CEO Lesson 2 Capital IQ Tutorial
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Transcript of CEO Lesson 2 Capital IQ Tutorial
October 31, 2011
CEO Lesson #2 – Capital IQ Plug-in Tutorial
The information in this document is for EDUCATIONAL and NON-COMMERCIAL use only and is not
intended to constitute specific legal, accounting, financial or tax advice for any individual. In no event
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TOPIC Section
Overview of Plug-in 1
Company Historical Financial Data & Estimates 2
Industry Specific Data – Reserve Life Index 3
Market Data - Indices Prices & Short Interest 4
Trading Multiples – Forward P/E Multiples 5
Company Info – Institutional Ownership 6
Outline
Overview of Capital IQ
What is Capital IQ?
• Capital IQ is a real-time financial database that can be accessed through any internet connection
• It has become the industry standard for financial professionals, and an essential tool for portfolio management
• Key benefits include real-time market data and the ability to create dynamic excel based financial models
Who has access to Capital IQ?
• Each sector team on QUIC has access to an account
• Two accounts will be used by the executive for portfolio monitoring, educational purposes & market analysis
• One account will be installed in the NSC and will be available for all students to use, free of charge
What can be done with the Capital IQ plug-in?
• Primary functionality is as a tool for fundamental analysis– trading levels, financial ratios, trading multiples
• Analyst forecasts for earnings & commodity prices
• Short interest data analysis
4
Company Historical Financial Data & Estimates
5
Formula BuilderCategories Income Statement
Revenue, COGS, SG&A, R&D Expense, Operating Income, Net Income, Basic EPS, Dividends, etc.
Balance Sheet
Current Assets, Current Portion of LT Debt, Pension & OPEB, Shares Outstanding, Net Working Capital, Contingent Liabilities, etc.
Cash Flow Statement
D&A, Change in B/S Accounts, Capital Expenditures, Issuance/Repurchase of Common Stock, Debt Repaid, etc.
Financial Ratios
ROA, ROE, EBITDA Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt-to-EBITDA, Capex-to-Revenues, etc.
Growth Ratios
EBITDA Growth, Net Income Growth, Tangible Book Growth, etc.
Estimates
EPS, Revenue, EPS Growth Rates, Target Price, # of Analysts, etc.
Company Historical Financial Data & Estimates
6
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 CY2011 CY2012 CY2013
DJIA FY EPS Percentage Change (2000 – 2013E)
Learning Points Pull constituents of an index
Entering Identifier – Ticker or Cell
Period Type
Date in Cell
Audit Data
“Sanity Check” and filtering data
Industry Specific Data
7
Formula BuilderCategories Found in the Financials tab
Data may be slightly less available, be sure to audit the information that you find
Will be more useful for some sector teams than others
Energy & Utilities
Acquisition Costs, Exploration Costs, Production, Closing Reserves, Avg Price / Mcf, # of Wells, etc.
Metals & Mining
Grades, Measured & Indicated Resources, Cash Costs, Averaged Realized Price, Remaining Mine Life
Consumers
Stores opened, Same Store Sales Growth, Total Retail Sq Ft., Franchises
TMT
Gross Additions, ARPU, Churn, Capital Investment
FIG (Banks, Insurance & Financial Services Template)
Allowance for Credit Losses, Tier 1 Capital Ratio, Nonperforming Loans, Premiums Written
Cash Yield
FFO, AFFO, NAV, Sale of Properties, Occupancy Rate
Industry Specific Data
8
Reserve Life Index in Years of Energy Supermajors (1999 – 2010)
Learning Points Most likely to work well for larger companies – better information availability
Explore your sector and experiment with what options are available
Very easy to try with a number of companies once template is built simply by changing ticker
Supplement the data that pulls with primary research using SEDAR filings and analyst reports
Understand the applicable metrics, critically think about what information you can draw from the trends that you see
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
NYSE:XOM NYSE:CVX NYSE:BP NYSE:RDS.A NYSE:TOT
Market Data – Indices Prices & Short Interest
9
Formula BuilderCategories All PMs should work to integrate Capital IQ with their
Outperformance spreadsheets – huge time saver
Market data is less robust than Bloomberg
Equity Market Data
Day Close Price, VWAP, 52 Week High & Low, Beta, Short Interest, Dividend Yield, Float Percentage
Rates & Indices
Equity Indices Day Closing Price
Commodities & Futures
Not currently enabled
Market Data – Indices Prices & Short Interest
10
Learning Points Search function for Cap IQ identifiers
Extending the formulas to customize for dates
Transpose function in Excel
Frequency of data – adjust accordingly
Role of an analyst is not only to crunch the numbers, but also understand the drivers of the business and think critically about the trends and anomalies observed
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
Feb-2011 Apr-2011 Jun-2011 Aug-2011
S&P/TSX Capped Energy S&P/TSX Capped Utilities
Weighted Index
Alcoa Share Price (LHS) & Short Interest (RHS)Energy & Utility Indices Performance
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11
Alcoa Share Price Short Interest (% of Shares Outstanding)
Trading Multiples
11
Formula BuilderCategories Should be used as a supplement, not a replacement to
the existing coverage universes maintained by each sector
Well suited for historical multiple analysis
Trailing trading multiples works well, forward multiples capability may not be provided
Trailing Trading Multiples
EV / Revenue, EV / EBITDA, EV / EBIT, EV / UFCF
P / Sales, P / EPS, P / BV, P / TBV, P / LFCF
Bank of Nova Scotia P / E LTM
11.4x
13.6x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Company Information
12
Formula BuilderCategories Some categories will be quite useful, others rarely used
Set up a QUIC template to populate information for companies in universe
General
Very little useful
News
Top stories, URL, date
Professionals
Names, Background, etc.
Public Ownership
Holder name, % of Shares Outstanding, Institutional % of Shares Outstanding, Investment Style, Insider Buying/Selling
Private Ownership
Current and Past Direct Investors, Relationship, Stake, Transaction Dates, etc.
Latest Analyst Coverage
Analyst Name, Number of Analysts Covering Company, Email Address (to determine broker)
Energy Supermajors Top 5 Institutional Holders
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
NYSE:BP NYSE:XOM NYSE:TOT NYSE:CVX NYSE:RDS.A