China
• Promote California Almonds’ extensive application in European bakery
• Establish relationships with bakery professionals and seek opportunities for further bakery market
promotion
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MEDIA & OWNED CHANNELS
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Trade Media
49 core media maintenance
12 in-depth F2F visits
Over 30 quality trade exposures
Owned Channels
Over 23% follower growth
2000+ total ongoing reader reach
Ongoing Trade Engagement
Continuous industry education and communication
5 key retail brand visits
4 key importer F2F meetings
20 brands participations in co-
promotion campaigns
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OPEN PLATFORMS
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Build open content platform for brands collaboration
• Co-promote almonds with nuts brands
• Boost trade confidence
• Explore innovative almonds promotion tactics
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TRADE FEEDBACKS
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Trade feedback: appreciate ABC’s efforts and pay close attention to
CA’ market outlook in China
• “We care about the trade policies, shipments and market price, which are important factors when we make purchase
decisions. Trade summit provided us with the latest California Almond industry news and insights, helped us a lot
especially in the current trade environment.”
——A mid-scale almond trader
• “We are paying close attention to California Almond regulatory updates and shipment status. And we also want more
information about California Almonds processors/handlers. Hope we can have closer communications with ABC in
the coming future.”
——A large-scale almond importer
• “The stable supply of high-quality almonds is very important to us. We are worried about alternative import origins
can hardly meet our demands in quantity and quality. And we are happy to have ABC with us to actively monitor the
tariff issues, seek for any possible solutions and keep promoting almonds here in China.”
——A leading retail brand
• “It is really impressive and inspiring to see ABC’s constant and diverse investment in China. We would like to
participate in these marketing campaigns and maintain close collaborations with ABC. Hope to see the end of trade
war ASAP and further development of California almonds in China.”
——A Tier I retail brand
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Moving forward
• Latest industry news and market insights
• Technical guidance for brands and practical
information to help trade partners
• Inspirations for almond promotion tactics and
NPD
• Continue with consumer education to boost
California Almond awareness
• Build open platforms for integrated co-
promotions with industry partners
Marketing partnerInsights & information
provider
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Almond Board of California
Consumer Communications
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B2C2B integrated communications
TRADECOMMUNICATION
CONSUMER COMMUNICATION
ADVOCATE
STIMULATE
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➢41% of Chinese consumers would be
definitely likely to purchase California almonds
➢ Total 81% consumers would be definitely or
probably likely to purchase.
Data: 2018 China Consumer Survey, July & September.
Interest in Purchasing Products Imported from
California(Total Sample n=1386)
Stable consumer demand of California almonds
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Healthy nuts are in high demand
Data: Consumer Snacking Trends - China - January 2018
➢40% urban Chinese consumers eat more
nuts and seeds today compared to six months
ago.
➢58% of consumers think nuts taste good
and 44% say they are convenient to eat
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China target audience: Mei Li
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Consumer Proposition:
MAKE CALIFORNIA ALMONDS
A DAILY BEAUTY ROUTINE
Differentiate California almonds with other nuts
and motivate consumption
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Consumer communications strategies
Drive traffic to e-commerce
platforms
Diversified
social platforms
for amplification
Media relationships and exposure
Always-on contents for social buzz
➢ Through Integrated 360 communication to
build a comprehensive consumer journey
and to cultivate the trends for all target
consumers
➢ keep always-on contents to create social
buzz. Develop creative & fresh contents to
deliver single minded and strong skin
beauty message
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CONSUMER PROGRAM HIGHLIGHTS
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SHANGHAI FASHION WEEK
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California almonds collaborated with fashion designer C.J.Yao in
October 2018 Shanghai Fashion Week
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A series of chic almond-inspired
looks and a limited edition
“ Sunshine Vitamin E bag” were
created, worn by stylish models and
premiered on the catwalk during
Shanghai Fashion Week
Connect California Almonds with Beauty
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Leverage all touch points to make almonds stylish
SOCIAL PLATFORMS
CONCEPTUAL VIDEO
MODOLS SEEDING
T-MALL TRADE ENAGEMENT
CELEBRITY
ENDORSEMENT SOCIAL
AMPLIFICATION
MEDIA
CLIPPINGS
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TASTE OF BEAUTIFUL NEW YEAR
Chinese New Year
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➢ We launched “taste of beautiful new year”
campaign in January 2018 to connect
consumers’ beauty desire with Chinese
new year, which is one of the key festive
seasons for nuts.
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CONSUMER INSIGHT:
Chinese want to present their most beautiful
selves to their families and friends during CNY, as
it represents they are living a good life.
THE IDEA:
An ownable and sustainable cultural platform
were created for China New Year
How did we connect “beauty” and Chinese new year?
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CALIFORNIA ALMONDS x CHINESE NEW YEAR
= A TASTE OF BEAUTIFUL CHINESE NEW YEAR
✓ Created an interactive online content and a
festive e-commerce landing page with 15 retail
brands
◆ DIFFERENTIATE WITH OTHER NUTS
◆ BOOST AWARENESS
◆ INFLUENCE THE CHOICE OF NUT
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FOLLOW THE SUNSHINE
CONSUMER EDUCATION TOOL
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• Integrated 360 journey by collaborating
with trade brands deeply
• Highlight Vitamin E and beauty benefits
• New and simplified game
JOURNEY 1.0
JOURNEY 2.0
Total 12 top trade brands
Total 5 million consumers
participated the game
4 Waves of campaign
Follow the Sunshine campaign - upgraded
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A BEAUTIFUL JOURNEY OF CALIFORNIA ALMOND
Leverage animated video to educate consumers on almond’s lifecycle and Vitamin E benefits
Follow the Sunshine 2.0
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The crop year 1718 campaign scored:
98% awareness
52% recall
The mobile game scored:
463 million impressions
600,000 active game players
THE OVERALL RESULTS
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THANK YOU !
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What’s Next
Research Poster Session at 3:00 p.m.
Almond Stage Presentation at 3:00 p.m.
• Electronic Sensing of Larvae and Adult Insect Moths,
presented by Sensor Development Corporation
3:30 p.m. – 5:30 p.m. Social Hour is sponsored by
Mulch Master
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What’s Next
Almond Stage Presentation at 3:30 p.m.
• Best Practices in Nut Butter Milling, presented by AC
Horn
Almond Stage Presentation at 4:00 p.m.
• In-Canopy Sensors & Micro-Climate Models for Navel
Orangeworm Management, presented by Semios
Almond Stage Presentation at 4:30 p.m.
• Smart Pest and Disease Scouting for Almond Trees,
presented by Aerobotics