Catherine Aliana GUCCIARDI GARCEZ "Climate change adaptation, vulnerability and resilience: four...
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Transcript of Catherine Aliana GUCCIARDI GARCEZ "Climate change adaptation, vulnerability and resilience: four...
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Climate Change Adaptation, Vulnerability and Resilience: Three
case studies in the Brazilian Semi-aridStéphanie Nasuti, Diego P. Lindoso, Catherine A. Gucciardi
Garcez, Marcel Bursztyn, Izabel Ibiapina, Gabriela Litre, Raquel Fetter, Carlos Henke de Oliveira, Saulo Rodrigues
FilhoApril, 2013 – Bonn
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Source: RedeCLIMA │©S. Nasuti, 2012
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Sub-Network: Regional Dev. & Climate Change
Source: IBGE and sub-network RD&CC │©S. Nasuti, 2012 Photos: Raquel Fetter and Carolina Pedroso
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Characterization of the sample80% rain-fed agriculture
High dependence on climatic conditionsVulnerability to lack of water and drought (Bahia,
Piauí, Ceará) / excess rainfall (Seridó-RN) Generalized perception of changing
precipitations regimesPerception of displacements and
unpredictabilityCongruent with data collected from weather
stations
Photos: Diego Lindoso, Stéphanie Nasuti, and Carolina Pedroso
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Do family farmers have the capacity to plan their crops?
Little access to adequate weather forecastMainly “We do the same thing every year”
Gilbués-PI
Seridó-RN
Juazeiro-BA
Illiterate or poor level of education
74% 73% 85%
No technical assistance
95% 62% 69%
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Responsive adaptation is observed
Abandoning the most fragile crops (rice, cassava, corn); adapting the size of the field;
Selling the animals; improvising “fodder” (mixture cassava, corn, cactus)
Little to no storing of fodder Migration strategies (people and cattle)
Gilbués-PI Seridó-RN Juazeiro-BA
Abandoned a crop 54% 45% 8%
Photos: Stéphanie Nasuti
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Conclusion
Policies focus on reducing the symptoms of vulnerability, not the causes of vulnerability
Agriculture and animal breeding remains highly vulnerable to rains conditions Lack of alternatives: technical, financial, cultural
challenges
Adaptation actions responsive (to extreme events), individual/domestic scaleAim is to guarantee economic/food securityCharacteristic of developing nations
Gilbués-PI Seridó-RN Juazeiro-BAReceive at least one social benefit
95% 93% 90%
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Policy RecommendationsAccess to appropriate technical and
meteorological informationAlternatives to agricultural production:
Payment for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (i.e. Bolsa Verde “Green Grant” for the Caatinga)
Income from (solar and wind) energy production; public and private investments
Poverty reduction and reduced inequalities:Education to combat low literacy rates;
technical training to support human capital and improve livelihoods
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Future stepsAggregating data from the 4th case study;
CearáPlanning return visits to allow for
temporal comparisons (contingent upon securing funding)
Preparing booklets for outreach for the communities
Comparisons between biomes
Photos: Stéphanie Nasuti and Carolina Pedroso
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Thank you!
Special appreciation to:
www.cds.unb.br
redeclima.ccst.inpe.br
Funding:
Travel support: OAS
CNPq CAPES Banco do Nordeste