Capital Market Day November 12, 2014€¦ · 2014 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 Bakery...
Transcript of Capital Market Day November 12, 2014€¦ · 2014 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 Bakery...
Capital Market Day November 12, 2014
Arne Frank CEO
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performances, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. AAK has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and AAK does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
Forward-looking statements
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Agenda
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10.00 – 10.40 AAKtion Arne Frank, CEO
10.40 – 11.00 Financial update Fredrik Nilsson, CFO
11.00 – 11.25 Infant Nutrition Karel Stoschek, Director Infant Nutrition
11.25 – 11.40 Short break with samples
11.40 – 12.10 Dairy Lena Ingvarsson, Marketing Director Dairy
12.10 – 12.35 Chocolate & Confectionery Fats Anne Mette Olesen, CMO
12.35 – 13.05 Q&A
13.10 – 14.10 Lunch
14.15 – 16.15 Plant visit
AAK participants
Arne Frank President and CEO
Karel Stoschek Director Infant Nutrition
Anne Mette Olesen CMO
Fredrik Nilsson CFO
Lena Ingvarsson Marketing Director Dairy
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Anders Byström Director IR
January – September Volume ’000 MT
Sales SEK million
EBIT* SEK million
EBIT per kilo* SEK
EPS SEK
1,241 (1,196)
12,958 (12,251)
899 (799)
0.72 (0.67)
14.03 (12.39)
+4% Organic –2%
+6%
+13%
+7%
+13% 5 * Excluding acquisition costs and non-recurring items
0.710.72
+1%
0.65
0.67
0.69
0.71
0.73Operating profit per kilo (SEK)
Last year Actual
FI – January to September
6 * For comparable units, volumes decreased by 3 percent
553583
+5%
400
450
500
550
600Operating profit (SEK million)
Last year Actual
776807
+4%*
650
700
750
800
850Volumes ('000 MT)
Last year Actual
FI – January to September
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0,00
0,25
0,50
0,75
1,00
1,25
1,50
1,75
2,00
2,25
2,50
Bakery Food Service InfantNutrition
Dairy FatAlternative
Frying &Other
commodity
SEK
/kg 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Volume EBIT/kg
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
325
Bakery Food Service InfantNutrition
Dairy FatAlternative
Frying &Other
commodity
MT
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
Bakery Food Service InfantNutrition
Dairy FatAlternative
Frying &Other
commodity
SEK
mill
ion 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
EBIT
CCF – January to September
8 * For comparable units, volumes decreased by 1 percent
254
332
+31%
150
200
250
300
350Operating profit (SEK million)
Last year Actual
219 230
+5%*
50
100
150
200
250Volumes ('000 MT)
Last year Actual
1.16
1.44
+24%
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60Operating profit per kilo (SEK)
Last year Actual
Current market growth estimates
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0-2%
+3-5%
0% +6-10%
+3-6%
0%
-12-18%
AAK y t d vs market growth
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0-2%
+3-5%
0% +6-10%
+3-6% -12-18%
0%
Mid/long term expectations
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0-2%
+3-5%
+6-10%
+3-6%
0-2%
+2-5%
+3-5%
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Since last Capital Market Day
AAKtion Acquisitions
• CSM Oils & Fats Benelux NV, Belgium • Fanagra, Colombia • Additional brand from Unilever, Turkey
Divestment • Binol
Greenfields • Brazil • China
Product development
AAK Acceleration
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Sales
Customer co-development
Innovation Service
Quality
Productivity
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Raw material prices
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0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
USD
/ton
Rapeseed oil Palm oil
Cocoa butter price
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
USD
/ton
Medium and fast growing markets*
17 * Management ambition – edible oil volumes
Nordics West Europe
USA CEE CIS
Asia Latin America
69% 62%47% 40% 40%
30%
18%18%
31%35% 34%
13% 20% 22% 25% 26%
70%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2009 2012 2013 2014 2015-2016*
Slow growing markets Medium growing markets Fast growing markets
AAK investing in Brazil A new speciality and semi-speciality edible oils factory in Jundiaí, São Paulo, Brazil This investment is expected to amount to approx. SEK 400 million over a two-year period The main start-up of the new factory is planned for the latter part of 2015 The factory will strengthen our ability to locally supply Bakery and Dairy solutions as well as further develop our CCF business in Brazil The new factory will include a state of the art Innovation Center
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AAK investing in China A new speciality and semi-speciality edible oils factory in Zhangjiagang
• The region has the highest GDP per capita in mainland China
• Chinese center for inbound and outbound logistics for efficient national coverage
The investment is expected to amount to approx. SEK 400 million over a two-year period The start-up of the new factory is planned for the beginning of 2016 Fully utilized, the capacity will be approx. 100,000 MT, with room for further expansion at a later stage The plant will be able to serve our Bakery, Dairy, Infant Nutrition and CCF segments
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Fabrica Nacional de Grasas S.A. (FANAGRA) Located in Colombia
• Headquartered in Bogotá • Factory in Villavicencio
Specializes in vegetable oils and fats for the bakery segment Revenues of approximately SEK 270 million in 2013 Annual volume of 30,000 MT Employs 155 people Limited impact on 2014 operating profit Will fully contribute starting January 2015
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AAK has acquired bakery fats specialist in Belgium
CSM, a leading bakery fats supplier to the bakery markets in Belgium, the Netherlands, France and Germany
The acquired business had revenues of approx. SEK 970 million and volumes of approx. 100,000 MT in 2013 The transaction includes:
• Production facility in Merksem, Belgium
• Variety of bakery fat solutions, margarines and pumpable shortenings
• Experienced sales force
• Team of application specialists
• Bakery innovation center
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Product development – FI
Akopastry – Low fat • Going from typical 82% fat to 60% fat • No loss in functionality, appearance or taste
Akomix LS 25 • Developed for ice cream products • Reduces the SAFA with more than 70%
• Nominated for FIE award, Dairy Innovation of the year
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Product development – CCF
Illexao™ MT 20 • Improved milk fat tolerance resulting in
improved processing
Chocofill™ NH 110 • For steep melting non-hydrogenated fillings
without tempering
• Nominated for Confectionery Innovation of the year at FIE
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Product development – PC
Lipex SheaLightTM • New sustainable light emollient ester derived
from natural resources • An ideal emollient for skin, hair care and
sun care • Very first shea product that maintains the skin
nourishing properties of shea, while leaving the skin with a dry and powdery feel
• Shea emollients known for their skin nourishing, moisturising and anti-inflammatory properties
• Good solubiliser of UV filters in sunscreens
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Management growth ambition*
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800 800
400 400
2010 In appr 5-6 years *As expressed at the Capital Market Day November 10, 2010 and at fixed exchange rates.
Acquisitions Organic growth Productivity Operating profit 2010
2015 – Organic growth
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